The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights: Ross Stores, Costco, Target and Burlington

In this article:

For Immediate Release

Chicago, IL –January 29, 2019 – Zacks.com announces the list of stocks featured in the Analyst Blog. Every day the Zacks Equity Research analysts discuss the latest news and events impacting stocks and the financial markets. Stocks recently featured in the blog include: Ross Stores, Inc. ROST, Costco Wholesale Corp. COST, Target Corp. TGT and Burlington Stores, Inc. BURL.

Here are highlights from Monday’s Analyst Blog:

4 Discount Retailers to Steal the Show This Earnings Season

A favorable consumer environment and strategic endeavors undertaken at company level are working in tandem for the Retail – Discount Stores industry. It goes without saying that the industry’s prospects are closely tied to the purchasing power of consumers. In fact, strengthening labor market and rising disposable income are forming a perfect base for higher consumer spending — which accounts for more than two-third of the U.S. economic activity.

The industry has certainly succeeded in creating a niche in spite of rising popularity of e-commerce players. This has been achieved on the back of investments, focus on cost savings, and introduction of loyalty and marketing programs. These apart, enhancement of omni-channel capacities, introduction of new brands, refurbishment of stores, and expansion of same-day delivery options have also been playing crucial roles.

These favorable factors paint a rosy picture for a number of industry participants this reporting cycle, which generally coincides with the holiday season. Per the report from Mastercard SpendingPulse sales from Nov 1 through Dec 24 increased 5.1% to more than $850 billion. The festive season is “make or break time” for retailers and companies vie to seize the bigger slice.

As companies are trying all means to gain market share, costs associated with promotional activities and an aggressive pricing strategy have been eating into margins. Meanwhile, any deleverage in SG&A rate, higher labor and occupancy costs, and increased marketing and other store-related expenses are other bottlenecks.

4 Discount Retailers Likely to Beat Estimates

It is hard to predict what awaits investors but with earnings season underway it would be prudent to invest in stocks that are likely trump earnings estimates. Our research shows that for stocks with the combination of a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) and a positive Earnings ESP, the chance of a positive earnings surprise is as high as 70%. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.

Here we have highlighted four discount retail stocks, which are broadly grouped under the Retail – Wholesale sector. Per the latest Earnings Preview report, the sector is expected to record top and bottom-line growth of 5% and 19.3%, respectively, in this reporting cycle.

Ross Stores, Inc., which is expected to report fourth-quarter fiscal 2018 results on Mar 5, is a solid bet with a long-term earnings growth rate of 10%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the to-be-reported quarter is pegged at $1.13. The company registered average positive earnings surprise of 3.6% in the trailing four quarters. This operator of off-price retail apparel and home fashion stores has an Earnings ESP of +1.68% and a Zacks Rank #2. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

Investors can even count on Costco Wholesale Corp. with a Zacks Rank #3 and an Earnings ESP of +2.46%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the to-be-reported quarter is pegged at $1.64. It has a long-term earnings growth rate of 10%. This operator of membership warehouses is expected to report second-quarter fiscal 2019 results on Mar 6.

Another lucrative option is Target Corp., a general merchandise retailer. The stock has a Zacks Rank #3 and an Earnings ESP of +0.94%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the to-be-reported quarter is pegged at $1.53. It has a long-term earnings growth rate of 6%. The company is expected to announce fourth-quarter fiscal 2018 results on Mar 5.

You may also consider Burlington Stores, Inc. with a Zacks Rank #3 and an Earnings ESP of +0.22%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the to-be-reported quarter is pegged at $2.77. The company delivered average positive earnings surprise of 13% in the trailing four quarters. It has a long-term earnings growth rate of 20.8%. This retailer of branded apparel products is expected to report fourth-quarter fiscal 2018 financial numbers on Mar 14.

Zacks' Top 10 Stocks for 2019

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Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Inherent in any investment is the potential for loss. This material is being provided for informational purposes only and nothing herein constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold a security. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. It should not be assumed that any investments in securities, companies, sectors or markets identified and described were or will be profitable. All information is current as of the date of herein and is subject to change without notice. Any views or opinions expressed may not reflect those of the firm as a whole. Zacks Investment Research does not engage in investment banking, market making or asset management activities of any securities. These returns are from hypothetical portfolios consisting of stocks with Zacks Rank = 1 that were rebalanced monthly with zero transaction costs. These are not the returns of actual portfolios of stocks. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index. Visit https://www.zacks.com/performance for information about the performance numbers displayed in this press release.


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