|Bid||0.00 x 0|
|Ask||0.00 x 0|
|Day's Range||88.55 - 89.66|
|52 Week Range||79.30 - 113.00|
|PE Ratio (TTM)||24.24|
|Forward Dividend & Yield||1.60 (1.84%)|
|1y Target Est||N/A|
As of April 20, McDonald’s (MCD) was trading at $158.77. On the same day, analysts expected the company’s stock price to reach $185.54 in the next 12 months, which represents a return potential of 16.9%.
The forward PE multiple is calculated by dividing a company’s current stock price with analysts’ earnings estimates for the next four quarters. Worries about customers trading down to cheaper menu options with the introduction of a new $1 $2 $3 Dollar Menu on January 1 and weakness in the broader equity market appear to have led to a fall in McDonald’s (MCD) stock price and forward PE (price-to-earnings) multiple.
Analysts expect McDonald’s (MCD) to post adjusted EPS (earnings per share) of $1.67, which represents growth of 13.7% from $1.47 in 1Q17. The EPS growth is expected to be driven by an expansion of the EBIT (earnings before interest and tax) margin, a lower effective tax rate, and share repurchases. Analysts are expecting McDonald’s EBIT margin at 41.0%, compared to 35.8% in 1Q17.
McDonald’s (MCD) is scheduled to announce its 1Q18 earnings before the market opens on April 30. As of April 20, the company was trading at $158.77, which represents a fall of 10.7% since the announcement of its 4Q17 earnings on January 30.
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As of April 16, 2018, McDonald’s (MCD) was trading at $161.63, a fall of 0.1% from the previous day’s close. The downgrade from Stephens appears to have led the stock to fall to as low as $160.83. However, the stock recovered due to strength in the broader equity market due to the easing of Syria-related tensions. On April 16, the S&P 500 Index (SPY) and the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) rose 0.8% and 0.75%, respectively.
On April 16, 2018, Will Slabaugh of Stephens downgraded McDonald’s (MCD) from “overweight” to “equal weight.” He also lowered his 12-month target price from $185 to $170, which represents a return potential of 8.3%. In his research note, Slabaugh wrote that although McDonald’s was able to post SSSG (same-store sales growth) in the mid-single digits in the last few quarters, especially in the US region, investors should not consider this the norm. Overall, analysts are expecting the company’s stock price to reach $186.46 in the next 12 months, which represents a return potential of 15.4%.
On April 3, 2018, McDonald’s (MCD) was trading at $160.40. On the same day, analysts expected the company’s stock price to reach $187.04 in the next 12 months, which represents a return potential of 16.6%.
The forward PE multiple is computed by dividing the company’s stock price by the analysts’ earnings estimate for the next four quarters. The strong performance in all four quarters of 2017 has led McDonald’s stock price to rise, driving its valuation multiple.
There could be more target price revisions in the coming days. Currently, the analysts’ 12-month average target price for the company is $57.17, which reflects a 40.5% upside to the share price as of April 3, 2018. Currently, analysts’ target price for McDonald’s is $187.04, reflecting a 16.6% upside to the stock price as of April 3, 2018.
McDonald’s (MCD) has posted EBIT (earnings before interest and tax) of ~$8.9 billion, which represents an EBIT margin of 38.8%. Comparatively, the company had posted an EBIT margin of 32.8% in 2016. The expansion of the company’s EBIT margin was driven by increased revenues from franchised restaurants, as well as lower company-owned restaurant expenses and franchised restaurants-occupancy expenses as a percentage of total revenues.
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In 2017, McDonald’s (MCD) posted revenues of ~$22.8 billion, which represents a fall of 7.3% from ~$24.6 billion in 2016. The effects of the addition of new franchised restaurants and positive SSSG (same-store sales growth) were more than offset by the refranchising of company-owned restaurants, which led to a fall in the company’s stock price. Due to the refranchising and closing of underperforming company-owned restaurants, the segment operated 222 fewer restaurants by the end of 2017 than the unit count at the end of 2016.
Analysts expect the company to report 12.9% growth in revenue, but adjusted EPS (earnings per share) are projected to be down 4.8% to $0.60. The company is lowering its full-year comps expectations to -1.0% to -0.7% as against earlier growth expectations of flat to up 0.75%.
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