|Day's Range||1.509 - 1.514|
|52 Week Range||1.4779 - 1.6137|
Today, in the EU markets’ focus is the ECB meeting, which often causes strong volatility. Mario Draghi is expected to confirm that the Central Bank will finally stop buying assets by the end of this year.
Five-week old “Rising-Wedge” is again at test with the USDCAD’s latest dip beneath the formation support. If the pair sustains recent breakdown, it confirms the bearish chart pattern that theoretically signal its plunge to 1.2770, which is below October lows. However, the 1.3000 and the 1.2930-25 could offer immediate supports to the pair prior to fetching it to the 1.2885-80 horizontal rest-zone. In case prices continue declining past-1.2880, the 1.2840 & 1.2800 are likely buffers that may be availed ahead of visiting the aforesaid 1.2770 mark. ...
In order to understand the risks presented by the Italian economy, it is important to recognize why the situation in 2018 is so familiar to what we witnessed in 2011. Can Italy be the next Greece?
The Bank of Canada will release the interest rate on October 24, the market is looking for a rate hike. Let’s consider currency pairs that will be affected by the decision of the BOC the most.
Having breached five-month long ascending trend-line, the USDCAD seems well inclined to test the 200-day SMA level of 1.2865, which if broken could open the door for the pair’s drop to 1.2810-2800 support-zone. In case sellers refrain to respect the 1.2800 mark, the 1.2730, the 1.2700 and the 1.2620 are likely following numbers to appear on the chart. Should prices witness pullback from present levels, the support-turned-resistance line near 1.2955 and the 1.3000 round-figure could entertain short-term buyers prior to challenging them with 1.3050, comprising 100-day SMA. ...
One wonders how the Eurozone will achieve higher core inflation if monetary policy slowly tightens and the economic activity slows. Should the Euro appreciate and get back above, say, the 1.20 mark against the greenback, it will be even harder for inflation to accelerate.
Having breached 50-day SMA & near-term important TL, the USDCAD seems all set to challenge the 1.3265-70 horizontal-region but overbought RSI might question the pair’s further upside. Though, pair’s sustained rise beyond 1.3270 can help it aim for the 1.3330 and the 1.3385 resistances. Meanwhile, the 1.3160 could offer immediate support during the pair’s pullback before highlighting the resistance-turned-support confluence of 1.3100-3090. Given the sellers fetch prices beneath 1.3090 on a daily closing basis, the 1.3000, the 1.2910 and the 200-day SMA level of 1. ...
Fading NAFTA optimism keeps exerting some pressure on the Canadian Dollar as investors focus on BOC monetary policy update
With the fortnight long descending trend-line still being untouched, the USDCAD can continue being weaker and may revisit the 1.2960, adjacent to 1.2935 supports. Should prices dip beneath the 1.2935, the 1.2885 and the 1.2845, comprising 61.8% FE level, might please the sellers. Alternatively, successful break of 1.3030 TL could escalate the pair’s recovery towards the 1.3100 and the 1.3110 trend-line resistance, clearing which 1.3170 may appear on the chart. Additionally, pair’s sustained trading beyond 1.3170 can recall the 1.3220 and the 1.3285 levels as quotes.EUR/CAD
USDCAD’s another bounce off the 100-day SMA & seven-month old ascending trend-line indicates its readiness to confront the downward slanting TL stretched since late-June, at 1.3145. Should the pair registers a daily closing beyond 1.3145 barrier, the 1.3215 and the 1.3255 are likely intermediate halts that it could avail prior to aiming the 1.3385 mark. In case Bulls keep ruling the trade-sentiment past-1.3385, the 61.8% FE level of 1.3490 may prove its worth as strong resistance. Alternatively, the 1. ...
EURCAD’s U-turn from 1.4800-1.4795 can’t be considered as a sign of its strength as 1.5005-10 and the 1.5060 barriers still stand tall to restrict the pair’s upside momentum. Given the pair rallies above 0.9665, the 0.9700 and the 0.9725 could mark their presence as quotes.
Although 50-day & 100-day SMA has been restricting the USDCAD moves since last fortnight, the 1.2960-55 support-confluence, comprising 100-day SMA & an ascending TL, could keep indicating the pair’s upside with 1.3060 being immediate resistances to tackle before confronting the 50-day SMA level of 1.3115. Given the pair’s ability to close beyond the 1.3115, the 1.3190 and the downward slanting trend-line, at 1.3215, seem crucial to watch as they hold the door for the quote’s rally towards the 1.3265, the 1.3340 and the 1.3385 resistances.
Absence of strong up-moves after the USDCAD’s recent U-turn isn’t a sign of its fresh south-run as 100-day SMA and support-line of short-term descending trend-channel, at 1.2965-60, still stand tall to limit the pair’s decline. In case if the pair refrains to respect the 1.2965-60 support-confluence, more than six-month old ascending trend-line, near 1.2920, followed by the 1.2900 round-figure, could challenge the sellers. Assuming that the quote closes beneath the 1.2900 mark on a D1 basis, then it can plunge to 1.2800 and the 1.2740 support-levels. On the upside, the 1. ...
It’s been a bullish market for months, but now the promising economic news coming out of Canada is pulling the USD/CAD price back down. From a low in April of around 1.252, the price went as high as 1.338 at the end of June but has been stuttering ever since.
On the upside, the 1.3045-50 horizontal-line and the 50-day SMA level of 1.3090 could try limiting the pair’s near-term advances, breaking which the 1.3110, the 1.3160 and the 1.3210 might offer intermediate halts before highlighting the 1.3270 trend-line barrier. If at all the quote closes above 50-day SMA level of 1.5290, it can revisit the 1.5320 and the 1.5360 resistances ahead of pushing bulls to aim for the 1.5440, the 1.5470 and the 1.5515 trend-line.
USDCAD’s bounce off the three-month old ascending trend-line presently struggles with 1.3200-1.3210 horizontal-region in order to justify its strength in targeting the 1.3260 and the 1.3340 resistances. In case the pair manage to extend its recovery beyond 1.3340 on a daily closing basis, the 1.3385 and the 1.3470, comprising 61.8% FE can please the Bulls. On the contrary, the 1.3130-20 is likely immediate support for the pair to test during its pullback before revisiting the 1.3060 TL figure. Assuming that the quote keep declining beneath the 1.3060, the 50-day SMA level of 1. ...
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is an important currency part of the Forex dashboard. As part of the DXY (Dollar Index), where it holds almost a ten percent stake, the CAD reflects the strengths and weaknesses of the Canadian economy. Part of NAFTA (North America Free Trade Agreement), Canada has a performant economic model many countries only dream about.
USDCAD’s inability to surpass the 1.3380-90 resistance-region presently drags the pair to re-test the broader resistance-turned-support, at 1.3260 now, which if broken could highlight the 1.3210-1.3200 support-zone. If at all sellers manage to conquer the 1.3200 mark on a daily closing basis, pair’s subsequent drop to 1.3155 & 1.3100 can’t be denied. In case if the pair pulls itself back from 1.3260 support, it can again confront the 1.3380-90 area, clearing which the 1.3430, the 1.3500 and the 1.3530 could entertain the traders. ...
The European Central Bank president, Mario Draghi was speaking at the banking conference event in Portugal last week. The main take away from the speech was that the ECB president promised that the ECB would take time to hike interest rates.
The breakaway gap in the Euro (in this article, we use “Euro” to refer to the currency pair EUR/USD) on the 24th of April 2017 on the back of positive first round French election results that weekend broke through a resistance trendline from 2014, a 5-month ascending triangle and the 200-day moving average. It heralded a reversal in the trend of the Euro and what followed was a near 1-year rally that took the price from 1.087 to a high of 1.2558, a rise of 15.5%. After consolidating in a symmetrical triangle, the Euro broke to the downside and has been falling for over a month now.
Though there still remains a significant amount of uncertainty, recent populist movements in Italy have created the possibility of ending the national use of the Euro. Naturally, as a nation of over 60 million and the third largest nation in the Eurozone (after Germany and France), Italy’s abandonment of the Euro could spark a wide variety of far-reaching changes.
The start of the week’s trading took place around excitement in the political situation in Italy and the unsuccessful attempts of Crude Oil to rebound.
Early Monday trading has seen the downward pressure continue for oil prices. Italian stocks rise on prospects of new elections, and Italian bonds strengthen as the populist coalition fails to form a government.