|Bid||0.00 x 800|
|Ask||421.65 x 3100|
|Day's Range||408.89 - 417.05|
|52 Week Range||218.65 - 437.35|
|Beta (5Y Monthly)||0.84|
|PE Ratio (TTM)||61.88|
|Earnings Date||Jan 28, 2021 - Feb 01, 2021|
|Forward Dividend & Yield||3.12 (0.76%)|
|Ex-Dividend Date||Nov 12, 2020|
|1y Target Est||419.11|
MSCI Inc. (NYSE: MSCI), a leading provider of critical decision support tools and services for the global investment community, announced today that the assets in equity exchange-traded funds (ETFs) linked to its indexes crossed the $1 trillion mark on November 16, 2020.
(Bloomberg) -- Emerging-market investors seem to have everything going for them right now, with the November rally offering a hint of what 2021 may have in store.A plethora of tailwinds from accommodative central banks to an impending change of U.S. president and Covid-19 vaccine progress has put the assets of developing nations on course for some impressive milestones. Bonds have wiped out their year-to-date losses, while MSCI Inc.’s currency index is poised for the best month since January 2019 as well as a second successive annual gain. The MSCI stocks gauge is on track for its best month since March 2016.Underpinning the recovery is a resurgence in foreign-investor interest. Fourth-quarter portfolio inflows to emerging markets are poised to hit the highest in eight years, data from the Institute of International Finance show. Yet, for all the euphoria, foreign positioning in bonds and equities for developing nations excluding China remains light, and Deutsche Bank AG’s Sameer Goel, says the rally is far from over.“It’s Goldilocks for emerging markets’ under-invested assets as we go into 2021,” said Goel, the bank’s head of emerging markets macro research in Singapore. They “have considerable cyclical catch-up potential.”Deutsche Bank isn’t alone in seeing further gains. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and JPMorgan Chase & Co. have made bullish calls on the asset class in recent weeks. UBS Group AG said last week emerging-market assets may benefit from the prospect of “near-complete normalization” in global economic mobility by the end of next year.Read More: Alternative Data Show Advanced Economies Sliding While EMs Keep GainsMobility is key to the recovery, which is why the possibility of a spike in Covid cases remains a risk as average temperatures drop in many of the developed economies and people socialize over end-of-year holidays. Moves by some central banks including those in Taiwan, South Korea and Thailand to become more assertive in stemming currency strength might also limit gains. The behavior of China’s central bank will also be watched for any signs of resistance to the yuan’s strength.Below are three reasons to be optimistic about the outlook for emerging currencies in 2021 and key events and data to watch out for in the coming week:Attractive ValuationExchange rates in developing economies are still modestly undervalued, with an average Z-score of minus 0.4 using a simple metric of the current REER versus the five-year average. Countries such as Brazil, Turkey, Russia, Hungary and Malaysia have even lower scores, with readings of minus 1.4 or below.History suggests that there’s scope for improvement. The average valuation Z-score hit positive 0.9 in April 2010 following the Global Financial Crisis in 2008. It also reached plus 0.7 in April 2013 following the implementation of the third round of quantitative easing by the Federal Reserve. Conditions in both periods were similar to those prevailing this year, with historically low U.S. real rates and improving global manufacturing activity.Real Yield AdvantageAn abundance of caution from the Fed -- which under average inflation targeting, has pledged to allow inflation to run at above 2% -- implies that real yields will fall further.Read more: In Praise of Inflation, Or What Risk Assets Need: Macro ViewWith the stock of the world’s negative-yielding debt exceeding $17 trillion, the hunt for yield favors emerging markets. Juxtaposed against already low U.S. real yields, the 10-year real yields of developing economies -- based on Bloomberg consensus economists’ forecasts –- enjoy a Z-score of positive 0.8 versus the three-year average. The highest scores are for China and South Africa, which both have plus 2.0 readings.Investor DemandTrailing 12-month foreign flows into emerging-market bonds have an average Z-score of negative 0.7 versus the five-year average. For equities, the figure stands at negative 1.3. Considering the light positioning in the debt universe, Indonesia’s rupiah and the Mexican peso are well placed to benefit, while currencies of South Korea, Taiwan, Thailand, Malaysia and Turkey stand to win based on data for stocks.To see the Z-Scores tabulated for all emerging markets, click here.Listen to the EM Weekly Podcast: China PMI, Unexpected Liquidity; InflationIndia DecidesThe Reserve Bank of India is expected to leave its key rate unchanged on Friday as inflation has been running above target for seven consecutive monthsThe RBI may also raise its near-term inflation forecast given the upside surprise since its October review, according to Bloomberg EconomicsGovernor Shaktikanta Das also said last week that the economic recovery had been more rapid than expected, and accordingly, the RBI is expected to raise its GDP forecast for fiscal 2021The RBI has cut interest rates by “a great deal” and more policy space can be created when inflation eases, its executive director and interest rate-panel member Mridul Saggar saidREAD: India Enters Recession as Virus Pummels No. 3 Asian Economy The rupee closed 0.2% weaker last Friday after data showed India entered an unprecedented recessionThe Bank of Thailand’s minutes on Wednesday may contain more information about plans for halting the appreciation of the bahtThe Thai currency was the the third-worst performing currency in emerging Asia after the yuan and the Taiwan dollar last week as the chorus of pressure aimed at the central bank to slow appreciation continuedChina PMI, Korea RestrictionsChina’s manufacturing purchasing managers’ index rose to 52.1 in November from 51.4 in the previous month, according to official data released Monday. That was the highest since September 2017 and beat the 51.5 median estimate in a Bloomberg survey of economistsThe yuan’s outperformance has partly been because of the recovery in the domestic economyMarkit manufacturing PMIs are due on Tuesday for the rest of Asia, with China’s Caixin indicators on ThursdayThese diffusion indicators have shown a steady improvement over the past four monthsSouth Korea’s October industrial production data, which showed a a larger-than-expected drop from the previous year, kicked off a busy week of economic reports, including a third-quarter gross domestic product reading on Tuesday and current-account data on FridaySouth Korea will maintain social-distancing rules in the greater Seoul area at the current level while adding restrictions to more venues, and tighten measures outside the capital regionThe won was Asia’s top-performing currency last week, in line with its economic performance and external accounts, despite continued concerns about the impact of currency strengthREAD: Here Are the Low-Yield Asia FX to Watch for Returns: Macro ViewMalaysia’s October trade balance showed another surplus in data that was released last Friday, ahead of the original release date this MondayThe ringgit is little changed after being the second-strongest currency in Asia last week as commodity prices extended gains and the government passed the budgetThailand’s current account and trade balance for October remained in surplus, according to data released on MondayThe constitutional court is due to rule on Prime Minister Prayuth Chan-Ocha’s qualification to serve on Wednesday -- after allegations of abuse of power resulting from his residence in army accommodation, despite no longer being a serving officerThere’s a slew of inflation figures due in Asia, including those from Indonesia, South Korea, the Philippines and ThailandEastern Europe RatesPoland’s central bank will probably leave its policy rate unchanged near zero for a sixth consecutive meeting as the eastern European country tightens measures to combat the spread of the coronavirusPolicy makers in Hungary will announce their decision on Thursday after leaving the key rate unchanged at 0.75% at the previous nine meetingsPolish GDP, Turkey CPIPoland reported final third-quarter GDP on Monday, which showed a 1.5% contraction from the previous year; data will be followed by November PMI and CPI prints on TuesdaySouth Africa posted a sixth straight monthly trade surplus in October and M3 money supply growth accelerated, according to data released on MondayReports on manufacturing, vehicle sales and business confidence will give clues about the strength of the recovery from the coronavirus lockdownRussia’s consumer inflation probably accelerated in November to a seven-month high, a report may show on Friday, complicating the central bank’s policy options for the remainder of the yearThe manufacturing and services PMIs, gold and forex reserves, and money supply are also due this weekTurkey’s consumer inflation rate probably rose to 12.7% in November, the highest in more than a year, data may show Thursday. A report on Monday showed the economy rebounded in the third quarter, posting growth of 6.7% from the same quarter last week, compared with a 4.8% estimateBrazil Spending ReformsInvestors will have their eyes on the Brazilian Congress this week to see if debates on fiscal spending reforms and the 2021 budget will resume. Third-quarter GDP data on Thursday are expected to show signs of a recovery, according to economists surveyed by Bloomberg. Industrial production numbers on Wednesday will give a glimpse into fourth-quarter outputChile’s economic activity is expected to have rebounded in October, data due on Tuesday may showRetail sales surged by the most in a decade and copper production fell slightly in October, according to data published on MondayMinutes from the November meeting of Colombia’s central bank due later today are likely to show policy makers will not provide additional monetary policy relief in the near future and will opt to wait for more information. PMI data and the third-quarter current account balance will be reported on TuesdayNOTE: Simon Flint is an emerging-market strategist at Bloomberg News. The observations he makes are his own and not intended as investment advice.(Updates South Korea, Malaysia, Thailand, Poland, South Africa, Turkey and Chile economic data that were out on Monday.)For more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.comSubscribe now to stay ahead with the most trusted business news source.©2020 Bloomberg L.P.
(Bloomberg Opinion) -- If the world is going to end up with just a handful of gigantic global businesses serving its financial markets, the U.S. is clearly leading the race. The agreed combination of S&P Global Inc. and IHS Markit Ltd. stands to create a vast, international and diversified business — one that has strategic options to get even bigger through further acquisitions. It’s a transaction that has implications for the U.S. players in market infrastructure and for the capital markets more broadly.S&P, with a market value of $82 billion, has agreed to a deal valuing IHS debt-free at $44 billion. The terms see IHS shareholders receive stock worth around $97 per share, a 4.7% premium to the closing value on Friday. While S&P is the larger party, the pair are casting this as a merger, hence the modest uplift, which would be much larger in a conventional takeover of the U.S.-listed, London-based group.The strategic rationale and timing are easy to grasp. S&P is a well-known brand in indices. It gains enhanced data and analytics capabilities and broader distribution. IHS’s business may be able to grow faster with the benefit of S&P’s clout. Scale brings efficiencies: The duo is targeting $480 million of annual cost savings, with revenue synergies on top.IHS bought Markit in 2016 and may now be at the limits of realizing the full benefits of that deal. S&P and IHS’s market enterprise valuations are both 21 times profit expected next year on the Ebitda measure. That probably made negotiations easier.There are some worries for shareholders. One is whether regulators might stymie the tie-up. The other is the possibility a deal that makes sense on paper founders on the execution. An agile and robust IT system is critical to making a transaction like this deliver. The continuing involvement of IHS Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Lance Uggla appears critical. He’s staying on for a year as an advisor. Hopefully that will be long enough. For S&P, there’s the risk IHS gets a counterbid.The deal comes as London Stock Exchange Group Plc’s $27 billion takeover of data provider Refinitiv continues to work its way through the antitrust process. That marked a pivot to North America after the collapse of LSE’s planned merger with Deutsche Boerse AG. Continental Europe appears to have missed its chance to create a truly global, diversified market infrastructure powerhouse. Bloomberg LP, the parent of Bloomberg News, competes with IHS Markit, S&P Global and Refinitiv in providing financial analytics and information.This will not be the last word in consolidation. Assuming a smooth integration, the logical next step would be further diversification through M&A. Exchange provider CME Group Inc. already has a business partnership in indices with S&P. It looks a potential good fit. That in turn raises questions about how Intercontinental Exchange Inc. will respond to all this. Might it now also seek more scale, say by targeting a deal with a group such as MSCI Inc., notwithstanding that the index and analytics provider is valued more richly than ICE?Either way, the market data business is getting bigger and the U.S.’s global role is matching the size and depths of its markets.This column does not necessarily reflect the opinion of the editorial board or Bloomberg LP and its owners.Chris Hughes is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist covering deals. He previously worked for Reuters Breakingviews, as well as the Financial Times and the Independent newspaper.For more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.com/opinionSubscribe now to stay ahead with the most trusted business news source.©2020 Bloomberg L.P.