AMD - Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.

NasdaqGS - NasdaqGS Real Time Price. Currency in USD
27.97
-0.21 (-0.75%)
At close: 4:00PM EDT

27.99 +0.02 (0.07%)
After hours: 7:59PM EDT

Stock chart is not supported by your current browser
Previous Close28.18
Open28.18
Bid27.97 x 1000
Ask27.99 x 34100
Day's Range27.79 - 28.49
52 Week Range9.56 - 34.14
Volume40,207,334
Avg. Volume75,880,358
Market Cap30.251B
Beta (3Y Monthly)4.05
PE Ratio (TTM)87.41
EPS (TTM)N/A
Earnings DateN/A
Forward Dividend & YieldN/A (N/A)
Ex-Dividend Date1995-04-27
1y Target EstN/A
Trade prices are not sourced from all markets
  • Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Stock Sinks As Market Gains: What You Should Know
    Zacks5 hours ago

    Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Stock Sinks As Market Gains: What You Should Know

    Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) closed the most recent trading day at $27.97, moving -0.75% from the previous trading session.

  • How Omnitek Acquisition Can Help Intel
    Market Realist11 hours ago

    How Omnitek Acquisition Can Help Intel

    How Will Intel's Business Decisions Impact Investors?(Continued from Prior Part)About Omnitek Intel (INTC) is expanding its data-centric businesses organically and through acquisitions, and its recent acquisition is in the PSG (Programmable

  • It Will Take a Huge Earnings Report to Move Intel Stock Higher
    InvestorPlace13 hours ago

    It Will Take a Huge Earnings Report to Move Intel Stock Higher

    Intel (NASDAQ:INTC) reports earnings on Thursday afternoon on an absolute roll. Intel stock touched a 19-year high this week. And after stumbling toward the end of last year, INTC stock now has gained 25% so far this year.Source: Shutterstock Even what looks like bad news is good news. The surprise settlement between Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) and Qualcomm (NASDAQ:QCOM) last week meant the end of Intel's efforts to develop its own 5G modem. But analysts actually saw the loss of business as a positive, and INTC stock jumped higher.The question at this point, however, is just how much good news is priced in … and how much good news is left to report. Intel stock admittedly doesn't look that expensive, at a little over 12x 2020 earnings-per-share estimates. But the big run so far this year, in turn, has raised expectations and that means Intel earnings on Thursday need to be quite strong just to keep the stock at its current, elevated levels.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading Tips Intel EarningsOne plus for Intel is that expectations for the first quarter aren't particularly high. Consensus estimates project a modest decline (0.3%) in revenue year-over-year, with adjusted EPS equal to last year's 87 cents. Those estimates almost exactly match Intel's guidance for the quarter, given with Q4 results back in January. * 10 High-Yielding Dividend Stocks That Won't Wilt So if Intel was being conservative with its guidance, the company should be able to post a headline beat on Thursday afternoon. But there's more to the report than just meeting -- or beating -- expectations. Any beat means Intel was able to grow revenue and earnings -- growth that, even with the big gains of late, isn't quite priced in.And it would show that the company's "data-centric" strategy, as the company terms it, is working. Data-centric revenue accounted for 48% of the 2018 total, per the 10-K, and likely over half this year. The remainder -- sales related to PCs -- is unlikely to grow, putting pressure on the data side of the business.To be sure, Q1 earnings alone won't make or break the case for Intel stock. But they can certainly impact the narrative, particularly in the near term. An earnings beat means Intel is growing. It means the shift to data-centric products is working. And it suggests that the earnings multiple assigned to INTC could expand, moving Intel stock higher.On the other hand, however, any stumble looks dangerous. Again, Intel is up 25% this year; it has added over $50 billion in market capitalization. While the stock isn't particularly expensive, bulls clearly are looking for good news from earnings. If they don't get it, INTC stock could struggle on Thursday … and beyond. INTC Stock Looks ExpensiveI wrote at the end of 2018 that INTC stock didn't look like the best chip play for 2019, and that has actually been the case. Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) has risen 41%. Shares of Intel rival Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD) have gained 52%. Given the optimism toward chip stocks and the pessimism with which the market closed 2018, INTC's gains this year aren't quite as much of an outlier as they might seem.That said, it does look like Intel is going to have to post a big beat on Thursday to keep this rally going. Intel stock has actually outpaced Wall Street, whose average target is just $54.59, suggesting 7%+ downside; 12x+ earnings might seem cheap, but half the business is likely to decline as PC unit sales continue to fall. While the valuation here might not seem prohibitive, there doesn't seem to be much room for error here.That's true in terms of earnings Thursday, but it's also true beyond the report. Intel is a wonderful company, but the reliance on PCs and the cyclical nature of the semiconductor space both suggest that Intel stock should be rather cheap. Earnings on Thursday are likely to provide further evidence, and that probably won't do much for INTC stock.As of this writing, Vince Martin did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 10 High-Yielding Dividend Stocks That Won't Wilt * 4 Energy Stocks Soaring as Trump Tightens on Iran * 7 Tech Stocks With Too Much Risk, Not Enough Upside Compare Brokers The post It Will Take a Huge Earnings Report to Move Intel Stock Higher appeared first on InvestorPlace.

  • Analysts Estimate Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for
    Zacks13 hours ago

    Analysts Estimate Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for

    Advanced Micro (AMD) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.

  • Should Long-Term Investors Buy into Intel’s Earnings Results?
    InvestorPlace15 hours ago

    Should Long-Term Investors Buy into Intel’s Earnings Results?

    Intel (NASDAQ:INTC), a giant within the almost-$500 billion global semiconductor industry, has recently seen a 52-week high at $59.59. INTC stock is expected to release earnings on April 25, after the close.Source: Shutterstock I believe that the relatively strong recent performance of the stock has been based on robust fundamentals, which I expect to continue in the rest of the year. With earnings season in full swing, let us look at the catalysts that are likely to provide tailwinds to INTC stock price. Intel Has Leadership and Robust FundamentalsIn 2018, Intel faced some challenges. At the time, the pain in INTC stock coincided with the sudden resignation of its CEO in June 2018, and Wall Street was not been impressed with how long the process to replace the interim CEO took. Finally in January 2019, the company named Robert Swan as the new CEO.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading TipsIts quarterly results released on Jan. 24 showed that Intel missed on revenue and the company gave weak guidance. However, many analysts highlighted that the tech giant was still delivering impressive double-digit growth at around 10% and enjoyed a dominant position in key markets. * 10 High-Yielding Dividend Stocks That Won't Wilt Intel's two largest segments are the client computing group (CCG) and data center group (DCG). Together they contribute almost all of Intel's operating profits.CCG includes Intel's PC and mobile-device chip business. The Central Processing Unit (CPU) is the "compute" in the computer. Intel's CGC segment makes the CPUs. INTC controls nearly three quarters of the CPU market, and Intel processors are the main component in most of the personal computers and servers globally.On the other hand, Intel's DCG segment makes CPUs that are optimized for enterprise-grade hardware, namely for data-center servers. On Apr. 2, the company held its Data-Centric Innovation Day, when it reaffirmed performance leadership in data center products and unveiled its next-gen processors as well as platform technologies.Intel currently holds a 99% share of the data center server market, which has been a consistent growth driver for the company. In 2014, about a third of Intel's revenue was data-centric; now it's half.Many investors believes that Intel's technological innovations will increase its ecosystem in diverse growth segments, including artificial intelligence (AI), 5G and autonomous driving (AD). These emerging sectors all require data in enormous quantities and at extremely high speeds.Although the tech titan is a mature company, Wall Street is seeing further growth opportunities as Intel re-orients itself to rely less on PCs and improves its revenue model to capitalize on the growth of the data business. Intel Stock Offers Strong Dividend Yield and Share BuybackOn March 14, Intel declared a quarterly common stock dividend of 31.5 cents per share, payable on June 1, 2019, to shareholders of record on May 7, 2019. INTC's dividend yield is a respectable 2.15%. Only a handful of established technology companies offer investors stable and growing dividends -- an important reason why Intel stock belongs to a capital-growth portfolio.Intel management has also been rewarding investors with share repurchases. In November 2018, the company announced a $15 billion increase in its stock repurchase program -- another indication of proactive management that aims to deliver higher stock returns for long-term investors. Short-Term Technical Analysis Year-to-date, Intel stock is up over 25%. As a result of the recent impressive run-up in the stock price, short-term technical indicators have become somewhat overextended. Investors who pay attention to short-term oscillators should note that INTC's technical message has also become "overbought."So, following its earnings report, there might be some profit-taking in INTC stock. Furthermore, if the industry or the broader market decline as companies release earnings, the Intel stock price may also be adversely affected. Several of Intel's competitors include Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), Qualcomm (NASDAQ:QCOM) and NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA) and as the market reacts to news and numbers from any of these companies as well, Intel's share price is likely to become choppy, too.If you already own Intel shares, you might want to hold your position. That said, if you are worried about short-term profit taking, then within the parameters of your portfolio allocation and risk/return profile, you may consider placing a stop loss at about 3%-5% below the current price point, to protect your profits to date.If you are an experienced investor in the options market, you may also consider using a covered call strategy with approximately a two-month time horizon. In that case, you may, for example, buy 100 shares of INTC at a limit price of $58.82 and, at the same time, sell an INTC June 21 $57.50 call option, which currently trades at $3.The $57.50 option is slightly in-the-money, offering downside protection in case of volatility and a decline in Intel stock. This call option would stop trading on June 21, 2019, and expire on June 22.In other words, I would not advocate bottom-picking in case of near-term price weakness. Yet, I find INTC stock to be a compelling buy candidate and by the end of 2020, I'd expect the shares to reach $70. The Bottom Line on INTC StockIntel's first-quarter earnings release will give Wall Street a chance to analyze the company's latest results and assess whether the stock's recent run-up in price can continue the rest of the year.Investors who are interested in INTC stock but do not want to commit all their capital to a single stock may also consider investing in various exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that have Intel as a holding. Examples of such funds include the VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF (NYSEARCA:SMH), the iShares PHLX Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ:SOXX) or the Invesco Dynamic Semiconductors ETF (NYSEARCA:PSI).As of this writing, Tezcan Gecgil did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 10 High-Yielding Dividend Stocks That Won't Wilt * 4 Energy Stocks Soaring as Trump Tightens on Iran * 7 Tech Stocks With Too Much Risk, Not Enough Upside Compare Brokers The post Should Long-Term Investors Buy into Intel's Earnings Results? appeared first on InvestorPlace.

  • Qualcomm Doubles Down in $40 Billion Smart Speaker Market
    Market Realist16 hours ago

    Qualcomm Doubles Down in $40 Billion Smart Speaker Market

    The Latest Buzz from the Semiconductor Sector: QCOM, INTC, AVGO(Continued from Prior Part)Qualcomm launches smart speaker chip Efforts by Qualcomm (QCOM) to diversify outside the smartphone market moved a notch higher recently. Last month, the

  • Intel’s 5G Decision: Understanding the Financial Impact
    Market Realist16 hours ago

    Intel’s 5G Decision: Understanding the Financial Impact

    Understanding Intel's Exit from the 5G Smartphone Modem Business(Continued from Prior Part)The profitability of Intel’s modems business Intel (INTC) manufactures processors for PCs and servers that carry a higher value. It tried to enter the

  • Why Overbought Chip Stocks May Be Poised For Steep Declines
    Investopediayesterday

    Why Overbought Chip Stocks May Be Poised For Steep Declines

    The bull market's rebound has pushed chip stocks to their most overbought levels in fifteen months as measured by the sector's surging relative strength, which could lead to a pullback. Chip stocks' relative strength index (RSI), a key momentum gauge, has risen to as high as 70 for the VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF (SMH), a threshold which has historically signaled overbought conditions, per a detailed story in CNBC.

  • Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Stock Is Back in a Big Way
    SmarterAnalystyesterday

    Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Stock Is Back in a Big Way

    Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has consistently gained CPU share since the launch of Ryzen series CPUs, and indications from various sell-side checks suggests that AMD has gained market share versus Intel in laptops, and Chromebooks. However, GPU revenue might take a while to recover until the full roll-out of Vega series GPUs with Turing capable features like Ray-tracing, and AI similar to the RTX line-up for Nvidia series cards. Despite the choppy indications when pertaining to financial results, AMD is recovering from a really low base of revenues when compared to peers, and with a steady slate of products anticipated to launch in the next two-quarters, the sentiment tied to the stock could still improve from here.Despite the mixed-implications for market share gains for AMD in Q1’19, there were a number of notable positives from a report released by Susquehanna analyst Christopher Rolland: "AMD takes share in notebooks and Chromebooks as Intel shortages likely accelerate share gains. AMD laptop share was up +3.9% quarter-on-quarter to 11.7% in Q1’19! In Chromebooks, AMD goes from almost zero market share to 8% as we believe Intel fails to supply the low-end of the market. AMD desktop share remains flat in the quarter at 15% as we wait for 7nm in 2H19. Positive AMD, negative INTC. GPU attach rate in desktops now 33% as gaming desktops increased in Q1’19. The Q1’19 GPU desktop attach rate was 33%, up +4% quarter-on-quarter, as gaming desktops increased during the quarter. Gaming desktops now make up 25% of PCs in our study (up from 20% in Q4’18). Nvidia benefited modestly from share gains in these gaming desktops (now has 76% share). Positives for NVDA and AMD."It seems like AMD is gaining the bulk of its CPU share in the notebook market, whereas desktop comparisons for market share remained flat between AMD and Intel. AMD’s positioning in graphics have improved modestly, as there were more gaming PCs purchased in Q1’19 than in the prior quarter. This might offset some of the cryptocurrency worries, as we’ve returned to a more normal GPU environment for desktops where gaming was the primary end-market for high performance desktop PCs. However, with the price of bitcoin recovering from $3,000 all the way up to $5,000 it wouldn’t be surprising to anticipate another crypto-mining fueled buyout of various graphics cards as new hashing algorithms, or new hashing opportunities begin to materialize in another inflated cryptocurrencies market (this could take a number of years to develop), hence the return of PC gaming demand helps.AMD’s pricing is expected to remain flat across its CPU line-up, so revenue from the computing and graphics segment will be driven by AMD’s CPU volumes, as opposed to pricing improvements. Pricing for Ryzen processors have contributed to ASP increase, but based on the average ASP across the line-up, pricing is expected to drop from $209 to $205 representing a 1.9% drop in pricing.There’s a decent likelihood that the gains from just notebooks and Chromebooks will translate to material upside in financial results, as the survey data indicates that the key area AMD was able to deliver shipment growth in Q1’19 was the Notebook segment where 2018 shipments of global notebook PCs were 162.3 million according to Credit Suisse estimates. So, if AMD’s market share of 11.7% were to stay consistent or improve modestly, AMD could sell 19 million notebook CPU units in 2019. Keep in mind, AMD’s market share averaged 5% in 2018 in the notebook segment or 8 million units in 2018, so this would imply that AMD’s notebook revenue will grow significantly versus prior-year.Overall, the global PC market is expected to slow this year. Gartner and IDC both reported a 4.6% drop in global shipments to 58.5 million units in Q1’19. This paints some more headwinds for Nvidia and Intel than it does AMD, as Notebook market share gains offset the declines in the overall PC market. Whereas Nvidia and Intel could offset some of the softness tied to PC shipments due to pricing higher, this might not produce as much in the way of financial upside as investors are hoping for, but it does diminish the negatives of a weakening PC market.Read more on AMD: * A Glimpse Into AMD’s Gaming Opportunity * AMD Stock Gets a Price Target Boost Ahead of Earnings * Why the Rally in AMD Stock Isn’t Over Yet More recent articles from Smarter Analyst: * Cowen Counts the Points in Aurora Cannabis (ACB) Stock's Favor * With Two Days to Go Before Amazon (AMZN) Earnings, this Top Analyst Weighs in on the Stock * Should You Count on Facebook (FB) Earnings to Push the Stock Higher? Top Analyst Weighs In * Tesla (TSLA) Stock Logs Another Sell Rating; Here's Why

  • Will New Offerings & Alliances Aid Intel's (INTC) Q1 Earnings?
    Zacks2 days ago

    Will New Offerings & Alliances Aid Intel's (INTC) Q1 Earnings?

    Intel (INTC) to benefit from Product Rollouts, multiple AI projects & partnerships.

  • Dalio’s Bridgewater Warns about Peak Margins—Should You Care?
    Market Realist2 days ago

    Dalio’s Bridgewater Warns about Peak Margins—Should You Care?

    Dalio’s Bridgewater Warns about Peak Margins—Should You Care?Bridgewater AssociatesIn a published report, the world’s largest hedge fund, Bridgewater Associates, warned about peak US (SPY) (DIA) profit margins.As reported by CNBC,

  • Intel Announces 5G Exit: Can Qualcomm Be Apple’s Chip Supplier?
    Market Realist5 days ago

    Intel Announces 5G Exit: Can Qualcomm Be Apple’s Chip Supplier?

    Qualcomm Surges on Apple Settlement and Intel's 5G Chip Exit(Continued from Prior Part)Intel’s exit from the 5G phone business On April 16, Intel (INTC) announced that it is planning to exit the 5G smartphone modem market, as it wants to put its

  • 5 Semiconductor Stocks to Buy for a Spring Charge
    InvestorPlace5 days ago

    5 Semiconductor Stocks to Buy for a Spring Charge

    The end of the litigation between Qualcomm (NASDAQ:QCOM) and Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) sparked a fire for both of those stocks and the semiconductor sector as a whole. The renewed bullishness for semiconductor stocks could continue through to the rest of the year for one good reason -- Apple and Qualcomm agreeing to end the litigation set the stage for friendlier times among technology firms ahead. Instead of fighting for high IP royalty rates, semiconductor stocks could forge multiyear supply deals with its customers.Sure, investors could risk overpaying for stocks by blindly assuming IP deals are coming. Fortunately, Apple is a big customer and has a high demand for components, benefiting semiconductor suppliers. * 5 Dividend Stocks Perfect for Retirees What are the five semiconductor stocks to buy for a spring charge?InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading Tips Semiconductor Stocks to Buy: Qualcomm (QCOM)Source: Shutterstock Qualcomm and Apple agreed to drop all litigation, including those with Apple's contract manufacturers. Instead, Apple will pay Qualcomm in addition to signing a six-year license agreement, effective as of Apr. 1, 2019. The companies have an option to extend the deal for another two years. Qualcomm disclosed that the deal will add $2 in incremental EPS.Even though QCOM shares rose 40% on the week, the company's fair value rises sharply thanks to the deal with Apple. At a recent price of $79, the stock is trading at a discount because the company could win more supply deals with the top Android phone makers. Competitors cannot afford to let Apple have the best technology and could order Qualcomm's latest chip solutions to stay ahead.In the near-term, QCOM stockholders get two immediate positive catalysts. First, uncertainties are no longer an overhanging to the stock because Qualcomm no longer needs to keep going to court. Second, Qualcomm has guaranteed a revenue stream for the next six years. That stability is worth paying for, especially in the cyclical semiconductor market. Intel Corporation (INTC)Source: Shutterstock The Qualcomm-Apple settlement led to shares of Intel (NASDAQ:INTC) rallying a few points. Intel announced that it would abandon 5G phone modem development. Previously, Apple was rumored to release a 5G iPhone in 2020 that used Intel's modem. But now that Apple has a deal that allows it to use Qualcomm's far superior modem instead. If Intel lost the modem business to Qualcomm, one would think INTC stock would fall, not rise.Intel's modems are generally inferior to that of QCOM-powered ones. By exiting this market, Intel will become less distracted from the mobile devices market. Instead, it may now turn its sights back on the more profitable business of CPUs in the PC and servers. * 10 S&P 500 Stocks to Weather the Earnings Storm Intel's valuations are very attractive, too. The stock trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 13x. Despite the worrying competition from Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), Intel still has loyal customers on the consumer and business markets. Still, Intel has plenty of work ahead. It is behind on the 7nm chip manufacturing and its latest products are supply-constrained. This is putting a cap on its revenue growth for the near-term.Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)Source: Shutterstock Advanced Micro Devices is enjoying a nice uptrend that began at the start of 2019. Valuations are not that compelling, but markets are willing to pay a premium. AMD stock is undergoing a multiyear transition that led to multiple product launches across three main lines of business: server, desktop and graphics cards. All three of these products are potential growth generators for AMD.In the server space, EPYC's scalability and computing power give enterprise customers good value compared to Intel's Xeon chips. CEO Lisa Su may announce Ryzen getting a refresh with a third-generation release next month at Computex. As AMD discounts current-generation Ryzen CPUs for the PC and notebook markets, it could gain market share over Intel.In the GPU space, the announcement for Navi, a mid-range solution, could help AMD win back market share from Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA). Nvidia leaped ahead of AMD with a GTX 1660 Ti release a few months ago. Rumors that a GTX 1650 for just $149 could further Nvidia's lead over AMD. NXP Semiconductors (NXPI)Source: Elektor Labs via FlickrNXP Semiconductors (NASDAQ:NXPI) traded above $101 for the first time since Jul. 2018. The stock lost all its value when the Chinese government delayed approval of Qualcomm buying the firm. NXP then earned a break-up fee of $2 billion and proceeded to buy back billions of dollars' worth of its shares.Investors should look at NXPI stock again now that markets largely forgave the company for buying back stock at a higher price. Management has a five-year autonomous driving supply plan in place. And with more technology components in vehicles, NXPI will stand to benefit. At a 14.9 times trailing P/E and 11.2 times forward P/E, NXPI stock is an appropriate stock to buy for the spring 2019 session. * 7 Stocks to Buy for Spring Season Growth NXP is scheduled to reported earnings on April 29. The company's prudent cost management, design wins and supply deals in 2019 will attract more buyers to the stock, and its ability to focus back on its core strengths will drive the stock back to 52-week highs of over $122. And even at that level, the stock will trade at a discount relative to the free cash flow generation from its businesses. Micron Technology (MU)Source: Shutterstock Micron Technology's (NASDAQ:MU) downside third-quarter guidance failed to scare off investors as the stock rose 28.5% during the quarter. In its second-quarter report, Micron reported DRAM sales falling 28%. NAND did better year-over-year and up 2%. On a quarter-over-quarter comparison, NAND revenue fell 18%.Micron forecast third-quarter revenue of around $4.8 billion and EPS of between 75 cents and 95 cents. Both numbers are below consensus estimates. Unsurprisingly, several analysts issued "hold" or "sell" calls on MU stock in the last month, according to Tipranks. But collectively, the 25 analysts covering the stock have an average price target of $54.41, representing an upside of around 26%.Investors should add MU stock to their portfolios this spring for the simple reason that NAND and DRAM prices appear to be stabilizing. Markets adjusted to the U.S.-China tariffs now and place. A refresh in premium smartphones, ongoing demand for memory and high-speed storage for servers and the firming up of PC sales will benefit Micron in the current period.As of this writing, Chris Lau owned shares of NXP Semiconductors. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 5 Dividend Stocks Perfect for Retirees * 7 Reasons the Stock Market Rally Isn't Over Yet * 10 S&P 500 Stocks to Weather the Earnings Storm Compare Brokers The post 5 Semiconductor Stocks to Buy for a Spring Charge appeared first on InvestorPlace.

  • Dow Jones Futures Signal Stock Market Losses; This Sector Leads Despite Plunging Earnings
    Investor's Business Daily6 days ago

    Dow Jones Futures Signal Stock Market Losses; This Sector Leads Despite Plunging Earnings

    Stock futures: Chip stocks such as AMD, Intel and Qualcomm are leading the current market rally even though they share this glaring weakness. Here's why.

  • 7 Reasons the Stock Market Rally Isn’t Over Yet
    InvestorPlace6 days ago

    7 Reasons the Stock Market Rally Isn’t Over Yet

    Stocks are up big in 2019. Really big. Year-to-date, the S&P 500 as represented by the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSEARCA:SPY) is up more than 16%. To put that in perspective, this decade has only featured two years wherein stocks returned more than 15% for the whole year. The stock market has already done that this year, and we aren't even a third of the way through 2019. People are finding stocks to buy all over the place.Given how far and how fast socks have rallied in 2019, some market observers think that best of 2019 is in the rearview mirror. Indeed, some pundits think that stocks have already reached their 2019 peak, and that the rest of the year will play out like the last few months of 2018.I don't buy that bear thesis. Stocks aren't done rallying here. Granted, while we may not see the S&P 500 tack on another 15% from here into the end of the year, stocks should be able to grind higher over the next several months for several reasons.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading Tips * 10 S&P 500 Stocks to Weather the Earnings Storm What are those reasons? Let's take a closer look at why stocks can and will head higher from here, and why you should still be open to new stocks to buy. The Economy Appears to Be Stabilizing & ImprovingAbove all else, stocks could remain in rally mode for the rest of 2019 because the global economy, which has slowed over the past several months, appears to be stabilizing and even showing signs of improving.The OECD area Composite Leading Indicator (CLI) has been slipping since late 2017, but February 2019's month-to-month drop in CLI was the smallest month-to-month drop since early 2018. Thus, the decline is moderating. This is true for the CLI in the EU, the U.S. and China.Broadly speaking, economic conditions globally are stabilizing in 2019, while they are actually improving in the U.S. and China. If these economic improvements persist, stocks will naturally remain on an upward trend. A Trade War Resolution Could Be Coming SoonSource: Shutterstock One of the biggest headwinds which weighed on stocks in late 2018 was rising trade tensions between the U.S. and China. But, those trade tensions have cooled substantially in 2019. Now, the consensus on Wall Street is that a trade war resolution is coming soon.If such a resolution does happen soon, stocks will rally in a big way. China economic activity will re-accelerate. So will U.S. economic activity. Corporate revenue and margin headwinds will move into the rear-view mirror. Profit estimates will move higher. Investor sentiment will improve. * 7 Stocks to Buy for Spring Season Growth In other words, I wouldn't want to be on the sidelines if and when a trade war resolution comes in 2019. The Fed Has Gone DovishSource: Shutterstock Another huge headwind which weighed on stocks in late 2018 was a hawkish Federal Reserve, which was seemingly determined to hike interest rates regardless of the incoming economic data.This headwind, too, has reversed course in 2019. The Fed has done a 180, going completely dovish and adopting a data-dependent policy. The data right now, while good, doesn't show any inflation. As such, the Fed appears ready to hold rates steady for the foreseeable future.Zero rate hikes into the end of the year could add some much-needed juice back into this economy. The consumer economy will pick back up thanks to lower borrowing costs. The housing sector will rebound. So will the auto sector. Industrial activity will pick back up. Broadly speaking, the whole economy should continue to improve so long as the Fed stays on the sidelines. That improvement will ultimately help push stocks higher. The Bond Market Has RalliedSource: United States Treasury, Bureau of Public Debt via WikimediaOne of the biggest thing for stocks is their valuation gap relative to bonds. In plain English, the bigger that gap, the more attractively valued stocks appear, and the more room they have to run higher from a relative valuation perspective.Right now, that gap is really big, mostly thanks to the Fed holding rates constant, which has led to a bond market rally, and kept the yields on bonds depressed. Specifically, the 10-Year Treasury Yield today sits at just 2.6%. The S&P 500 forward earnings yield is 6%. That is a 340 basis point spread between bond and stock yields, which is huge from a historical standpoint. * 7 Mid-Cap Stocks to Find the Market's Sweet Spot As such, relative to bonds, stocks remain historically undervalued. Because of this, until the bond market collapses, stocks will likely remain on an upward trajectory Valuations Are ReasonableSource: Shutterstock Even excluding valuation relative to bonds, stocks appear reasonably undervalued at current levels.The current forward-12-month price-to-earnings multiple for the S&P 500 is 16.7. That's only slightly above the five-year average forward multiple of 16.4. Plus, most analysts see 2019 as a weak year for earnings growth, and are projecting for 2020 earnings growth to be much better, given the global economic improvements outlined above.As such, fiscal 2020 EPS estimates for the S&P 500 currently sit at $187. A five-year average 16.4 forward multiple on $187 implies a 2019-end price target for the S&P 500 of over 3,050. The index currently sits around 2,900. Thus, upside into the end of the year looks good from a numbers perspective. The Market Has Leadership AgainSource: Shutterstock One thing close market observers always say is that in order for the market to head higher, you need market leadership. Translated, that basically means that financial markets are healthiest when there's a group of stocks which are paving the path for higher prices for the whole market.In the back half of 2016 and through all of 2017, the stock market had that leadership in large-cap tech stocks. The Nasdaq-100 Technology Sector rallied nearly 70% from July 2016 to December 2017, and that paved the path for a nearly 30% rally in the S&P 500. In 2018, the market lost that leadership. Tech stocks faltered, and the Nasdaq-100 Technology Sector dropped 6%. That likewise led to a 6% drop in the S&P 500. * 7 Stocks That Can Outperform for Years As economic and financial market conditions have improved in 2019, though, tech leadership has returned to the market. Tech stocks are up a whopping 30% year-to-date, and that has powered a robust 15% gain for the S&P 500. So long as this tech leadership persists, stocks should broadly head higher. Individual Narratives Are ImprovingSource: Shutterstock At the end of the day, the stock market is a collection of a bunch of individual stocks. Thus, so long as those individual stocks continue to do well, the stock market will broadly continue to do well, too.Presently, the outlook for individual stocks to head higher is favorable. Narratives across the market are improving. Digital ad stocks like Facebook (NASDAQ:FB) and Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG, NASDAQ:GOOGL) are shaking off 2018 data privacy concerns and turning on the growth engines in 2019. Semiconductor stocks like Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD) and Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) are rebounding amid signs that the worst of this recent cycle downturn is over. Retail stocks like Walmart (NYSE:WMT) and Target (NYSE:TGT) are pushing higher amid renewed consumer confidence. Housing stocks like KB Home (NYSE:KBH) are in full rebound mode as confidence has returned to the housing market. China stocks like JD (NASDAQ:JD) and Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) are likewise rebounding strongly as China's economy has improved in 2019.In other words, individual stock narratives are dramatically improving. So long as these improvements persists, stocks will broadly head higher.As of this writing, Luke Lango was long FB, GOOG, NVDA, WMT, HD, KBH, JD, and BABA. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 7 Stocks to Buy for Spring Season Growth * This Is How You Beat Back a Bear Market * 7 Dental Stocks to Buy That Will Make You Smile Compare Brokers The post 7 Reasons the Stock Market Rally Isn't Over Yet appeared first on InvestorPlace.

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    At first glance, shares of Amgen (NASDAQ:AMGN) look quite volatile. Upon further inspection, though, the six-month range in AMGN stock is actually pretty tight -- and it's been getting even tighter, as the stock has spent much of 2019 gathering in tightening coil. This sets up for a potentially large move. This move can happen in either direction, with bulls hoping Amgen stock resolves higher. * 7 Stocks That Can Outperform for Years Source: Richard Masoner via Flickr There are a lot of considerations when it comes to pulling the trigger on a name like Amgen. It's not just the technicals, but also the dividend, its valuation and growth profile. Let's take a closer look, first with the charts. Trading AMGN Stock Click to EnlargeAMGN is not the kind of stock that traders are normally drawn to. That's more for the names like Advanced Micro Devices (NADSAQ:AMD), Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) and others. But that doesn't mean we can't trace the technicals on AMGN stock.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading TipsAt the end of March, AMGN stock was showing weakness and threatening to break down from a short-term double-top. Fast-forward about two weeks and Amgen stock is above all of its major moving averages. While being rejected by downtrend resistance (black line), shares are hanging just below this mark. Could that set up a breakout?That's what I'm looking for in AMGN stock. A drop down to about $190 would give bulls a chance to initiate a position near the 20-day moving average and uptrend support. Whether the pullback is done here, near $193, or drops to $190, as long as support holds, it could give AMGN stock the energy it needs to push through resistance.On the upside, a push through $196 could eventually ignite Amgen up to $206. Shares put in a double-top at this level in the fourth quarter, so it wouldn't be surprising to see this area act as resistance on AMGN's first try. On the downside, watch for support from the 50-day moving average at $188 -- provided uptrend support does not buoy Amgen.Below that, and a drop into the low-$180s is possible. Valuing Amgen StockAmgen stock is looking better and better on the charts, but that doesn't mean there aren't things to like about its fundamentals.For starters, AMGN stock has a 3% dividend yield. Management gave a ~10% bump in December, following increases of ~15% in each of the last two years ago. While the company has experienced lower growth than the past few years, it's clear management is putting an emphasis on returning capital to investors.There's also the valuation, which stands at less than 14 times this year's earnings. There is a catch, though: While this is a below-market valuation, we have to consider it versus its peers as well as against Amgen's own growth profile. When compared to names like Celgene (NASDAQ:CELG), Bristol-Myers Squibb (NYSE:BMY) (who are in M&A discussions) and Gilead (NASDAQ:GILD), Amgen stock is expensive.These stocks trade at roughly 10 times earnings or less, so, at 13.7 times this year's earnings, Amgen looks less attractive. It would help if it had better growth, too. Analysts expect revenue to decline almost 4% this year and for earnings to fall about 2% year over year. That said, consensus expectations do call for a rebound in both metrics in 2020 while AMGN could always top expectations this year. After all, it has beat -- rather impressively, I might add -- top- and bottom-line expectations in each of the past four quarters. * 10 Stocks That Are Screaming Buys Right Now One last note, AMGN stock is actually trading at a discount compared to its five-year average valuation -- and that's not just the price-to-earnings ratio either. Amgen isn't perfect, but if shares are going to break out this year, I don't expect the valuation to inhibit that move.Bret Kenwell is the manager and author of Future Blue Chips and is on Twitter @BretKenwell. As of this writing, Bret Kenwell is long CELG. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 7 Internet Stocks to Watch * 7 AI Stocks to Watch with Strong Long-Term Narratives * 10 Dow Jones Stocks Holding the Blue Chip Index Back Compare Brokers The post Why Amgen Stock Could Break Out to New Highs appeared first on InvestorPlace.