|Bid||0.00 x 900|
|Ask||0.00 x 1000|
|Day's Range||141.43 - 143.70|
|52 Week Range||94.59 - 145.50|
|Beta (3Y Monthly)||0.85|
|PE Ratio (TTM)||41.47|
|Earnings Date||Oct 16, 2019 - Oct 21, 2019|
|Forward Dividend & Yield||0.68 (0.48%)|
|1y Target Est||153.14|
After a big rally, General Electric (NYSE:GE) stock has stalled out. General Electric stock has traded sideways for about a four and half months now, staying mostly in a range between $9 and $10.25.Source: Shutterstock It's not terribly difficult to see why that is. After a long decline over the last few years - including two dividend cuts - investors and analysts don't entirely trust General Electric stock. To some, including InvestorPlace columnist Dana Blankenhorn, GE's debt and pension liabilities suggest years of pain ahead. To others, the long-awaited turnaround is at hand. * 7 Stocks Top Investors Are Buying Now Increasingly, it seems like it will be GE Aviation that determines whether the bulls or bears will prove correct. That's not terribly surprising, of course: Aviation is GE's most profitable, and likely its most valuable, business. It generated roughly 60% of the company's segment-level profit last year, according to General Electric's 10-K filing.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading TipsBut the gap between bulls' and bears' views of what Aviation truly is worth appears to be widening. The issues at Boeing (NYSE:BA) add a dose of uncertainty to the debate. Skeptics and believers see the unit's performance at the recent Paris Air Show very differently. Indeed, they see the future of the unit very differently.Heading into the second half of 2019, with GE's Q2 earnings two weeks away, it seems likely that the continuing argument over GE stock is going to come down to GE Aviation. A Big Win for GE AviationOn its face, the Paris Air Show last month - the industry's biggest event - seems like a win for General Electric. GE Aviation and its joint venture booked a record combined $55 billion in orders, per a company press release. That was up from $31 billion the year before.Obviously, that $55 billion isn't turning into revenue in 2020 or even necessarily by 2025. But with commercial aircraft demand still strong, it suggests that GE Aviation at worst is keeping pace with competing engine builders. That notably includes United Technologies (NYSE:UTX) unit Pratt & Whitney, which has taken market share in recent years.Meanwhile, the merger of UTX and Raytheon (NYSE:RTN) potentially creates a more formidable competitor on the defense/military side as well. And the delays of GE's new GE9x turbine engine hampered Boeing's launch of its 777x. After that news, and with its competition improving, GE Aviation needed a strong showing - and got it.Right? General Electric Stock Stays StuckPerhaps. But GE stock bears weren't so sure and apparently, neither were investors. Even as stock markets raced to all-time highs, the lid stayed on GE stock.And two noted skeptics cast doubt on the headline. Stephen Tusa, who has been a prescient bear on GE stock for years now, went as far as to call the order figure "a smoke screen." He argued that new engines - including the GE9x and the LEAP, the latter of which is manufactured in a joint venture with Safran SA (OTCMKTS:SAFRY) - might not be as profitable as GE's past models.John Inch of Gordon Haskett seemed to agree. Both analysts argued that the unit's 2018 earnings - and remember, 2018 was a disastrous year for GE as a whole - were likely above its long-term averages. As a result, Tusa argued that GE Aviation was worth potentially less than $40 billion, with Inch citing a $50 billion ceiling.Of course, as Barron's noted, other analysts saw it differently. Both Citigroup and Barclays saw the order growth as impressive. Those analysts are among the bulls who value GE Aviation in the range of $80 billion -$100 billion.Those differing valuations have an enormous impact on GE stock. What Aviation Means for GE StockWhat seems to be a $30 billion-$60 billion discrepancy on Aviation's valuation leads to very different views on GE stock. On its own, that range suggests a $3.40-$6.80 per share impact to a "sum of the parts" model.But that's not the only impact. Again, GE has a huge amount of debt. A stronger Aviation business will produce more cash flow that can be used to pay down that debt. It also gives GE more ways to raise money; a spin-off or partial sale of the unit can be used to raise capital, for instance.A weaker Aviation business, however, leaves GE in something close to trouble. The Power business still is a mess. GE Healthcare's profits are coming down after the company sold GE Biopharma to Danaher (NYSE:DHR) for $21 billion. Aviation matters not just in terms of paper valuation; it has to drive much of the growth and cash flow that GE needs to create.The importance of Aviation can be seen in the relative price targets of the four analysts, as Barron's pointed out. Tusa and Inch value General Electric stock at $5 and $7, respectively. Barclays sees GE stock getting to $13, and Citigroup estimates that GE stock is worth $14 per share. On the SidelinesA weaker Aviation business would be bad news for GE stock. I argued last year in a detailed analysis that GE, in a breakup, likely was worth at most $14-$16 per share. Including the costs of a breakup, its value is something closer to $9-$11. That was based on an estimated valuation of Aviation, using its 2017 results, of nearly $100 billion.Not all that much has changed since then, though the arrival of new CEO Larry Culp has sparked optimism towards the company's future. But if Aviation "really" is a $50 billion or a $70 billion business, it gets tougher to argue that GE stock can rise. And given that I'm skeptical that the 737 MAX issues - which already are expected to hit GE's cash flow by $200-$300 million - will be resolved soon, I'm not expecting investors' sentiment towards the unit to improve much as the year goes on.As I've written before, I'm rooting for GE stock. It's an iconic American company, and I'd love for long-suffering shareholders to see a rebound.But its problems are real. Its current collection of businesses isn't all that attractive anymore. General Electric stock needs Aviation to be a big winner - and if there are any signs at all that it won't be, it gets very difficult to pound the table for GE stock.As of this writing, Vince Martin has no positions in any securities mentioned. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 7 Stocks Top Investors Are Buying Now * The 10 Best Cryptocurrencies to Keep on Your Radar * 7 Marijuana Penny Stocks That Could Triple (But You Won't Make Money) The post Aviation Is the Rope in the Tug of War Over GE Stock appeared first on InvestorPlace.
Danaher's (DHR) second-quarter 2019 results benefit from growth in organic sales, acquired assets and DBS initiatives. Furthermore, the company raises its projection for the current year.
Impressive traction of long-cycle businesses in defense, commercial aerospace, process automation and building technologies drives Honeywell's (HON) Q2 results.
Long-beleaguered shares of General Electric (NYSE:GE) would have to climb less than one dollar for nearly everything, including the rhetoric surrounding GE stock, to change for the better. But, in football parlance, that last few inches to a first down may as well be forty yards. Falling short is falling short. Click to Enlarge Source: Shutterstock And analysts aren't helping.On the verge of a breakout, UBS analyst Damian Karas lowered his stance on General Electric stock this week, from a "Buy" to "Neutral." Karas believes the 40% rebound from the late-2018 low is about as much as GE stock is capable of rallying right now, without more progress on the cash flow front. The analyst is also suspicious of the company's power arm, which has proven to be dead weight for years.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading TipsHe may be right. But, the right nudge could readily change not just how the market interprets information about General Electric, but change the criteria being used to judge GE. * 7 Stocks Top Investors Are Buying Now GE Stock and the Failing ComebackIt's an idea that's been posed before, but merits repeating. General Electric shares aren't a typical equity at this time. They're a psychological chess match.Players are aiming to figure out how other players will feel about the most plausible headlines anywhere from six weeks to six months from now, including the potential sale of assets like last year's sale of its locomotive business to Wabtec (NYSE:WAB), or this year's planned sale of its life sciences division to Danaher (NYSE:DHR).Everyone's playing the game too, including the media, and including analysts. Most don't know they're playing the game, but 'being right' about General Electric would be a nice feather in someone's career cap.To that end, the chart's been largely leading the rhetoric, rather than the other way around. It's arguable that UBS' Karas would have remained bullish and raised his target had GE stock started July as bullishly as it ended June. The downgrade didn't take shape until General Electric shares had decidedly stalled.That chart, however, is still oh-so-close to the technical breakout that could serve as a paradigm shift.There are actually two lines in the sand to watch. One of them, $10.53, where GE shares peaked several times since February. It's plotted in red on the daily chart.The other is $10.73, marked as a blue dashed line on the image. That's where General Electric shares peaked a couple of times late last month. GE stock actually traded above levels in late February, but the two aforementioned lines have been highs multiple times.Though unable to clear either ceiling yet, that's the direction things are moving. GE has made a string of higher lows since the end of last year, and that effort is relatively well organized. That is, the key lows are lined up, creating a technical floor that's likely to halt any pullback. That floor is marked as a yellow dashed line.The shape of the chart itself, however, is bullish.The converging support and resistance lines are squeezing GE stock into the tip of a wedge pattern bullishly, building up pressure the entire time. If-and-when General Electric is finally forced out of the confines of the wedge, traders could make up for lost time.If that break is pointed upward, look for a slew of upgrades. Look for the headlines to suddenly change their tone and timbre. Look for cash flow to matter just a little less. Looking Ahead for GE stockDespite a handful of respectable efforts, General Electric are having trouble with a tough ceiling.Still, it's noteworthy that Karas' newest ho-hum opinion of GE came with a clear escape plan:"We expect new management to make the right decisions, which will take time…Much of the risk is now priced in and we think the stock will take a breather on a relative basis until we get more clarity on individual assets. In particular, we flag Power, which hardly contributes to GE's equity value today but we think could dominate sentiment into 2020."He's absolutely right in that regard -- sentiment remains the key.As of this writing, James Brumley did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities. You can learn more about him at his website jamesbrumley.com, or follow him on Twitter, at @jbrumley. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 7 Stocks Top Investors Are Buying Now * The 10 Best Cryptocurrencies to Keep on Your Radar * 7 Marijuana Penny Stocks That Could Triple (But You Won't Make Money) The post The Big Comeback for GE Stock Is Going to Keep Stalling appeared first on InvestorPlace.
Danaher (DHR) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of 3.48% and 1.40%, respectively, for the quarter ended June 2019. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
WASHINGTON , July 18, 2019 /PRNewswire/ -- Danaher Corporation (NYSE: DHR) today announced results for the second quarter 2019. For the quarter ended June 28, 2019 , net earnings were $731.3 million , ...
NEW YORK, NY / ACCESSWIRE / July 18, 2019 / Danaher Corp. (NYSE: DHR ) will be discussing their earnings results in their 2019 Second Quarter Earnings to be held on July 18, 2019 at 8:00 AM Eastern Time. ...
Investing.com - Danaher (NYSE:DHR) reported second quarter earnings that beat analysts' expectations on Thursday and revenue that topped forecasts.
Danaher (DHR) might gain from healthy demand for products, solid execution, acquired assets and Danaher Business System in the second quarter of 2019. Forex woes remain concerning.
General Electric (NYSE:GE) shareholders have so far had a good year in 2019. Year-to-date, GE stock is up over 34%.Source: Shutterstock Most of the yearly gains came in the first two months of the year as investors seemed to believe that management would be able to create shareholder value in the long run.Between March and so far in July, GE stock has been trading in a range. Therefore investors are now wondering whether the bulls or the bears will have the upper hand in Q3.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading TipsGE stock is expected to report earnings on July 31. Let us take a look at what may be in store for General Electric stock as we approach the earnings season. * 10 Best Dividend Stocks to Buy for the Rest of 2019 and Beyond GE's Q1 Earnings and Long-Term CatalystsOn April 30, General Electric reported Q1 2019 earnings, when the group beat earnings and revenue forecasts on orders up 9%. EPS came at 14 cents vs. expected 9 cents a share.At present, the company reports revenue in six business segments: Power, Renewable Energy, Aviation, Oil and Gas, Healthcare, and Capital.General Electric's Aviation, Oil & Gas, and Healthcare businesses delivered steady revenue and earnings growth.GE Aviation business, which is the company's largest segment by revenue, primarily builds and services aircraft engines. Earlier in June, Wall Street welcomed the news that the conglomerate signed lucrative contracts at the Paris Air Show.The segment took significant orders for LEAP engines as well as long-term service agreements (LTSAs). Wall Street pay close importance to service agreements as over close to half of the revenues come from from after-market services.Our readers may be interested to know that several analysts believe that the GE Aviation, which serves both commercial and military aircraft markets, may be worth about $100 billion when GE's own market cap is only 89 billion. Therefore, long-term investors may want to pay attention to the growth trajectory of the Aviation segment.The Oil & Gas Division, which is a cyclical business, has now returned to profitability.In Healthcare, GE has robust exposure to the hospital and lab equipment market. Several analysts see the possibility of an IPO for Healthcare.Within a few quarters, the company is aiming to have a much smaller GE Capital operation. The unit reduced its liabilities as it completed $1.1 billion in asset reductions in the quarter.GE's industrial free cash flow is a key metric for many analysts and shareholders. For the quarter, it showed a loss of $1.2 billion. Shareholders cheered General Electric in general, but especially the Power segment, burned less cash than feared. A Year in Progress for GE StockIn March, CEO Larry Culp called 2019 a "reset year" and urged patience during what has been portrayed as a multiyear turnaround. Following a rotation of CEOs, Culp took over from John Flannery in October. And has had a busy nine months so far.Under new leadership, General Electric has been taking several strategic steps to slim the group down to a few core units and raise cash by divesting from several businesses that no longer serve the group.These moves to clean up the balance sheet include the recent sales of the biopharma segment of the company's healthcare operation to Danaher (NYSE:DHR), a smaller industrial player, for $21 billion and the merger of its transportation business with Wabtec (NYSE:WAB).As a side note, before joining GE, Culp had successfully headed and turned around Danaher, so industry watchers were generally supportive of the sale of the biopharma operation to the group.It has recently been reported that management would also like to sell GE Ventures, a diverse collection of over 100 startup companies.Long-term GE investors know that its Power division has had significant problems an sharp revenue declines in recent years. GE's core power product is the gas turbine.Wall Street is expecting the company to break up the Power segment in the coming quarters, a move that may benefit the GE share price.In other words through asset sales and spinoffs, GE is aiming to generate enough cash to reduce its $121 billion debt load and become more manageable.Last year, Culp took over a company with significant debt and unfunded pension liabilities and investors are understandably still nervous.Yet, overall, Wall Street approves the directional shift which seems to put the company on a stronger ground. And investors are reacting positively to these strategic moves that Culp has been taking.Turnarounds in industrial giants such as General Electric take a long time and never occur in a straight path. In the next earnings report, GE investors are likely to pay attention to improvements in individual segment margins and free cash flow trends. The GE Stock Price NowMany long-term shareholders know that General Electric stock price is a shadow of its former self. Let us go a bit back in history.In August 2000, GE stock hit an all-time high of $60.75. In October 2007, it was hovering around $40. By March 2009, at the heights of the great recession, General Electric's risky balance had sheet pushed the shares down to $5.73.In 2016, GE stock saw a decade-high of $33. But troubles for the General Electric share price began once again with 2017. Losses in the GE Capital unit and plummeting sales and profitability in General Electric's Power business put pressure on the stock.The market decline of 2018 pushed the shares once again to the single digits and in December of last year, the price saw a decade-low of $6.66.As of this writing, GE stock is hovering around $10.2. So Should Long-Term Investors Buy GE Stock?After years of continuous price volatility and decline, it is still proving hard for GE to regain investor trust for the long term.If you follow technical analysis, the long-term GE stock chart has been improving. In other words, bears are not in control of the stock price at this point as the worst has likely already been priced into General Electric stock.From a longer-term technical analysis perspective, I'd expect the stock to move up another 15-20% from the current levels within a year. Shorter-term, the stock will possibly continue to trade in a range, hovering around $10.I am also encouraged by the fact that GE stock's current price-to-sales (P/S) ratio is over 0.73x. Companies generate revenue from the sale of goods and services. Analysts prefer a low P/S ratio, ideally below 1. However, a P/S number between 1 and 2 is more common. To put the metric into perspective, S&P 500's average price-to-sales ratio is 2.1x.Another way to analyze the P/S ratio is to compare companies in similar industries or segments. Our readers may be interested to know that the P/S ratio for Boeing (NYSE:BA) is 2x. For Honeywell (NYSE:HON) stock, the P/S ratio stands at 3.2x. And for 3M (NYSE:MMM) the P/S is almost 4x.Investors who do not yet have a position may want to wait until GE's earnings report in late July to have a better view on the developments within individual segments. Analysts will pay special attention to the sales figures in different units as well as the level of free cash flow.Those investors who already own GE shares, may either consider taking some money off the table or hedging their positions. As for hedging strategies, covered calls or put spreads with Aug. 16 expiry could be appropriate as straight put purchases are likely to be expensive due to heightened volatility. Then, you may reevaluate your long position after General Electric reports earnings. The Bottom Line on GE StockOver the past few months, the narrative for General Electric stock has changed for the better and GE is not making regular negative headlines any more.I believe that many long-term investors are ready to give GE management, which has started dealing with the pressing issues, the benefit of the doubt. Therefore, I'd see any dip in GE stock price an opportunity to go long.The author has GE covered calls (July 12 expiry). More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 10 Stocks to Buy for Less Than Book * 7 Marijuana Stocks With Critical Levels to Watch * The 10 Best Dividend Stocks to Buy for the Rest of 2019 and Beyond The post GE Stock Is Making the Right Moves to Build Investor Confidence appeared first on InvestorPlace.
Danaher (DHR) possesses the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
For General Electric (NYSE:GE), it has been a dreadful few years. GE stock, which reliably traded around $30 in 2016, sells for just a third of that value today. The company had to slash the dividend to nearly zero, and even that hasn't totally resolved concerns about the company's balance sheet and fiscal health going forward.Source: Shutterstock If you're a trader, you might be pleased with GE stock. It is up from $7 earlier this year to $10 now, which is a big move off the lows. But don't forget that a year ago, GE stock price was still $14. The move back to $10 has hardly repaired the colossal damage that shareholders have suffered over the past three years. With the stock market now at fresh all-time highs, the stock has continued to disappoint by comparison.GE's dismal stock performance is in the past, however. Is the recent move up from the low the start of a new recovery phase for General Electric? Or is this simply another little bounce before General Electric stock resumes its slump?InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading Tips A Company In TransitionNine months ago, GE got a new star CEO, Larry Culp. This wasn't GE's first attempt at fixing the executive suite. In 2017, General Electric elevated John Flannery to the top post to try to reverse the firm's sliding fortunes. But Flannery barely lasted a year. The company missed guidance quarter after quarter under his watch. The GE Board wasted no time in bringing yet another new chief executive. And in Larry Culp, it looks like they got a most capable leader.Culp previously served as CEO of Danaher (NYSE:DHR) from 2001 to 2014. During his time there, Danaher stock produced a total return of almost 500% for shareholders. Culp is the first outsider CEO to take the reins in GE's history and shows the company's willingness to do a total reboot to try to get back on track. For a company of GE's pedigree, it's quite a statement that they were willing to hire from outside the firm.Culp has shown plenty of willingness to make big moves in his young tenure. Already, General Electric spun off and then merged its transportation business, which has become Wabtec (NYSE:WAB). Culp made a huge sale in healthcare, unloading the biopharma operations for a huge payday. GE raised a few billion from selling part of its stake in GE Baker Hughes (NYSE:BHGE). And the list goes on.But there's plenty more left to do. As the GE stock price shows, the market isn't convinced that Culp has found the right formula to revive General Electric just yet. Let's take a deep look at GE stock's pluses and minuses as we are almost a year into Culp's turnaround efforts with the industrial giant. A Good Deal With DanaherIf General Electric is to return to its past glory, the first order of business is staying in business. The company needs to make it through this horrid stretch without selling or mortgaging away all its best assets. However, given the company's difficult financial situation, investors have rightly worried about what all GE will have to sell to make it through this down period. * 10 Best ETFs for 2019: The Race for 1 Intensifies On that note, General Electric should be commended for its recent biopharma sale. It managed to unload its biopharma division to Danaher for $21 billion. That appeared to be fully valued. Danaher shareholders weren't particularly ecstatic when they announced the deal, indicating that GE got a solid price. Don't forget that Culp used to be the head executive at Danaher, which likely gave him some flexibility while negotiating the deal.The $21 billion is in and of itself great news, giving the company the funds to tackle more than a third of its net industrial debt position. And, of arguably equal importance, by selling biopharma, it allowed GE to stay in healthcare. Previously, analysts had worried that GE would have to exit healthcare altogether in order to raise enough funds to right the balance sheet. GECAS: A Big Test Going ForwardOne of General Electric's most valuable assets is its jet engine leasing business. Returns in aircraft and engine leasing have historically been very attractive.Airlines tend to be hard-up for cash. And given the history of vast numbers of bankruptcies in the airline industry, banks tend to be cautious in their lending to airlines. Thus, for airlines to get capital at reasonable prices, they often have to engage with non-traditional lenders.GE is ideally suited for this. As the manufacturer of jet engines, it knows its industry about as well as anyone. It directly influences supply in the market, and has excellent information about the demand picture as well. Also, in the event of an airline default or bankruptcy, GE is ideally positioned to get its engines back into use at another airline. By contrast, a bank would be clueless about how to monetize an asset like that.Put all that together, and GE has built a fantastic business in engine leasing. However, many analysts have suggested that General Electric will have to sell it to raise funds. Also, leasing is a rather capital intensive business; it'd likely do a lot to boost GE's credit rating if they got out of the market.Thus, leasing is an interesting test of management. Larry Culp has said repeatedly that the leasing business is not for sale. If GE can make it through the cash crunch without selling leasing, it'd be a sign of strength. If they end up selling it over Culp's protestations, however, it'd be somber news for General Electric stock. Negative Free Cash FlowIn March, GE stunned investors when it warned that the company's free cash flow would turn negative for 2019. Even in a year as dour as 2018, GE still managed to bring in more than $4 billion of FCF. So going negative altogether was truly a huge surprise.With more reflection, however, it makes sense. The company's negative free cash flow is a culmination of many issues. These include the lost revenue related to Boeing's (NYSE:BA) plane crashes, the plunge in renewable power demand and the fall of GE Power's prospects, among other matters.GE expects its cash flow picture to look better in 2020 and especially in 2021 and beyond. But that may not be soon enough to salvage things for GE stock. As discussed below, GE is starting to run into issues in the credit market. The company's balance sheet has been questioned, ratings agencies have downgraded the stock, and funding costs are going up. Running negative free cash flow is a very bad look for General Electric as it tries to reassure its investors and creditors.However, the cash flow crunch may not be as bad as people fear. At least one analyst thinks so. Nicholas Heymann of William Blair came out with an analyst note this week that made the case for GE stock. Among Heymann's points, he expects GE's cash flow to surprise to the upside this quarter. Overall, Heymann sees the GE stock price as being worth between $14 and $16 per share. That'd be roughly 50% upside from today's prices. GE's Fiscal DifficultiesIn October 2018, Moody's downgraded GE debt by two notches to Baa1 from A2. That was a big blow for both the firm's reputation and access to capital going forward. And that downgrade came less than a month after S&P's own ratings action against GE.The next month, GE reacted by abandoning its use of the commercial paper market. Large companies with good credit can borrow short-term in commercial paper at attractive rates to fund temporary liquidity needs. When GE stopped using commercial paper, it made the market reassess the company's overall credit-worthiness.Since that point, the yields on GE Capital's various longer-term bonds have moved higher. That's in sharp contrast to the overall fall in interest rate yields as the Fed sets up to cut interest rates. This suggests that GE's credit worthiness continues to decline, even after the blockbuster sale of biopharma to Danaher.It also puts GE in a difficult place going forward with its capital division. A finance operation can't generate good sound profits if it doesn't have consistent reliable access to cheap funds. If GE can't reassure the market that it is a money good creditor, the capital division's value will be sharply impaired. The Shrinking GE PowerOne of the key building blocks of the new leaner General Electric was supposed to be GE Power. But these efforts have quickly run into trouble. That's because the demand from utilities for GE's products has slumped far more than folks had expected.Utility companies are now looking for just 25-30 gigawatts of capacity. That's way down from estimates of nearly 50 gigawatts as recently as 2016. The global economic slowdown and trade war worries have done little to help reverse this slump in sentiment. Plus, it turns out, electricity use simply isn't growing as fast as models had predicted years ago. More efficient appliances combined with slowing population growth has really cut into future electricity demand.As a result, GE has taken aggressive action to shrink GE Power down to size. It reduced the division's work force by 10,000 employees. In a related move, it has cut almost $1 billion a year in costs from GE Power. This will all help make GE Power more profitable -- or at least stem the losses from shrinking end demand. The division remains stuck with lawsuits, cost overruns and other headaches from previous management regimes, however. If GE stock is going to rebound sharply, GE Power has to perform better in the future. GE Power Faces An Explosive IssueFacing these difficulties, GE Power ran into a poorly timed public relations issue. After a large number of explosions, Brazil's grid operator suggested that GE's equipment was defective. Reuters reported that:"There are close to 700 pieces of that equipment in Brazil's grid, each costing up to 100,000 reais ($26,000). Power transmission companies have already launched tenders to buy replacement transformers while they discuss the costs and a schedule for the changes with GE and regulators."GE continues to claim that its equipment is not at fault. However, Brazil doesn't seem convinced of GE's innocence in the matter. China's State Grid corporation has expanded significantly in Brazil in recent years and could take a share of GE's business in that large country. Notably, Brazil is part of Mercosur -- a South American economic union -- that just reached a historic free trade agreement with the EU. This could bring in yet more competition for GE in that market. In any case, with GE Power already struggling, this Brazilian issue comes at a most unfortunate time. Don't Expect A Healthy Dividend Anytime SoonLast year, GE slashed its dividend to a mere penny per quarter. That move came on top of another previous dividend cut. You might be asking, why didn't GE get rid of the dividend altogether, as so many struggling companies do? For one thing, General Electric used to be a storied blue chip dividend payer. The company was viewed as a stable secure source of income for retirees and other risk averse folks. General Electric has a history of paying dividends continuously for decades, and by keeping a payment -- even a meager one -- it can keep at least some semblance of its past history going.Also, importantly, many mutual funds and exchange-traded funds have strict rules about what sorts of stocks they own. Many growth and income funds, for example, can't buy stocks that have no dividend. Many income-focused ETFs would also have to dump GE stock if the company eliminates the dividend entirely. So, in a weird way, even a tiny dividend is useful for keeping GE stock from slumping even farther.That said, don't look for GE to bring back a more robust dividend within the next few years. It is largely keeping the dividend for mechanical and sentimental reasons. It's not sticking with the dividend because it's a good use of capital. At this point, GE needs all the money it can muster to survive this horrid stretch of business that it is suffering through. Paying out a fatter dividend to shareholders would be irresponsible given the state of GE's balance sheet. If you want an industrial stock that provides a solid and steady stream of income, the 2019 version of General Electric stock is a bad choice. Forget Sunk Costs: Would You Buy GE Stock Now?In investing, it's always useful to think about what you'd do if you had no position already. If you were a neutral observer of General Electric, and had the option of buying it or rival industrial companies, what would you do? Most likely, you wouldn't buy General Electric stock right now.So if you hold GE, you should really pause and consider that. Do you believe GE stock is fundamentally a solid choice for your portfolio today? Or are you hoping that it recovers to its past glories, and that you are able to sell it for a profit? * 7 of The Best Schwab ETFs for Low Fees The stock market doesn't care what price we buy an investment at -- there's nothing magical about the cost basis for a position. Holding stocks simply to try to get back to break-even is a classic investor error that leads to massive opportunity cost and sometimes results in holding stocks all the way until they go bust.You get no extra reward for holding a losing stock for many years before it (hopefully) turns around. In the meantime, you suffer a large opportunity cost. With the stock market zooming higher, there are so many better investments that the average person could own instead of General Electric stock. Bottom Line on General Electric StockIf you believe in General Electric's turnaround story, $10 might still be a compelling price to buy at. It's not a fire sale, like it was at $7, but there's still a clear path to $15 or higher if management is able to execute and the economy remains strong. But I don't see the risk/reward for GE stock being particularly compelling at this price. If you're on the sidelines, there's no reason to get involved here.And if you do own GE stock, you should think about whether you are holding it because it has strong prospects, or if you own it hoping to recover losses or some other emotional reason. The General Electric that exists today is far different from the firm that existed in 2007, let alone back in Jack Welch's glory days.While Immelt, Flannery and Culp haven't totally broken up the old GE, the firm has lost so many pieces that had formerly made it great. GE's financials and banking business in particular was a huge boost to earnings. That's largely gone now, with small pieces left here and there. Even if General Electric recovers, it's unlikely to regain its former glory.As a much more pure-play industrial firm, there's simply not the sort of upside that you had when GE was an industry-spanning conglomerate. And with this economic recovery already so well-advanced in years, it's worth asking: What will happen when industrial-heavy GE stock faces the next recession? For now, General Electric doesn't offer enough reward to justify the risk.At the time of this writing, Ian Bezek held no positions in any of the aforementioned securities. You can reach him on Twitter at @irbezek. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 10 Stocks to Buy on College Students' Radars * 7 Retail Stocks to Buy for the Second Half of 2019 * The S&P 500's 5 Best Highest-Yielding Dividend Stocks The post Can Larry Culp Really Save General Electric Stock? appeared first on InvestorPlace.
Those long on DHR should continue to hold, risking a close below $135 -- around $185 is a potential upside price target.
Danaher Corp NYSE:DHRView full report here! Summary * Perception of the company's creditworthiness is negative * ETFs holding this stock are seeing positive inflows but are weakening * Bearish sentiment is low Bearish sentimentShort interest | PositiveShort interest is extremely low for DHR with fewer than 1% of shares on loan. This could indicate that investors who seek to profit from falling equity prices are not currently targeting DHR. Money flowETF/Index ownership | NegativeETF activity is negative and may be weakening. The net inflows of $4.12 billion over the last one-month into ETFs that hold DHR are among the lowest of the last year and appear to be slowing. Economic sentimentPMI by IHS Markit | NeutralAccording to the latest IHS Markit Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data, output in the Industrials sector is rising. The rate of growth is weak relative to the trend shown over the past year, however. Credit worthinessCredit default swap | NegativeThe current level displays a negative indicator. DHR credit default swap spreads are near their highest levels for the past 1 year, which indicates the market's more negative perception of the company's credit worthiness.Please send all inquiries related to the report to email@example.com.Charts and report PDFs will only be available for 30 days after publishing.This document has been produced for information purposes only and is not to be relied upon or as construed as investment advice. To the fullest extent permitted by law, IHS Markit disclaims any responsibility or liability, whether in contract, tort (including, without limitation, negligence), equity or otherwise, for any loss or damage arising from any reliance on or the use of this material in any way. Please view the full legal disclaimer and methodology information on pages 2-3 of the full report.
Another strong year and a transformational acquisition are in progress for one of the most admired industrial companies in the U.S.
Danaher (DHR) has an impressive earnings surprise history and currently possesses the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely beat in its next quarterly report.
In breaking down General Electric (NYSE:GE) into its most profitable segments, CEO Larry Culp has lost the scale needed to retire its debt. Since becoming CEO last October, Culp has turned around operations. Unfortunately for investors, there's been no turnaround in GE stock, which is down almost 9% under the new CEO.Source: Shutterstock Regarding those operations, in GE's first quarter report the only unit not showing a profit was renewable energy, where a new conservative government in Ontario canceled hundreds of wind power contracts.The problem is that a company running at $110 billion in annual revenue is going to have a hard time ever retiring $105 billion of borrowings, and almost $74 billion more in "other liabilities" -- mainly pensions and long-term care costs.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading TipsOnce upon a time, GE Capital could have dealt with these issues. But previous CEO Jeff Immelt sold off assets to cover up what he was doing elsewhere. Now the numbers don't add up. Victim of Clean EnergyImmelt made two contradictory bets.He bet on renewable energy, including efficiency, and he bet on fossil fuel energy, in the form of oilfield services and turbines. He doubled down on that bet by buying Alstom in 2015, calling it the "best deal in a century" because, at the time, the French turbine maker had a $50 billion order backlog. * The 7 Top Small-Cap Stocks Of 2019 Then efficiency cut demand, the costs of wind and solar energy plummeted, and the backlog for turbines running off natural gas disappeared. But GE is still in the fossil fuels business, a business even JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM) analyst Stephen Tusa says is in "secular decline."Renewable energy is a capital goods business. Once a turbine or solar panel is in place and paid for, further energy from it is practically free. The only revenue coming from it is service revenue or replacement, at a much lower cost (because technology creates efficiency). Fossil fuels, on the other hand, are burned and must be continually replaced. The business models are as different as the proverbial night and day. Impossible DreamsGE stock is somehow up 46% so far in 2019, closing trading on July 2 at $10.62 per share, giving it a market cap of $92.6 billion. That may be because GE publicists have been spinning Culp as a heroic genius with an "inner Jack Welch," referring to the man who built GE as a finance and entertainment powerhouse in the 1990s. * 7 F-Rated Stocks to Sell for Summer But even Jack Welch couldn't spin GE's straw into gold. A deal to sell GE's biopharma unit to Danaher (NYSE:DHR) for $21.4 billion -- where Culp was once CEO -- buys time, but that's selling the family silver to keep up maintenance on a mansion that's become a money pit. Worse, that deal is now threatened by the trade war. If Danaher tries to negotiate a discount, it's in a strong position. But what would that do to investor sentiment in GE?Culp has ended a long-standing patent fight with Vestas, its wind turbine rival, and is closing a natural gas plant in California, which will become a battery storage warehouse. JPM's Tusa worries that the end of renewable energy tax credits next year will now cause the wind power unit to decline. Bottom Line on GE StockJust when Culp -- and GE stock investors -- need his successes to keep succeeding and his losers to turn around, the opposite is happening. The Boeing (NYSE:BA) 737-Max mess is hitting results at GE Aviation. The unit may now be worth as little as $30 billion, Tusa thinks. Brazil is taking GE transformers off-line because they have a habit of blowing up.Culp is beginning to remind me of a loyal henchman given command of the evil genius' lair after James Bond has set the auto-destruct. Saving GE may be a hopeless task.Dana Blankenhorn is a financial and technology journalist. He is the author of a new environmental story, Bridget O'Flynn and the Bear, available now at the Amazon Kindle store. Write him at firstname.lastname@example.org or follow him on Twitter at @danablankenhorn. As of this writing he owned shares in JPM. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 10 Best Stocks to Buy and Hold Forever * 10 Small-Cap Stocks That Look Like Bargains * 10 Names That Are Screaming Stocks to Buy The post General Electric Stock Investors Lament The Seemingly Never-Ending Debt appeared first on InvestorPlace.