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U.S. government bond yields mostly fell, lifting debt prices, on Wednesday as a solid auction for 5-year notes show the recent selloff at the week’s start had helped cheapen Treasurys, drawing investors back into the market.
Pension fund demand for zero-coupon Treasury bonds could be diminishing the ability of the yield curve to predict recessions, some analysts say.
As the U.S. Treasury yield curve gets flatter, many see a recession starting to appear. The question seems to be when rather than if it will happen.