|Bid||45.67 x 800|
|Ask||45.68 x 900|
|Day's Range||45.20 - 46.34|
|52 Week Range||32.39 - 46.91|
|Beta (3Y Monthly)||1.27|
|PE Ratio (TTM)||11.19|
|Earnings Date||Apr 25, 2019|
|Forward Dividend & Yield||0.60 (1.45%)|
|1y Target Est||45.69|
The S&P Supercomposite Homebuilding Index fell as much as 1.6 percent Monday, its biggest intraday decline since March 28, led by William Lyon Homes, M/I Homes Inc. and Cavco Industries Inc. “Existing home sales cooled in March after an explosive rebound in February,” Amherst Pierpont Securities chief economist Stephen Stanley wrote in a note. D.R. Horton, which is due to report quarterly earnings on Thursday, dropped as much as 2.6 percent.
The home builder sector was knocked broadly lower morning trade Monday, after data showing that existing-home sales for March fell more than expected. The iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF dropped 1.1%, with 40 of 47 components trading lower, to pull back from Thursday's 8-month closing high. Among the most-active home builder shares, D.R. Horton Inc. slumped 1.9%, KB Home shed 1.5%, Lennar Corp. lost 1.3%, Toll Brothers Inc. fell 1.1% and TRI Pointe Group Inc. slid 1.9%. Earlier, the National Association of Realtors said Monday that March existing-home sales ran at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.21 million, down 4.9% from February and below expectations of a 5.3 million rate. The home construction ETF has still climbed 26% year to date, while the S&P 500 has gained 16%.
Universal Forest Products' (UFPI) strategic acquisitions and solid demand for repair and remodeling products are likely to boost Q1 results.
My favorite hedge fund event is the annual Sohn Conference in New York. This year’s event will be held on May 6th, so I decided to take a look at how last year’s picks fared and whether hedge fund managers were able to generate any outperformance with their recommendations. Last year Harvard University’s Patrick Luo released […]
D.R. Horton (DHI) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
The stocks tend to underperform the market from this juncture through the summer, Susquehanna Financial Group’s Jack Micenko said. He downgraded D.R. Horton, Lennar and Taylor Morrison to Neutral.
Rental price growth, which took a brief breather this winter, is surging higher again, adding fresh urgency to policymakers’ considerations of how to address a worsening affordability crisis.
Let's talk about the popular D.R. Horton, Inc. (NYSE:DHI). The company's shares led the NYSE gainers with a relatively large price hike in the past couple of weeks...
It would appear foolish to argue against Home Depot (NYSE:HD). Home Depot clearly is one of the best retailers in the world - and the dominant force in U.S. home improvement. Annual revenue recently eclipsed $100 billion. And HD stock has been a star performer since the financial crisis: Home Depot stock has gained over 400% since late 2011.Source: Shutterstock But I've argued for close to eighteen months now that HD stock is too expensive, as I wrote in December 2017. The stock admittedly has gained about 6% since then, and paid another 3%+ in dividends. But that performance has been worse than that of the market as a whole and includes a 15% gain so far this year.Indeed, looking at the chart, Home Depot stock seems to have a clear path toward retaking all-time highs, reached last September, of $215. But looking at the business, there are concerns here. The housing market isn't exactly strong. The economy is in year ten of an expansion, which may reverse. Home Depot's top competitor is retooling, and Home Depot stock isn't exactly cheap.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading Tips * 10 Medical Marijuana Stocks to Cure Your Portfolio To be sure, Home Depot is a wonderful company; that's not in dispute. The question is at what price investors should be willing to invest in that wonderful company. HD Stock Underperforms?Like a number of housing stocks, HD stock has benefited from the reversal in market sentiment in 2019. The reversal isn't necessarily surprising: in December, I called out the iShares US Home Construction ETF (BATS:ITB) as my choice for the Best ETF of 2019.Home Depot stock is a significant holding of that ETF, though the two largest positions are homebuilders Lennar (NYSE:LEN) and D.R. Horton (NYSE:DHI).And in fact, the ETF has outperformed HD stock, returning 19% YTD. As I wrote in December, the problem for trying to time the lows in Home Depot stock was that other housing plays looked much more attractive.That's been the case so far this year, and it's still the case. LEN and DHI still trade a single-digit multiples to earnings per share. Construction suppliers like American Woodmark (NASDAQ:AMWD) and Jeld-Wen (NYSE:JELD) have rebounded this year - but remain cheap, and well off 2018 highs.The issue with HD stock thus remains. To own it, an investor has to have some faith in the mid-term housing market (and the economy) staying strong enough to drive renovation spending. If the market does stay strong, however, there are better choices out there. If it doesn't, investors won't keep paying nearly 20x earnings for a cyclical retailer like Home Depot. Home Depot Stock Has Stalled out BeforeMeanwhile, it might seem like HD stock simply outperforms the market no matter what. Over time, that has been true. But HD also has had long periods of not just underperformance but negative performance.Between the beginning of 2000 and the beginning of 2010, a ten-year stretch, Home Depot stock lost nearly half its value. Obviously, there's some cherry-picking there: the start of the decade saw the dot-com boom (which boosted stocks outside of tech) and the end of the decade came just months after the worst moments of the financial crisis. Still, for about twelve years, HD stock was dead money.That's not to say that HD is going to lose half of its value this decade or even that it will stall out for the next few years. Rather, the point is that valuation and timing matter, even for a quality company. That's doubly true for a cyclical play like Home Depot.And at this point in the cycle, almost 20x earnings simply isn't cheap. In fact, the stock is just a few dollars from the average analyst target price. That's exactly where it sat in late 2017. A year later, HD was down 15%. Is Lowe's on the Way?In addition, Home Depot's biggest competitor, Lowe's Companies (NYSE:LOW), is affecting a turnaround. And as James Brumley wrote last month, Lowe's "is finally starting to close the gap".It's not quite a zero-sum game between Home Depot and Lowe's. Better sales at Lowe's may not come from its larger rival, but from independent stores and those that operate under the Ace Hardware and True Value banners.Still, a stronger Lowe's means tougher competition for Home Depot. And with investors expecting 4-6% same-store sales growth going forward, and the stock not cheap (again, due to cyclical exposure), it doesn't take much to change the narrative here. Be Careful with HDNone of this is to say that Home Depot is a short. But, at these prices, it's not a slam dunk, either. Any housing hiccups could end the recent rally. Macro concerns tanked the stock in the fourth quarter, and may return again soon. If the external environment stays benign, investors might benefit more from other housing plays.It does seem from my perspective like the rally is due to stall out. There's at least a case for taking profits - or hoping for a better price.As of this writing, Vince Martin has no positions in any securities mentioned. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 9 Stocks That Would Be Hurt By a Mexico/U.S. Border Closure * 7 A-Rated Healthcare Stocks for Industry Expansion * 10 Stocks That Every 30-Year-Old Should Buy and Hold Forever Compare Brokers The post Home Depot Stock Could Be Headed for Some Hard Times appeared first on InvestorPlace.
D.R. Horton Inc NYSE:DHIView full report here! Summary * Perception of the company's creditworthiness is neutral * ETFs holding this stock are seeing positive inflows * Bearish sentiment is low * Economic output in this company's sector is expanding Bearish sentimentShort interest | PositiveShort interest is low for DHI with fewer than 5% of shares on loan. The last change in the short interest score occurred more than 1 month ago and implies that there has been little change in sentiment among investors who seek to profit from falling equity prices. Money flowETF/Index ownership | PositiveETF activity is positive. Over the last month, ETFs holding DHI are favorable, with net inflows of $9.27 billion. Additionally, the rate of inflows is increasing. Economic sentimentPMI by IHS Markit | PositiveAccording to the latest IHS Markit Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data, output in the Consumer Goods sector is rising. The rate of growth is strong relative to the trend shown over the past year. Credit worthinessCredit default swap | NeutralThe current level displays a neutral indicator. DHI credit default swap spreads are within the middle of their range for the last three years.Please send all inquiries related to the report to firstname.lastname@example.org.Charts and report PDFs will only be available for 30 days after publishing.This document has been produced for information purposes only and is not to be relied upon or as construed as investment advice. To the fullest extent permitted by law, IHS Markit disclaims any responsibility or liability, whether in contract, tort (including, without limitation, negligence), equity or otherwise, for any loss or damage arising from any reliance on or the use of this material in any way. Please view the full legal disclaimer and methodology information on pages 2-3 of the full report.
The market has been volatile in the fourth quarter as the Federal Reserve continued its rate hikes to normalize the interest rates. Small cap stocks have been hit hard as a result, as the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) has underperformed the larger S&P 500 ETF (SPY) by nearly 7 percentage points. SEC filings and hedge […]
Falling mortgage rates could boost home builders, but the S&P 500 is in a consolidation as traders price in Fed rate cuts by year end.
Editor's note: This article is a part of InvestorPlace.com's Best ETFs for 2019 contest. Vince Martin's pick for the contest is the iShares Dow Jones US Home Const. ETF (BATS:ITB).Heading into 2019, the case for the iShares Dow Jones US Home Const. ETF (BATS:ITB) was reasonably simple. Housing and construction stocks were hammered in 2018. In fact, ITB stock dropped some 31%. While there were concerns -- slowing new construction spending, labor shortages, rising input costs -- the steepness of the decline seemed to be an overreaction.That case is why I chose ITB as my pick for the Best ETF of 2019. So far, the call is working out. ITB stock has gained 16% so far this year -- and risen 25% from late December lows.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading TipsYet even with those gains, the core bull case here still holds. Many housing stocks still are cheap. The sector on the whole doesn't seem to be getting enough credit. While the rest of the market signals continuing economic strength, ITB stock still discounts quite a bit of risk. Particularly for investors who believe the market, and the economy, will stay healthy going forward, ITB remains an attractive choice. The iShares Dow Jones US Home Const. ETF in 2019Again, ITB has performed well so far this year. But in context, the 16% gains so far this year perhaps aren't that impressive. The S&P 500 index has gained almost 12%, meaning housing and construction stocks have only modestly beaten the market so far in 2019. * 7 Marijuana Stocks to Play the CBD Trend That gap actually is narrower than a housing bull might have expected. After all, the divergence in 2018 was much sharper: ITB dropped a whopping 31% against just a 6% decline in the index. Going back to the beginning of 2018, ITB has declined 13%, and the S&P 500 has risen nearly 5%.The question at the moment is whether that gap should persist or narrow. Skeptics might point to slower new home sales, in particular, as a reason for caution. Whether it's demand for rentals among younger customers or a literal lack of land in popular markets like Denver and Seattle, housing simply is a tougher industry than most right now. ITB's five largest holdings are homebuilders, with Lennar (NYSE:LEN) and D.R. Horton (NYSE:DHI) alone comprising 27.3% of the fund.But homebuilder stocks actually have done quite well this year: LEN has gained 25% and DHI 21%. And yet the group remains cheap, with those stocks generally trading at a single-digit multiple to earnings. The rest of the fund, meanwhile, has a potential catalyst as 2019 rolls on. Will Smaller Positions Boost ITB Stock?Even with homebuilders doing better, building suppliers and retailers are performing mostly in line with the market. Home Depot (NYSE:HD), for instance, has modestly underperformed the market. So has The Sherwin-Williams Company (NYSE:SHW), the fund's eighth-largest holding.The case for ITB was that even if new home sales stayed soft, a strong economy would lift renovation and remodeling spending. Yet it has been ITB's exposure to new construction, not R&R, that has driven a majority of its gains so far.Over the rest of 2019, then, there's a clear path for ITB to continue to rise. Economic strength should increase confidence toward renovation and remodeling, providing another driver for the fund's holdings.In that context, the bull case here seems largely intact. Even with a strong start to the year, construction stocks still are lagging the market over a broader timeframe. That leaves room for ITB to continue to outperform in coming quarters. And if new home sales numbers can strengthen, the ETF could skyrocket.ITB does require the U.S. economy to stay strong, and any macro weakness is the biggest risk to the thesis. But for investors projecting that strength will continue, ITB remains a solid choice for market-beating returns.As of this writing, Vince Martin has no positions in any securities mentioned. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 7 Dual-Class Stocks That Will Outperform * 7 Reasons Why Apple Streaming Won't Move the Needle for Apple Stock * 7 A-Rated Stocks to Buy in the Second Quarter Compare Brokers The post Best ETFs for 2019: The Rally in the iShares Home Construction ETF Should Continue appeared first on InvestorPlace.
The SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF fell 0.5% in afternoon trade Tuesday, in the wake of disappointing housing data, ironically on the same day that a bullish "golden cross" chart pattern is set to appear. Of the ETF's 35 equity components, 25 were trading lower. Earlier, data showed that February housing starts dropped a more-than-expected 9% and home price growth slowed in January, to the slowest pace in 6 1/2 years. Meanwhile, a "golden cross" is when the 50-day moving average, a short-term trend guide, crosses above the 200-day moving average (DMA), a longer-term trend tracker. Many chart watcher believe the crosses mark the spot a short-term rally transforms into a longer-term uptrend. The homebuilders ETF's (XHB) 50-DMA currently extended to $37.377 while 200-DMA was at $37.370, according to FactSet. That would mark the first time the XHB's 50-DMA was above the 200-DMA since April 20, 2018, and be the first "golden cross" since Jan. 23, 2017. Among the XHB's more active components Tuesday, shares of D.R. Horton Inc. shed 2.0%, Lennar Corp. gave up 0.7%, Lowe's Companies Inc. slipped 0.1%, Home Depot Inc. declined 0.2% and PulteGroup Inc. lost 0.1%.
Investing.com - Stocks on Wall Street fell sharply Friday as part of the yield curve inverted, underscoring concerns about a possible recession amid slowing global growth.
A new exchange-traded fund takes a very broad approach to tracking housing stocks, and argues that it is a good way to play the housing crisis.
Jim Cramer says investors should panic about February's weak housing start results because the market is about to rebound.