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The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights: PACCAR Inc., Tesla, Oshkosh Corp., Autoliv and Gentex Corp

·8 min read

For Immediate Release

Chicago, IL – February 1, 2022 – Zacks.com announces the list of stocks featured in the Analyst Blog. Every day the Zacks Equity Research analysts discuss the latest news and events impacting stocks and the financial markets. Stocks recently featured in the blog include: PACCAR Inc. (PCAR),Tesla TSLA, Oshkosh Corp.OSK, Autoliv’s ALV and Gentex Corp.’s GNTX.

Here are highlights from Monday’s Analyst Blog:

Auto Stock Roundup: A Forward Look at Q4 Earnings

Last week, the European Automobile Manufacturers Association released data for commercial car registrations for December and full-year 2021. The European Union (EU) commercial vehicle market contracted 8.4% in December to 155,963 units, representing the sixth straight month of decline.

For the full year, however, commercial vehicle registrations in the EU increased 9.6% to 1,880,682 units. In 2021, while registrations in Spain inched down 2.8% year over year, the three other key EU markets, i.e., Italy, Germany, and France, witnessed yearly growth of 15.5%, 0.6%, and 7.8%, respectively.

Meanwhile, fourth-quarter 2021 earnings for the auto sector kicked off last week. Trucking giant PACCAR Inc. and electric vehicle behemoth Tesla delivered a comprehensive beat and recorded a year-over-year surge in their earnings and revenues. Meanwhile, Oshkosh Corp.’s earnings for the three months ended Dec 31, 2021 missed expectations and decreased from the year-ago period. Autoliv’s fourth-quarter earnings met estimates, while Gentex Corp.’s EPS surpassed estimates by a whisker.

Inside the Headlines

1. PACCAR reported earnings of $1.47 per share for fourth-quarter 2021, topping the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.31 and rising from the year-ago figure of $1.17. Higher-than-expected pre-tax profits across all segments resulted in the outperformance. Consolidated revenues (including trucks and financial services) came in at $6,686.1 million, up from $5,568.6 million recorded in the corresponding quarter of 2020. Sales from Trucks, Parts and Others came in at $6,295.7 million, beating the consensus mark of $5,383.4 million.

PACCAR’s cash and marketable debt securities amounted to $4,813 million as of Dec 31, 2021, compared with $4,834 million on Dec 31, 2020. For 2022, capex is projected at $425-$475 million, while R&D expenses are estimated in the $350-$400 million band. (PACCAR Q4 Earnings & Revenues Top Estimates, Rise Y/Y)

2. Tesla reported fourth-quarter 2021 earnings of $2.54, which surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.11. A higher-than-expected automotive gross profit resulted in this outperformance. Precisely, automotive gross profit came in at $4,882 million, topping the consensus mark of $4,254 million. The bottom line also compared favorably with the year-ago earnings of 80 cents a share. Total revenues came in at $17,719 million, beating the consensus mark of $16,070 million. The top line also witnessed year-over-year growth of 65%.

Tesla had cash and cash equivalents of $17,576 million as of Dec 31, 2021 compared with $16,065 million on Sep 30, 2021. Long-term debt and finance leases — net of current portion on Dec 31, 2021 — totaled $5,245 million, down from $6,438 million on Sep 30, 2021. Tesla generated free cash flow of $2,775 million during the quarter, up 48.5% year on year. (Tesla Q4 Earnings & Sales Beat, FCF Jumps 49% Y/Y).

3. Oshkosh reported adjusted earnings of 9 cents per share for the three months ended Dec 31, 2021. The metric missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 19 cents. Higher material and logistics costs and an adverse product mix affected the company’s income. The bottom line also decreased from $1.01 recorded in the three months ended Dec 31, 2020.

In the quarter under review, consolidated net sales jumped 13.7% year over year to $1,791.7 million on the back of a rebound in demand in the Access Equipment segment in North America. The top line outpaced the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1,757 million. Steered by robust customer demand, significant backlog price realization and improved input costs, Oshkosh laid down fiscal 2022 earnings per share expectation in the range of $5.75-$6.75 and net sales projection within $8.0-$8.5 billion. Oshkosh Q4 Earnings Fall Short of Estimates, Sales Beat (Revised)

4. Gentex reported fourth-quarter 2021 earnings of 35 cents per share, marginally topping the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 34 cents. Higher-than-expected auto-dimming mirror shipments in North America and international markets resulted in the outperformance. The reported figure compares unfavorably with the prior-year quarter’s earnings of 58 cents. This Zeeland-based automotive products supplier reported net sales of $420 million, on par with the Zacks Consensus Estimate. The top line fell 20.8% year over year.

Light vehicle production in Gentex’s primary markets is expected to increase 8% for 2022 from the year-ago period. Gentex envisions 2022 net sales in the band of $1.87-$2.02 billion. Capital expenditure is envisioned in the band of $150-$175 million. Operating expenses are estimated within $230-$240 million. For 2023, GNTX expects sales growth of 15-20% year over year. (Gentex's Q4 Earnings Surpass Estimates, Revenues Meet)

5. Autoliv reported fourth-quarter 2021 adjusted earnings of $1.30 per share, on par with the Zacks Consensus Estimate. The bottom line fell 40.6% from $2.19 per share recorded in the year-ago quarter. The company reported net sales of $2,119 million in the quarter, which missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2,249.7 million. The top line also declined 15.8% from the prior-year’s $2,516.8 million.

Autoliv had cash and cash equivalents of $969 million as of Dec 31, 2021, down 17.7% year over year. Long-term debt totaled $1,662 million, decreasing 21.2% from $2,110 million as of Dec 31, 2020. With a forecast of 9% growth in light vehicle production aided by a positive regional mix and product launches, ALV expects to grow organically by around 20% in 2022, generating an adjusted operating margin of 9.5% for full-year 2022. (Autoliv Meets Q4 Earnings Estimates, Hikes Dividend)

Price Performance

The following table shows the price movement of some of the major auto players over the past week and six-month period.

What’s Next in the Auto Space?

Industry watchers will keep a tab on U.S. vehicle sales for the month of January. Investors are also awaiting the quarterly releases of a host of auto biggies that are slated to report this week. Meanwhile, stay tuned for any update on how automakers will tackle the semiconductor shortage and make changes in business operations.

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Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Inherent in any investment is the potential for loss. This material is being provided for informational purposes only and nothing herein constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold a security. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. It should not be assumed that any investments in securities, companies, sectors or markets identified and described were or will be profitable. All information is current as of the date of herein and is subject to change without notice. Any views or opinions expressed may not reflect those of the firm as a whole. Zacks Investment Research does not engage in investment banking, market making or asset management activities of any securities. These returns are from hypothetical portfolios consisting of stocks with Zacks Rank = 1 that were rebalanced monthly with zero transaction costs. These are not the returns of actual portfolios of stocks. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index. Visit https://www.zacks.com/performance for information about the performance numbers displayed in this press release.

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