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Why Insteel Industries, Inc. (NASDAQ:IIIN) Could Be Worth Watching

Simply Wall St

Insteel Industries, Inc. (NASDAQ:IIIN), which is in the building business, and is based in United States, saw significant share price movement during recent months on the NASDAQGS, rising to highs of $25.86 and falling to the lows of $20.33. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Insteel Industries’s current trading price of $20.83 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Insteel Industries’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

See our latest analysis for Insteel Industries

What’s the opportunity in Insteel Industries?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to my relative valuation model. I’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 12.34x is currently trading slightly below its industry peers’ ratio of 17.19x, which means if you buy Insteel Industries today, you’d be paying a fair price for it. And if you believe Insteel Industries should be trading in this range, then there isn’t much room for the share price grow beyond where it’s currently trading. So, is there another chance to buy low in the future? Given that Insteel Industries’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us an opportunity to buy later on. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

Can we expect growth from Insteel Industries?

NasdaqGS:IIIN Past and Future Earnings, March 14th 2019

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Though in the case of Insteel Industries, it is expected to deliver a negative earnings growth of -19%, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? Currently, IIIN appears to be trading around its fair value, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to reduce the risk in your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock optimal for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on IIIN, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on IIIN for a while, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. The stock appears to be trading at fair value, which means there’s less benefit from mispricing. In addition to this, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven’t considered today, which can help gel your views on IIIN should the price fluctuate below its true value.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Insteel Industries. You can find everything you need to know about Insteel Industries in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Insteel Industries, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.