Why These Fundamentals Make Raiffeisen Bank International AG’s (VIE:RBI) More Attractive

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As a small-cap bank stock with a market capitalisation of €7.8b, Raiffeisen Bank International AG’s (VIE:RBI) risk and profitability are largely determined by the underlying economic growth of the AT regions in which it operates. A bank’s cash flow is directly impacted by economic growth as it is the main driver of deposit levels and demand for loans which it profits from. After the GFC, a set of reforms called Basel III was imposed in order to strengthen regulation, supervision and risk management in the banking sector. Basel III target banking regulations to improve the sector’s ability to absorb shocks resulting from economic stress which may expose financial institutions like Raiffeisen Bank International to vulnerabilities. Since its financial standing can unexpectedly decline in the case of an adverse macro event such as political instability, it is important to understand how prudent the bank is at managing its risk levels. Strong management of leverage and liquidity could place the bank in a protected position at the face of macro headwinds. We can gauge Raiffeisen Bank International’s risk-taking behaviour by analysing three metrics for leverage and liquidity which I will take you through now.

See our latest analysis for Raiffeisen Bank International

WBAG:RBI Historical Debt December 20th 18
WBAG:RBI Historical Debt December 20th 18

Is RBI’s Leverage Level Appropriate?

Banks with low leverage are exposed to lower risks around their ability to repay debt. A bank’s leverage can be thought of as the amount of assets it holds compared to its own shareholders’ funds. While financial companies will always have some leverage for a sufficient capital buffer, Raiffeisen Bank International’s leverage ratio of less than the suitable maximum level of 20x, at 11.85x, is considered to be very cautious and prudent. This means the bank has a sensibly high level of equity compared to the level of debt it has taken on to maintain operations which places it in a strong position to pay back its debt in unforeseen circumstances. Should the bank need to increase its debt levels to meet capital requirements, it will have abundant headroom to do so.

What Is RBI’s Level of Liquidity?

Handing Money TransparentHanding Money Transparent
Handing Money Transparent

As I eluded to above, loans are relatively illiquid. It’s helpful to understand how much of this illiquid asset makes up the bank’s total asset. Normally, they should not exceed 70% of total assets, consistent with Raiffeisen Bank International’s case with a ratio of 61%. This is a reasonable ratio and suggests that slightly over half of the bank’s total assets are tied up in the form of illiquid loans, striking an appropriate balance between liquidity and interest income.

What is RBI’s Liquidity Discrepancy?

RBI profits by lending out its customers’ deposits as loans and charge an interest on the principle. These loans may be fixed term and often cannot be readily realized, yet customer deposits on the liability side must be paid on-demand and in short notice. This mismatch between illiquid loans and liquid deposits poses a risk for the bank if unusual events occur and requires it to immediately repay its depositors. Since Raiffeisen Bank International’s loan to deposit ratio of 86% is within the sensible margin, below than the appropriate maximum of 90%, this level positions the bank cautiously in terms of liquidity as it has not disproportionately lent out its deposits and has retained an apt level of deposits.

Next Steps:

Raiffeisen Bank International ticks all the boxes for operational prudency in terms of liquidity and leverage. These factors often sideline next to other fundamentals but are equally important to consider as part of the investment thesis. The bank’s favourable liquidity and leverage position exposes it to less risk when it comes to repaying financial obligations, in particular, in the case of an adverse macro event. We’ve only touched on operational risks for RBI in this article. But as a stock investment, there are other fundamentals you need to understand. There are three pertinent aspects you should further research:

  1. Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for RBI’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for RBI’s outlook.

  2. Valuation: What is RBI worth today? Has the future growth potential already been factored into the price? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether RBI is currently mispriced by the market.

  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com.

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