Intrexon Corporation (NYSE:XON), a biotechnology company based in United States, received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the NYSE in the over the last few months, increasing to $20.39 at one point, and dropping to the lows of $15.57. This high level of volatility gives investors the opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at an artificially low price. A question to answer is whether XON’s current trading price of $15.8 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at XON’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change. View our latest analysis for Intrexon
Is XON still cheap?
According to my relative valuation model, XON seems to be currently fairly priced. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-book (PB) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows, and its earnings doesn’t seem to reflect its true value. I find that XON’s ratio of 3.5x is trading slightly below its industry peers’ ratio of 3.7x, which means if you buy XON today, you’d be paying a relatively reasonable price for it. And if you believe that XON should be trading at this level in the long run, then there’s not much of an upside to gain from mispricing. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because XON’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, XON’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.
Can we expect growth from XON?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to grow by 80.81% over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for XON. It looks like higher cash flows is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in XON’s positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at XON? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on XON, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for XON, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Intrexon. You can find everything you need to know about XON in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Intrexon, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
To help readers see pass the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price sensitive company announcements.
The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned.