|Day's Range||0.686 - 0.689|
|52 Week Range||0.6833 - 0.7484|
The Australian dollar was a bit soft on Wednesday as we continue to consolidate overall. However, this is a market that I believe will continue to show a lot of noise, as the Aussie dollar is highly influenced by what happens with the US/China trade talks.
Based on the early price action, the direction of the AUD/USD the rest of the session is likely to be determined by trader reaction to the downtrending Gann angle at .6862. The short-covering rally could continue if the Fed comes across as excessively dovish. However, gains are likely to be limited because the Reserve Bank of Australia is also dovish on interest rates. The AUD/USD could plunge if the Fed indicates the first rate cut in 10 years will take place in September rather than July.
Investing.com - The U.S. dollar was holding steady against a currency basket on Wednesday ahead of the Federal Reserve’s closely watched rate decision later in the day, as hopes for progress in the U.S.-China trade dispute supported market sentiment.
It’s all eyes on the FED later in the day as the Asian markets respond to news of Trump and Xi’s planned G20 Summit meeting.
Investing.com - The U.S. dollar and the euro traded near flat on Wednesday amid expectations for more stimulus from the European Central Bank as investors turned their attention to the Federal Reserve's closely watched rate decision later in the day.
The RBA policymakers mentioned that the Bank would opt for reducing the interest rates again. German ZEW Survey June Economic Sentiment data shocked market reporting -21.1 points.
The Australian dollar broke down a bit during the trading session on Tuesday, but then found enough support underneath the 0.6850 level to turn around a bit. Are we forming a hammer? It’s a bit early to tell but it certainly looks as if we are trying to find buying.
In what was expected to be a busy week has turned into a bit of dud ahead of the FOMC as traders have taken a decidedly defensive posture. The S&P; 500 closed marginally higher but spent most of the day meandering aimlessly as both bulls and bears head for the side-lines.
In today’s piece, I will show You three best trading occasions on the market right now, where You will see the power of the flag, so a technical trend correction pattern. I will show You examples from the past, as well, as occasions for the nearest future.
We’re not expecting too much movement ahead of the Fed’s interest rate and monetary policy decisions on Wednesday. Both the AUD/USD and NZD/USD are expected to remain under pressure because the Reserve Bank of Australia and the Reserve Bank of New Zealand are expected to cut interest rates in the near future. The Fed is not expected to cut rates in June, but its monetary policy statement should open the door for rate cuts in either July or September.
Investing.com - The British pound was trading near its lowest levels of the year on Tuesday as fresh fears over the prospect of a no-deal Brexit weighed, while the Australian dollar was pressured by growing expectations for another rate cut by the country’s central bank.
The RBA talks of further rate cuts as the UK Tory Party Leadership race heats up. Stats out of the Eurozone will also be relevant later this morning.
In the minutes, the RBA pointed out once again that labor market developments are “particularly important” on deciding further easing. We saw this last week following the release of a disappointing Unemployment Rate. It came in at 5.2%, above the 5.1% forecast. Traders have been aggressively selling the currency since this report was released on June 12.
Investing.com - The British pound fell to five-and-a-half month lows on Tuesday in Asia as fears over the threat of a no-deal Brexit resurfaced.
Based on the early price action, the direction of the AUD/USD on Tuesday is likely to be determined by trader reaction to Monday’s low at .6848.
The Australian dollar went back and forth early on Monday to at the very least stabilize, but at this point there’s nothing compelling about the Aussie to get aggressive about. We are at crucial levels, so there are plenty of things to pay attention to.
The concern for traders is not likely whether the Fed cuts rates or not at the June meeting, but how dovish it comes across for cuts in July or September. The market has been driving Treasury yields lower due to uncertainty over trade and geopolitics, the economy has been steady to weaker. Fed policymakers may not be influenced by the external events as much and may maintain focus on the economic data.
Investing.com - The U.S. dollar slipped on Monday in Asia as traders awaited the upcoming Federal Reserve policy meeting later this week where Fed Chair Jerome Powell could open the door to rate cuts later in the year.
The Australian dollar fell during trading on Friday, breaking below the 0.69 handle. That being said, there is still plenty of support underneath so I think that the downside is probably somewhat limited, but you can say the same thing about the upside.
It’s a litmus test for the U.S economy today. Retail sales and consumer sentiment figures will give the FED an idea of how consumers really feel.
Investing.com -- The dollar was lower against the yen and euro early Friday in Europe but higher against risk proxies such as the Aussie dollar as traders shunned risk ahead of a weekend set to be marked by geopolitical tensions.
Oil prices rose around 3.8% in the early hours as two Saudi Oilers got attacked in the Gulf of Oman. Cable down as Brexit Hardliner Boris won the first ballot. Weak Jobless Claims strengthened rate cut hopes.
The Australian dollar initially fell during early trading in Asia on Thursday, as there was a significant amount of “risk off” attitude around the world early. However, the market has since bounced from the psychologically and structurally important 0.69 handle.