|Day's Range||1.124 - 1.129|
|52 Week Range||1.1198 - 1.1998|
Today, in the EU markets’ focus is the ECB meeting, which often causes strong volatility. Mario Draghi is expected to confirm that the Central Bank will finally stop buying assets by the end of this year.
With nearly 100-pip range between 1.0010-05 and 0.9920-15 aptly limiting the USDCHF moves, the pair is presently expected to revisit the 0.9950 rest-point ahead of testing the 0.9915 range-support for one more time. However, pair’s drop beneath the 0.9915 can quickly fetch it to 0.9885 and the 0.9860 marks ahead of highlighting the 0.9845 as a support. Meanwhile, an upside clearance of 1.0010 could propel the quote to 1.0050 and then to the 1.0080 resistances whereas pair’s successful trading beyond 1.0080 enables it to aim for 1.0100 and the 1.0130 numbers to north.EUR/CHF
Weekly closing beyond 1.0045 wasn’t enough for the USDCHF to register its strength as 1.0105-15 horizontal-region still stands tall to challenge the buyers, which if broken can escalate the pair’s rise to 1.0170 and the 1.0215 prior to highlighting the 1.0250 upside barrier. Given the successful price rally above 1.0250, the 1.0340 and the 61.8% FE level of 1.0550 may gain market attention. Alternatively, a W1 close beneath the 1.0045 could recall the 0.9980 and the 0.9900 as on the chart. During the pair’s extended downturn below 0.9900, the 0. ...
In this piece, we will describe the situation on the EURCHF, where a week ago, we were waiting for the buy signal. Usually, you need to wait for the proper signal. The price broke the lower line of the flag and the short-term horizontal support.
Generally speaking, October for the EUR was pretty bad. We are not talking here only about the main pair (with the USD) but about the broad market. The fortune may be changing though. The pair, where we can see the ray of light is the EURCHF.EURCHF Daily Chart
In order to understand the risks presented by the Italian economy, it is important to recognize why the situation in 2018 is so familiar to what we witnessed in 2011. Can Italy be the next Greece?
In spite of bouncing from the three-week long support-line, USDCHF couldn’t sustain its U-turn and is likely to revisit the 0.9860 rest-point, breaking which 0.9825 & 0.9800 could come back on the chart. Though, the 0.9770 horizontal-line may confine the pair’s declines past-0.9800, if not then 0.9755 & 0.9700 can appear in the sellers radar. In case the quote surpasses 0.9900 immediate resistance, a month old downward slanting TL, at 0.9955, followed by the 0.9985 and the 1.0000 round-figure, might please buyers. Moreover, pair’s successful trading beyond 1. ...
Break of three-month old descending trend-line, also encompassing 100-day SMA, signal brighter chances for the USDCHF’s further upside towards 0.9945-50 multiple resistance area. However, a bit broader downward slanting TL, at 1.0000 psychological magnet, can confine the pair’s advances past-0.9950, if not then 1.0040 & 1.0070 may gain traders’ attention. In case the quote continue rising beyond 1.0070, the 1.0100 & 1.0170 could entertain the Bulls. Alternatively, the 0. ...
One wonders how the Eurozone will achieve higher core inflation if monetary policy slowly tightens and the economic activity slows. Should the Euro appreciate and get back above, say, the 1.20 mark against the greenback, it will be even harder for inflation to accelerate.
A month old descending trend-line, at 0.9685, is likely to challenge the USDCHF’s short-covering moves from 0.9600, if not then the pair’s rise to 0.9710 and the 200-day SMA level of 0.9740 seem imminent. However, the 0.9780-90 area could restrict the pair’s upside past-0.9740, failing to which might propel prices to 0.9850-55 and the 0.9900 resistance-levels. Meanwhile, the 0.9600 and a downward slanting support-line, at 0.9580 now, can limit the quote’s immediate declines. In case the pair refrains to respect 0.9580 mark, the 0.9560, the 0.9520 and the 0. ...
EURCHF breaks the short-term neckline of the small H&S formation, together with the lower line of the mid-term wedge pattern. In addition to that, EURCHF is bouncing from the long-term horizontal resistance. The price is surging and most recently, broke the ultimate horizontal resistance.
Investing.com - The euro was trading at more than one-year lows on Monday as a crash in the Turkish lira roiled global markets amid fears that the country’s financial crisis could spread to European markets.
First one is the Currency market, with the EURCHF. Most recently, EURCHF broke the lower line of the wedge and the neckline of the H&S formation. With this, we should be aiming lower to the long-term up trendline and the horizontal support on the 66.6 USD/bbl.
Unless breaking seven-week old ascending trend-line, at 0.9890 now, the USDCHF is less likely to extend its recent pullback towards 0.9850 and the 0.9820 support-levels. Alike USDCHF, the EURCHF’s downside is also capped by the immediate support, herein it is the 1.1595-85 zone, that may trigger the pair’s U-turn towards nearby TL resistance figure of 1.1615. GBPCHF’s recovery from nine-month old ascending trend-line may support the pair to aim for the 1.3125 and the 50-day SMA level of 1.3165 but a downward slanting TL stretched since April can confine its further upside around 1.3210.
One of the most technical setups can be seen on the USDCHF, where Friday ended with a bearish shooting star pattern. The place, where this pattern is present is not random as it is a long-term horizontal resistance (orange). In the smaller time frames, that shooting star is additionally shaped like the head and shoulders formation, which strengtheners the sell signal.
The European Central Bank president, Mario Draghi was speaking at the banking conference event in Portugal last week. The main take away from the speech was that the ECB president promised that the ECB would take time to hike interest rates.
The breakaway gap in the Euro (in this article, we use “Euro” to refer to the currency pair EUR/USD) on the 24th of April 2017 on the back of positive first round French election results that weekend broke through a resistance trendline from 2014, a 5-month ascending triangle and the 200-day moving average. It heralded a reversal in the trend of the Euro and what followed was a near 1-year rally that took the price from 1.087 to a high of 1.2558, a rise of 15.5%. After consolidating in a symmetrical triangle, the Euro broke to the downside and has been falling for over a month now.
Though there still remains a significant amount of uncertainty, recent populist movements in Italy have created the possibility of ending the national use of the Euro. Naturally, as a nation of over 60 million and the third largest nation in the Eurozone (after Germany and France), Italy’s abandonment of the Euro could spark a wide variety of far-reaching changes.
Investing.com -The euro rebounded from ten month lows against the dollar on Wednesday, erasing the previous day’s losses as financial markets recovered from a steep selloff sparked by political turmoil in Italy.
Investing.com -The euro rose back above the $1.16 level on Wednesday as it recovered after falling to multi-month lows the previous day as fears over political turmoil in Italy roiled markets.
Investing.com - The euro bounced off the worst levels of the day on Tuesday after comments by the leader of Italy’s Five Star political party calmed investors’ concerns over the prospect of an Italian exit from the euro zone.