|Bid||4.95 x 3200|
|Ask||5.50 x 3100|
|Day's Range||5.06 - 5.22|
|52 Week Range||2.60 - 11.44|
|Beta (5Y Monthly)||0.63|
|PE Ratio (TTM)||N/A|
|Forward Dividend & Yield||N/A (N/A)|
|1y Target Est||N/A|
VBI Vaccines' (NASDAQ:VBIV) stock is on the move. The shares have rallied on the heels of a successful clinical trial. But is it too late to buy the stock?While VBIV has soared around 130% since Nov. 1, more gains could be in the cards. Everything hinges on the company being able to market its Sci-B-Vac hepatitis vaccine in North America and Europe. Source: ravipat/Shutterstock.com VBIV stock is dependent on Sci-B-Vac. There are other drugs in the company's pipeline. But Sci-B-Vac is the only one that's ready for prime time. The company could win big if the vaccine is approved by the key regulators. However, if the company hits additional headwinds, the shares could crash back to their prior lows.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading TipsBut despite its high risk, VBIV stock may be worth buying at today's prices. The excitement from the results of the Phase 3 trial of Sci-B-Vac has cooled off, sending the shares lower in the past few weeks. This could mean that the shares have reached a solid entry point. Let's see why this high-risk/high-return stock may be a great investment. With Sci-B-Vac's Success More Certain, VBIV Stock Could Head HigherThe success of the company's recent Phase 3 trial bodes well for VBIV stock. But it's important to consider the mixed outcome of the company's prior clinical trial. As InvestorPlace contributor Chris Markoch noted in a recent column, this was Sci-B-Vac's second Phase 3 trial. Back in June, the company completed its initial Phase 3 trial. * 7 Utility Stocks to Buy That Offer Juicy Dividends Based on the outcome of the latter trial, Sci-B-Vac appeared to be more effective than GlaxoSmithKline's (NYSE:GSK) Energix-B. Yet, as Markoch pointed out, " the trial showed that Sci-B-Vac taken in two doses was not as effective as Engerix-B taken in three doses." VBIV stock crashed as investors became less optimistic about Sci-B-Vac's future prospects.But, after this second trial, Sci-B-Vac's viability as a two-dose vaccine is more certain. The second trial's results showed that two doses of Sci-B-Vac were more effective than Energix-B. Thanks to these results, the company plans to seek North American and European approvals in the second half of 2020.What's now key for VBIV stock is how Sci-B-Vac fares against Dynavax's (NASDAQ:DVAX) Heplisav-B. According to a Seeking Alpha contributor, Heplisav-B's key selling point is that it's a two-dose vaccine., while VBIV plans to market its vaccine as a three-dose treatment. But Heplisav-B has had its own headwinds. Rejected twice due to safety concerns by the FDA, Heplisav-B was finally approved in late 2017.Can Sci-B-Vac gain an edge against Heplisav-B? With Heplisav-B already on the market in North America, Dynavax has first-mover advantage over VBIV. But, with VBIV likely to partner with a big pharma company and Dynavax, "going it alone," Sci-B-Vac could wind up having stronger marketing infrastructure behind it.Yet VBIV stock is facing some key risks. Dilution Is Likely, But That's Par for the CourseAs of VBI's last quarterly filing, the company had $53 million of cash. But, given its $54.2 million of operating losses over the previous year, it will need more money going forward, especially since the company is trying to bring Sci-B-Vac to market.Partnering with a big pharma company could minimize its cash burn. However, VBIV appears likely to issue more stock, diluting the value of its shares.But, to monetize Sci-B-Vac, the company needs cash. In the end, a dilutive equity infusion will allow VBIV to fully monetize Sci-B-Vac, ultimately sending the shares higher.As mentioned above, VBIV stock is dependent on a sole catalyst. The success or failure of Sci-B-Vac will drive the future direction of the shares. VBI Vaccines does have other opportunities in its pipeline. These include a chronic hepatitis B infection treatment, as well as a immunotherapy treatment for glioblastoma. But don't expect these drugs to move the needle anytime soon, as both are in the early development stages. The Bottom LineVBIV stock is a high-risk/high-return investment. If Sci-B-Vac is approved by the FDA, the shares could move higher. But, if Sci-B-Vac is not approved, the stock could fall significantly. Yet, with analysts' average price target on the shares standingt at $4.50, VBIV may be worth the risk.After the results of the Phase 3 trial were announced, VBIV stock soared as high as $1.90 per /share. But, after investors' excitement cooled, the shares have slid back to around $1.50. Although the shares are up from their past lows, now may be a great time to buy them.VBIV stock is not a "bet the ranch" situation. But the shares could rally tremendously in the next year. With potential approvals of its vaccine in North America and Europe on the horizon, VBIV could be a big winner in 2020.As of this writing, Thomas Niel did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 7 Utility Stocks to Buy That Offer Juicy Dividends * 10 Gold and Silver Stocks to Profit Off 2020's Fear Trade * 3 Top Companies That Should Be More Careful With Your Data The post While Risks Remain, VBI Vaccines Stock Is a Buy at Today's Prices appeared first on InvestorPlace.
The following is a roundup of top developments in the biotech space over the last 24 hours. Scaling The Peaks (Biotech stocks that hit 52-week highs Dec. 16.) Acceleron Pharma Inc (NASDAQ: XLRN ) Amarin ...
How do you pick the next stock to invest in? One way would be to spend days of research browsing through thousands of publicly traded companies. However, an easier way is to look at the stocks that smart money investors are collectively bullish on. Hedge funds and other institutional investors usually invest large amounts of […]
The winner of the next-generation hepatitis B vaccine market could largely be determined by upcoming safety data between Sci-B-Vac and Heplisav-B Continue reading...
We are still in an overall bull market and many stocks that smart money investors were piling into surged through October 17th. Among them, Facebook and Microsoft ranked among the top 3 picks and these stocks gained 45% and 39% respectively. Hedge funds' top 3 stock picks returned 34.4% this year and beat the S&P […]
Dynavax Technologies (DVAX) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of -22.50% and 5.07%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2019. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
Dynavax Technologies (DVAX) possesses the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
We're definitely into long term investing, but some companies are simply bad investments over any time frame. We...
2019 has not been a great year to own biotech stocks (so far). Since the year began, the Nasdaq Biotechnology Index (NBI) is down more than six percentage points, against near 16% rise for the S&P 500.But not all biotechs are created equal -- and not all biotech stocks will remain as cheap as they are today. Utilizing the Stock Screener at TipRanks to seek out strong-buy-rated stocks with incredible profit potential, we've come up with a trio of small cap biotechs with a chance to triple their share price (or more) in the coming year. Let's take a closer look:Aurinia Pharmaceuticals (AUPH)Based out of Victoria, British Columbia, Aurinia Pharmaceuticals is a clinical-stage biotech developing a drug called voclosporin, which it hopes will prove useful in treating lupus nephritis (LN), an autoimmune disease affecting the kidneys, focal segmental glomerulosclerosis (another kidney disease) -- or if not those, then maybe dry eye syndrome.If that sounds to you like Aurinia hasn't quite decided "what it wants to be when it grows up" ... well, we kind of wonder about that, too. Still, the company has $131 million in the bank and minimal debt. With a cash burn rate of only $51 million, Aurinia has the better part of three years to figure itself out and get its drug to market to accomplish something.Just recently, Oppenheimer analyst Justin Kim initiated coverage of Aurinia stock with an outperform rating on the theory that voclosporin "could become the first therapeutic approved for treatment of LN." Kim thinks the drug has a 60% chance of proving successful for that purpose, and the stock could be worth $10 a share if that's the only indication the drug is approved for. If voclosporin proves effective in treating the other two diseases, the stock could be worth even more. (To watch Kim's track record, click here)"Considering the near-term readout of the pivotal Phase 3 LN study, we anticipate shares could re-rate following a positive primary outcome in 4Q19. In addition to an initial pipeline opportunity in FSGS and a maturing late-stage program in dry eye syndrome, we are positive on the stock’s setup into 2020," Kim opined.All in all, Wall Street likes the risk/reward factor at play here, as TipRanks showcases a strong buy consensus rooting for Aurinia's success. In fact, the consensus of analysts following Aurinia is that this stock could triple in value over the next 12 months, rising from $5 and approaching $17 per share. (See AUPH's price targets and analyst ratings on TipRanks)TherapeuticsMD (TXMD)TherapeuticsMD is a somewhat different story. On the one hand, it's a higher-price stock with nearly twice Aurinia's market capitalization, and a weaker balance sheet -- $183 million in cash, and $198 million in debt -- with a much higher burn rate of $152 million per annum. On the other hand, TherapeuticsMD has several products under development, including two formulations of topical progesterone cream.TherapeuticsMD even has products on the market, including estrogen insert "Imvexxy," for the treatment of menopause-related dyspareunia (sales of which are accelerating year over year), "Bijuva" for the treatment of menopause-related "hot flashes," and soon, "Annovera," a contraceptive insert.Cowen analyst Ken Cacciatore commented that Imvexxy sales were growing "in line with our expectations," that the company is "making progress" with Bijuva, and that it's "optimistic" about Annovera's launch early next year. On Imvexxy in particular, Cacciatore highlighted the 41% year over year growth in paid prescriptions written, and noted that patients using the drug are refilling their prescriptions at nearly twice the usual rate for products in this category.Despite the apparently weak balance sheet, Cacciatore believes"the company remains sufficiently capitalized to reach profitability" by the second half of 2021.Oppenheimer Jay Olson echoes Cacciatore's tone, noting, "We believe TXMD offers a unique portfolio of women's health products that currently remains undervalued with attractive market opportunities. Based on our hypothetical SOTP analysis, we value Imvexxy at $2/share, Bijuva at $5/share, and Annovera at $1/share."Street analysts agree, TherapeuticsMD stock could triple off of today's sub-$4 share price and approach $12 per share in the next 12 months. (See TXMD's price targets and analyst ratings on TipRanks)Dynavax Technologies (DVAX) Last but not least \-- well actually, it is least in terms of market capitalization at just $305 million -- we come to Dynavax Technologies, which sells the hepatitis B vaccine Heplisav-B, and has a phase 2 clinical trial candidate for cancer immunotherapy (DV281) and a phase 2a candidate for asthma treatment as well (AZD1419) -- along with a phase 1 clinical trial product for the treatment of non-small cell lung cancer (DV281).Like TherapeuticsMD , Dynavax is a company in perilous financial state, with a cash-poor balance sheet ($140 million cash, $213 million debt) and a rapid cash burn rate -- $158 million per annum. Regardless, Cowen analyst Phil Nadeau has high hopes for this one, noting that Heplisav "has been shown to be more effective and more convenient than the other currently marketed HBV vaccines in a number of Phase III trials," which suggests Dynavax may be safe from competition in this space for some time.Indeed, already Nadeau says Heplisav is gaining market share, and predicts the drug could capture as much as $365 million of the $500 million-plus market for hepatitis B vaccines by 2024 -- a better than 70% market share.As a result, Nadeau rates DVAX an Outperform with a $20 price target, which implies a whopping 440% upside from current levels. (To watch Nadeau's track record, click here)"With Heplisav's label favorable, we expect it to become the market-leading HBV vaccine over time. Our consultants think that the other monovalent HBV vaccines are good, but not ideal. Although quite safe and generally effective, our consultants think they have two shortfalls: First, they are not perfectly effective, particularly in “hyporesponders” – people over the age of 40 and people with a number of diseases – for whom they provide suboptimal protection. Second, the marketed HBV vaccines require 3 (or more) doses over six months, which reduces compliance and hence protection," Nadeau noted.Analysts following the stock believe Dynavax shares to be significantly undervalued at today's sub-$4 share price, and predict Dynavax could go to $16 next year. More than a mere triple -- this stock could quadruple in 2020. (See DVAX's price targets and analyst ratings on TipRanks)
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
Dynavax Technologies (DVAX) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of -4.76% and 4.94%, respectively, for the quarter ended June 2019. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
Is Dynavax Technologies Corporation (NASDAQ:DVAX) a good investment right now? We check hedge fund and billionaire investor sentiment before delving into hours of research. Hedge funds spend millions of dollars on Ivy League graduates, expert networks, and get tips from investment bankers and industry insiders. Sure they sometimes fail miserably, but their consensus stock picks […]