|Bid||101.910 x 4500|
|Ask||101.920 x 1800|
|Day's Range||101.900 - 101.970|
|52 Week Range||101.470 - 108.810|
|PE Ratio (TTM)||N/A|
|Expense Ratio (net)||0.15%|
The US bond markets moved marginally higher in the previous week as investors’ worry about rising bond yields fell after the February inflation print showed stable growth. The Vanguard Total Bond Market (BND) ETF, which tracks the performance of the bond markets, ended the previous week at 79.5, appreciating by 0.26% for the week ending March 16.
Of late, the most crucial factors affecting gold prices are the US dollar and the potential change in the US interest rate. Precious metals are highly sensitive to movements in Treasury rates, as gold and Treasuries are competitors as haven assets. As investors await the Federal Reserve’s meeting in a few days, there’s a high chance that the interest rate will rise.
Exchange-traded funds that track U.S. Treasurys have struggled thus far in 2018, with investors retreating from the sector—particularly bonds with longer durations—as fears over inflation and higher rates ...
The US bond markets were the only asset class that failed to rally after the February jobs report was released on March 9, 2018. The bond market, however, suffered further losses as every other segment of the jobs report pointed to a strong employment market, leaving the bias tilted toward further rate hikes. Rising rates are negative for the bond market, and investors holding these bonds tend to lose their asset value.
Financial markets have witnessed an abrupt change in their approach to bond markets over the past two months. Up until the end of 2017, markets were not convinced that inflation could rise according to the Fed’s expectations, and so long-term rates (TLT) did not rise in tandem with short-term rates (SHY), leading the yield curve to flatten. Then the employment report for January indicated that worker wages had increased more than expected, which allowed the chance for inflation to rise.
Are bond bulls emerging from their hideouts? The US bond markets managed to gain some lost ground as bond bulls reemerged. The key focal point of bond traders was the FOMC meeting minutes, where the FOMC members were concerned about inflation, but they weren’t sure about inflation drastically increasing.
Is Volatility Set to Drop Further after Stock Market Rebound? US bond markets found some relief in the week ending February 16, as bond yields retreated from their multiyear high at the end of the week. The issue that was squeezing bond investors hasn’t gone away. The inherent risk of rising yields still exists, and last week’s respite could prove to be temporary at least for bond markets.
What Caused the Slump in Precious Metals and Miners? Another element besides the fluctuations of the US dollar that could have led to the fall in precious metals is the US interest rate. The Fed has kept investors on their toes with the rise in interest rates playing on the equity market slump.
By Justin Sibears, Newfound Research This post ended up being more timely than we could have ever imagined as Credit Suisse announced that it would accelerate XIV’s maturity after the ETN lost more than ...
What Triggered the Stock Market Panic This Month? Since the onset of the current euphoric rise in stock prices after the US elections, the bond markets have remained somewhat muted. Until recently, the ten-year bond yields have been hovering near the 2.5% mark, around 20 basis points higher than the 2016 average of 2.3%.
The recent rout in the equity market was fueled by concerns over rising interest rates, which could increase costs for the industry. Investor anxiety about rising rates was triggered by comments from San Francisco Fed president John Williams on Friday, February 2. During his speech, Williams said he envisioned three or four hikes this year, and investor anxiety escalated further after the non-farm payrolls report indicated impressive job gains in January.
The US bond market’s (BND) troubles escalated last week as inflation expectations continued to rise. The first reason was the January FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting. The Fed left interest rates unchanged at that meeting but changed its outlook on inflation, saying that inflation (TIP) could pick up and stay near the 2% target.
What Boosted the Leading Economic Index in 2017? In its December meeting, the US Federal Reserve increased the federal funds rate by 0.25%, just as markets expected. This led to the narrowing of credit spreads between long-term and short-term yields, resulting in a flattening yield curve.
The reopening of the US government on Tuesday, hawkish comments from the central banks of Europe and Japan, and President Trump’s “America is open for business” speech at the World Economic Conference in Davos, Switzerland, had little impact on the bond market. According to the latest COT (Commitment of Traders) report released on January 26 by the CFTC (Chicago Futures Trading Commission), speculators increased their short positions on the ten-year bond with net short positions increasing from 89,259 contracts to 117,877 contracts. The core PCE (personal consumption expenditures) inflation data could be import since the Fed prefers this measure of inflation when making interest rate decisions.
Inflation in the United States seems to be rebounding. Moreover, U.S. equities have been rallying on strong economic fundamentals, leading to an increase in investors’ risk appetite and reallocation of funds from bonds to equities. Bond prices move inverse to bond yields.Source: ShutterstockWhat’s Moving Yields?
The US bond (BND) markets remained under pressure and closed lower for the week ended January 19. At the beginning of the week, a news article about China planning to cut down its purchases of US Treasuries triggered an initial sell-off. The US Treasury is not able to issue any more debt until the debt ceiling is raised, which could increase the volatility in the bond markets.
The key reason for the bond market sell-off was the fear that inflation is set to increase in the months ahead. According to data reported on January 12, the consumer price index (or CPI) rose 0.1%, bringing the year-over-year inflation figure to 2.1%. This rise in inflation could keep rate hike expectations elevated, leading to higher yields and lower bond prices.