|Bid||10.06 x 1800|
|Ask||10.07 x 1100|
|Day's Range||9.99 - 10.23|
|52 Week Range||9.47 - 18.77|
|Beta (5Y Monthly)||0.59|
|PE Ratio (TTM)||6.56|
|Earnings Date||Feb 23, 2020|
|Forward Dividend & Yield||1.20 (11.39%)|
|Ex-Dividend Date||Feb 12, 2020|
|1y Target Est||16.25|
Markets started 2020 with a 5% gain on the S&P 500. It's a fine cap to start the year, but will it last? Not so sure; Wall Street is predicting a far more modest run in 2020, with the end-year targets averaging just a 2% gain.The outlook reflects relative risk assessment, rather than depression. With the coronavirus outbreak, and a US Presidential election just nine months away, 2020 is starting out with plenty of uncertainty on the horizon.That uncertainty has investors worried, and when investors get worried they look for a safety net in their investment strategy. It’s a draw that naturally pulls them to dividend stocks. Dividend stocks don’t offer the same high share appreciation as growth stocks, but they do offer a steady income stream. And when markets are volatile, a steady income stream is a hot commodity.With this in mind, analysts from Minnesota-based investment firm Piper Sandler have tagged three energy stocks as particularly noteworthy, offering investors a valuable combination of high dividends, and even higher upsides. Using the Stock Comparison tool from TipRanks, we can look at these three tickers, side by side, comparing their attributes. All are Buy-rated with dividend payouts exceeding 5%, and show an upside between 20% and 45%.Black Stone Minerals (BSM)We’ll start with Black Stone, a Houston-based oil and gas exploration and development company. Black Stone controls over 20 million acres across 40 states, but the bulk of its operations are in the South (Alabama-Mississippi, Louisiana-Arkansas, Texas-Oklahoma) and the Northern Plains (Montana-North Dakota). The company also has a presence in the Appalachian gas fields of Pennsylvania and West Virginia.Black Stone’s ability to continue making money in the current environment was clear in the last quarterly report. The company beat the earnings forecast by 10%, reporting 32 cents per share on revenues of $137.4 million. The free cash flow reached $89.2 million, marking the fifth quarter in a row of FCF gains. BSM reports Q4 2019 on February 24 and is expected to show 26 cents EPS.Investors should note the rising FCF. Black Stone has used that money, at least in part, to fund a high dividend. The company pays out 30 cents per share quarterly, or $1.20 annually, which may not sound like much – but the yield is impressive at 11.4%. That’s almost 6 times the average yield among S&P companies. The payout ratio is 93%, indicating that BSM pays back most of its profits to shareholders – and that the payment is sustainable in current conditions.Piper Sandler analyst Pearce Hammond looks at BSM in the context of the gas industry generally, and draws a bullish conclusion. He writes, “While natural gas headwinds might intensify further in coming months, we believe this negativity is largely reflected in the unit price and there is a favorable risk/reward tradeoff... Most important, nothing cures low prices like low prices, and we expect declining natural gas drilling combined with further demand growth to result in improving natural gas s/d fundamentals over the next twelve months.”In short, Hammond sees BSM in position to grow this year, and puts an $18 price target behind his Buy rating. That target indicates a 75% upside potential. (To watch Hammond’s track record, click here)Black Stone’s Moderate Buy consensus rating is derived from 2 recent Buy reviews – and 3 Holds. Opinions are mixed on this stock, but note that even the low-ball price target estimate is higher than the current share price. The average target, $14.90, suggests room for 45% upside growth. (See Black Stone stock analysis on TipRanks)BP PLC (BP)Our next stock is a $123 billion staple of the oil industry, BP. This is the sixth largest oil and gas company globally, and brought in over $300 billion in calendar 2018 revenues. The low prices plaguing the industry through 2019 pushed hard on the bottom line, however, and BP’s 2019 profits were down 21%.At the same time, despite the slip, the $10 billion profit reported beat the forecast of $9.7 billion. Looking ahead, there are indications that production cuts by OPEC – in the range of 500,000 barrels per day – could help improve the supply-demand situation in 2020. Should OPEC be successful in its moves to push prices back toward $60 per barrel, companies like BP would see immediate gains. That would be a welcome change from the 13% price drop in Brent crude over the past 12 months.Despite the low prices and decline in profits, BP has maintained its dividend. The company announced a 63-cent quarterly payment this month, making the annual payout $2.52 and the yield a strong 6.6%. BP has been raising the dividend payment modestly over the past 4 years.Writing on the stock after the earnings report, Piper Sandler's Ryan Todd reiterated his $47 price target and Buy rating. He was particularly impressed by the dividend, writing, “…while 2020 guidance was largely in line, capex again at the low end of the guided range combined with success to date on disposals should set the stage for a coming ramp in shareholder distributions… the [dividend] raise was modest, [and] represents the second sequential (annual) bump to the dividend and management’s commitment to growing shareholder distributions going forward.”Todd’s price target suggests a 26% upside to BP shares. (To watch Todd’s track record, click here)BP is another Moderate Buy, according to the analyst consensus view. The stock has received 2 Buy ratings and 1 Hold in recent weeks. Shares are priced at $36.54, and the average target of $45 implies an upside of 23%. (See BP stock analysis on TipRanks)Total SA (TOT)Our final stock on the list, like BP, is a ‘Supermajor,’ one of the few giant companies that collectively are called “Big Oil.” Total has a $128 billion market cap, brings in some $200 billion in annual revenue, and sees more than $11 billion in net profit.Where BP has been facing lower quarterly earnings, TOT’s quarterlies are rising. In Q4, the company saw $1.19 EPS, for a 1% year-over-gain and a 5% sequential gain. The rising earnings came even as total revenues slipped. The top-line number was down 6% year-over-year, to $49.3 billion – another indication of the impact low prices have on the sector.Total’s oil production in the fourth quarter was 3.113 billion barrels per day, up 8% from the year before, while gas production showed a 4% gain to 7.264 billion cubic feet. The company saw an 8% decrease in realized oil prices, and a 25% drop in gas prices, over the course of 2019. Total ended Q4 2019 with $27.4 billion cash on hand, essentially flat year-over-year.The company has been using its cash to boost shares, with a $1.75 billion share buyback in 2019. Going forward, management expects to buy back $2 billion worth of shares in 2020. These buybacks are part of a planned program, in place for the 2018 to 2020 time horizon, totaling $5 billion.Along with share buybacks, TOT pays out a reliable quarterly dividend. The annualized payment, at $2.93, makes the yield 5.99%. For investors, the best feature of the dividend is the payout ratio. At 51%, it’s high enough to show a company commitment to paying back shareholders, while not so high to spark worries about sustainability.Analyst Ryan Todd, quoted above on BP, also reviewed TOT. He believes that this company is the best option for investors looking for an oil play, writing, “While not immune to macro headwinds, the combination of above average production growth and high-margin project starts managed to hold earnings flat YoY in a peer group showing material declines – outperformance that we expect to continue in 2020. We continue to view Total as best positioned to support both top-line growth and upside to growing shareholder returns.”Todd reiterated his Buy rating on the stock, and set a $68 price target. His target suggests a robust 36% upside for Total over the coming 12 months.TOT is the only stock in this list with a Strong Buy analyst consensus. This rating is based on 4 Buys and 1 Hold set recently. The stock is trading at $49.81, and the average price target of $67.31 indicates room for 30% upside growth potential. (See TOT stock analysis on TipRanks)
Cushing® Asset Management, LP, and Swank Capital, LLC, announce an upcoming interim change to the constituents of The Cushing® MLP Market Cap Index (the "Index"). Per the Index's methodology guide, a constituent change due to a distribution cut will take place on the latter of the distribution ex-date or the last business day of the week that is at least five business days after the day on which the announcement is made. Due to the February 5, 2020, distribution cut announcement by Black Stone Minerals, L.P. (NYSE: BSM), after the market closes on February 14, 2020, (the last business day of the week at least 5 business days after BSM's announcement) and effective on February 18, 2020, Tellurian Inc. (NASDAQ: TELL) will replace BSM as a constituent of the Index at BSM's then-current weight.
Cushing® Asset Management, LP, and Swank Capital, LLC, announce an upcoming interim change to constituents of The Cushing® MLP High Income Index (the "Index"). Per the Index's methodology guide, a constituent change due to a distribution cut will take place on the latter of the distribution ex-date or the last business day of the week that is at least five business days after the day on which the announcement is made. Due to the February 5, 2020, distribution cut announcement by Black Stone Minerals, L.P. (NYSE: BSM), after the market closes on February 14, 2020, (the last business day of the week at least 5 business days after BSM's announcement) and effective on February 18, 2020, ONEOK, Inc. (NYSE: OKE) will replace BSM as a constituent of the Index at BSM's then-current weight.
Black Stone Minerals, L.P. (NYSE: BSM) ("Black Stone Minerals," "BSM," or "the Partnership") today declares the distribution attributable to the fourth quarter of 2019. Additionally, the Partnership announces the date of its fourth quarter and full year of 2019 earnings call.
U.S. oil and gas mineral companies represent lower risk than exploration and production (E&P) companies, while offering robust tax-efficient yields, according to KeyBanc Capital Markets. The Analyst Leo ...
Like everyone else, elite investors make mistakes. Some of their top consensus picks, such as Amazon, Facebook and Alibaba, have not done well in Q4 of 2018 due to various reasons. Nevertheless, the data show elite investors' consensus picks have done well on average over the long-term. The top 20 stocks among hedge funds beat […]
Income-minded investors are naturally drawn to dividends. These payouts from companies to shareholders are a natural way to share income with full ownership of the company, as well as a way to induce more investors to become shareholders. A strong dividend – one that is reliable, with a high yield – is steady source of return on a stock investment.We’ve used TipRanks’ Stock Screener tool to search the market for Buy-rated investments with reliable high-yield dividend payouts. All three companies are in the energy sector, exploiting the rich oil and gas reserves which the American fracking boom has unlocked. We’ll look at each of them to see how their dividends measure up, and if the payout appears sustainable.Black Stone Minerals (BSM)With Black Stone, we get into Texas. Everything about Texas is big, including the oil industry. Houston-based Black Stone operates in the oil- and gas-rich Eagle Ford Shale, as well as across the Southeast, in the Dakota’s Bakken formation, and in the gas regions of Appalachia. Overall, the company controls production sites in 60 basins in 40 states.BSM reported Q3 earnings after market on November 4, and showed an EPS of 32 cents, a 10% beat of the 29-cent estimate. Revenues just missed expectations, however, coming in at $137.4 million against the forecast of $139.5 million. Investors didn’t seem worried by the revenue miss, however, as shares gained 1.68% that same day.While the earnings beat was welcome news, investors are also interested in the dividend. BSM pays out a yield of 11.3%, and has been growing that dividend for the last three years. The current quarterly payment is 37 cents.A careful reader will note that the current dividend payment is higher than the EPS, and correctly point out that this implies an unsustainable payout ratio. However, as Piper Jaffray analyst Pearce Hammond points out, “BSM remains very disciplined on acquiring minerals. The higher distribution yield and resulting higher cost of capital make it more challenging on getting deals done relative to peers with a lower distribution yield… BSM has a solid balance sheet with a leverage ratio of 1.1x.”Strong acquisition and low leverage lead Hammond to give a $21 price target, indicating confidence in a 57% upside – that would easily make the dividend sustainable. (To watch Hammond's track record, click here)4-star analyst Eduardo Seda, of Jones Trading, agrees that BSM has a rosy mid- to long-term outlook for growth. He writes, “BSM is One of the Largest Owners and Managers of Crude Oil and Natural Gas Mineral and Royalty Interests in the U.S… We note that BSM had recently raised its production guidance for full-year 2019 to a range of 47.5 MBoe/d to 50.5 MBoe/d, a 5% increase midpoint to midpoint from prior guidance…” Seda’s $22 price target suggests a 65% upside potential.Overall, BSM holds a Strong Buy from the analyst consensus. In the last three months, 3 analysts have given the stock Buy ratings, against 1 who has set a Hold. Shares are currently trading for $12.69, so the $19.50 average price target implies an upside of 52%. (See Black Stone stock analysis on TipRanks)EQM Midstream Partners (EQM)EQM bills itself as the low-cost service provider to the natural gas industry in the Appalachian basin, one of the richest natural gas regions in the United States. The company owns and operates natural gas pipeline and storage facilities across the basin, in western Pennsylvania, West Virginia, and Ohio. In addition, EQM operates water services, providing water supply and waste-water disposal for the fracking industry.An essential niche in a profitable industry should equal a cash-flush company, but EQM has been facing serious headwinds. Earnings are forecast to drop this quarter on a year-over-year basis as capital expenditures shown a heavy increase in the last 15 months. In addition, the company’s major project, the MVP pipeline, is not yet complete and faces delays from legal and regulatory issues. Management has not been forthcoming on a timeline for resolution. Finally, EQM is heavily leveraged – long-term debt has increased 41% over the past hear, to $4.88 billion, and the company has $1 billion outstanding on its short-term credit facility of $3 billion.All of this points to a company that is using debt to finance current projects on faith in future profits. While this is not unusual, 2020 is an election year, and most of the Democratic candidates are promising to shut down the fracking industry and curtail fossil fuels generally. With both the business and political fronts growing cloudy, what will bring in investors?Income. EQM pays out a 15% dividend yield, and even after the shares’ recent depreciation, the quarterly payment is still $1.16. Compare this to the S&P average yield of just 2%, and you immediately see the appeal. The company has been increasing the dividend steadily for the last seven years; in November 2012, the quarterly payment stood at 35 cents. Finding reliable payments and steady increase are the keys to successful dividend-based income investing.There is a cloudy spot – the payout ratio, the comparison of the dividend payout to the earnings per share – is 103%. Normally, this would not be sustainable, but the number is based on previous earnings, not forward estimates. A look at EQM’s most recent Buy rating, from UBS 4-star analyst Shneur Gershuni, shows why the high payout ratio may not be a deciding factor.Gershuni says, “Given EQM's 10% decline since early August, we are upgrading EQM to Buy from Neutral. We believe the scenario of MVP being cancelled is adequately reflected at these levels and believe the base business is priced at a discount with MVP in-service providing upside to our current price target. In the current volatile market conditions within energy, we favour midstream companies … that connect well-head to end markets.” In other words, all the headwinds mentioned above are baked into the stock price, which has bottomed out.Gershuni sees EQM rising in the mid-term, and his $36 price target, implying 17% upside, reflects that. (To watch Gershuni's track record, click here)Overall, EQM gets a Moderate Buy from the analyst consensus. Shares are selling for $30, and the average price target of $39 suggests an upside of 31%. (See EQM stock analysis on TipRanks)Equitrans Midstream (ETRN)A spin-off of the natural gas producer EQT, Equitrans Midstream took on the parent company’s pipeline and services operations. As the name implies, Equitrans now handles the midstream operations while parent EQT focuses on drilling. ETRN has been operating independently since mid-2018. It has beaten earnings estimates, substantially, in two of the three quarters it has reported so far.Equitrans operates natural gas gathering and transmission services in the Appalachian basin, as well as water services. In this respect, it is much like EQM above. In fact, like EQM, Equitrans is also a partner in the MVP pipeline project, and faces similar regulatory headwinds and delays – issues that have pushed the stock price down in recent weeks.These are not the only similarities between the two companies. ETRN is another high-yield dividend payer, offering 12.7% annualized, for a quarterly payment of 45 cents per share. And again, the payout ratio of 117%, at first glance, shows cause for concern.That concern, however, may be short lived. ETRN is to release earnings November 5, and predictions now are for an EPS of 35 cents – up 34% from previous estimates. In the last quarter, ETRN beat the forecast by 50%.UBS' Shneur Gershuni, linked above, sees this stock as another buying proposition, and for similar reasons to EQM. He writes of ETRN, “Given ETRN's 12% decline since early August, we are upgrading ETRN to Buy from Neutral… Our upside scenario reflects full MVP in-service, 10% gathering volume growth, and no negative restructuring of gathering contracts implying a valuation of $25.”Gershuni sets a $15 price target, which is conservative given his comments. It suggests a modest upside of 3.5% for the stock.ETRN has a Moderate Buy consensus rating, and a 21% upside potential, based on an average price target of $17 and a current share price of $14.50. (See ETRN stock analysis on TipRanks)
While the market driven by short-term sentiment influenced by the accomodative interest rate environment in the US, increasing oil prices and deteriorating expectations towards the resolution of the trade war with China, many smart money investors kept their cautious approach regarding the current bull run in the second quarter and hedging or reducing many of […]
Investment company Johns Hopkins University (Current Portfolio) buys Black Stone Minerals LP, Dropbox Inc during the 3-months ended 2019Q2, according to the most recent filings of the investment company, Johns Hopkins University. Continue reading...
In this article, we'll look at five MLPs with at least 90% buy ratings: EPD, MPLX, Energy Transfer, Viper Energy Partners, and Black Stone Minerals.
Investment company Northwestern University (Current Portfolio) buys Black Stone Minerals LP, Plains All American Pipeline LP during the 3-months ended 2019Q2, according to the most recent filings of the investment company, Northwestern University. Continue reading...
The event is EnerCom's 24th annual Denver investment conference. At this year's conference, c-level leadership of leading oil and gas companies will present their plans for drilling and completing wells, discuss well results and capital efficiency, and estimate capital expenditures and production for the balance of 2019 and into 2020.