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Fighting words erupt on Wall Street when it comes to market darling Netflix.
Netflix Inc.’s weaker-than-expected second-quarter subscriber numbers sent its stock sharply lower in premarket trade Thursday, but analysts were unfazed by the miss and said they’re sticking with their full-year forecasts.
(Bloomberg) -- Netflix Inc. shocked investors by reporting a drop in U.S. customers and much slower growth overseas, raising fears that the streaming giant is losing momentum just as competitors prepare to pounce.The shares plunged as much as 12% to $320.30 in New York Thursday, tumbling toward the worst one-day drop in three years, after the company reported a loss of 130,000 customers in the U.S. Netflix blamed higher prices and a weak slate of TV shows. It signed up 2.8 million subscribers internationally in the period, roughly half what the company predicted.“Netflix has a difficult road ahead, with looming competition and the removal of popular content,” said EMarketer Inc. analyst Eric Haggstrom. But a stronger lineup of new shows in the current quarter could help attract former subscribers, he said.The quarter represents the biggest black eye for Netflix since 2011, when the company split its DVD-by-mail business from its streaming business. That move raised prices for its customers, and resulted in the loss of more than 800,000 subscribers in the U.S. The company had planned to call the DVD service Qwikster, but it backpedaled on the plan after investors and customers scoffed at the idea.Netflix said the miss is a one-time blip rather than a long-term problem. The second quarter has typically been its weakest time of year: The company missed its forecast during the period in three of the past four years.Netflix looks to add 7 million subscribers in the current quarter, thanks in part to the return of top shows “Stranger Things” and “Orange Is the New Black.”“Our position is excellent,” Chief Executive Officer Reed Hastings said during a videoconference call Wednesday. “We’re building amazing capacity for content. Our product has never been in better shape.”Several analysts agreed that the second-quarter disappointment should be only a temporary hiccup for Netflix. Investors should “aggressively buy the stock” on weakness, especially below $325 a share, Loop Capital said.Heavy SpendingFor now, the second-quarter shortfall is renewing investor concern about the company’s heavy program spending and low profitability. Netflix shelled out more than $3 billion on programming in the quarter and another $600 million to market its shows. The company spent $594 million more than it took in and will need to raise money to fund programming.Investors had been forgiving about the spending and the debt -- so long as customers grew at record rates. But the loss of subscribers in the U.S. was the first since the Qwikster debacle, and it suggests Netflix may be running into price resistance or the limits of the addressable domestic market. The company has forecast it can reach as much as 90 million customers in the U.S., compared with 60.1 million currently.Overseas SlowdownInternational results flagged too, with the company missing its own forecast of 4.7 million new subscribers. Europe, Latin America and Asia have been the primary drivers of Netflix’s customer acquisition in recent years, and growth must be sustained if the company is to justify its high valuation.Netflix is introducing a cheaper, mobile-only package in India to attract customers in a big market with price-sensitive customers.Analysts expect the company to have a blockbuster second half because of a heavy release schedule that includes a new season of “The Crown” and movies by directors Martin Scorsese and Michael Bay. Even after the slowdown last quarter, Netflix still thinks it can have its best year of customer growth in 2019.But competition is coming. Walt Disney Co. and Apple Inc. plan to introduce streaming services this year, while offerings from Comcast Corp. and AT&T Inc. arrive in 2020. Those services may not steal users from Netflix, but they will make future growth harder, according to Michael Pachter, an analyst with Wedbush Securities.Just a Preview?“We saw a preview of next year with this quarter,” Pachter said in an interview with Bloomberg Television. “Next year, they’ll have a couple quarters where they’ll lose subscribers.”Another challenge: Competitors are taking back rights to programs that have been popular on Netflix, including “Friends” and “The Office,” to use for their own services. That will force Netflix to rely even more on its original productions.Those efforts have largely been successful. Its shows just earned 117 nominations for the 2019 Emmy awards. But reruns of old shows still constitute the majority of viewing.The slowdown in users overshadowed the company’s quarterly financial results. Earnings for the second quarter fell to 60 cents a share, but beat analysts’ estimates of 56 cents. Sales grew 26% to $4.92 billion, compared with projections of $4.93 billion.The stock had been up 35% for the year at the close of regular trading, nearly double the gain of the S&P 500. The decline spread to related stocks such as Roku Inc., which makes set-top boxes that deliver the streaming service. Its shares fell as much as 2.5%.(Updates shares, headline, scope of decline)To contact the reporter on this story: Lucas Shaw in Los Angeles at email@example.comTo contact the editors responsible for this story: Nick Turner at firstname.lastname@example.org, Rob GolumFor more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.com©2019 Bloomberg L.P.
Walt Disney World is keeping up with adding fresh new takes to its annual events – this time with something new coming to Mickey's Not-So-Scary Halloween Party at Magic Kingdom. This year's event, which runs on select nights from Aug. 16 through Nov. 1, will debut a new nighttime show, dubbed "Disney's Not-So-Spooky Spectacular." In addition, other attractions around the park will get tweaked with special interactions with guests that are attending the event. Here's more from the Disney Parks Blog: Disney tends to add new original activities, shows and interactions with its annual shows, which helps to keep drawing visitors during those periods.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average midday Thursday was being yanked to session lows by a trio of components. Shares of UnitedHealth Group Inc. , Boeing Co. , and Walt Disney Co. were exacting a powerful 100-point drag on the blue-chip index, representing the lion's share of the modest declines in the price-weighted benchmark. The Dow was down 135 points, or 0.5%, at 27,089, while the S&P 500 index was sinking 0.3% lower at 2,975, with the Nasdaq Composite Index 0.5% lower at 8,143. A $1 move in any one of the Dow's components equates to a roughly 6.8-point swing in the index. UnitedHealth shares were down $6.75 at $259.90 a share, a decline of 2.5%, those for Boeing were off $5.83 to reach $363.57, a drop of 1.6%, while Disney's shares were edging 1.4% lower, off $2.03 at $140.52.
(Bloomberg Opinion) -- The TV-network giants went through ratings hell. It’s time for Netflix’s own version of that. After the market closed on Wednesday, Netflix Inc. reported that it lost 126,000 U.S. streaming customers during the second quarter, which appears to be the first time it’s ever done so. Global membership growth was also well short of management’s own expectations, with 2.7 million net sign-ups versus an anticipated 5 million. The company blamed its uninspiring results on subscription price increases and a less-enticing mix of movies and TV series. While it signaled that “more typical growth” and better content is in store, shares of Netflix sold off 12%, erasing $17 billion from its market value. This marks a turning point in how investors view the future of Netflix vis-a-vis its biggest emerging threats, Walt Disney Co. and AT&T Inc. In recent years, the popularity of Netflix has been a chief reason for the accelerated drop in cable subscriptions and viewers tuning out traditional live TV. As investors were entranced by the video-streaming app’s rapid growth and awarded the company an absurdly rich valuation, companies such as Disney and Time Warner (now called WarnerMedia, a unit of AT&T) were punished by shareholders for their audience shrinkage.Those media giants’ audiences are still shrinking (see next chart), and their businesses still rely on TV commercials and cable fees to drive profit. But they have managed to change the narrative so that more attention is paid to their own streaming opportunities. Nov. 12 is the launch date for Disney+, which Disney plans to bundle with ESPN+ and Hulu for fans who want all three services. Shortly thereafter, AT&T’s WarnerMedia will introduce HBO Max, a souped-up version of the HBO app that will contain Turner network programs and Warner Bros. films. Given the relatively low price of Disney+ at $6.99 a month and the quality of Disney and HBO/Warner content, both products have the potential to lure a considerable number of streamers away from Netflix.(1)This means Netflix investors will become even more obsessed with its quarterly subscriber count. They’ll also want more real data as far as how many people are watching Netflix’s costly originals – much in the way investors have picked apart the traditional media companies’ Nielsen viewership ratings. By now you’ve heard that “Friends” is moving to AT&T’s HBO Max next year, and that Comcast Corp.’s NBCUniversal is reclaiming “The Office” in 2021. Those are the most-watched shows on Netflix, so their expiration dates create a sense of foreboding.As my colleague Shira Ovide alluded to Wednesday, Netflix may be drifting too far from what it made it so attractive in the first place: being a constant bazaar of binge-able video entertainment. By blaming its own content slate for last quarter’s weak showing, Netflix is saying that it’s not all that different from HBO, which is dependent on a select few hit programs and goes through lulls when there aren’t new episodes. I’ve written that Netflix has the benefit of already being the “base” streaming service for many people, but that could change if Netflix becomes less of a one-stop shop and other services seem to offer more bang for your buck. Disney+ launch day is just four months away. And the closer we get to D-Day, the more skittish Netflix shareholders will be. Cable-network operators know all too well what that’s like. (1) Apple TV+ is also coming later this year to challenge Netflix.To contact the author of this story: Tara Lachapelle at email@example.comTo contact the editor responsible for this story: Beth Williams at firstname.lastname@example.orgThis column does not necessarily reflect the opinion of the editorial board or Bloomberg LP and its owners.Tara Lachapelle is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist covering deals, Berkshire Hathaway Inc., media and telecommunications. She previously wrote an M&A column for Bloomberg News.For more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.com/opinion©2019 Bloomberg L.P.
Netflix (NFLX) adds 2.7 million subscribers in the second quarter of 2019, much less than management's expectation of 5 million.
If you're searching for growth-at-a-value companies with highly defensible business models, American Tower, Canadian National Railway, and Disney fit the bill.
For the third quarter, Netflix expects to add 7 million paid memberships -- despite failing to meet expectations in subscriber numbers in the second quarter and a rise in streaming competition.
Dow Jones futures: Netflix dived late after subscriber growth badly missed views. IBM stock reversed lower but eBay stock signaled a moves into a buy zone on earnings.
Netflix Hits Growth Wall Apparently, there aren’t an infinite number of people in the world who want to subscribe to Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX). The streaming giant passed the 150 million subscriber mark, but missed forecasts for new memberships, adding only 2.7 million new subscribers last quarter. It was only about half of what analysts were expecting. […]The post Market Morning: Netflix Hits Wall, Instagram Hides Likes, Iran Smolders Over Trump appeared first on Market Exclusive.
Investing.com - U.S. futures fell on Thursday, under the dual impact of a disappointing quarterly update from Netflix and revived concerns about U.S.-China trade.
Despite the earnings miss, company CEO remains confident “2019 will be our best year ever.” Company officials on Wednesday also gave an inside update on progress in moving its nearly 300 employees from Tempe to the SkySong development in Scottsdale.
Abigail Disney said distressed workers told her about “foraging for food in other people’s garbage.”
Guests will discover an immersive pavilion, entertaining presentations, and all-new merchandise.
(Bloomberg) -- Netflix Inc.’s earnings should help answer a key question for the streaming giant: whether customers are willing to pay more in an increasingly competitive market.After boosting prices in markets around the world, the company will deliver its second-quarter results on Wednesday afternoon. Analysts don’t expect much growth at home -- they’re predicting a mere 309,240 subscriber additions in the U.S. on average -- but the hope is that the increases and more users overseas will let Netflix sustain the expansion investors have come to expect.“Recent price increases in multiple countries should result in revenue acceleration starting this quarter,” Citigroup Inc. analyst Mark May said in a research note.Wall Street is projecting revenue of $4.93 billion for the period, up 26%. Analysts also will be closely watching the growth in average revenue per user, international profitability, domestic streaming contribution margins and user engagement.Netflix is the dominant paid video streaming service, but it has reason to shore up its position right now. Walt Disney Co., AT&T Inc.’s WarnerMedia and Comcast Corp.’s NBCUniversal are all racing to deliver their own online services, ushering in a new era of intense competition.Against that backdrop, Netflix is building its presence overseas. The company is expected to report the addition of 4.75 million subscribers internationally in the second quarter, according to analyst data compiled by Bloomberg.Shares in the company have risen 36% this year, nearly double the gain of the S&P 500. But it’s still unclear how many customers globally are willing to pay for its product. Greg Peters, the company’s chief product officer, has hinted at the need for a lower-priced subscription tier for users with less disposable income.Read more: The ‘Stranger Things’ hunt for a billion-dollar franchiseSunTrust analyst Matthew Thornton views investor sentiment as neutral-to-cautious heading into earnings, particularly with the stock down as much as 1.2% intraday. But Netflix’s June content slate should lift some spirits as the bank has seen increased web searches for original series like “When They See Us” and “Black Mirror,” Thornton told clients in a note.Things should get more interesting for Netflix in the second half. On the plus side, the Los Gatos, California-based company will get a boost from new seasons of “Stranger Things” and “Orange Is the New Black.” Earlier this month, “Stranger Things” got off to a record start, with 40 million household accounts watching in the first four days of the new season.But Disney’s highly anticipated $6.99-a-month streaming service, called Disney+, arrives in November. Though no one is expecting a large-scale defection from Netflix to Disney+, it should shake up the industry.What Bloomberg Intelligence Says:The price increases should accelerate 2Q average revenue per unit and revenue gains, even as operating margin isn’t expected to improve until 2H with a 13% target for the full year.-- Geetha Ranganathan, senior media analyst-- Click here for the researchJust the Numbers2Q streaming paid net change estimate +5.06 million (Bloomberg MODL data)2Q U.S. streaming paid net change estimate +309,240 2Q international streaming paid net change estimate +4.75 million2Q revenue est. $4.93 billion (range $4.73 billion to $4.98 billion) 2Q GAAP EPS est. 56c (range 52c to 65c)3Q revenue estimate $5.23 billion (range $4.89 billion to $5.52 billion)3Q GAAP EPS estimate $1.03 (range 63c to $1.39)Data32 buys, nine holds, four sells; average price target $398.57 Shares rose after six of prior 12 earnings announcements GAAP EPS beat estimates in nine of past 12 quarters To see deep estimates in this story NFLX US Equity MODLTimingEarnings release expected 4 p.m. (New York time) July 17Conference call website; also follow along on our live blog(Adds SunTrust commentary in eighth paragraph, updates share move and estimates.)\--With assistance from Karen Lin.To contact the reporter on this story: Kamaron Leach in New York at email@example.comTo contact the editors responsible for this story: Catherine Larkin at firstname.lastname@example.org, Nick Turner, Rob GolumFor more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.com©2019 Bloomberg L.P.
The Disney Hub, as the companies are calling the new feature, places soundtracks from Disney's animated films, Marvel movies, "Star Wars" and other Disney properties in one place. Disney's catalog already has a strong presence on Spotify with fans spending more than 2 billion combined minutes so far in 2019 streaming soundtracks, musicals and more.
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