It has been about a month since the last earnings report for Paccar (PCAR). Shares have added about 9.1% in that time frame, outperforming the S&P 500.
Will the recent positive trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is Paccar due for a pullback? Before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late, let's take a quick look at the most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the important drivers.
PACCAR Q3 Earnings Surpass Estimates, Improve Y/Y
PACCAR’s third-quarter 2018 earnings were $1.55 per share, up from $1.14 recorded in the year-ago quarter. Earnings surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.50. Results were aided by robust global truck deliveries and aftermarket sales.
PACCAR posted quarterly consolidated net sales and revenues of $5.76 billion. Its adjusted revenues were $5.42 billion. The Zacks Consensus Estimate of revenues was $5.5 billion.
Revenues from the Truck, Parts and Other segment increased to $5.42 billion in third-quarter 2018 from $4.73 billion in third-quarter 2017. The segment’s pre-tax income increased to $573.6 million from $502.2 million recorded a year ago.
Revenues from the Financial Services segment rose to $339.9 million from $328.2 million a year ago. Pre-tax income increased to $78.8 million from $70.6 million in the year-ago quarter.
PACCAR’s cash and marketable debt securities amounted to $3.79 billion as of Sep 30, 2018, compared with $3.62 billion as of Dec 31, 2017.
Class 8 Truck View
In the United States and Canada, Class 8 truck industry retail sales are anticipated to be 280,000-290,000 vehicles in 2018, up 31% from the 2017 figure. For 2019, this is anticipated to be 280,000-310,000 vehicles.
How Have Estimates Been Moving Since Then?
In the past month, investors have witnessed an upward trend in fresh estimates.
At this time, Paccar has a nice Growth Score of B, a grade with the same score on the momentum front. Charting a somewhat similar path, the stock was allocated a grade of A on the value side, putting it in the top quintile for this investment strategy.
Overall, the stock has an aggregate VGM Score of A. If you aren't focused on one strategy, this score is the one you should be interested in.
Estimates have been broadly trending upward for the stock, and the magnitude of these revisions looks promising. Notably, Paccar has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). We expect an in-line return from the stock in the next few months.
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