^TNX - CBOE Interest Rate 10 Year T No
| Previous Close | 2.86 |
| Open | 2.85 |
| Volume | 0 |
| Day's Range | 2.85 - 2.87 |
| 52 Week Range | 2.03 - 3.12 |
| Avg. Volume | 0 |
- Bloomberg Video•4 days ago
Why the Fed Is Not Your Fed Anymore
Jul.13 -- Both China and the U.S. imposed 25 percent tariffs on $34 billion of the others’ imports on July 6, and Beijing has vowed to fight back against proposed tariffs on an additional $200 billion in Chinese goods. Oksana Aronov, fixed-income strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management, Joe Higgins, managing director at TIAA Investments, and Matt Toms, chief investment officer of fixed income at Voya Investment Management, join Bloomberg's Lisa Abramowicz to talk about the U.S.-China trade war, the Federal Reserve and the risk of a recession.
- MarketWatch•3 hours ago
Stock investors should not fear the inverted yield curve, strategist says
An inverted yield curve may not be a dreaded harbinger of doom for the bull market, according to Ryan Detrick, senior market strategist at LPL Research, who believes that stocks have awhile to go before worrying about unseemly yield curves or even a recession. An inverted yield curve, where long-term yields such as the 10-year Treasury yield drop below their shorter-term peers, symbolizes a lack of confidence in the economy. It has also emerged as a closely watched early warning signal for economic trouble, particularly in the wake of research from the San Francisco Federal Reserve that every U.S. recession in the past 60 years was preceded by an inverted yield curve.
- The Wall Street Journal•3 hours ago
[$$] U.S. Government Bonds Fall After Powell Testimony
U.S. government bond prices crept lower Tuesday after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell presented a positive assessment of the U.S. economy and said the central bank remains on track to gradually raise interest rates. Fed funds futures, which investors use to bet on the direction of interest-rate policy, late Tuesday showed a 64% probability that Fed officials will raise rates at least two more times this year, up from 59% a week ago, according to CME Group data.
- Reuters•9 hours ago
TREASURIES-Fed's Powell upbeat view flattens U.S. yield curve
* U.S. yield curve retests flattest level in over a decade * U.S. two-year yield climbs to highest in nearly 10 years * Fed's Powell sees more jobs growth, tame inflation * Futures imply traders see 89 pct chance of Sept rate hike (Recasts lead, updates market action, adds quote) By Richard Leong NEW YORK, July 17 (Reuters) - The U.S. two-year Treasury yield rose on Tuesday to its highest level in nearly a decade, with the yield curve at its flattest in nearly 11 years, as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's upbeat remarks on the economy supported traders' view of more rate hikes. Powell, in testimony about the economy and monetary policy before a Senate panel, said: "With appropriate monetary policy, the job market will remain strong and inflation will stay near 2 percent over the next several years." Powell downplayed the current friction between the Trump administration and major U.S. trade partners as a risk to business and consumer activities.
- MarketWatch•9 hours ago
Here’s one more factor that could add to emerging-market headwinds
Emerging markets have been struggling with rising global interest rates and stronger dollar, among other bearish factors, in 2018. But you can also add ‘hot money’ inflows to the list, as investments that could reverse quickly in times of trouble, bringing even more downside risk to emerging-market assets, according to economists at the Institute of International Finance.
- MarketWatch•11 hours ago
Bond bulls are unprepared for an end to Trump’s ‘tariff trumpeting’
Fears of a trade war between the U.S. and its trading partners have distracted investors from inflation concerns and other bearish forces that once threatened to send Treasury yields higher earlier this year.
- Reuters•12 hours ago
TREASURIES-U.S. yields edge up as Powell's remarks support rate-hike view
* Fed's Powell sees more jobs growth, tame inflation * Futures imply traders see 89 pct chance of Sept rate hike (Updates market action after Powell's speech) By Richard Leong NEW YORK, July 17 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury yields rose on Tuesday, with the two-year yield hovering near a decade high as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell was upbeat on the economy, supporting traders' view of further rate increases from the U.S. central bank. Powell, in testimony about the economy and monetary policy before a Senate panel, said: "With appropriate monetary policy, the job market will remain strong and inflation will stay near 2 percent over the next several years." Powell downplayed the current friction between the Trump administration and major U.S. trade partners as a risk to business and consumer activities.
Associated Press•6 hours agoUS stocks rebound as tech and household goods companies rise
NEW YORK (AP) — U.S. stocks rallied Tuesday as retailers, technology and household goods companies all made solid gains and helped the market shake off a weak start. Netflix slumped after investors were disappointed with the streaming video company's subscriber growth.
- TheStreet.com•17 hours ago
Jerome Powell Heads to Capitol Hill as Market's Best Recession Gauge Blinks Red
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will begin his first of two days of testimony to lawmakers on Capitol Hill Tuesday in Washington, but while tech stocks have driven the Nasdaq to fresh record highs, and the economy looks to record its best quarterly growth rate in nearly four years, he's still likely to express at least some concern for one of the market's most-trusted prognosticators: the shaped of the so-called yield curve. Formally known as the "term structure of interest rates", but more often referred to as the "curve", the different between short and medium-term bond yields is one of the more accurate forecasters in global finance. For much of the past fifty years, an "inverted curve" -- which occurs when 2-year note yields rise past those for 10-year Treasury bonds -- has preceded nearly every U.S. economic recession.
- CNBC•17 hours ago
US Treasury yields fluctuate ahead of Powell testimony
U.S. government debt prices came under slight pressure on Tuesday.
Associated Press•yesterdayAsian stocks fall, weighed by tensions over US trade tariffs
Asian markets fell on Tuesday as mounting tensions over U.S. tariffs overshadowed data suggesting global growth was still on track. Japan's benchmark Nikkei 225 bucked the regional trend, gaining 0.4 percent to 22,692.82. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.2 percent to 25,064.36 as Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, and Boeing climbed.
- The Wall Street Journal•yesterday
[$$] U.S. Government Bonds Drop on Strong Retail Sales
U.S. government bond prices slipped Monday after strong data on retail sales. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note rose for the fourth time in six trading sessions to 2.856% from 2.831% Friday. Yields jumped after the Commerce Department released a report Monday that showed retail sales rose 0.5% in June and that the increase in May had been revised upward to 1.3% from 0.8%.
- MarketWatch•yesterday
Dow logs third straight gain, but Nasdaq, S&P 500 sink as energy slump offsets bank rally
The Dow Jones Industrial Average marked its third gain in a row on Monday, but the broader market finished slightly lower as the sell-off in the energy sector weighed on the market. The S&P 500 index (SPX) fell 0.1% at 2,798, with the energy sector falling 1.2% amid a rout in crude-oil futures (CLQ8) while the banking sector enjoyed a bounce as Treasury rates (TMUBMUSD10Y) climbed. Investors focused on second-quarter results, and a summit between President Donald Trump and Russian Vladimir Putin, which drew rebukes from Democrats and Republicans, for treating Putin like an ally.
- MarketWatch•2 days ago
Mortgage rates inch up as housing market braces for slowing momentum
Rates for home loans spiralled higher after a three-week respite, suggesting there’s still some life left in the rotation out of fixed-income assets, and reason for housing market participants to be nervous about higher borrowing costs.
- MarketWatch•2 days ago
5 key ways Wall Street and economists think about the yield curve
The yield curve has captured Wall Street—and to a lesser extent Main Street’s—attention in recent weeks. The past nine recessions have been preceded by the inversion of the curve, where short-term Treasury rates exceed their long-term counterparts. Much of the breathless attention on the shape of the curve has centered on the tightening gap between the 2-year (BX:TMUBMUSD02Y) and 10-year Treasury yields (BX:TMUBMUSD10Y) But there are other key pairs that can signal how investors are thinking about where the economy is headed from here.
- Bloomberg•2 days ago
The U.S. Yield Curve Is Sending the Right Signals: David Ader
When it comes to assessing the outlook for the U.S. economy these days, the discussion usually starts with the bond market’s yield curve. The curve is signaling that the market thinks the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate increases, which are driving short-term yields higher, will not only slow inflation, but could also tip the economy into recession, causing long-term yields to go nowhere or even fall. The point is that the yield curve is not just a signal, but something that could actually weigh on the economy.
- CNBC•2 days ago
US Treasury yields rise after strong retail sales data
Purchases of motor vehicles contribute to a 0.5 percent uptick in retail sales last month, with data for May revised higher to show sales rising 1.3 percent. Fed Chair Jerome Powell will speak in front on Capitol Hill about the state of the economy starting on Tuesday. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin are meeting in Helsinki, Finland on Monday, to discuss a range of topics.
- FX Empire•4 days ago
Despite Reports of Higher Inflation, Treasury Yields Finish Week Flat Amid Consumer Sentiment Concerns
U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said in an interview this week that he believed “the economy’s in a really good place” at the moment with unemployment at the lowest point in nearly two decades and inflation finally approaching the Fed’s optimal goal of 2 percent annual increases.
- Financial Times•4 days ago
[$$] Fiscal hawks’ tales of doom do not fly with the young
America’s new fiscal stimulus package has attracted a chorus of warnings about the risks of rising federal deficits. Some concern is defensible, to the extent that fiscal stimulus now could drain policymakers’ willingness to take further action when the economy really needs it. A prime example of this can be found in the warnings from some fiscal hawks about how financial markets would be overwhelmed by the wave of government bonds needed to fund the stimulus.
- The Wall Street Journal•4 days ago
[$$] U.S. Government Bonds Gain On Trade Concerns
U.S. government bond prices rose Friday as trade tensions lingered amid President Donald Trump’s visit to the United Kingdom. brendan smialowski/Agence France-Presse/ U.S. President Donald Trump and Britain's Prime Minister Theresa May shake hands during a joint press conference following their meeting at Chequers, the prime minister's country residence, northwest of London on the second day of Mr. Trump's U.K. visit Friday. Investors’ concerns that Mr. Trump’s visit to the U.K. could further exacerbate trade tensions have weighed on yields during the visit, some analysts said.
- MarketWatch•4 days ago
2-year Treasury yield posts biggest weekly jump in a month
Short-dated Treasury yields rose after senior Federal Reserve officials highlighted the positive growth outlook and the need to hike rates at the current pace
- Reuters•4 days ago
Speculative U.S. 10-year T-note net shorts fall from record high-CFTC
Speculators' net bearish bets on U.S. 10-year Treasury note futures fell in the latest week from a record high the prior week, according to Commodity Futures Trading Commission data released on Friday. ...
- MarketWatch•4 days ago
Metals’ slump says the 10-year Treasury yield has room to slide: Moody’s
A precipitous drop in industrial metal prices over the past month could be flashing a bullish sign for bonds.
- Kiplinger•4 days ago
America's Yield Curve Panic Is Overdone
Financial pundits' consensus about interest rates is off the mark.
- Reuters•4 days ago
TREASURIES-U.S. yield curve flattest in 11 years as bond prices rise
The yield curve on U.S. Treasuries once again reached its flattest level in 11 years on Friday in low-volume trading. The spread between 2-year and 10-year Treasury notes fell to 24.46 basis points, continuing ...
