71.17 +0.37 (0.53%)
After hours: 4:11PM EDT
|Bid||70.76 x 800|
|Ask||70.78 x 800|
|Day's Range||70.70 - 71.88|
|52 Week Range||66.19 - 86.06|
|PE Ratio (TTM)||61.19|
|Forward Dividend & Yield||0.96 (1.31%)|
|1y Target Est||N/A|
Besides overall market volatility, the most important determinant of precious metal prices, especially gold’s (IAU) (SLV), is the US dollar. As gold prices reached a five-month low, the US dollar reached a five-month high against a basket of six major world currencies. The US dollar (UUP), as represented by the DXY Currency Index, has risen ~3.6% over the last month.
While gold stocks seemingly offer a viable solution, their overall performance has been unusually disappointing. When it does, today’s beaten-up and undervalued gold stocks could witness a robust revival. While I don’t begrudge the equities sector enjoying its resilient bull market, the underperformance in gold stocks doesn’t quite jibe.
In this part of the series, we’ll analyze the correlation of the mining stocks to gold. Gold is the most dominant of the four precious metals, and silver, platinum, and palladium are known to closely track the movement in gold. Also, precious metals, though they belong to the equity segment of the market, are more dependent on where precious metals move, especially gold.
In this part of the series, we’ll look at the correlation between gold and four mining stocks: Franco-Nevada (FNV), Randgold Resources (GOLD), Yamana Gold (AUY), and Pan American Silver (PAAS). For the most part, mining stocks move in tandem with gold prices. Among these four miners, Pan American Silver demonstrated the highest correlation with gold this year, while Franco-Nevada displayed the lowest correlation.
US ten-year Treasury note yields (IEF) hit a high mark of approximately 3.1% today—a record since July 2011. Yesterday was also an up-day for US yields. The two-year Treasury note yield (SHY)(GOVT) hit a new multiyear high of approximately 2.6%—its highest level since August 11, 2008.
When analyzing precious metals and precious metal mining companies, it’s essential to analyze the relationship between precious metals. There have been considerable ups and downs in precious metals since the beginning of 2018. Year-to-date, gold has risen 1.1%, and silver has fallen 2.2%.
Royalty and streaming mining companies (RING)(SIL) have business models that are considered quite conservative because they don’t own mines. Among the four major streaming companies we’ll discuss in this part of our series, Franco-Nevada (FNV) has the highest forward EV-to-EBITDA multiple of 22.8x. This multiple implies a premium of 25.8% to its peers, which seems justified given FNV’s superior growth profile, strong balance sheet, and diversified production base.
Gold streaming companies are a great way to invest in the precious metal. Here are some of the key benefits you need to know about and the top stocks to consider.
On a per-share basis, the Toronto-based company said it had profit of 35 cents. Earnings, adjusted for non-recurring gains, came to 34 cents per share. The results topped Wall Street expectations. The ...
With the earnings projections for the Basic Materials sector looking promising for the first quarter-2018, it will be interesting to see how some mining stocks fare when they report on May 9.
A crucial element that’s strongly influencing the price of precious metals is the recent Federal Reserve meeting and the decision to raise interest rates. We’re expecting four rate hikes in 2018 with inflation likely crossing the 2% target.
Gold went on a bit of a roller coaster ride in 2017. Gold prices bounced between highs and lows from month to month in a trading range of roughly $1,200 to $1,300 per ounce before breaking out to a yearly high of nearly $1,350 per ounce in September. The SPDR Gold Shares ETF ( GLD), the SPDR ETF that tracks gold bullion, returned 12.81% in 2017. The precious metal trades at around $1,314 per ounce as of May 3, 2018. The precious metal has traditionally been perceived as a safe haven investment in times of economic uncertainty – and no one can argue that major shakeups such as Brexit, Donald Trump's presidency, skepticism about a resolution on the Korean peninsula and volatility in the cryptocurrency market have contributed to a general feeling of unpredictability.
Royal Gold is one of the largest streaming companies. Here's what that means, and why precious metals investors should get to know the stock
Depressed platinum prices are a major concern for platinum miners in Africa. Platinum, like palladium, is used to cut down carbon monoxide emissions and as an autocatalyst in vehicle engines. The platinum market has been in short supply for the last few years.
In addition to the US dollar playing on precious metals, US interest rates and the Federal Reserve’s decisions have also historically had a substantial impact on these safe havens. The rising interest rates may be a concern for equities, as companies face a higher borrowing cost. The below chart shows the relationship of gold (GLD) to the US two-year and ten-year interest rates (SHY) (IEF).
Compared to stocks, commodities haven't been this undervalued for more than 40 years. Since the commodities super cycle unwound nearly 10 years ago, many investors have been waiting for the right conditions to trigger mean reversion and lift prices.
In this part of our series, we’ll be looking at the correlation between gold and four mining stocks: New Gold (NGD), Newmont Mining (NEM), Franco-Nevada (FNV), and Randgold Resources (GOLD). Mining stocks mostly move with gold prices but not always. Mining stocks have high correlations with gold. The Global X Silver Miners ETF (SIL) and the Sprott Gold Miners (SGDM) also tend to have strong correlations with gold.
The International Monetary Fund (or IMF) also warned on April 18, 2018, that the unexpected rise in US inflation could cause significant global tensions, which could force central banks to respond firmly. It added that a hike in inflation in the US could lead the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates faster than expected. The director of the IMF’s monetary and capital markets department, Tobias Adrian, said, “What we are flagging is that at some point markets see shocks in inflation that raise inflation uncertainty and when that happens, that is associated with a rise in long-term interest rates and that might lead to a tightening in financial conditions.” While he said that the uncertainty regarding US inflation is very low, markets could have an outsized reaction to any spike.