|Day's Range||1.83 - 1.842|
|52 Week Range||1.68890 - 1.86954|
Analysts looking for key drivers over the near-term that will ultimately decide the fate of a number of currencies, economies and ultimately whether a new crisis dawns.
EURGBP is presently struggling with 50-day SMA level of 0.8940 in order to aim for the 0.8980 trend-line resistance, breaking which 0.9000 and the 0.9030 may regain market attention. With the immediate descending trend-line presently questioning the GBPAUD’s rise around 1.8185, the pair can drop back to 1.8055 and the 1.8000 round-figure but the 1.7930-15 and the 1.7815 TL might confine its further declines. Meanwhile, break of the 1.8185 trend-line can propel the pair to 1.8290 & 1.8350 resistances but the 1.8400 could limit the pair’s advances afterwards.
The AUDUSD pair shows a descending impulse inside the long-term downtrend. The main downside target is the support line of the major channel at 0.7125.
One of the best setups at the beginning of the week can be found on the GBPUSD. The pair is on the back foot and the main reasons for that, from the fundamental point of view, are the weaker PMI number and the new comments from Mr. Barnier regarding Brexit. This comes in line with the technical analysis, which was giving us a sell signal as early as on Friday.
The British Pound performed its sharpest strengthening in 7 months on the softening tone of the EU in the negotiations about Brexit. China pulls down global stocks.
While six-week long descending trend-line continue restricting the AUDUSD’s near-term upside, the pair has to sustain its dip beneath the 0.7340 horizontal-support in order to revisit the recent low around 0.7310. In case the pair continue declining below 0.7310, the 61.8% FE level of 0.7255 could please the sellers. On the upside, a clear break of 0.7420 TL can trigger the pair’s recovery towards 0.7475-80 region, which if conquered could escalate the rise to 0.7510 and the 0.7550 resistances. Assuming that Bulls keep fueling the quote beyond 0.7550, the 0.7605, the 0. ...
The UK’s retail sales figures dropped unexpectedly in June. Sales declined by 0.5% in June compared to a growth of 1.4% in May. YoY Retail sales grew by 2.9, below analysts expectation of 3.7%. Pound hits a 10-month low near 1.30 versus the US dollar.
The British Pound continues its fall on Wednesday morning, trading at 1.3087, down 0.18%. The pound falls on reports that Theresa May could face a defeat on the latest Brexit Vote.
The pound sterling has been trying to strengthen over the last few days but has not succeeded so far. The major fear of the pound traders lies in Brexit negotiations which are paused or disputed every now and then. Jobless claims in the UK rose by 7,800 against the expectations at 2,300 and the previous number of 7,700.
It’s been a very lively and busy few days in the UK. There are many scenarios and opinions flying about at the moment, but what do we make of the current situation? Let’s take a step back and look at the facts.
Cable (GBPUSD) took a hit yesterday as Boris Johnson resigned from the Cabinet following the earlier decision by David Davis to part ways with his post as Brexit Secretary. Global stocks rise on Tuesday morning ahead of US earnings season.
The full impact of the move has yet to be priced in with the possibility that PM May now places a more “enthusiastic believer” in the role which could result in a shift in Brexit negotiations going forward.
Following its another bounce off the 0.7360-55 horizontal-support, the AUDUSD again confronts a month-old descending trend-line, around 0.7395-0.7400, which if broken could trigger the pair’s recovery towards the 0.7420 and the 0.7445-50 resistances. Assuming that Aussie buyers rule trade-sentiments after 0.7450, the 0.7475, the 0.7500 and the 0.7530 are likely following numbers that can appear in their radars. Meanwhile, pair’s dip beneath the 0.7355 can reprint 0.7330 & 0.7310 on the chart whereas the 0.7300 and the 61.8% FE level of 0.7260 may please the sellers afterwards. ...
With an upward slanting trend-channel portraying the GBPAUD’s strength, the pair is likely to maintain its gradual advances in direction to the 1.8000 round-figure, with 1.7960 being immediate resistance to watch. Should prices rally beyond 1.8000, the 1.8015, the 1.8085-90 horizontal-barrier and the 1.8115, comprising channel’s upper-line, may grab market attention.
GBPUSD’s recent U-turn, mainly due to three MPC members voting in favor of a rate-change, seems fueling the pair towards 1.3230-40 resistance-zone and then to the 1.3310 barrier. However, six-week long descending trend-line, at 1.3410 now, could restrict the pair’s further upside, failing to which highlights the 1.3480 and the 1.3550 resistances ahead of challenging the buyers’ strength by 200-day SMA level of 1.3600 and the 1.3610-20 region. In case if the pair can’t sustain latest pullback, the 1.3080 seems immediate support to watch ahead of observing the 1. ...
With two-month long downward slanting trend-line restricting the GBPJPY’s upside, the pair continues to signal the 146.20 support re-test unless clearing the 147.75 TL barrier. Meanwhile, pair’s successful break above 147.75 trend-line enables it to claim the 148.10 and the 148.70 resistances but the 200-day SMA level of 149.80, adjacent to 150.00 psychological-magnet, could disappoint the Bulls.
Britain’s statistics continue to indicate a slowdown in the UK economy. Today’s data showed a decline in industrial production by 0.8% during April against a forecast growth of 0.1%.
GBPJPY’s U-turn from 144.00-143.90 horizontal-support seems presently helping the pair to aim for 146.00, breaking which 146.80 and 147.00 could entertain the counter-trend traders before pleasing them with 147.40 and the 148.00 numbers to north.
Even after trying multiple times during the last one-week, the GBPUSD is still not succeeded in its attempts to conquer eleven-month old ascending trend-line, at 1.3480 now; though, the 200-day SMA level of 1.3555 acts as a strong near-term upside barrier for the pair. Hence, the pair has to provide a daily close clearing either the 1.3480 or the 1.3555 in order to register higher momentum. Considering comparative weakness of the GBP, the pair is more likely to break the 1.3480 mark, which in-turn could quickly drag the quote to 1.3400 and then to the 1. ...
The AUD is going down again after taking a short break. The RBA meeting minutes did not affect the currency very much, as everything was quite clear beforehand. The Chinese stats were, on the contrary, very influential.
The pound sterling is around its January lows as we are heading into the third week of May. The decision of the Bank of England to leave the interest rates and the overall monetary policy unchanged disappointed the market.
The upcoming Bank of England’s interest rate decision on Thursday will have GBP traders paying attention to every detail possible. The recent GDP (Gross Domestic Product) was hard to swallow by GBP bulls, as it triggered a wave of selling in the GBP pairs.
With the AUDUSD’s break of nearly a year-old ascending trend-line, the pair seems vulnerable enough to revisit the 0.7505-0.7500 horizontal-support but the 0.7550 may become immediate rest. In case if Bears refrain to respect the 0.7500 round-figure and oversold RSI, the 0.7460, the 0.7420 and the 0.7370 consecutive numbers may mark their presence on the chart.
Having failed to sustain its pullback from 1.5890-95 horizontal-area, the EURAUD seems again coming down to re-test the same support-zone, breaking which the 1.5855 and the 1.5825 might not take too long to appear on the chart. Alike EURAUD, the GBPAUD also took a U-turn from near-term horizontal-region, the 1.8175-85 is the case here, but couldn’t rise much then after.
Successful break of short-term descending trend-line and an ascending trend-channel favors the AUDUSD’s further upside with 0.7900 being nearby resistance to counter prior to meeting the channel’s upper-line of 0.7930. In case if the pair disobeys channel formation by surpassing 0.7930, the 0.7985-90 horizontal-line seems crucial for buyers to watch, breaking which chances of the quote’s rally to 0.8045-50 can’t be denied. If the pair declines below 1.7595, the 1.7525 and the 1.7495, comprising 100-day SMA, are likely intermediate halts that it can avail prior to reigniting the importance of an upward slanting trend-line, at 1.7385 now.