|Day's Range||1.091 - 1.091|
|52 Week Range||1.0816 - 1.3080|
The Swiss National Bank on Thursday left its key policy rate and expansionary monetary policy unchanged, but said it "remains willing to intervene in the foreign exchange market as necessary." The central bank said it was also tweaking the basis for calculating negative interest rates on sight deposits -- deposits that can be quickly pulled out or without any notice -- at the SNB. The bank said its expansionary monetary policy is still needed owing to international developments and the country's inflation outlook. "Negative interest and the willingness to intervene are important in order to counteract the attractiveness of Swiss franc investments and thus ease pressure on the currency. In this way, the SNB stabilises price developments and supports economic activity," the bank said. Its conditional inflation forecast for the current year was lowered to 0.4% from 0.6% in the previous quarter, and its growth forecast was cut to between 0.5% and 1% for 2019 as a whole,compared to around 1.5% in June. The Swiss franc dropped 0.3% against the euro to 1.0968 francs, and fell 0.4% to 0.9928 franc versus the dollar.
Investing.com -- The Swiss National Bank left its key interest rate unchanged Thursday but took steps to reduce the penalty that banks pay on excess reserves, a week after the European Central Bank took similar action to protect euro zone banks against the harmful side-effects of negative rates. The SNB said the volume of excess reserves that will be remunerated at the penalty rate will be reviewed on a monthly basis.
Investing.com - Oil prices will react when markets open after an attack on a key Saudi production facility, amid uncertainty over how much global supply will be disrupted. Investors are also bracing for another interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve this week, as well as a flurry of rate decisions from other world central banks.
It promises to be an interesting month, especially as we build to what is a ‘live’ FOMC meeting in July, with implied at 62% chance of a cut. If Trump doesn’t converge with the Mexicans and Chinese then the Fed start chopping and that has huge implications – gold bulls will be feeling a tad excited right here.
USDCHF’s pullback from 0.9935 can’t be considered as a sign of its strength unless the pair clears 1.0005-10 horizontal-region on a daily closing basis, which in-turn highlights the importance of 50-day SMA level of 0.9920 and 0.9900, including 200-day SMA as immediate supports. However, pair’s declines past-0.9900 might not hesitate recalling the 0.9860 and the 0.9800 on chart. In case prices rally beyond 1.0010, the 1.0040 and the 1.0085 could quickly appear as quote. Additionally, pair’s successful rise above 1.0085 can flash 1.0130 on buyers’ radar.EUR/CHF
Today, we will show You three very promising setups with the CHF, which yesterday got super strong but finishes this week on the back foot. First setup is on the USDCHF. Next one is the EURCHF, where the price is creating a hammer on the weekly chart.
Multiple failures to rise past the 1.0000-1.0005 region highlights the importance of short-term ascending trend-line, at 0.9900, for USDCHF traders, which if broken can quickly drag the pair to 0.9880 and then to the 0.9860 supports. However, 61.8% FE level of 0.9825 and the 0.9800 round-figure may restrict the pair’s further declines. On the upside, the 0.9960 and the 0.9985 could serve as immediate resistances for the pair before diverting market attention to 1.0000-1.0005 area for one more time. Assuming the pair’s ability to cross 1.0005 mark, the 1.0050, the 1.0080 and the 1. ...
Today, in the EU markets’ focus is the ECB meeting, which often causes strong volatility. Mario Draghi is expected to confirm that the Central Bank will finally stop buying assets by the end of this year.
With nearly 100-pip range between 1.0010-05 and 0.9920-15 aptly limiting the USDCHF moves, the pair is presently expected to revisit the 0.9950 rest-point ahead of testing the 0.9915 range-support for one more time. However, pair’s drop beneath the 0.9915 can quickly fetch it to 0.9885 and the 0.9860 marks ahead of highlighting the 0.9845 as a support. Meanwhile, an upside clearance of 1.0010 could propel the quote to 1.0050 and then to the 1.0080 resistances whereas pair’s successful trading beyond 1.0080 enables it to aim for 1.0100 and the 1.0130 numbers to north.EUR/CHF
Weekly closing beyond 1.0045 wasn’t enough for the USDCHF to register its strength as 1.0105-15 horizontal-region still stands tall to challenge the buyers, which if broken can escalate the pair’s rise to 1.0170 and the 1.0215 prior to highlighting the 1.0250 upside barrier. Given the successful price rally above 1.0250, the 1.0340 and the 61.8% FE level of 1.0550 may gain market attention. Alternatively, a W1 close beneath the 1.0045 could recall the 0.9980 and the 0.9900 as on the chart. During the pair’s extended downturn below 0.9900, the 0. ...
In this piece, we will describe the situation on the EURCHF, where a week ago, we were waiting for the buy signal. Usually, you need to wait for the proper signal. The price broke the lower line of the flag and the short-term horizontal support.
Generally speaking, October for the EUR was pretty bad. We are not talking here only about the main pair (with the USD) but about the broad market. The fortune may be changing though. The pair, where we can see the ray of light is the EURCHF.EURCHF Daily Chart
In order to understand the risks presented by the Italian economy, it is important to recognize why the situation in 2018 is so familiar to what we witnessed in 2011. Can Italy be the next Greece?
In spite of bouncing from the three-week long support-line, USDCHF couldn’t sustain its U-turn and is likely to revisit the 0.9860 rest-point, breaking which 0.9825 & 0.9800 could come back on the chart. Though, the 0.9770 horizontal-line may confine the pair’s declines past-0.9800, if not then 0.9755 & 0.9700 can appear in the sellers radar. In case the quote surpasses 0.9900 immediate resistance, a month old downward slanting TL, at 0.9955, followed by the 0.9985 and the 1.0000 round-figure, might please buyers. Moreover, pair’s successful trading beyond 1. ...
Break of three-month old descending trend-line, also encompassing 100-day SMA, signal brighter chances for the USDCHF’s further upside towards 0.9945-50 multiple resistance area. However, a bit broader downward slanting TL, at 1.0000 psychological magnet, can confine the pair’s advances past-0.9950, if not then 1.0040 & 1.0070 may gain traders’ attention. In case the quote continue rising beyond 1.0070, the 1.0100 & 1.0170 could entertain the Bulls. Alternatively, the 0. ...