|Bid||3.80 x 1900|
|Ask||4.09 x 700|
|Day's Range||3.88 - 4.00|
|52 Week Range||3.35 - 4.91|
|PE Ratio (TTM)||11.14|
|Forward Dividend & Yield||N/A (N/A)|
|1y Target Est||5.33|
Cleveland-Cliffs' (CLF) Q1 results are likely to be impacted by seasonally light sales volumes and lower price realization.
Usually, precious metal mining companies follow precious metals for price direction. Precious metals increased on Monday, April 16, 2018, which was followed by most mining shares.
While gold miners have been out of favor for a long time, that might be about to change. Since the uncertainty in the market is increasing, gold prices are poised to rise. This rise should be followed by gold miners (GDX), which are essentially a leveraged play on gold prices.
Geopolitical risk has been one of the major drivers for equity markets and commodities lately. In the latest development, the US, France, and the United Kingdom launched military strikes on Syria over the weekend. Since the strikes were surgical and the pullback was prompt, risk assets haven’t seen much impact from the strikes yet. However, another round of strikes or Russian retaliation could put the markets in risk-off mode.
While the stock of this gold mining giant has certainly had its ups and downs over the years, the future looks much brighter than the recent past.
Among the senior mining companies under review in this series (GDX), Newmont Mining (NEM) is currently trading at the highest EV-to-forward EBITDA (enterprise value to earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization) multiple, of 8.3x. The company’s slower production growth added to its woes in 2017. Its follow-through on its long-term vision of improving reserves, production, and unit costs by 20% each by 2021 could go a long way in further re-rating its multiple. Barrick Gold’s (ABX) higher financial leverage is still a concern for investors, and the recent issues at its Tanzanian mines have added to its woes.
Recently, the unrest in the markets has had a significant effect on precious metals and the US dollar. The US dollar has a prominent role in influencing dollar-denominated precious metals and mining stocks.
April 11, 2018, marked the fourth straight day of a rise in gold’s price. Gold rose 1.1% on the day and closed at $1,356.5 per ounce. The volatility reading in gold stood at 13%, a little higher than the previous day’s reading. Gold’s RSI (relative strength index) level also jumped to 61.
On March 12, 2018, RBC (Royal Bank of Canada) downgraded Newmont Mining (NEM) to “underperform” from “sector perform,” and cut NEM’s stock price by $1 to $43. On January 16, 2018, Deutsche Bank (DB) downgraded Newmont from “buy” to “hold.” DB analyst Chris Terry believes that whereas the outlook for commodity prices seems bright, Newmont has a rich valuation and catalysts for the stock have already played out.
As gold prices remained buoyant, gold equities also rose. The VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX) rose 2.2% against gold’s 1.0% gain. Among the major gold equities, Yamana Gold (AUY) rose the most by 6.4%, followed by IAMGOLD (IAG), which rose 4.6%. These two stocks are more leveraged to gold prices as compared to their peers. IAG, for example, rose 148% and 41% in 2016 and 2017, respectively, against gold price gains of 8% and 13% in 2016 and 2017. Year-to-date (or YTD), AUY and IAG have returned -9.4% and -11.3%, respectively.
In 1Q18, gold prices (GLD) rose by just 1%. While gold prices have repercussions on gold miners’ performance based on their leverage, most miners’ price movements in 1Q18 have been driven by company-specific factors such as the release of 2017 results, reserves, and 2018 guidance. Among senior gold miners, analysts are most bullish on Goldcorp (GG), assigning it 65% “buy” and 5% “sell” ratings.
NEW YORK, April 12, 2018-- In new independent research reports released early this morning, Fundamental Markets released its latest key findings for all current investors, traders, and shareholders of ...
Newmont Mining (NEM) stock rose 2.4% in 1Q18 while Goldcorp (GG) stock rose 4.5%. Newmont Mining reported an earnings beat in 4Q17. The company’s production and unit costs were in line with its guidance.
In this part of our series, we’ll look at the correlation between gold and four mining stocks: Coeur Mining (CDE), Barrick Gold (ABX), Kinross Gold (KGC), and Eldorado Gold (EGO). Mining stocks mostly move with gold prices but not always. Among these four miners, Kinross Gold has shown the highest correlation with gold, while Eldorado Gold has seen a negative correlation to gold on a YTD (year-to-date) basis.
Gold, silver, platinum, and palladium increased 0.33%, 1%, 2.4%, and 4.2%, respectively, on Monday. Gold futures for April expiration were trading at $1,336.3 an ounce on Monday, April 9. The volatility in gold was at 10.4%, while its RSI level was at 59.7. Silver futures for April expiration closed at $16.5 per ounce. Silver’s volatility was at 17.4% and its RSI level was at 58. Platinum and palladium were at $933.9 and $933.5 an ounce, respectively. These two metals are once again at the same level, so it will be interesting to see which one picks up from here.
On April 9, 2018, Kinross Gold (KGC) said in a press release that “its mining operations in Russia continue to operate according to plan and remain unaffected by the new sanctions announced by the United States on April 6, 2018.” The company also mentioned that it’s closely monitoring the sanction legislation in Canada, the US, and Europe to remain in compliance. While Kinross has been caught in an unwanted situation, there isn’t much negative impact expected from the sanctions to Kinross’s operations. The stock price reaction can probably be considered an overreaction, as everything related to Russia saw sell-offs yesterday.
Kinross Gold (KGC) stock fell 8.7% yesterday in reaction to the fresh US sanctions on entities in Russia (RSX). On April 6, 2018, the US Treasury Department announced new sanctions on a number of Russian security officials, politicians, and oligarchs believed to have close ties to Russian President Vladimir Putin. A senior official of the US Treasury Department maintained that sanctions were “in response to the totality of the Russian government’s ongoing and increasingly brazen pattern of malign activity around the world.” The broader Russian market and Russian ruble came under heavy selling.
TORONTO, April 09, 2018-- Kinross Gold Corporation announced today that its mining operations in Russia continue to operate according to plan and remain unaffected by the new sanctions announced by the ...
In this part of our series, we’ll analyze the correlation between gold and four mining stocks: Hecla Mining (HL), Kinross Gold (KGC), Eldorado Gold, (KGC), and Alacer Gold (ASR). Mining stocks tend to move with gold prices. Among these four miners under discussion, Kinross Gold has shown the highest correlation with gold while Eldorado is indicating a negative correlation to gold on a YTD or year-to-date basis.
Palladium has been the weakest performer among the four precious metals on a YTD (year-to-date) basis. Palladium is more inclined toward its industrial side than its use as a precious metal due to its many industrial uses. Palladium is used as a catalyst in diesel-based engines.
This information could help investors gauge the relative attractiveness of each stock in relation to their current prices and prospects. Newmont is currently trading at a forward EV-to-EBITDA multiple of 8.5x. Among the senior miners, including Kinross Gold (KGC) and Goldcorp (GG) are trading at forward multiples of 4.6x and 7.8x, respectively.
Barrick Gold versus Newmont: Comparing Miners in 2018 and BeyondNewmont Mining overtakes Barrick Gold in market cap