DIS Dec 2019 115.000 call

OPR - OPR Delayed Price. Currency in USD
0.00 (0.00%)
As of 10:43AM EDT. Market open.
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Previous Close18.50
Expire Date2019-12-20
Day's Range17.55 - 18.50
Contract RangeN/A
Open Interest70
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  • 10 Stocks to Sell Before December’s Meltdown

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    Morgan Stanley equity strategist Michael Wilson suggested Oct. 14 that the mini-trade deal with China announced by Donald Trump the previous week is not going to help stocks reverse their course and move higher despite the two-day rally on the news. "The bottom line is that without a significant roll-back of existing tariffs, we don't see how a 'mini-deal' will change the currently negative trajectory of growth in both the economy and earnings," Wilson stated. Furthermore, Wilson sees the December 2018 bloodbath for stocks repeating itself, albeit in a slightly less dramatic fashion due to the fact monetary policy has eased and interest rates are lower.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading TipsLast year, U.S. stocks declined more in the month of December than they had since the Great Depression, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average losing 9% and 8.7%, respectively. If Wilson is correct, it's possible that we could see stocks fall by 4-5% in December 2019, putting a bad ending on what has been a very good year. * The 10 Best Mutual Funds for Your 401k For those who are worried about what might happen in the final month of the year, here are 10 stocks to sell before December's meltdown. Stocks to Sell Before the December Meltdown: Netflix (NFLX)Source: Alex Ruhl / Shutterstock.com On Oct. 16, Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) reported Q3 2019 earnings that were a mixed bag. The good news is that the video streamer reported earnings of $1.47 a share, significantly higher than the consensus estimate of $1.05, while its revenues were $5.24 billion, just $10 million lower than analyst expectations and 31% higher than a year earlier. The bad news is that it added 6.8 million subscribers in the third quarter, 200,000 below the estimate. In the U.S., it delivered just 500,000 subscribers, 300,000 lower than analyst expectations. Macquarie analysts Tim Nollen and Jordan Boretz did not like what they heard from the company, downgrading its stock from "outperform" to "neutral" on concerns that the streaming competition is about to get really intense -- Disney (NYSE:DIS), AT&T (NYSE:T), Comcast (NASDAQ:CMCSA) and Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) are all introducing video streaming services over the next six months. "We think it will be hard for Netflix to grow much more in the US, and we suspect pricing power is limited," the analysts said in a note to investors. By the end of November, investors will have a good idea of how much damage the competition will inflict on NFLX stock. TD Ameritrade (AMTD)Source: Bandersnatch / Shutterstock.com By now, most investors are likely aware that TD Ameritrade (NASDAQ:AMTD) announced Oct. 2 that it has eliminated all commissions for the online trade of U.S. stocks, options and exchange-traded funds."We expect Fidelity and E*TRADE to react next and announce cuts to their own commission rates over the short-term, with both likely matching SCHW's/AMTD's zero rate," said Credit Suisse research analyst Craig Siegenthaler in a note to clients. Shortly after TD Ameritrade's announcement, E-Trade Financial (NASDAQ:ETFC) followed suit. About a week later, Fidelity joined the broker price wars by introducing zero-commission trading.All of these cuts come on the heels of Charles Schwab (NYSE:SCHW) cutting commissions, a move that hit AMTD stock hard, sending it down by 25% on the news. It was the stock's worst day in 20 years. * 10 Buy-and-Hold Stocks to Own Forever With an over reliance on commission revenue, look for TD Ameritrade's stock to continue to feel the heat. Mohawk Industries (MHK)Source: IgorGolovniov / Shutterstock.com The last few years have not been good for owners of Mohawk Industries (NYSE:MHK) stock. Down 13.9% over the past 52 weeks through Oct. 16, it has got a five-year annualized total return of -0.07%. By comparison, the Morningstar U.S. Market generated almost 12% over the same five years. Some of the past five years were good to the flooring industry, so the fact that it has performed so poorly suggests that its business needs a revamp. Not to mention its business appears to be getting weaker. According to Benzinga, Wells Fargo analyst Truman Patterson recently downgraded MHK stock to "underperform" from "market perform," while keeping the target price at $110. Patterson suggested in a note to clients that global demand for its products is weakening, a sign that a recession might not be that far off. That's not good when you consider that its inventories are rising at double the level of its sales, which should lead to lower gross margins over the next few quarters. Slowing global growth is a big reason that I recommended in September that Mohawk put itself up for sale. If it doesn't do something over the next few months, you can be sure it will test sub-$100 prices. Terex (TEX)Source: Roman Korotkov / Shutterstock.com Two analysts downgraded Terex (NYSE:TEX) stock recently. Citigroup analyst Timothy Thein cut its rating from "neutral" to "sell" Oct. 15, while also cutting the target price by $3 to $24, about 10% lower than where it currently trades. The second research firm to cut the crane manufacturer's rating is Barclays. Analyst Adam Seiden downgraded Terex from "equal weight" to "underweight" on Oct. 11. Making matters worse, the analyst also cut its target price by $13 to $20, 30% lower than where it currently trades. Seiden believes that Terex's business with rental companies is going to slow as the economy moves closer to a recession. In addition, its aerials business should see lower pricing in 2020 as a result of lower demand. * 7 Restaurant Stocks to Leave on Your Plate Both of these downgrades suggest that TEX stock will continue to deliver mediocre returns for its shareholders. Crowdstrike (CRWD)Source: Piotr Swat / Shutterstock.com It has been four months since CrowdStrike (NASDAQ:CRWD) went public at $34 a share. The cloud-based cybersecurity firm gained almost 71% on its first day of trading, closing at $58. Rising to as high as $101.88 in August, it has since lost 50% of those gains. Some analysts expect the CRWD stock price to continue to decline over the final two-and-a-half months of the year. On Oct. 14, Citi analyst Walter Pritchard initiated coverage of the cybersecurity stock with a "sell" rating and a $43 target price, 17% lower than its current share price. "We see expansion into adjacencies (like EP management and cloud workload) as challenging as they are crowded already." Pritchard wrote in a note to clients. A few days prior to Citi giving CRWD a sell rating, Goldman Sachs analyst Heather Bellini downgraded its stock from "neutral" to "sell," suggesting that growth expectations for Crowdstrike are unrealistic.They say you can often buy a stock for less than its IPO price within 12-24 months. While I don't believe it could trade below $34 by the end of December, the low-to-mid $40's is definitely a possibility, especially if December turns out like last year. Domino's Pizza (DPZ)Source: Ken Wolter / Shutterstock.com Back in April 2017, I wrote about Domino's Pizza's (NYSE:DPZ) stock outperforming Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG, NASDAQ:GOOGL) since they both went public in the summer of 2004.Over 12.5 years, DPZ stock delivered a total return of 2,401%, 846 percentage points ahead of Google. It's an unbelievable stat that shows the power of a strong brand.And then CEO J. Patrick Doyle stepped down on July 1, 2018, after leading the pizza chain for eight very successful years. Since Doyle stepped down, DPZ stock has lost almost 9% of its value over 18 months that have been good for the markets in general.The problem for current CEO Richard Allison, who ran the company's international business, before taking over the top job from Doyle, is that third-party delivery services such as GrubHub (NYSE:GRUB) and Uber Eats provide hungry consumers much greater food options beyond the traditional delivery stables of pizza and Chinese food. In addition, these third-party services offer deep discounts to grab market share, crimping Domino's same-store sales growth. * 7 Big Bank Stocks on the Move Although this discounting is unlikely to last, it's not likely to stop before 2020, which means DPZ stock could see further deterioration in its share price and become one of the top stocks to sell if we see another market meltdown in December. Lincoln Electric (LECO)Source: Lutsenko_Oleksandr / Shutterstock.com Over the past two weeks, a number of research firms downgraded Lincoln Electric (NASDAQ:LECO) stock. On Oct. 9, Stifel Financial downgraded the manufacturer of welding and cutting products, from "buy" to "hold" and gave it a target price of $84, several dollars below its current share price. A day earlier, Oppenheimer analyst Bryan Blair cut LECO stock's rating from "outperform" to "perform" as a result of broad-based macro headwinds that will hurt the company's sales, which are quite cyclical in nature. Although Blair believes Lincoln has a good long-term future, an uncertain outlook makes it tough to recommend the company despite its healthy balance sheet. According to the Wall Street Journal, 12 analysts cover LECO with just two giving it a "buy" or 'overweight" rating, while nine rate hold and one analyst gives it a "sell" rating. The average target price is $91, less than $4 above its current share price. United Rentals (URI)Source: Casimiro PT / Shutterstock.com United Rentals (NYSE:URI) reported Q3 2019 results Oct. 17 and they were pretty darn good. On the top line, revenues were $2.49 billion, $40 million higher than the consensus estimate, and 17.6% better than its sales a year ago. Rental revenues were much higher thanks in large part to two acquisitions it made in 2018. On the bottom line, it also beat the consensus estimate of adjusted earnings of $5.53 a share, coming in $5.96, 26% higher than a year earlier. However, URI stock dropped as a result of its revised guidance that lowered revenues for 2019 at the high end of its range, from $9.45 billion to $9.35 billion, while also lowering the top end of its range for adjusted EBITDA, from $4.5 billion to $4.4 billion.Earlier in October, UBS analyst Steven Fisher downgraded URI stock from "buy" to "neutral," while taking a big chunk out of his target price, dropping it from $166 to $118 on concerns construction is going to slow over the next few months as projects get put on hold or canceled altogether. * 10 Buy-and-Hold Stocks to Own Forever Until the economy gets stronger, the rental business could face some serious headwinds. Align Technology (ALGN)Source: rafapress / Shutterstock.com Guggenheim analyst Glen Santangelo downgraded Align Technology (NASDAQ:ALGN) -- the people behind Invisalign, the maker of at-home clear aligners that help straighten your teeth -- from "buy" to "neutral" Oct. 7 while also cutting his target price by 20% to $200. "It is not lost on us that the shares are down meaningfully in the wake of 2Q results, but after doing a deeper dive into the competitive landscape, we underappreciated the rapid evolution of this market," Santangelo wrote in a note to clients. "We believe it will be challenging for sentiment to improve until there is more evidence available to validate ALGN's long-term competitive position -- and shares will likely be range-bound in the interim."Some of its competitors include SmileDirectClub (NASDAQ:SDC), which went public in September, Candid Co., Smilelove and SnapCorrect. If SmileDirect's performance is any indication -- its stock is down 57% since its Sept. 11 IPO on concerns its practices put customers at risk -- the teeth straightening business is about to get a whole lot more difficult. Tata Motors (TTM)Source: imwaltersy / Shutterstock.com If you bought Tata Motors (NYSE:TTM) stock five years ago, today you'd have just 21% of your original investment. Tata, for those unfamiliar, is the Indian parent of Jaguar and Land Rover, the British business it bought from Ford (NYSE:F) in 2008 for $2.3 billion. Despite the big gain Oct. 17 on news U.K. Prime Minister Boris Johnson had reached a Brexit deal with the E.U., TTM stock remains a major disappointment. In 2019, it's down almost 27%. Over the past five years, it has averaged an annualized total return of -26%.Late in 2018, I thought the spinoff of Jaguar Land Rover made perfect sense because luxury car companies were hot. Now that Brexit might actually happen, it's unlikely that Tata would want to part with its crown jewel, but it should, because it has made a lot of money for the company since its acquisition 11 years ago.However, thanks to the deterioration of its business in China, once thought to be its cash cow, a Brexit deal probably isn't enough to turnaround the luxury automaker. Is Tata a value play or a value trap? * 7 Restaurant Stocks to Leave on Your Plate We'll know by the end of December.At the time of this writing Will Ashworth did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 7 Reasons to Buy Canopy Growth Stock * 7 Restaurant Stocks to Leave on Your Plate * 4 Turnaround Plays to Buy Now The post 10 Stocks to Sell Before Decembera€™s Meltdown appeared first on InvestorPlace.

  • Disney Stock Can Clearly Win the Streaming Wars Now

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    If you're a Star Wars fan, this is unquestionably a great time to be alive. With franchise owner Disney (NYSE:DIS) at the helm, it has the power and resources to expand the narrative to new frontiers. And it's doing exactly that, with Star Wars: The Last Jedi scheduled for release this December. That alone is enough to get excited about Disney stock.Source: Volodymyr Plysiuk / Shutterstock.com Of course, the Magic Kingdom isn't stopping there. The company's much-awaited streaming platform, Disney+, will soon launch with the headlining Star Wars-based live-action series, The Mandalorian. It follows the exploits of a bounty hunter in the style of Boba Fett, a fan favorite character. Written and created by Jon Favreau, The Mandalorian could help lift Disney+ past streaming rival Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX). And that would likely send DIS stock into hyperspace.Moreover, Disney is apparently having the effect that it badly wants. In Netflix's third-quarter earnings conference call, the streaming giant's management team acknowledged competitive difficulties. Although NFLX executives have admitted a "modest headwind" from DIS and streaming newcomer Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), I'm sure the conversations behind closed doors are much more vibrant.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading TipsOn the surface, this tension seemingly bodes well for Disney stock. But breaking the binary dynamic between Disney's empire and Netflix's rebellion comes another unexpected player: AMC Entertainment (NYSE:AMC).In a stunning announcement, the cineplex operator will introduce a streaming video store for films that have just finished their theatrical run. More importantly, AMC has partnerships with the biggest Hollywood studios: Disney, AT&T's (NYSE:T) Warner Bros., Comcast's (NASDAQ:CMCSA) Universal, Sony (NYSE:SNE) and Viacom (NASDAQ:VIA, NASDAQ:VIAB), which owns Paramount. * The 10 Best Mutual Funds for Your 401k But will this end up cannibalizing DIS stock? For Disney Stock, Everything Centers on ContentOn the surface, the last thing streaming companies need is more competition. By increasing the number of (exclusive) options, for the end-consumer, you're killing what makes streaming beautiful.On average, a corded TV subscription costs more than $64. Cut the cord, though, and you're looking at compelling options. Netflix offers their basic plan at $9 and their premium at $16. On the other hand, Disney will start their monthly subscription price at a crazy-low $7. And Apple TV+ is going subterranean at $5 per month.But as the streaming customer adds up these services, the discount against cable becomes less meaningful. Plus, who has time to watch all this content?Therefore, AMC will definitely have an impact on the streaming landscape. But will it negatively affect DIS stock? I highly doubt it.For one thing, Disney partnered with AMC. Clearly, both sides see this as a symbiotic relationship. Second and more importantly, the deal emphasizes what matters most: content.From the cineplex industry's perspective, their revenue stream has flatlined. But what brings in the people are the big franchise movies like Star Wars. As I've argued before, DIS owns an enviable content empire, which should drive both box office sales and DIS stock.For the streaming component, Disney is also in an enviable position. According to Stephan Paternot, co-founder & CEO of Slated, the differentiating factor in the streaming wars is, again, content. Regarding this business, Paternot states, "All players, including AMC, will need to ramp up acquisition of content to attract and maintain subscribers."Such sentiment suits Disney stock perfectly. Although the company's prior acquisitions have been pricey, they were also focused. Disney recognized that they needed compelling content to win the next evolution in entertainment. They're merely practicing what they preach. Disney's Victim ListAs reality dictates, not all streaming relationships are symbiotic. Regarding AMC's news, I believe stakeholders of DIS stock can relax. The deal is good news for the two parties.But what about the rest of the pack? Notably, Netflix has the most to lose since they've long been the uncontested streaming player. While I do see risks, I think Netflix has some safety buffer. In recent years, the company has proven that their core catalyst lies well beyond the underlying streaming platform. * 7 Restaurant Stocks to Leave on Your Plate If Paternot is correct about his assessment, Netflix should get a reprieve: they offer brilliant original content.So, who will become streaming's losers? Frankly, I'm not feeling Apple TV+. Although its price point is attractive, the limited content volume is not. You're getting considerably more value from either Disney+ or Netflix.I'm also not getting a great read from Amazon's (NASDAQ:AMZN) Prime Video. With so many options now with AMC in the mix, Prime Video appears largely superfluous.However, Apple and Amazon have their own core businesses, where as Disney is all about entertainment. With Disney+, management's long-term strategy is finally making sense. And that's great news for Disney stock.As of this writing, Josh Enomoto was long AMC, T and SNE. 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    U.S. stock futures are headed for a quiet open.Source: Shutterstock Heading into the open, futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average are down 0.03%, and S&P 500 futures are higher by 0.03%. Nasdaq-100 futures have added 0.01%.In the options pits, calls outpaced puts by a wide margin while overall volume settled near average levels. Specifically, about 19.5 million calls and 15.1 million puts changed hands on the session.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading TipsHowever, over at the CBOE, the gap between calls and puts narrowed with the single-session equity put/call volume ratio rallying back to 0.65 -- a one-week high. The 10-day moving average continues its descent and also rests at 0.65.Options traders swarmed a handful of big names, including Cronos Group (NASDAQ:CRON), Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) and Disney (NYSE:DIS).Let's take a closer look: Cronos Group (CRON)Cronos Group shares ripped out of the gate Thursday, but the rally was a ruse. By day's end, the 25% jump fizzled to a mere 5.5% gain. Volume exploded, showing some major institutional movement, but the catalyst is anyone's guess. I was unable to find any major news.Source: ThinkorSwim From a technical perspective, the drama did little in changing the trend of CRON stock. The opening gap pushed right into the 50-day moving average and was swiftly rejected. The intraday whack even pushed CRON back below its falling 20-day moving average. While the rise in volume over the past three days is a welcome change of pace, the stock needs to hold above resistance for longer than a nanosecond before speculating on a bottom is justified. * 10 Buy-and-Hold Stocks to Own Forever On the options trading front, calls led the way. Total activity rocketed to 548% of the average daily volume, with 136,463 contracts traded. Calls accounted for 59% of the tally.The increased demand drove implied volatility higher on the day to 84%, placing it at the 36th percentile of its one-year range. Premiums are baking in daily moves of 47 cents or 5.3%. Netflix (NFLX)Netflix stepped up to the earnings stage in desperate need to impress investors. Last quarter's whiff delivered a massive 30% haircut to NFLX stock during the fallout. Fortunately, the company posted much better numbers this go around, and the stock eked out a gain yesterday.For the third quarter, Netflix scored 6.8 million new subscribers compared to forecasts of 7 million. Revenue rose 31% to $5.24 billion, translating into earnings-per-share of $1.47.Source: ThinkorSwim While its opening gap was initially met with selling, NFLX still ended the day with a 2.5% gain. It closed above the 50-day moving average for the first time in three months. Holding above this level should bolster the confidence of bulls moving forward.On the options trading front, traders were baking in a $30 move or 10.5% into the event. Since the stock only opened up 6.4% and then dropped to a mere 2% gain, this was a solid win for volatility sellers. Given the underwhelming move, implied volatility was crushed on Thursday and now sits at 34% or the 9th percentile of its one-year range. Disney (DIS)Disney stock rallied 1.2%, clearing a key resistance zone. Ever since last quarter's earning release took the wind out of its sails, the House of Mouse has been struggling. All told, DIS stock has fallen 13%, breaching its 50-day and 20-day moving averages in the process.Source: ThinkorSwim Yesterday's pop is the first step to improving the technical posture, but the 50-day moving average needs to be taken out before the bulls' party can really begin. Watch for a close above $134 to confirm. * 7 Restaurant Stocks to Leave on Your Plate On the options trading front, traders rushed into calls throughout the session. Activity swelled to 150% of the average daily volume, with 108,881 total contracts traded; 74% of the trading came from call options alone.Implied volatility drifted sideways and remained at 26% or the 45th percentile of its one-year range. With earnings looming in a few weeks, I suspect it holds firm or moves higher ahead of the event. Premiums are pricing in daily moves of $2.20 or 1.7%.As of this writing, Tyler Craig didn't hold positions in any of the aforementioned securities. For a free trial to the best trading community on the planet and Tyler's current home, click here! More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 7 Reasons to Buy Canopy Growth Stock * 7 Restaurant Stocks to Leave on Your Plate * 4 Turnaround Plays to Buy Now The post Friday's Vital Data: Cronos Group, Netflix and Disney appeared first on InvestorPlace.

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