|Bid||104.50 x 2900|
|Ask||105.26 x 1000|
|Day's Range||104.58 - 104.90|
|52 Week Range||102.15 - 116.86|
|PE Ratio (TTM)||N/A|
|Beta (3Y Monthly)||1.47|
|Expense Ratio (net)||0.40%|
A slew of factors are hampering emerging markets bond funds, including the iShares J.P. Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond ETF (NASDAQ: EMB), this year. One region in particular could be problematic for ...
As chances of a Fed rate hike in December are pretty high and can cause some turmoil in the markets, these ETF areas could provide cushion to investors.
Rising external financing costs and current account deficits are among the factors plaguing emerging markets debt this year, pressuring exchange traded funds such as the iShares J.P. Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond ETF (EMB) and the PowerShares Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt Portfolio (PCY) along the way. Some analysts and market observers believe the scenarios confounding emerging markets bonds this year could linger into 2019. “The impact of tighter US monetary policy, a strengthening dollar, and risks to global trade and growth will continue to be felt in 2019,” said Fitch Ratings in a note out Monday.
A strong dollar coupled with a spate of surprising interest rate hikes in some developing markets are among the factors punishing emerging markets debt this year, pressuring exchange traded funds such as the iShares J.P. Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond ETF (EMB) and the PowerShares Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt Portfolio (PCY) in the process. The Federal Reserve began its current tightening cycle in 2015 and while the first few rate hikes did not pinch emerging markets debt all that much, that scenario is changing in a big way this year. With respect to value compared to price, many of these ETFs from abroad present a profitable opportunity that can be realized, especially if China and the U.S. eventually ameliorate their trade differences by year’s end.
The strong dollar and increased volatility for some emerging markets currencies are among the factors plaguing bonds issued by developing economies. The iShares J.P. Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond ETF (EMB) , the largest ETF in this category, is tumbling this year. Beyond the short-term volatility associated with the trade fears, many are wary of the diverging monetary policies between emerging central banks and the Federal Reserve, which is expected to hike interest rates two more times this year.
Investors looking for short sell ideas or hedges against long positions in crude oil need to look north as Canadian crude oil prices plunge to a record low, now about $35 per barrel, relative to U.S. crude. Brent oil prices have surged above $85 a barrel and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) now trades around $75.
The emerging markets have been pummeled this year, but after the selling, EM debt and bond-related ETFs appear attractive for their level of risk. "Given the state of the world with strong U.S. growth and contained inflation globally, it's hard to imagine that emerging markets would suffer so much this year," Pablo Goldberg, a senior fixed-income strategist with BlackRock, told CNBC. After the pullback in emerging assets, the spread of average EM bond yields over comparable duration U.S. Treasuries have significantly widened, with the average yield on the JP Morgan Emerging Markets Bond index up to 5% last week.
Amid dollar strength, emerging markets bonds and the related ETFs are struggling this year. Year-to-date, the iShares J.P. Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond ETF (NASDAQ: EMB), the largest ETF in this category, ...
Emerging markets are in decline, led by currency crises in Turkey and Argentina, but investors are not selling emerging markets funds. Either long-term investors are sticking to their guns or the worst is yet to come.
Will the Global Growth Scare Offer Opportunity in Q3 2018? NATALIA GURUSHINA: VanEck CEO, Jan Van Eck, joins me today to discuss his macroeconomic outlook and also to talk about investment opportunities that he finds most interesting in the current environment. The first question is: You were quite bullish on global growth, on commodities, and emerging markets earlier this year.
This is reflected in the appreciation of the U.S. dollar, when measured by the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which is up 4% over the last three months and almost 9% over the last 6 months. NYMEX Copper futures are entering bearish territory after sliding below $3 per pound in mid-June, their lowest level since 2017, an 18% fall over the last 6 months, reflecting the negative outlook on global growth measured by China's weaker-than-expected industrial production and retail sales growth, and exacerbated by negative headlines from trade wars and sanctions. Copper is sensitive to trade tariffs and emerging markets, which are home to major producing hubs.
Could Spike in Volatility Make Emerging Market Growth Stumble? The benefits of an emerging markets aggregate bond exposure may explain the increasing flows into these strategies. According to J.P. Morgan, strategies which blend corporate and sovereign exposure took in approximately $35 billion in 2017, a similar level to sovereign focused emerging markets strategies.
Could Spike in Volatility Make Emerging Market Growth Stumble? Although an all hard currency allocation can mean avoiding local exposure altogether, hard currency sovereign debt has performed similarly to local sovereign bonds year-to-date. Allocating to the entire investable opportunity set means approximately 64% exposure to hard currency and 36% exposure to local currency bonds.
Could Spike in Volatility Make Emerging Market Growth Stumble? The emerging markets sell-off has continued in recent weeks, as the U.S. dollar remains strong amid domestic economic data that supports a case for higher U.S. interest rates. Many emerging markets local currencies have been severely impacted, particularly those of more vulnerable countries and where political risk is rising.
Dollar-denominated emerging market bonds and related exchange traded funds are under increased pressure as the Federal Reserve hikes interest rates, trade tensions escalate and the U.S. dollar strengthens. Year-to-date, the iShares J.P. Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond ETF (EMB) and Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt Portfolio (PCY) , which both track USD-denominated emerging market debt, declined 6.5% and 8.2%, respectively.
Investors are yanking money from emerging-market exchange traded funds as rising interest rates in the U.S. weaken emerging-market assets.
Exchange traded funds holding emerging markets debt are getting drubbed this year. For example, the iShares J.P. Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond ETF (EMB) is lower by 8% while the VanEck Vectors Emerging Markets Local Currency Bond ETF (EMLC) is down almost 10%. EMB tracks the J.P. Morgan EMBI Global Core Index, a market-cap-weighted index.
Crude oil has again taken the headlines this week along with the ongoing political debacle in Italy. The black commodity started to reverse gains after Saudi Arabia and Russia hinted that output could be boosted to avoid a supply shock. Regional banks trended second after U.S. Congress rolled back legislation aimed to prevent a fresh financial crisis. Small-Cap Index Russell 2000 felt like a safe haven amid the market turmoil and was third in the list. Emerging markets equities and emerging markets bonds close the list. Check out our previous trends edition at Trending: Strong Dollar Plunges Argentina Into Crisis, Again
Despite the recent weakness in the developing market segment, investors can still look to emerging market bond ETFs for their attractive payouts. With yields on benchmark 10-year Treasuries hovering around ...