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Why Oaktree Specialty Lending (OCSL) Could Be Positioned for a Slump

Zacks Equity Research

Similar to wise buying decisions, exiting certain underperformers at the right time helps maximize portfolio returns. Selling off losers can be difficult, but if both the share price and estimates are falling, it could be time to get rid of the security before more losses hit your portfolio.

One such stock that you may want to consider dropping is Oaktree Specialty Lending Corp. OCSL, which has witnessed a significant price decline in the past four weeks, and it has seen negative earnings estimate revisions for the current quarter and the current year. A Zacks Rank #4 (Sell) further confirms weakness in OCSL.

A key reason for this move has been the negative trend in earnings estimate revisions. For the full year, we have seen three estimates moving down in the past 30 days, compared with no upward revisions. This trend has caused the consensus estimate to trend lower, going from 53 cents a share a month ago to its current level of 42 cents.

Also, for the current quarter, Oaktree Specialty Lending has seen two downward estimate revisions versus no revisions in the opposite direction, dragging the consensus estimate down to 10 cents a share from 14 cents over the past 30 days.  

The stock also has seen some pretty dismal trading lately, as the share price has dropped 15.1% in the past month.

Oaktree Specialty Lending Corp. Price and Consensus

Oaktree Specialty Lending Corp. Price and Consensus | Oaktree Specialty Lending Corp. Quote

So it may not be a good decision to keep this stock in your portfolio anymore, at least if you don’t have a long time horizon to wait.

If you are still interested in the Financial - Miscellaneous Services industry, you may instead consider a better-ranked stock - Moody's Corporation MCO. The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) and may be a better selection at this time. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

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