The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights: America's Car-Mart, AutoZone, Darden and Costco

The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights: America's Car-Mart, AutoZone, Darden and Costco·Zacks
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For Immediate Release

Chicago, IL –April 3, 2019 – Zacks.com announces the list of stocks featured in the Analyst Blog. Every day the Zacks Equity Research analysts discuss the latest news and events impacting stocks and the financial markets. Stocks recently featured in the blog include: America's Car-Mart, Inc. CRMT, AutoZone, Inc. AZO, Darden Restaurants, Inc. DRI and Costco Wholesale Corporation COST.

Here are highlights from Tuesday’s Analyst Blog:

Buy These 4 Retail Growth Stocks to Alleviate Soft Sales

Apart from lower consumer confidence in March owing to volatility in the stock market, slowing global economy, disappointing February jobs report and partial government shutdown, retailers were also affected by sluggish sales. We note that retail sales fell in the month of February, as Americans refrained from splurging on furniture, electronics and appliances, grocery stores, clothing as well as building materials and gardening equipment.

These lead to a concern that the U.S. economy may have lost steam in the first quarter. Also, fears of a possible recession, given the yield-curve inversion, lately gripped the stock market. Further, the Fed adopted a more dovish stance and decided not to raise the benchmark interest rate in 2019, after raising the same four times last year. The policymakers also trimmed growth projection for the economy.

Retail Sales Topple

The Commerce Department stated that U.S. retail and food services sales in February fell 0.2% to $506 billion, following an upward revision of 0.7% gain in January. Analysts pointed that the weak sales data could be partially related to delay in tax refund processing. Nevertheless, retail sales improved 2.2% from February 2018.

The report suggests that sales at furniture & home furnishing stores and building material dealers fell 0.5% and 4.4%, respectively. Sales at electronics & appliance stores slid 1.3%, while at food & beverage stores the same declined 1.2%. Sales at clothing & clothing accessories stores dropped 0.4%, while at general merchandise store it fell 0.3%.

We note that sales at motor vehicles and parts dealers rose 0.7%, while at health & personal care stores the metric grew 0.6%. Meanwhile, sales at sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores inched up 0.5% and receipts at gasoline stations increased 1%. Sales at non-store retailers climbed 0.9% and also improved 10% from the prior-year period. Sales at food services & drinking places grew 0.1%.

A Brief Introspection

Market experts cited that various macro and micro issues as mentioned above have been impacting consumer behavior. These factors have a direct or an indirect bearing on consumer sentiment. Per the latest Conference Board data, the Consumer Confidence Index dropped to 124.1 in March from February’s reading of 131.4.

A fall in consumer sentiment is likely to impact consumers’ spending pattern, which accounts for over two-thirds of the U.S. economic activity. Undoubtedly, reluctance on the part of consumers to spend more is the last thing retailers want.

Nonetheless, some experts still believe that the U.S. economy remains fundamentally sound. Moreover, the National Retail Federation’s projection of a tick-up in U.S. retail sales in the band of 3.8-4.4% to more than $3.8 trillion in 2019 hints at increasing basket size and more traffic with retailers as ultimate gainers.

Per the latest Earnings Preview, the Zacks Retail & Wholesale Sector is likely to register top and bottom-line growth of 7.3% and 3.6%, respectively, in the first quarter of this year. The sector has showcased an improvement of 11% in a year, outperforming the S&P 500’s rally of 9%.

4 Prominent Picks

Here we have highlighted four Retail-Wholesale stocks with a favorable combination of a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) and a VGM Score of A or B. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

America's Car-Mart, Inc., an automotive retailer, is a solid bet with a long-term earnings growth rate of 18.9% and a VGM Score of B. This Zacks Rank #1 company has delivered average positive earnings surprise of 42.2% in the trailing four quarters. Moreover, the stock has soared approximately 79% in a year.

AutoZone, Inc., which retails and distributes automotive replacement parts and accessories, is a solid pick with a Zacks Rank #2 and a VGM Score of A. The stock has a long-term earnings growth rate of 12% and increased 66% in a year. It has recorded average positive earnings surprise of 8.1% in the trailing four quarters.

Investors can also count on Darden Restaurants, Inc., which owns and operates full-service restaurants. This Zacks Rank #2 company has a long-term earnings growth rate of 10.3% and a VGM Score of B. The company has delivered average positive earnings surprise of 3.7% in the trailing four quarters and advanced about 43% in a year.

You can also add Costco Wholesale Corporation to your portfolio. The company’s shares have surged about 34% in a year. This operator of membership warehouses has a VGM Score of B and a long-term earnings growth rate of 8.9%. This Zacks Rank #2 company delivered average positive earnings surprise of 5.5% in the trailing four quarters.

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Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Inherent in any investment is the potential for loss. This material is being provided for informational purposes only and nothing herein constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold a security. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. It should not be assumed that any investments in securities, companies, sectors or markets identified and described were or will be profitable. All information is current as of the date of herein and is subject to change without notice. Any views or opinions expressed may not reflect those of the firm as a whole. Zacks Investment Research does not engage in investment banking, market making or asset management activities of any securities. These returns are from hypothetical portfolios consisting of stocks with Zacks Rank = 1 that were rebalanced monthly with zero transaction costs. These are not the returns of actual portfolios of stocks. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index. Visit https://www.zacks.com/performance for information about the performance numbers displayed in this press release.


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America's Car-Mart, Inc. (CRMT) : Free Stock Analysis Report
 
AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) : Free Stock Analysis Report
 
Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) : Free Stock Analysis Report
 
Darden Restaurants, Inc. (DRI) : Free Stock Analysis Report
 
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