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Open | 3.7170 |
Volume |
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The Federal Reserve keeping a close eye on today's jobs market report as an indicator of how its interest rate control is affecting the economy -- and whether the Fed should change its direction on rate rises. The Labor Department's release is indicating a slowing but still robust labor market, as the Fed signals it's set to continue raising rates to fight inflation. The March jobs figures -- and jobs reports in the future -- are being closely watched by the Fed as a proxy for the economy's health. Fed officials believe strength in the job market contributes to the rise in inflation, both in the sheer number of jobs created and in wage growth. Yahoo! Finance's Brad Smith and Seana Smith spoke to Jennifer Schonberger about why jobs matter to the Fed. Watch the full interview above. Key video moments: 00:00:22 - "Officials believe the strength in the job market is feeding inflation higher" 00:00:33 - "If jobs growth remains too strong, the Fed will move to push rates higher" 00:00:40 - "The fed looks at inflation in three buckets" 00:01:20 - "Inflation reflects a gap between demand and supply" 00:01:53 - "The Fed has penciled in one more rate hike for its May meeting"
Analysts are ignoring the signs of a market downturn at their own peril, Alfonso Peccatiello, Founder and CEO of The Macro Compass tells Yahoo Finance. With the Fed continuing to raise rates in its attempt to fight still-high inflation, regional Fed officials are signaling rates could move above 5 percent. Market watchers may not realize the effect of the Fed on weaker company earnings. "Analysts are still in La La Land," says Peccatiello. "They're expecting earnings to grow low single digits this year." "There's a lot of dispersions across sectors, but I think that's wrong," he says. Peccatiello says there are two signs of a coming bear market, "The first is a reprising of valuation, that's what we have seen in 2022...The second is a come back to reality when it comes to earnings and pessimism about future growth." You can watch Jared Blikre and Brad Smith's full interview with Alfonso Peccatiello here. Key video moments: 00:00:00 - "I think analysts are still in La La Land" 00:00:15 - "It's just consistent with an average recession" 00:00:21 - "Peak-to-tough is about 29% during a recession" 00:01:17 - "We haven't seen anything like that"
Investors are now concerned that banking challenges in Europe could impact the U.S. markets as Credit Suisse (CS) looks to unwind its balance sheet for a sale to UBS (UBS). In an interview with Yahoo Finance's Julie Hyman and Brad Smith, State Street Chief Investment Strategist Michael Arone said, "now, for the very first time, the Federal Reserve, in a meaningful way, will have to balance its inflation-fighting credibility with financial stability," This comes as Wall Street looks for more actions from the Federal Reserve and U.S. government to restore confidence in the banking system after U.S. regulators bailed out the uninsured depositors at Silicon Valley Bank. Markets are now favoring a 25 basis point to 50 basis point hike in interest rates at the Fed's Federal Open Market Committee Meeting on March 22. Arone notes that if the Fed does not raise interest rates, then that sends a bigger signal that it may be more concerned about Europe's banking woes. Key video Moments: 00:01:12 Risk appetite for U.S. stocks 00:02:40 Banking turmoil playbook 00:04:00 The banking/financial sector 00:07:10 Europe's banking collapse impact on the U.S. Watch our full conversation with Michael Arone here.
Yahoo Finance's Jared Blikre makes the case for a mean reversion in markets.
LYAdvisors Managing Director Louise Yamada joins Yahoo Finance Live to discuss her technical analysis on a new rising rate cycle and the outlook for Meta stock.
Yahoo Finance's Julie Hyman breaks down how stocks and bonds are moving as earnings roll in and the Fed is set to raise interest rates again.
Infrastructure Capital Advisors Founder, CEO and Portfolio Manager Jay Hatfield joins Yahoo Finance Live to discuss the latest moves by the Fed, inflation, and bond yields.
Yahoo Finance's Jared Blikre looks at the state of the U.S. bond market and its outlook going into 2023.
Invesco Investment Solutions Senior Portfolio Manager Alessio de Longis joins Yahoo Finance Live to discuss the current regulatory environment, bond yields, and overall state of the markets.
Bank of America Global Research U.S. Rates Strategy Head Mark Cabana joins Yahoo Finance Live to discuss the Fed's next policy move, inflation, the labor market, and the broader equity market.
Yahoo Finance's Ines Ferre breaks down how markets are trading on Tuesday.
Stocks are mixed in the final hour of trading while the 10-year Treasury yield hit a 6-week low.
Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management Company CIO Brent Schutte joins Yahoo Finance Live to weigh in on the Federal Reserve's next moves fighting inflation and how it might impact markets.
Yahoo Finance's Jared Blikre breaks down the move in bond yields as well as the FX intervention doom loop.
Yahoo Finance’s Jared Blikre breaks down how markets opened on Thursday.
CAPTRUST CIO Michael Vogelzang and UBS Managing Director and CIO of Emerging Markets Americas for Global Wealth Management Alejo Czerwonko join Yahoo Finance Live to discuss how inflation is impacting company earnings results.
Marketgauge.com Partner and Director of Trading Research & Education Michele Schneider joins Yahoo Finance Live to weigh in on Fed rate hikes, labor force participation, earnings season, and more.
CAPTRUST Director of Investments Christian Ledoux and Optimal Capital Director of Strategy Frances Newton Stacy join Yahoo Finance Live to discuss the recent market rally, earnings season, inflation, and interest rate hikes.
The Dow fell more than 400 points to start off the trading session on Thursday after September CPI came in hotter than expected, while the 10-year Treasury yield topped 4%.
WisdomTree Global CIO Jeremy Schwartz and Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management Senior Portfolio Strategist Matt Stucky to discuss the bond market and how it's reacted to rising interest rates and inflation.
Horizon Investments Head of Portfolio Strategy Zach Hill and Schwab Asset Management CEO and CIO Omar Aguilar join Yahoo Finance Live to weigh in on recent market volatility, bond yields, and why investing in equities may be a challenge right now.
Charles Schwab Chief Global Investment Strategist Jeffrey Kleintop joins Yahoo Finance Live to discuss the dollar, U.S. labor market, and earnings season hopes against recession worries.
Evercore ISI Senior Managing Director Julian Emanuel joins Yahoo Finance Live to discuss the bond market and why investors should turn their attention there if they're turned off by market volatility.
Yahoo Finance's Jared Blikre and Akiko Fujita discuss Goldman Sachs's S&P 500 year-end target, market swings, foreign exchange, and bond yields.
Global Bonds Portfolio Manager at Janus Henderson Investors Jason England joins Yahoo Finance Live to weigh in on Fed policy and how bond yields are reacting to recent rate hikes.