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Treasury yields rose slightly Tuesday as a Federal Reserve meeting kicked off, which could show policy makers scaling back rate-hike projections and outlining a plan to end a runoff of its asset portfolio, amid growing skepticism that rates will be hiked further in 2019. The 10-year Treasury note yield (BX:TMUBMUSD10Y) was up 0.9 basis point to 2.614% The 2-year note yield (BX:TMUBMUSD02Y) rose 1.2 basis points to 2.471%, while the 30-year bond yield (BX:TMUBMUSD30Y) picked up 1.3 basis points to 3.027%. The Fed’s policy statement will be closely scrutinized for remarks on the economic outlook.
Traders are placing bets on the U.S. government bond yield curve to steepen ahead of the conclusion of the Federal Reserve’s two-day meeting on Wednesday, even as global growth fears keep interest rates capped. Perhaps more so than economic optimism, analysts said such wagers could partly reflect short-term trading strategies around expectations for the Fed to signal tweaks to the central bank’s balance sheet runoff process. Traders are simultaneously buying short-dated bonds and selling their longer-dated peers to profit from an early end to the Fed’s normalization of its $4 trillion portfolio this year, which could widen the spread between short-dated yields and long-dated yields, an indicator of the yield curve’s slope.
Treasury yields inch higher on Monday as bond-market participants gear up for this week’s Federal Reserve meeting.
U.S. Treasury prices on Friday rally, pushing yields lower, for the day and week as a batch of weaker-than-expected data point to an economy that is cooling, raising fresh worries about a slowdown in global growth that may start to hurt domestic expansion.
BOND REPORT Long-dated Treasury yields rose Thursday, after failing to push key chart levels, as traders shrugged off geopolitical concerns. The 10-year Treasury note yield (BX:TMUBMUSD10Y) rose 1.6 basis points to 2.
Treasury yields mostly held their ground Wednesday as investors looked ahead to a vote to delay the U.K.’s exit from the European Union, after lawmakers rejected a no-deal arrangement.
Treasury prices rise Tuesday, pushing yields lower, after a weaker-than-expected core gauge of consumer prices and a well-received auction of U.S. government paper.
U.S. government bond yields added to their decline after the U.S. Treasury Department's auction of $24 billion of 10-year notes drew strong demand. The 10-year note yield fell 3 basis points to 2.611%, while the 2-year note yield fell 2.2 basis points to 2.455%. The 30-year bond yield slipped 3.2 basis points to 3.000%. Bond prices move inversely to yields. Successful debt auctions can boost prices for government paper, and send yields lower. The auction "stopped through" 0.8 basis points at 2.615%, below where the market was trading at the time. Analysts say an auction "stopping through" shows the fresh supply was well-received. This comes after a weaker-than-expected core consumer prices index reading initially sparked a Treasurys rally on Tuesday.
In at least the long end of the yield curve’s slope, the feared recession indicator isn’t forecasting doom and gloom for the U.S. economy, despite fears it will join the doldrums felt by the rest of the world. Assessed by the yield spread between short and extended maturity bonds, gauges of the curve’s slope using the 30-year bond as have gradually widened, or steepened, even as more conventional measures based off the benchmark 10-year note remained close to its flattest levels since 2007. Market participants say the contradictory signals sent out by different measures of the yield curve in part reflect Wall Street’s expectations for a more patient Federal Reserve that will stir the U.S. expansion and inflation back into life.
Treasury yields fall Friday, extending a weekly decline, after a much weaker-than-expected jobs report highlights growing concerns over a cooling global economy.
Treasury yields fall Thursday, along with its European peers, after the European Central Bank launched fresh stimulus measures, said it was unlikely to increase rates through the end of 2019 and downgraded its forecast for economic growth.
Treasury prices rose Wednesday, pushing yields lower, as dovish expectations around the European Central Bank and other developed-market central banks drew investors into government paper across the world. The 10-year Treasury note yield (BX:TMUBMUSD10Y) fell 3.1 basis points to 2.692%, while the 2-year note yield (BX:TMUBMUSD02Y) slipped 3 basis points to 2.520%. The 30-year bond yield (BX:TMUBMUSD30Y) was down 1.8 basis points to 3.070%.
Treasury yields retreated from session highs even after a robust reading from the latest update of the U.S. services industry’s health.
Treasury prices rise Monday, pushing yields lower, after investors pour into the perceived safety of government paper, as investors shake off optimism around U.S.-China trade talks and stocks pivot lower.
U.S. Treasury yields on Friday mark their biggest weekly climb in nearly four months, as global stocks rise, underscoring demand for assets perceived as risky and away from havens like gold and government paper.
U.S. Treasury prices retreat, driving yields higher, on Thursday after a reading of gross domestic product for the fourth quarter showed that the economy in 2018 grew at its fastest clip since 2015.
Long-dated U.S. Treasury yields jump by the most in weeks on Wednesday as a confluence of factors here and abroad combine to drive selling in government paper.
Long-dated Treasury yields see sharpest decline in weeks, with buying underpinned by lackluster housing data and comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell who reiterated the central bank’s dovish monetary-policy stance.
Treasury prices fall on Monday, pushing yields higher, as assets perceived as risky bounced higher on easing trade tensions and top-level support for the country’s financial sector.
Treasury prices rise, pulling yields down, as investors weigh remarks by Fed officials at a monetary policy conference and watch U.S.-China trade negotiations, including a White House meeting between President Donald Trump and Beijing’s top negotiator.
Treasury prices pull back Thursday, pushing up yields on signs of progress on U.S.-China trade talks and as investors sort through a big round of economic data.
Treasury prices and yields were left mixed Wednesday after minutes from the Federal Reserve’s January meeting showed officials divided over future rate hikes but in favor of bringing the unwind of the central bank’s balance sheet to an end this year.
Treasurys gain ground, pulling down yields as U.S. investors return from a three-day weekend and continue to eye U.S.-China negotiations and other trade rumblings.
Treasury yields on Friday mostly rise for the day, pushing government bonds to the best weekly gains in about a month as investors looked past bonds to riskier assets while digesting apparent progress in Sino-U.S. tariff negotiations.