|Bid||2.3700 x 0|
|Ask||1.9550 x 0|
|Day's Range||2.0900 - 2.1800|
|52 Week Range||2.0900 - 3.2000|
|Beta (3Y Monthly)||0.83|
|PE Ratio (TTM)||9.77|
|Earnings Date||Aug 24, 2019|
|Forward Dividend & Yield||0.39 (18.15%)|
|1y Target Est||2.09|
Small-cap and large-cap companies receive a lot of attention from investors, but mid-cap stocks like Alumina Limited...
Chinese alumina prices have jumped to a five-month high on news that at least two refineries in the province of Shanxi are being shut down pending environmental inspections. Shanghai aluminium prices have risen on concerns about the potential knock-on effect on metal production in China. Alumina is the intermediate product derived from bauxite used to smelt aluminium.
Want to participate in a short research study? Help shape the future of investing tools and you could win a $250 gift card! The big shareholder groups in Alumina Limited (ASX:AWC) have power over the company. Insiders of...
Want to participate in a research study? Help shape the future of investing tools and earn a $60 gift card! One of the best investments we can make is in our own knowledge and skill set. With that in mind, this article will work thro...
When you buy a stock there is always a possibility that it could drop 100%. But when you pick a company that is really flourishing, you can make more thanRead More...
What's Changed after a Year of Trump’s Metal Tariffs?(Continued from Prior Part)US aluminum producers Previously, we looked at how Section 232 tariffs have lifted US steel production and also looked at steel companies’ investment plans after the
Should You Expect More Gains from Alcoa in 2019?(Continued from Prior Part)Alcoa’s 2019 outlookIn the previous part, we discussed Alcoa’s valuation and earnings estimates. In this part, we’ll discuss Alcoa’s outlook after a reasonably strong
Should You Expect More Gains from Alcoa in 2019?(Continued from Prior Part)AlcoaAs we noted in the previous part, brokerages are still bullish on Alcoa (AA). Although some analysts have lowered Alcoa’s target price, the consensus estimates still
US-China Trade Deficit Narrows: Will It Please Trump?(Continued from Prior Part)AlcoaIn the previous part, we noted that China’s steel exports rose in January. While China’s steel exports have been in a downtrend after hitting a record high in
Building up an investment case requires looking at a stock holistically. Today I've chosen to put the spotlight on Alumina Limited (ASX:AWC) due to its excellent fundamentals in more than Read More...
Alcoa: Strong Q4 Numbers Can’t Hide Its WeaknessAlcoaAlcoa (AA), the leading US-based aluminum producer (XME), released its fourth-quarter earnings on January 16 after the markets closed. The company reported revenues of $3.3 billion during the
Alcoa: Could There Be a Surprise in Its Q4 Earnings? (Continued from Prior Part) ## Alcoa As we noted previously, aluminum producers, including Century Aluminum (CENX), fell sharply last year and aluminum prices fell. Alumina was relatively strong in 2018 amid supply disruptions. While Alcoa (AA) stock also fell last year, its earnings were actually strong due to higher alumina prices (AWC). Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters expect Alcoa to post an adjusted EBITDA of $3.0 billion in 2018, which is ~30% higher than its 2017 EBITDA. ## Fourth-quarter estimates Looking at the fourth-quarter estimates, Alcoa is expected to post revenues of $3.35 billion in the fourth quarter. The company posted revenues of $3.39 billion in the third quarter and $3.17 billion in the fourth quarter of 2017. Alcoa’s adjusted EBITDA is expected to fall to $717 million in the fourth quarter from $795 million in the third quarter. While Alcoa’s fourth-quarter numbers don’t look that bad, the real test could be in 2019. Analysts expect Alcoa’s adjusted EBITDA to fall to $531 million in the first quarter of 2019. Although analysts expect the company’s EBITDA to rise in the following quarters, the estimates seem to be assuming higher aluminum prices from the current levels. ## Key drivers Falling aluminum prices (RIO) have dented Chinese aluminum smelters’ profitability. Later in 2018, Chinese smelters decided on capacity curtailments. The situation is particularly bleak for smelters that don’t have captive alumina refineries. The alumina-to-aluminum ratio is elevated, which hurts standalone smelters’ earnings. While alumina has come off its highs and the alumina-to-aluminum ratio has come down, it’s still high compared to historical averages. Alumina prices might fall more in 2019, which could hurt integrated producers like Alcoa. Alcoa’s fiscal 2019 estimates appear to be on the higher side compared to other metal prices. Next, we’ll discuss how analysts are rating Alcoa before its fourth-quarter earnings release. Continue to Next Part Browse this series on Market Realist: * Part 1 - Alcoa: Could There Be a Surprise in Its Q4 Earnings? * Part 3 - Alcoa Stock: Analysts Might Be a Little Too Optimistic
Alcoa: Could There Be a Surprise in Its Q4 Earnings? ## Alcoa Alcoa (AA), the leading US-based aluminum producer (XME), is scheduled to release its fourth-quarter earnings on January 16 after the markets close. Overall, 2018 was a terrible year for metal and mining companies. Alcoa wasn’t an exception. As aluminum prices fell amid concerns about China’s slowdown, aluminum producers, including Alcoa and Century Aluminum (CENX), also fell sharply. ## Aluminum prices Aluminum prices were volatile last year. In April, prices rose to multiyear highs following the RUSAL sanctions. However, we saw a sharp sell-off in aluminum after the sanctions were relaxed. The RUSAL sanctions could be waived after the company restructured its board towards the end of 2018. Alumina held the baton for volatility last year. Alumina saw several wide price swings. From the RUSAL sanctions to the curtailment of Norsk Hydro’s Alunorte refinery, a series of disruptions hit alumina markets (AWC) (S32). ## Fourth-quarter earnings While 2018 was a somber year for Alcoa, the company managed to generate a surprise in its third-quarter earnings. Alcoa posted better-than-expected earnings and announced a $200 million share buyback during its earnings release. The move led to a sharp rally in Alcoa’s stock after its third-quarter earnings release. However, we saw weakness in Alcoa in the fourth quarter amid the broader market sell-off. In this series, we’ll see what analysts expect from Alcoa’s fourth-quarter earnings. We’ll also discuss how analysts view Alcoa ahead of its fourth-quarter earnings release. Continue to Next Part Browse this series on Market Realist: * Part 2 - Alcoa: 2019 Might Be the Real Test * Part 3 - Alcoa Stock: Analysts Might Be a Little Too Optimistic
Today I will be providing a simple run through of a valuation method used to estimate the attractiveness of Alumina Limited (ASX:AWC) as an investment opportunity by estimating the company's Read More...
As we noted previously in this series, Alcoa (AA) and other aluminum producers—including Century Aluminum (CENX)—are having a terrible year as aluminum prices have plunged. With the recent fall in aluminum prices, several Chinese smelters are losing money.
In March, President Trump imposed a 10% tariff on aluminum imports. While Century Aluminum (CENX) responded positively to the move and announced a smelter restart a few days after the tariffs, Alcoa’s (AA) response was measured from the very beginning. The tariffs have affected Alcoa in several ways.
Yesterday, the United States lifted sanctions on RUSAL, the leading Russian aluminum producer. In April, when the sanctions were imposed, aluminum prices (XME) surged to their highest level since 2011. Falling aluminum prices have also led to negative price movements for aluminum producers, such as Alcoa (AA) and Century Aluminum (CENX).
Alcoa (AA), the leading US-based aluminum producer, fell 9.0% in November. Alcoa has fallen 41% in 2018. Century Aluminum (CENX) and Rio Tinto (RIO) have fallen 54% and 6.3% year-to-date, respectively, based on their closing prices on November 30. In this part, we’ll discuss why Alcoa stock fell 9% in November.