FEYE - FireEye, Inc.

NasdaqGS - NasdaqGS Real Time Price. Currency in USD
10.06
+0.74 (+7.94%)
At close: 4:00PM EDT

10.00 -0.06 (-0.60%)
After hours: 7:20PM EDT

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Momentum

Momentum

Performance Outlook
  • Short Term
    2W - 6W
  • Mid Term
    6W - 9M
  • Long Term
    9M+
Previous Close9.32
Open9.74
Bid9.93 x 3000
Ask10.12 x 2900
Day's Range9.59 - 10.10
52 Week Range7.54 - 18.34
Volume2,492,212
Avg. Volume4,462,893
Market Cap2.24B
Beta (5Y Monthly)1.05
PE Ratio (TTM)N/A
EPS (TTM)-1.24
Earnings DateApr 27, 2020
Forward Dividend & YieldN/A (N/A)
Ex-Dividend DateN/A
1y Target Est16.38
Fair Value is the appropriate price for the shares of a company, based on its earnings and growth rate also interpreted as when P/E Ratio = Growth Rate. Estimated return represents the projected annual return you might expect after purchasing shares in the company and holding them over the default time horizon of 5 years, based on the EPS growth rate that we have projected.
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      Investment firm Goldman Sachs has revised its 2020 economic forecast, and the outlook is decidedly grim. Where just 10 days ago, Goldman was predicting that GDP would experience a 5% contraction in Q2, the update puts the forecast at a 24% second-quarter contraction. That’s a depression-style number, and Goldman does not sugar-coat it.What the bank does do, however, is to try and extend its reading into 2H20, and looking forward the chances may not be as bad. The economy was strong as 2019 ended, and even in January and February the jobs numbers remained highly positive – and Goldman sees that underlying strength coming back in the second half. The bank predicts a sharp rebound in the third and fourth quarters, with growth hitting 12% in Q3 and 10% in Q4. Investors should expect, however, an economic contraction for the full year.Goldman doesn’t leave their forecasts at the macro level. In a report on COVID-19’s impact on the tech sector, analyst Brian Essex adjusts his outlook on an array of stocks, in an attempt to sort the wheat from the chaff. Of the potential growth stocks, positioned to expand despite the developing recession, Essex says, “We generally prefer companies with subscription and recurring revenue models which provide durable revenue and a high degree of visibility. We also prefer a high percentage of domestic revenue with large enterprise and/or (U.S.) government exposure.”We’ve taken three of Goldman Sachs’s Buy-side calls, and pulled their data from the TipRanks database. These are tech companies, mostly in the mid- to large- market cap range, and strong profiles in cybersecurity and data analysis. Their footprint makes them suited for remote work, giving them a step up on survival in the coronavirus epidemic, while their firm position in the information economy gives them a steady flow of business, even as economies stutter.FireEye, Inc. (FEYE)The first GS stock pick we’ll examine is FireEye, a cybersecurity provider for the high-end blue-chips, counting among its clients Target, JPMorgan, and Sony Pictures. Like the economy generally, FireEye ended 2019 on a high note, clearly shown by the company’s Q4 earnings. EPS came in 75% above estimates, at 7 cents, and grew 17% year-over-year. Revenue also beat both the forecasts and year-ago number, coming in at $235 million.FireEye’s success was built on its services, which are very much in demand in a tech-based information economy. The Silicon Valley company offers its customers protection against cybersecurity and malware attacks, and analytic software to find security risks. The company brought in $889 million in revenues last year, and showed sequential earnings gains in each quarter.In his notes on FEYE, Goldman’s Essex notes the company’s exposure to current economic strains, with potential declines in product revenue, but goes on to point out FireEye’s larger strengths: “We expect Incident Response and Threat Intelligence to gain traction as organizations look to investigate and secure their IT infrastructure without the need for physical intervention. Additionally, approximately 25% of the company’s revenue is government related, which we view as one of the more stable sources of revenue in this environment.”In mild deference to the current hard times, Essex lowers his price target on FEYE by $2, to $16, but still sees an impressive 65% upside to the stock. His Buy rating is an upgrade from neutral, reflecting that growth potential. (To watch Essex’s track record, click here)FireEye has a Moderate Buy analyst consensus rating, based on an even split between 4 Buys and 4 Holds. The share price is down to $11, making this tech company highly affordable, and the average price target of $19 suggests room for 74% growth in the next 12 months. (See FireEye stock analysis on TipRanks)Palo Alto Networks (PANW)The second cybersecurity company on Goldman Sachs’ list is another Silicon Valley denizen. Palo Alto Networks develops secure cloud systems and advanced firewalls, essential software in the growing cloud computing segment. Malware attacks were up in 2019, and PANW’s services were in high demand.That demand can be seen in the company’s recent fiscal Q2 report. The results are interesting, because they cover a period including both the end of 2019 and January 2020, and so include the beginning of the coronavirus epidemic. Q2 earnings were solid, at $1.19 per share they beat the forecast by 6.3%, but also down year-over-year. Revenue missed the estimate by 3.1%, but the $816.7 reported showed strong yoy growth. At the end of Palo Alto’s fiscal Q2, PANW shares were up 5.1% year-to-date; but as the bottom fell out of the market, the stock is now down 36% ytd.Still Palo Alto Networks is a well-established company in an essential software niche, and Essex sees that foundation as the key point. He reiterates his Buy rating on the stock, although he does reduce his price target by 26% to $195. The new target still implies a 21% upside for the stock. (To watch Essex’s track record, click here)In his comments, Essex outlines the company’s strong points, saying “[A] meaningful installed base continues to drive maintenance revenue growth, and we believe this revenue is durable over time. We expect the stock to re-rate higher once fundamentals normalize, and view sufficient runway for multiple expansion for PANW, driven by traction with next-gen security solutions and inflection in product revenue growth.”This stock has attracted plenty of interest from Wall Street’s analysts. PANW’s analyst consensus rating is a Moderate Buy based on 29 reviews, which include 17 Buys against 11 Holds and 1 Sell. The stock sells for $166.28, while the $232 average price target indicates a potential upside of 43% for the shares. (See Palo Alto Networks stock analysis on TipRanks)Verint Systems (VRNT)Last on today’s list of tech recommendations from Goldman Sachs is data analysis company Verint Systems. Verint produces both software and hardware for business intelligence, customer engagement, security, and surveillance analytic systems. The company caters to thousands of corporate clients in 150 countries worldwide.In a fascinating move, Verint announced in December that it will be splitting into two independent public companies. The move will separate Verint’s $1 billion customer engagement business from its $500 million cyber intelligence segment, as the current combination is considered too large and unwieldy by management. The planned split will be conducted in stages through 2020, with completion scheduled just after the fiscal quarter ending in January 2021. As part of the split, VRNT is initiating a $300 million share buyback program.At the same time it announced the planned split, Verint also announced fiscal Q3 earnings. EPS beat both the forecast and the yoy number, coming in at 94 cents. Revenues, at $331 million, edged over expectations and grew 7.4% year-over-year.In his comments on Verint, Essex acknowledges that the planned split of the business segments is a risk factor – but it is a known risk factor. He points out Verint’s current status: “Our numbers are not changing materially as we believe our numbers were previously relatively conservative and the company has already migrated away from more volatile hardware and integration revenue.”As with the other stocks on this list, Essex is lowering his price target. At $49, the new target suggests room for a 22% upside and supports his Buy rating. (To watch Essex’s track record, click here)This stock is another Moderate Buy from analyst consensus view, based on 2 recent Buy ratings. At $58, the average price target implies a premium of 45% from the current share price of $41. (See Verint stock analysis on TipRanks)

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      When investors buy stocks for the long haul, the holding period is ideally forever. But that is not always possible. Valuations may reach unfavorable levels or fundamentals may worsen. When that happens, investors need to re-evaluate the company's long-term prospects. One of the quickest negative catalysts that will accelerate a blue chip's safe-haven status is if it gets in the news. That is, news reports that tarnished the company's branding just might hurt the future returns.Sometimes headlines try to hurt a company's branding but are really just noise that investors should ignore. Deeper research into the latest headlines concerning the stock is necessary before acting irrationally and selling. But the biggest "tell" that a company is broken enough that it is time to sell is looking at fundamentals. If revenue is slowing and profits are shrinking, an investment portfolio's performance will suffer. When that happens, it is time for investors to ditch that holding.Macroeconomic risks are higher than ever. Devrim Yaman, a finance professor and associate dean at Western Michigan University's Hawthorn College of Business, said in an email to InvestorPlace that "in 2020, we expect markets to be particularly volatile. This is partly due to the uncertainty surrounding the presidential election in November as well as the primaries before that. The U.S.-China trade war and the economic impact of the coronavirus will likely exacerbate the volatility."InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading TipsFurther, Yaman pointed out the performance disparity between low and high volatility stocks will widen. She said "I expect investors to gravitate towards the high volatility factor in 2020 in order to profit from these fluctuations. This is in contrast to the historical long-term data which shows that overall low volatility stocks earn higher returns than high volatility stocks." * 10 S&P 500 Stocks to Buy Increasing Their Dividends in 2020 The combination of macro risks and tarnished brands suggests that investors might want to drop seven of the following stocks. Blue-Chip Stocks to Sell: Wells Fargo (WFC)Source: Martina Badini / Shutterstock.com Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) is in the news after U.S. regulators are fining eight former executives over the account scandal. Four years ago, the bank pressured employees to meet difficult sales targets. This resulted in employees opening millions of fake accounts to meet those targets. In the last six months, the stock climbed from a bottom of $43.34 and topped $54.75. And in hindsight, Wells Fargo stock peaked at the end of 2019 ahead of its quarterly earnings report.The fourth-quarter report had two weak results that suggest investors should ditch the stock. Non-interest income grew by 4% but was offset by a 6% decline in net interest income. The bank blamed low interest rates, which suggests that a further Federal Reserve rate cut will continue pressuring this bank's results.Wells Fargo also posted higher litigation accruals, to the tune of $1.5 billion. Bulls may argue that the balance sheet cleanup with the write-down sets a bottom from here. The new CEO is at the beginning phases of orchestrating a turnaround. At a price-to-earnings ratio below 12 times and a dividend that yields over 4%, value investors may speculate by buying WFC stock here.In a price-to-earnings model, Wells Fargo stock is worth approximately $46 (per finbox.io):Metrics Range Conclusion Selected LTM P/E Multiple 8.x-10x 9x Selected Forward P/E Multiple 11.1x-13.5x 12.3x Fair Value $41-$50.64 $45.82 Table courtesy of finbox.ioFor anyone who has held the stock for a long time, selling shares would help avoid further losses. Cisco Systems (CSCO)Source: Valeriya Zankovych / Shutterstock.com Cisco Systems (NASDAQ:CSCO) reported Q2 results that sent the stock falling from $50 to around $47 last week. Non-GAAP earnings per share of 77 cents beat expectations. Yet revenue fell by 4% year-over-year to $12 billion. Despite the mixed results, management declared a 3% hike in the dividend, giving Cisco stock a yield of around 3%. Why sell Cisco when dividends are increasing?Unfortunately, the 3% dividend hike is small and reflects the weak cash flow. Rumors that it will buy FireEye (NASDAQ:FEYE) are equally troubling. Buying the underperforming business will cost at least $3.7 billion. If the business is slowing -- even though it benefits from secular growth trends from 5G, Wi-Fi 6 and 400G -investors should look elsewhere. The ongoing shift to the cloud is not accelerating Cisco's revenue growth. Conversely, investors could buy Google (NASDAQ:GOOG, NASDAQ:GOOGL) or Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) stock instead. * 7 Failing Tech Stocks to Disconnect From Now Cisco's infrastructure platform and application segments posted falling sales year-over-year. Also, the services revenue growth of 5% is good but slow. At current prices, investors have better options elsewhere. Pfizer (PFE)Source: Manuel Esteban / Shutterstock.com Pfizer (NYSE:PFE) posted yet another quarterly earnings report that missed expectations. So unless the company achieves revenue growth of at least 5% annually over the next five years, shareholders should sell. The stock pays a dividend that yields 4.2%, but anyone who demands upside appreciation has many other drug stocks to consider instead.Sales of Ibrance, which treats metastatic breast cancer, rose 23% and is potentially a $5-billion-a-year product. But this year is a make-or-break year for the drug. CEO Albert Bourla said that "We continue to expect our two event-driven Ibrance early breast cancer programs, Penelope B, and powers to read out in late 2020 and early 2021 respectively. If successful, and following regulatory approval, these programs could double the number of patients eligible to benefit from Ibrance."Any negative data read for Ibrance may send Pfizer stock lower in 2020.Pfizer's sale of its Upjohn unit will bring in $12 billion in cash proceeds, which strengthens its balance sheet. Looking at the full year 2020, the company forecasts revenue of $48.5 billion to $50.5 billion. This weak outlook is due to the loss of exclusivity for Lyrica -- a pain medication -- in the U.S. CFO Frank D'Amelio said "the midpoints of these ranges imply … higher adjusted R&D expenses and higher adjusted other income, which reflects earnings from the consumer healthcare joint venture." Walgreens (WBA)Source: saaton / Shutterstock.com The market fooled investors into buying Walgreens (NASDAQ:WBA) stock in November 2019. A leveraged buyout by KKR (NYSE:KKR) would value the company at $85 billion. The deal is unlikely because it would require taking on too much debt. And so, Walgreens stock fell from $62, instead of heading toward the $71 take-out price.Walgreens acquired 1,932 stores from Rite Aid (NYSE:RAD), solidifying its play as a retail pharmacy. But CVS Health (NYSE:CVS) proved that vertical integration with a healthcare plan provider is a better approach. Walgreens posted revenue of $34.3 billion, up 1.6% over last year. In effect, the proposed buyout was the only positive catalyst lifting the stock.CVS Health posted a different story. The company reported revenue growing 22.9% to $66.9 billion. Adjusted operating income rose 1.3% to $3.8 billion. It looks like holding CVS stock and selling Walgreens stock would make the most sense for 2020. Besides, Walgreens is busy with a transformational cost management program instead of growing revenue. This will bring more than $1.8 billion in annual cost savings by 2022. It also led to a free cash flow generation of $674 million in the first quarter. While this program is on track, CVS offer investors better revenue growth now. * 7 'Strong Buy' Stocks With Over 50% Upside Potential Walgreens is still struggling with "noise in the second quarter." This suggests that the 13% headwind in earnings per share from the program will hurt WBA stock for now. 3M Company (MMM)Source: JPstock / Shutterstock.com 3M Company (NYSE:MMM) is trading at levels not seen since 2017. Even after the stock fell from a yearly high of $219 to the $160 level, the stock still trades at a premium valuation. Its price/earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio is around 4.5 times.Investors could buy Honeywell (NYSE:HON) and pay a PEG of 2.8 times. So, it does not make much sense to continue holding 3M stock. In the fourth quarter, 3M took a restructuring charge that shaved 20 cents from its EPS. Management said that the $134 million charge "includes streamlining our organization by reducing approximately 1,500 positions spanning all business groups, functions and geographies."Cutting staff and reorganizing the units is the same as shuffling the deck. The lower headcount will save on costs but fails to grow the company. In fact, U.S. organic growth fell 3% in Q4. Transportation, electronics, safety and industrial businesses all performed poorly. Revenue from the electronics unit dragged Asia-Pacific revenue, which also fell 3%. Business dropped by 7% in Japan.Cautious investors may model revenue growing at no more than 2% annually in a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) model: revenue exit. Under the following assumptions, MMM stock is worth under $140 a share.Metrics Range Conclusion Discount Rate 8%-9% 8.5% Terminal Revenue Multiple 2.8x-3.8x 3.3x Fair Value $117.66-$161.85 $138.89 Upside -26.9%-0.5% -13.7% Table courtesy of finbox.io Dell Technologies (DELL)Source: Jonathan Weiss / Shutterstock.com Once a publicly traded company, then privately traded, and public again, Dell Technologies (NYSE:DELL) is an inexpensive stock. It trades at a trailing P/E of 10.4 times and a forward P/E below 8. This just shows that investors should avoid the stock for a reason. The company bought EMC but did not have any synergies with it. It struggled to grow EqualLogic, a storage company. Conversely, shares of Seagate (NASDAQ:STX) and Western Digital (NASDAQ:WDC) are sharply higher over the last few years.Insider selling of DELL stock is another bearish signal. On the flip side, investors seeking an undervalued stock may look at HP (NYSE:HPQ) instead. If Xerox (NYSE:XRX) succeeds in buying it, HPQ stock will reward its investors.Dell's outlook is hardly encouraging, either. The company forecast fiscal 2020 sales of $91.8 billion to $92.5 billion. This is below the $93.5 billion consensus estimate. And in Q3, the net revenue grew by just 2% to $22.8 billion. So, as it spends its fiscal 2020 paying down the debt of around $5 billion, it still has $44.7 billion left.Dell stock has a good value score:DELL Industry S&P 500 Value Score 86 57 74 Price-to-Earnings 10 17.8 25.5 Price-to-Sales 0.4 0.7 2.4 Data courtesy of Stock Rover.comThe quality score suggests otherwise. Notice the low operating margin:DELL Industry S&P 500 Quality Score 48 52 80 Gross Margin 30.8% 27.8% 29% Operating Margin 2.4% 4.4% 13.4% Net Margin 4.2% 4.1% 9.6% Data courtesy of Stock Rover.com Arista Networks (ANET)Source: Sundry Photography / Shutterstock.com Arista Networks (NYSE:ANET) posted Q4 revenue falling 7.3% over last year to $552.5 million. Earnings per share came in at $3.25. At a forward P/E close to 22 times, investors may not want to hold this market-valued stock when the IT sector is slowing down. So with both Cisco and Arista reporting a slowdown in the business, the risk of further downside is high.Arista posted revenue of $552.5 million and $2.4 billion for the year. Its 5-year total addressable market is $30 billion by 2024. Unfortunately, markets price stocks for the near term. If businesses are not increasing their orders for the company's campus Ethernet switch, the stock may correct further. The data center Ethernet switch business is supposed to offset the slowdown in switches. But data center revenue growth will not pick up until 2022.The company cut operating expenses and spent less on research and development. Headcount increased in sales and marketing, offset by a drop in other sales costs. By right-sizing the business, Arista may weather the storm. It might grow its cash from operations, too. In Q4, it generated $327 million of cash from operations. This allowed it to authorize a three-year $1 billion share buyback.Most analysts rate the stock a "hold," according to TipRanks. With little upside and a fair value between $197-$232, consider selling the stock.Chris Lau is a contributing author for InvestorPlace.com and numerous other financial sites. Chris has over 20 years of investing experience in the stock market and runs the Do-It-Yourself Value Investing Marketplace on Seeking Alpha. He shares his stock picks so readers get original insight that helps improve investment returns. As of this writing, Chris Lau did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 10 S&P 500 Stocks to Buy Increasing Their Dividends in 2020 * 5 Tech Stocks Vying to Win the AR/VR Race * 7 U.S. Stocks to Buy on Coronavirus Weakness The post 7 Tarnished Blue-Chip Stocks to Ditch Now appeared first on InvestorPlace.

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