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There’s a lot of concern that the U.S. economy experienced an “inverted yield curve” on Friday. That’s when the interest rate on short-term Treasurys, such as 3-month bills (BX:TMUBMUSD03M) or 2-year notes (BX:TMUBMUSD02Y) is higher than on longer-term debt, such as 10-year notes (BX:TMUBMUSD10Y) or 30-year bonds (BX:TMUBMUSD30Y) It’s rare for short-term instruments to pay more than long-term ones.
Treasury prices rise Thursday, pushing yields lower, as a weak eurozone purchasing managers index suggests Europe is still contending with serious economic headwinds.
Treasury yields come off intraday highs on Wednesday after investors look past a round of upbeat Chinese economic data
For all the stated concern about Fed independence, it’s not easy to find signs financial market participants are losing confidence in the central bank.
Treasury prices rose slightly Monday, pushing yields lower, after modest weakness in stocks helped give a bullish tilt to the bond market, as investors sought out haven assets.
BOND REPORT Treasury yields rose Friday, capping a steep weekly climb, after a stronger-than-expected increase in China’s exports and a less-than-expected slide in eurozone industrial activity, helped to assuage global growth concerns.
Treasury yields rise Thursday after a jump in producer prices and the lowest jobless-claims print in 50 years highlight signs of consistent health in the U.S. labor market.
Treasury yields recede Wednesday, along with European debt yields, after European Central Bank President Mario Draghi struck a pessimistic tone over the eurozone’s growth outlook.
Treasury prices rose Tuesday, pulling bond yields lower, as traders grapple with the renewed threat of trade tariffs
Treasury prices fall Monday, pushing yields off intraday lows, as traders sell government paper to make way for a raft of debt auctions this week.
Treasury yields struggle for direction Friday after the pace of hiring rebounds in March from an unusually weak February.
Treasury yields fall Thursday, trimming their weekly rise. Germany’s 10-year bond yield falls into negative territory.
Treasury prices slipped Wednesday, pushing yields higher, after reports that the U.S. was nearing a trade deal with China delivered a jolt higher to assets perceived as risky, hampering demand for the safety of government debt. The 10-year Treasury note yield (BX:TMUBMUSD10Y) rose 3.9 basis points to 2.517%, while the 2-year note yield (BX:TMUBMUSD02Y) was up 2.6 basis points to 2.333%. The Financial Times reported that the U.S. and China were nearing the final stages of trade talks and had two issues left to resolve—the current tariffs on Chinese imports and details on an enforcement mechanism to keep China compliant with the deal.
Treasury prices rise Tuesday, pulling yields lower, as investors monitor the fallout from Britain’s uncertain path to leave the European Union
Treasury prices fell Monday, pushing yields higher, as global stock markets rallied after a robust round of U.S. and Chinese economic data sapped appetite for haven assets like government paper. The 2-year note yield (BX:TMUBMUSD02Y) was up 5 basis points to 2.326%, contributing to its biggest one-day rise since Jan. 8. China’s manufacturing purchasing managers index rose to 50.5 in March, from 49.2 in the previous month, while its nonmanufacturing gauge also increased to 54.8 in March, from 54.3 in February.
Treasury prices fall Friday, trimming the weekly yield climb, as global stock-markets surge amid hopes for an easing of U.S.-China trade tensions.
Treasury yields mostly rise Thursday, lifting off from session lows, following an auction of short-dated government bonds
As it stands, March’s bond-market surge, which has seen Treasury yields tumble and the yield curve send an ominous economic warning, could turn out to be the biggest monthly rally since the U.K. voted to exit from the European Union in June 2016. Treasurys have acted as a natural repository for the uptick in haven demand because their higher yields relative to comparative assets, like German government debt, mean its prices have further room to rise when investors take shelter in bonds. “Since the recent economic slowdown and the Fed’s policy pivot, [Treasurys] still offer higher yields but also promise potential capital gains,” wrote Stephen Jen at Eurizon SLJ Capital.
U.S. Treasury yields slip Wednesday, adding to their recent decline, as European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said the central bank could further postpone a plan to raise eurozone lending rates if data continue to show contraction in the region.
A rally by U.S. Treasurys continued Monday, sending the yield on the 10-year note to its lowest level since December 2017 and pushing the spread between that rate and the yield on the 3-month Treasury bill further into negative territory amid worries over economic growth.
A macro hedge fund says investors should monitor the growing number of yield curve inversions in the U.S. Treasurys market
A closely watched measure of the U.S. Treasury yield curve binverted Friday, with the yield on the 10-year Treasury note dipping below the 3-month yield, stoking investor worries over a potential recession.
Treasury yields bounce off intraday lows Thursday, keeping their weekly decline intact as bond investors reel from a one-two punch of robust economic data and a stock-market surge.