|Bid||56.15 x 900|
|Ask||56.26 x 1100|
|Day's Range||54.99 - 57.04|
|52 Week Range||48.56 - 76.50|
|Beta (3Y Monthly)||1.68|
|PE Ratio (TTM)||N/A|
|Earnings Date||Jan 29, 2019 - Feb 4, 2019|
|Forward Dividend & Yield||2.48 (4.27%)|
|1y Target Est||68.50|
The New York Times' expose that revealed the relationship between Facebook and Definers mentioned that the controversial PR firm has another big-name client from the tech industry. While the piece didn't reveal the third company's identity, a couple of reports by Business Insider and NBC News suggest that the firm is none other than Qualcomm. According to BI, Definers' west coast head Tim Miller pitched some its writers a story about the fines Apple incurred due to its legal battle against the chipmaker.
Verizon (VZ) widens its lead over rivals in the race to 5G service and is expected to be the first to offer a 5G upgrade-able smartphone on its network in 2019.
The launch of the SIM-free iPhone XR in the U.S. is faster than typical SIM-free iPhone releases. AAPL typically waits a few months before releasing the SIM-free versions of its smartphones in the U.S. This launch allows customers to buy an iPhone XR without having to first tie it down to a mobile carrier.
Previously, we saw that Qualcomm (QCOM) stock doesn’t show technical weakness even though it fell below its 200-day moving average, which indicates that the stock has growth potential. When the stock momentum is skewed towards one direction, there’s a point when it becomes oversold or overbought. In order to understand investors’ sentiment, we’ll discuss Qualcomm’s 14-day RSI (relative strength index), which measures the intensity of investors’ sentiment. In the two downtrends we talked about in the first part of the series, Qualcomm’s RSI fell below 30 in three instances.
Qualcomm (QCOM) stock was very volatile in the first ten months of 2018 due to macro and company-specific factors. Three companies that influenced Qualcomm stock were Intel (INTC), Apple (AAPL), and NXP Semiconductors (NXPI). Among the four stocks, Qualcomm was the most volatile with a three-year monthly beta of 1.68—compared to Intel’s 0.8, Apple’s 1.21, and NXP Semiconductors’ 1.14.
Qualcomm (QCOM) is one of the companies that has been impacted the most. During fiscal 2018 ending in September, Qualcomm stock fell as low as $48.56 and rose as high as $76.5—its 18-year high. During this time period, Qualcomm stock fell 27% and reached its 52-week low, while the VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF (SMH) fell 9%.
In the previous article, we learned that Qualcomm’s (QCOM) revenue has fallen and its operating expenses have risen in the last two years as Apple (AAPL) has halted royalty payments and filed lawsuits against it. The high cost of litigation and the removal of revenue from Apple caused Qualcomm’s non-GAAP (generally accepted accounting principles) operating margin to contract from 35% in the first quarter of fiscal 2017 to 22% in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2018.
Qualcomm’s (QCOM) business model is divided into two segments: the chipset business, which sells cellular chips and processors to smartphone makers, and the licensing business, which licenses its patents to smartphone makers. Between the first quarter of fiscal 2017 and the fourth quarter of fiscal 2018, Qualcomm’s operating expenses increased from $1.46 billion to $1.84 billion, while its revenue fell from $6.0 billion to $5.8 billion, increasing its operating expense ratio from 24% to 32% during the period. This rise shows the impact of the Apple dispute on Qualcomm.
Can Apple Survive Its Stagnating iPhone Unit Sales? While Huawei and Samsung (SSNLF) have been publicly discussing their plans for 5G (fifth-generation) phones, Apple (AAPL) has been mostly quiet on the issue. Last year, the Federal Communications Commission granted Apple permission to test 5G technology, suggesting that the company was considering a 5G iPhone down the road.
Qualcomm’s (QCOM) fiscal 2018 fourth-quarter revenue beat analysts’ estimate, but its fiscal 2019 first-quarter revenue guidance missed analysts’ estimate. Because the quarter’s sales will be largely influenced by Apple (AAPL). In the first quarter of fiscal 2019, Qualcomm expects to report revenue of $4.5 billion–$5.3 billion, lower than analysts’ consensus estimate of $5.57 billion.
For instance, it withdrew from its acquisition of NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) and fended off its acquisition by Broadcom. Although these actions removed uncertainty from Qualcomm’s business, they had a negative impact on the company’s fiscal 2018 fourth-quarter earnings and guidance. In the fourth quarter of fiscal 2018, Qualcomm’s revenue fell 3.3% YoY (year-over-year) but rose 3.6% sequentially to $5.8 billion, higher than analysts’ consensus estimate of $5.5 billion and on the higher end of its guided range.
On Qualcomm’s (QCOM) fiscal 2018 fourth-quarter earnings call, CFO George Davis stated that the handset market has weakened over the last year. The company is looking to diversify its revenue streams in two ways: firstly by offering different smartphone technologies, such as RFFE (radio frequency front-end) and fingerprint scanners to increase the number of components per device, and secondly by entering adjacent markets such as connected cars. Qualcomm continues to offer its Snapdragon 800 processors for premium phones and has added Snapdragon 700 for high-end phones.