PTON - Peloton Interactive, Inc.

NasdaqGS - NasdaqGS Real Time Price. Currency in USD
42.19
-0.42 (-0.99%)
At close: 4:00PM EDT
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Performance Outlook
  • Short Term
    2W - 6W
  • Mid Term
    6W - 9M
  • Long Term
    9M+
Previous Close42.61
Open43.04
Bid42.25 x 1200
Ask42.36 x 800
Day's Range41.14 - 44.39
52 Week Range17.70 - 49.68
Volume6,720,475
Avg. Volume9,886,422
Market Cap11.95B
Beta (5Y Monthly)N/A
PE Ratio (TTM)N/A
EPS (TTM)-2.11
Earnings DateAug 03, 2020 - Aug 13, 2020
Forward Dividend & YieldN/A (N/A)
Ex-Dividend DateN/A
1y Target Est38.48
Fair Value is the appropriate price for the shares of a company, based on its earnings and growth rate also interpreted as when P/E Ratio = Growth Rate. Estimated return represents the projected annual return you might expect after purchasing shares in the company and holding them over the default time horizon of 5 years, based on the EPS growth rate that we have projected.
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    During the COVID-19 pandemic, adapting to the new normal has meant finding new ways to stay active. Forced out of the gym, many consumers have turned to Peloton Interactive (PTON) and its indoor exercise equipment and platform to feel the burn. In response, the stock has been working up a sweat as well, climbing 80% higher in the last three months. Writing for Needham, five-star analyst Laura Martin has been a vocal supporter of the company throughout the public health crisis, but there’s a plot twist. What has changed in the PTON story? After hosting a fireside chat with Peloton's CFO, Jill Woodworth, the analyst tells clients that she sees the positive valuation implications extending through 2021 and beyond.  First and foremost, Martin points out the ecosystem value, or the lifetime value per customer versus customer acquisition costs (LTV/CAC), is higher than her pre-COVID estimates. PTON was able to reach 1 million subscribers three months earlier than she originally expected, which is significant as “$40/month for 3 months extra adds $120 to LTV up front, at a much higher LTV/CAC since PTON has stopped ads during COVID-19.” Not to mention churn is also on the decline, implying higher LTV. There has also been significant total addressable market (TAM) expansion thanks to COVID-19. To back up this claim, Martin cites the fact that the number of buyers under 35 years old is two times higher, the indefinite closure of gyms is driving more bike purchases and 30%-50% of new owners didn’t have any intention of buying a bike before the pandemic. In addition, stronger barriers to entry like music, PTON’s edge over its peers with respect to its installed base, structurally lower bike production costs and mobile-only paying subscribers and free trial subscribers, which are a low-cost onramp to PTON's platform, bode well for the company. While Martin acknowledges that its expensive treadmill played into investors’ fears that its TAM was only made up of wealthy consumers, COVID-19 added 40 million unemployed subscribers. This reflects a “catalyst for lower-cost bike purchases, which would materially grow PTON's actual and perceived TAM.” Martin added, “We believe investors are undervaluing structural cost savings tied to COVID-19, such as: a) near-zero marketing costs now in US and UK driving positive adjusted EBITDA during full year 2020, two years earlier than IPO projections; b) excess bike installs are moving PTON down the production cost curve faster, resulting in a higher gross margin structurally.” All of the above prompted Martin to keep a Buy recommendation and $50 price target on the stock. This target conveys her confidence in PTON’s ability to surge 9% in the next year. (To watch Martin’s track record, click here) In general, other analysts echo Martin’s sentiment. 20 Buys, 1 Hold and 1 Sell add up to a Strong Buy consensus rating. Based on the $48.23 average price target, the upside potential comes in at 5.3%. (See Peloton stock analysis on TipRanks)

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    (Bloomberg) -- With U.S. fitness enthusiasts relegated to working out at home during the coronavirus pandemic, Hydrow, which makes rowing machines that use streaming video classes, is in talks to raise new funds.The Cambridge, Massachusetts-based company is in discussions with investors including private equity firm L Catterton about raising at least $25 million, though the figure could be significantly increased to accommodate additional investors, according to people with knowledge of the matter. The company’s valuation hasn’t been finalized, but is slated to be more than $100 million in any deal, said the people, who asked not to be identified because the talks are private.Spokeswomen for Hydrow and L Catterton declined to comment.Hydrow, led by founder and Chief Executive Officer Bruce Smith, a former coach of the U.S. rowing team, has said its workout can burn up to 400 calories in 20 minutes. The company’s machine, sold through its website and Best Buy Co., uses an electromagnetic drag mechanism to simulate the resistance of rowing on water.The company’s machine is priced at $2,199, compared with Peloton Interactive Inc.’s $2,245 bike and $4,295 treadmill. Like Peloton, Hydrow also charges a monthly subscription fee for its video workouts, which feature coaches rowing on open water. Unlike Peloton, which warns customers that bike orders placed now are unlikely to arrive for seven weeks or longer, Hydrow’s says it’s shipping without delays.Hydrow’s sales quadrupled in April from January, Smith told the Boston Globe last week.Fundraising RoundHydrow last year expanded its first sizable private funding round -- initially led by L Catterton -- to $27 million. Other investors included Harvard alumni-backed The Yard Ventures; Rx3 Ventures, co-founded by Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rogers; and Raptor Group, backed by the family office of former hedge fund investor Jim Pallotta. The company’s valuation was $75 million after that round of fundraising, according to data provider Pitchbook.L Catterton has previously backed other fitness-focused companies, including Peloton, Pure Barre, Flywheel Sports Inc., ClassPass and Tonal.With gyms and boutique studios closed to help slow the spread of the coronavirus, workout fans and elite athletes have turned to online and at-home alternatives. Companies including Peloton have benefited. Its shares reached a record earlier this month and have soared about 58% this year, compared with an 8.5% decline for the S&P 500 index.New York-based Peloton is developing its own rowing machine, people familiar with the matter told Bloomberg late last year. Hydrow has said rowing engages roughly 86% of the body’s muscles, almost double the amount used in cycling.(Updates with Peloton’s stock price in ninth paragraph, rowing workout details in last.)For more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.comSubscribe now to stay ahead with the most trusted business news source.©2020 Bloomberg L.P.

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