|Day's Range||0.991 - 1|
|52 Week Range||0.9875 - 1.0883|
Weekly closing beyond 1.0045 wasn’t enough for the USDCHF to register its strength as 1.0105-15 horizontal-region still stands tall to challenge the buyers, which if broken can escalate the pair’s rise to 1.0170 and the 1.0215 prior to highlighting the 1.0250 upside barrier. Given the successful price rally above 1.0250, the 1.0340 and the 61.8% FE level of 1.0550 may gain market attention. Alternatively, a W1 close beneath the 1.0045 could recall the 0.9980 and the 0.9900 as on the chart. During the pair’s extended downturn below 0.9900, the 0. ...
Recent price action in the U.S. dollar is showing another attempt to make a clear break above parity against the Swiss franc. On several occasions, traders bullish on the USD/CHF have failed in their attempts to move into these areas. Since last November, this is the fourth time the USD/CHF currency pair has tried to overcome these resistance levels. But most of the evidence suggests that this most recent attempt could be stronger in terms of its directional influence on the longer-term timeframes. All of this prior activity has created a triple-top formation on the daily charts, and so a clear break higher from current levels would mark a highly bullish event for those long USD/CHF.
In this piece, we will describe the situation on the EURCHF, where a week ago, we were waiting for the buy signal. Usually, you need to wait for the proper signal. The price broke the lower line of the flag and the short-term horizontal support.
During the first part of the day, we could experience a significant weakness of the Greenback and the second half of the day, brought us a proper rise in the value of the American currency. Thanks to this, DXY, Dollar Index is giving us a sweet buy signal. A similar setup can be seen on the USDCHF chart, where the price created the Head and Shoulders pattern.
Generally speaking, October for the EUR was pretty bad. We are not talking here only about the main pair (with the USD) but about the broad market. The fortune may be changing though. The pair, where we can see the ray of light is the EURCHF.EURCHF Daily Chart
Failure to cross 100-day SMA seems fetching the EURUSD towards 1.1300-1.1285 support-zone, which if broken highlights the importance of 1.1210 rest-point. In case the pair continue trading southwards past-1.1210, the 1.1180 and the 1.1100 are likely following numbers to appear on the chart. Alternatively, the 1.1430, the 1.1500 and the 1.1530 may keep restricting the pair’s near-term upside, breaking which 100-day SMA level of 1.1600 can please the buyers. Assuming the pair’s D1 close beyond 1.1600, the 1.1655-60 and the 1.1750 could play their roles of resistances.GBP/USD
The 1.6 PCE reading puts inflation back below the Fed’s 2-percent goal which means it may alter its plans to raise rates in December or as many as three times in 2019. Some analysts are saying the Fed rate hikes may become more gradual. Instead of raising rates once a quarter, it may now decide to raise rates once every three meeting.
U.S.-China trade relations remain the focus for traders. Things heated up somewhat on Monday when a Chinese official told American Investors at a meeting that Beijing did not “fear” a trade war with Washington.
Adding to the dollar’s weakness was the consolidation of Treasury yields. After yields surged to multi-year highs last week, the rise in yields has subsided, reducing demand for the dollar. Gold improved on Tuesday, but the market posted an inside move, which typically indicates investor indecision and impending volatility. Traders said the gains were related to short-covering. New longs appeared to be scarce since the rally in the equity markets forced them to re-evaluate their reasons for being long. U.S. West Texas Intermediate and international-benchmark Brent crude oil futures settled higher on Tuesday after the American Petroleum Institute reported a surprise crude oil draw.
A Commerce Department report on Monday showed that U.S. retail sales barely rose in September as a rebound in motor vehicle purchases was offset by the biggest drop in spending at restaurants and bars in nearly two years.
Geopolitical noise is the focus of foreign exchange investors on Monday, leaving havens like Japan’s yen and Switzerland’s franc among the best performers, while the U.S. dollar struggles.
In spite of bouncing from the three-week long support-line, USDCHF couldn’t sustain its U-turn and is likely to revisit the 0.9860 rest-point, breaking which 0.9825 & 0.9800 could come back on the chart. Though, the 0.9770 horizontal-line may confine the pair’s declines past-0.9800, if not then 0.9755 & 0.9700 can appear in the sellers radar. In case the quote surpasses 0.9900 immediate resistance, a month old downward slanting TL, at 0.9955, followed by the 0.9985 and the 1.0000 round-figure, might please buyers. Moreover, pair’s successful trading beyond 1. ...
The U.S. dollar broadly strengthened Friday, its move notable against the euro after the Italian government’s ballooning deficit target sparked a selloff in the country’s bonds and weighed on the shared currency.
EURUSD broke the lower line of the rectangle and the mid-term up trendline. USDCHF broke the lower line of the wedge and is currently creating an inverse head and shoulders pattern. GBPUSD broke the lower line of the flag and the 23,6% Fibonacci.
A month old descending trend-line, at 0.9685, is likely to challenge the USDCHF’s short-covering moves from 0.9600, if not then the pair’s rise to 0.9710 and the 200-day SMA level of 0.9740 seem imminent. However, the 0.9780-90 area could restrict the pair’s upside past-0.9740, failing to which might propel prices to 0.9850-55 and the 0.9900 resistance-levels. Meanwhile, the 0.9600 and a downward slanting support-line, at 0.9580 now, can limit the quote’s immediate declines. In case the pair refrains to respect 0.9580 mark, the 0.9560, the 0.9520 and the 0. ...
With rent plus utility bills of just over 5,400 Swiss francs per month for a three-bedroom apartment, the development by part of Swiss bank Credit Suisse (CSGN.S) is indicative of a real estate rush which is raising regulatory red flags. A search for yield driven by Switzerland's negative interest rates has driven investors to build up their residential property portfolios and commission new luxury complexes. This is causing alarm among Swiss authorities who warn banks could be exposed when interest rates rise from the abnormally low levels used by the central bank to rein in the Swiss franc.
With the failure to provide clear break above immediate TL resistance of 1.1635, not to mention about 1.1650-55 horizontal-region, the EURUSD is likely to witness pullback towards 1.1560 before revisiting the 1.1530-25 support-zone for one more time. In case sellers refrain to respect the 1.1525 rest-point, the 1.1480 and the 1.1430 may mark their presence on the chart whereas 1.1350 and the 1.1300 could entertain them afterwards. Alternatively, pair’s ability to cross the 1.1635 and the 1.1655 resistance can escalate its recovery in direction to the 1.1700 and the 1.1745 levels. ...
A popular gauge of the U.S. dollar retreated slightly in subdued action Thursday with investor focus fixed in part this week on the U.S. job market. U.S. economic data released a day ahead of the latest closely watched jobs report included the ADP private-sector employment snapshot for August. Meanwhile, first-time jobless benefits claims for the week ended Sep. 1 came in at 203,000, below the MarketWatch consensus forecast of 212,000, further evidence of a super tight job market.
Although immediate descending trend-line signals further downside of EURUSD, the 1.1540-30 horizontal-region is likely tough support for the pair to conquer in order to extend its declines towards 1.1490 and the 1.1440 rest-points. Given the quote’s sustained south-run beneath 1.1440, the 1.1390 and the 1.1350 may offer intermediate halts prior to highlighting the 1.1300 round-figure. Alternatively, the 1.1625 TL and the 1.1665 can limit the pair’s near-term advances, breaking which the 1.1740-45 area could gain market attention. Moreover, buyers’ refrain to respect 1. ...
While break of 1.1510-1.1500 dragged the EURUSD to thirteen-month low, the 200-week SMA, at 1.1355 now, is likely offering an intermediate halt to the pair’s south-run towards the 1.1300-1.1280 horizontal-region. In case the quote refrains to respect the 1.1280 rest-point, the 1.1210 and the 1.1120 might entertain the sellers. Alternatively, the 1.1440-50 may restrict the pair’s immediate advances before highlighting the 1.1500-1.1510 support-turned-resistance. Given the buyers’ ability to surpass 1.1510 barrier, the 1.1565-70 and the 1. ...
Notwithstanding the break of six-week long symmetrical triangle support, EURUSD pulled itself back from 1.1530 rest-point to confront the support-turned-resistance, at 1.1615 now. If the pair manage to post a daily closing beyond 1.1615, the 1.1645 and the 50-day SMA level of 1.1670 can try challenging the buyers, failing to which could propel prices towards the descending trend-line figure of 1.1730. In case the pair refrains to surpass the 1.1615 hurdle, the BPC (Break-Pullback-Continuation) pattern may reprint 1.1530 on the chart but the 1.1510-1. ...
Monday starts with a setup that was frequently mentioned by us on our Trading Sniper videos that we post here daily – CHFJPY. What we are having here is a double top pattern, formed on the super important horizontal resistance on the 112.80 (red).
Having reversed from 1.1620, the EURUSD crossed the seven-week-old descending trend-line, around 1.1735-40 now, that favors the pair’s further advances in the direction to the 1.1790 and the 1.1810 resistances. Alike EURUSD, the GBPUSD’s up-moves are likely to be questioned by short-term symmetrical triangle resistance, at 1.3180, breaking which the 1.3215-20 and the 1.3290 may mark their presence on the chart. Bank of Japan’s failure to comply with speculations for its monetary policy tightening activated the USDJPY’s U-turn from two-month long ascending trend-line, which in-turn favors brighter chances of the pair’s recovery to 111.90 and then to the 112.15-20 horizontal-region.