|Day's Range||0.713 - 0.716|
|52 Week Range||0.6792 - 0.7559|
Trade talks and private sector PMI figures due out of the Eurozone and the U.S will be providing the markets with some further guidance on whether the recent soft patch is likely to extend into the 2nd quarter.
Price action this week likely to be influenced by Treasury yields, Chinese economy and stock market and commodity prices especially industrial metals like aluminum, copper and iron ore.
Investing.com - Investors will be awaiting an update on the health of the U.S. and UK economies this week ahead of Friday’s data on first quarter growth. Monetary policy meetings in the euro zone and Japan will also be in focus.
Helping to boost yields was a comment from San Francisco Fed President John Williams who said last Tuesday that he expected U.S. inflation to rise to the U.S. central bank’s 2 percent goal this year and stay at or above that goal for “another couple of years.”
The New Zealand dollar has fallen rather hard during the week, reaching down towards the 0.72 handle. That’s an area that has been supportive in the past, but the fact that we are closing at the very bottom of the candle suggests that we could continue to see more bearish pressure. I think this next week is going to be crucial.
The New Zealand dollar fell rather hard during the trading session on Friday, reaching down towards the 0.72 level, an area that is important on the longer-term charts. It’s interesting to see how this level has reacted, and as I record this we have seen a small bounce. However, if we break down below this level, that’s a very negative sign.
Investing.com - The dollar was higher on Friday as the yield on U.S. Treasury notes rose to February levels and interest rate expectations offset trade war worries.The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, was up 0.27% to 89.88 by 5:13 AM ET (9:13 GMT).U.S. bond yields crept back up on Friday, with the United States 2-Year note climbing to its highest level since September 2008, at 2.437. The yield on the United States 10-Year Treasury note rose to 2.916.Prices fall as bond yields rise. A spike in U.S. ...
Inflation numbers out of Japan eased in March, giving the BoJ little reason to make a near-term move, with U.S Treasury yields hitting the Asian markets. Retail Sales and Inflation numbers out of Canada the main event for the day ahead.
The New Zealand dollar rolled over during the trading session on Thursday, breaking down below the 0.73 level. This shows signs of a move towards the support level underneath, which I believe is what we are about to see.
The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, was up 0.02% to 89.37 by 10:56 AM ET (14:56 GMT). The dollar was unmoved from mixed economic data. A separate report showed that the Philadelphia Fed's manufacturing index unexpectedly rose in April, to a reading of 23.2 from 22.3 in March.
The dollar was higher on Thursday, while sterling fell after lower than expected retail sales. The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, was up 0.12% to 89.46 by 5:34 AM ET (9:34 GMT). Rising geopolitical and trade tensions have weighed on the dollar in recent months.
It was risk on through the Asian session, with equity markets rallying, a jump in commodity prices supporting the Aussie Dollar that managed to shake off weak stats early on, with retail sales the next hurdle for the Pound this morning.
The New Zealand dollar fell rather significantly at the open on Wednesday, reaching down to the 0.73 level. That area offered enough support to turn things around though, and as I record this we are trying to find our way higher.
If the pace of new hires continues to fall then this would further support the RBA’s plan to keep interest rates at historically low levels. This would put a bearish spin on the Australian Dollar.
BoC to set the tone for the Loonie later today, with inflation figures out of the Eurozone and the UK to also give some guidance on where the respective central banks are heading in the coming months.
The New Zealand dollar initially tried to rally on Tuesday but found the 0.7350 level to be a bit too resistive. We rolled over and broke towards the 0.7325 handle, and it now looks as if we may get a bit of a pullback, perhaps in a bid to find value after the recent rally.
Considering the EURUSD’s latest U-turn from two-month old descending trend-line, coupled with overbought RSI, the pair is more likely to revisit the immediate TL support, around 1.2340, breaking which 1.2300 and the 1.2260 can come alive on the chart. Should prices reverse from present levels and surpass the 1.2415 trend-line resistance, the 1.2445-50 horizontal-region could try limiting its recovery, if not, then 1.2470 and the 1.2500 round-figure might become buyers’ favorite.
The NZD/USD has been in a steady uptrend with a progressive zig-zag pattern. At this point the price is within the POC zone 0.7337-0.7348 and we could see a spike towards 0.7386 with a potential for 0.7420. However if the price breaks below 0.7335 pay attention to POC2 0.7313-0.7325 as the POC2 is also a bouncing spot. Targets will remain the same. As long as W L4 holds -0.7280, bulls should be safe.
The New Zealand dollar pulled back slightly during the trading session on Monday, breaking below the 0.7350 level, looking towards the 0.7333 level. The market looks as if it is trying to bounce from there, and if we can break above the 0.7350 level, it’s likely that we will continue to try and rally a bit.
We could be looking at a busy session for Aussie and Kiwi traders with the release of the Reserve Bank of Australia monetary policy minutes at 0130 GMT and a slew of economic data from China, starting at 0200 GMT.
Investing.com - The dollar slipped lower against the yen on Monday as markets assessed the fallout from U.S.-led missile strikes on Syria on Friday, but losses were limited amid expectations that the conflict would not escalate further.
Most of the pairs with the JPY, on Friday, created a shooting star on the daily chart. For the past few weeks, JPY was on the back foot and was loosing heavily against major peers. Depreciation of the Yen was supported from both sides: fundamental and technical.
It’s all eyes on the Dollar today with economic data out of the U.S and noise from the Oval Office continuing to keep the markets busy on what is a quiet day on the data front for Asia and Europe.
The Australian Dollar is trading slightly better early Monday, showing no dramatic reaction to the bombing of the Syrian chemical factories by a U.S.-led coalition early Saturday (local time).
Investor sentiment is likely to continue to be the focus this week for the Aussie and the Kiwi. The response by investors to the US-led missile attack on Syria will largely determine the price action as well as any retaliation by Syria and its allies Iran and Russia.