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Why Investors Should Stay Cautious on American Airlines (AAL) Stock

Alex Smith
·3 mins read

McLain Capital recently released its Q2 2020 Investor Letter, a copy of which you can download here. The fund posted a return of -15.4% for the quarter (net of fees), underperforming its benchmark, the S&P 500 Index which returned 20.5% in the same quarter. However, you should check out McLain Capital's top 5 stock picks for investors to buy right now, which could be the biggest winners of the stock market crash.

In the said letter, McLain Capital highlighted a few stocks and American Airlines Group Inc. (NASDAQ:AAL) is one of them. American Airlines Group Inc. (NASDAQ:AAL) is an airline company. Year-to-date, American Airlines Group Inc. (NASDAQ:AAL) stock lost 59.0% and on July 28th it had a closing price of $11.77. Here is what McLain Capital said:

"American Airlines (AAL) : With a $6.5bln market cap & adjusting for the current cash burn & incremental net debt, American currently trades at a higher pro-forma enterprise value than it did at the beginning of the year, while revenues are off 80-90%. The two year notes, AAL 5% 6/2022, currently trade 52 cents on the dollar at a yield to maturity of 46%, implying zero equity value for the common stock. At it’s current projected pace of cash burn, the company will expend its current liquidity before year end. American is one of the most popular stocks among retail investors."

In Q1 2020, the number of bullish hedge fund positions on American Airlines Group Inc. (NASDAQ:AAL) stock decreased by about 12% from the previous quarter (see the chart here), so a number of other hedge fund managers believe in American Airlines' downside potential. Our calculations showed that American Airlines Group Inc. (NASDAQ:AAL) isn't ranked among the 30 most popular stocks among hedge funds.

The top 10 stocks among hedge funds returned 185% since the end of 2014 and outperformed the S&P 500 Index ETFs by more than 109 percentage points. We know it sounds unbelievable. You have been dismissing our articles about top hedge fund stocks mostly because you were fed biased information by other media outlets about hedge funds' poor performance. You could have doubled the size of your nest egg by investing in the top hedge fund stocks instead of dumb S&P 500 ETFs. Below you can watch our video about the top 5 hedge fund stocks right now. All of these stocks had positive returns in 2020.

Video: Top 5 Stocks Among Hedge Funds

At Insider Monkey we scour multiple sources to uncover the next great investment idea. We go through lists like the 10 most profitable companies in the world to pick the best large-cap stocks to buy. Even though we recommend positions in only a tiny fraction of the companies we analyze, we check out as many stocks as we can. We read hedge fund investor letters and listen to stock pitches at hedge fund conferences. If you want to find out the best healthcare stock to buy right now, you can watch our latest hedge fund manager interview here. You can subscribe to our free enewsletter below to receive our stories in your inbox:

Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.