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Yuan Hit Hard as Trading Reopens

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·3 min read
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By Peter Nurse

Investing.com - The Chinese yuan was hard hit Monday after the reopening of the country’s financial markets, with traders using this opportunity to register their concerns over the outbreak of the deadly coronavirus and the impact this could have on growth in the country.

At 03:10 ET (0810 GMT), USD/CNY traded at 7.0209, up 1.2%, breaking through the 7.0 level for the first time this year. The US Dollar Index Futures, which tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies, pushed up 0.2% to 97.36.

Efforts to contain the spread of the virus, which has so far claimed 305 lives, have caused major disruptions and look set to deal a major blow to growth in China and globally.

Ahead of the reopening the Chinese central bank decided to cut reverse repo rates by 10 basis points and inject 1.2 trillion yuan ($173.8 billion) of liquidity into the markets on Monday. The net injection was far smaller, as around 1 trillion yuan in loans had been set to mature.

There had been concerns that the reopening of the financial markets on the Chinese mainland for the first time since the start of the Lunar New Year holiday would result in volatile trading.

“The EM currency space has stumbled badly on the outbreak of the coronavirus in China, which has impacted risk appetite,” said John Hardy, Head of FX Strategy at Saxo Bank Group, in a research note.

“Coming into this virus outbreak, the EM complex and financial conditions could not have been more complacent, suggesting rather significant risk that significantly more volatility awaits if the concerns and fallout from the issue worsens,” he added, while urging “a very defensive stance on EM-related risk.”

Elsewhere, the euro has strengthened against sterling ahead of a speech by U.K. Prime Minister Boris Johnson in London later Monday on the trade negotiations with the EU. Johnson is quoted in the U.K. press as saying "there is no need for a free trade agreement to involve accepting EU rules.”

While the U.K. officially left the EU on Friday, it will remain wedded to EU rules during a transition period which ends in December this year.

Additionally, Philip Lane, the ECB's chief economist, cautioned against underestimating the effects of tariffs and rising wages in an interview with the Financial Times.

“There cannot be a permanent disconnect between labour costs and prices,” he said. “The narrative of ‘everything is inevitably low for longer’ — there is a lot of weight to that — but I do not put all my probability on it. You should watch out for other forces.”

At 03:10 ET (0810 GMT), EUR/GBP traded at 0.8426, up 0.3%.

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