RDS-B - Royal Dutch Shell plc

NYSE - NYSE Delayed Price. Currency in USD
-0.85 (-1.51%)
At close: 4:02PM EDT
Stock chart is not supported by your current browser
Previous Close56.12
Bid55.30 x 1800
Ask55.33 x 4000
Day's Range55.17 - 56.32
52 Week Range54.78 - 72.06
Avg. Volume1,746,392
Market Cap219.123B
Beta (3Y Monthly)0.58
PE Ratio (TTM)11.13
Earnings DateN/A
Forward Dividend & Yield3.76 (6.70%)
Ex-Dividend Date2019-08-15
1y Target EstN/A
Trade prices are not sourced from all markets
  • 3 ETFs to Trade Brexit Breakthrough Hope

    3 ETFs to Trade Brexit Breakthrough Hope

    European leaders hinted at a possible compromise to reach a Brexit deal. Position for an amended withdrawal agreement using these three ETFs.

  • Energy Stocks Make Utilities Look Exciting

    Energy Stocks Make Utilities Look Exciting

    (Bloomberg Opinion) -- Utilities are, by design, a bit of a snooze. We feel no excitement at the miracle of instantaneous light, television and coffee grinding, expecting these things simply to happen when we want them to – which, virtually all the time, they do. Similarly, investors own utilities for their steady dividends funded by all of us unthinking bill-payers. This mundane arrangement has fed widows and orphans for decades.Oil, on the other hand, is wild; a never-ending dance of discoveries, disappointments, Viennese jamborees, wars, trade, presidential tweets and palace intrigues. At times, we really have worried about the pumps running dry. Fortunes and whole economies are lost when prices crash, but the allure of the next killing has been impossible for more adventurous investors to resist.All of which makes this chart quite interesting:This isn’t the first time the oil-heavy S&P 500 Energy index has offered a higher dividend yield than utilities (that was in August 2015). But we’ve now had almost four months of this situation, by far the longest run, and the spread has widened. After almost three decades of utilities offering roughly 1 to 3 percentage points of extra yield compared to their oilier energy brethren, the script seems to have flipped.One explanation for this is, as you might expect with utilities, rather prosaic. Valued as bond proxies, they have been towed along more than most by the bull market in debt. Current economic fears help, too. There is also a potentially more interesting interpretation to consider here: What was growth is now viewed as value, and vice versa.The first decade of this century was dominated by China’s commodity-hungry growth spurt and fears of peak oil supply. The oil business was spewing cash, but also investing a lot of it in new fields. After the brief buzzkill of the financial crisis, the Arab Spring pushed oil back into triple digits, making this seem like the new normal and spurring yet more drilling, including in U.S. shale. This was a time when you owned oil stocks for growth and were OK with cash flow going into the ground rather than your pocket. Hence, it is also the only time in several decades when the energy sector’s dividend yield dipped below that of the S&P 500.That all changed with the oil crash beginning in late 2014. Investors woke up to the reality that the world was awash with oil and the industry’s investment binge had trashed return on capital. Meanwhile, growing awareness of climate change and the appearance of actually desirable electric vehicles flipped fear of peak oil supply to speculation about peak demand. The other sea change is protectionism, putting a damper on economic growth and a question mark over the future of global supply chains, including those for traded energy.“The bottom line is that the market appears to be saying that value propositions are not competitive with other sectors and until they are, energy may have a hard time finding a bottom,” says Doug Terreson, analyst at Evercore ISI.Utilities, meanwhile, continue to enjoy reasonably steady earnings growth. While U.S. electricity demand has flatlined, demand doesn’t drive earnings for regulated utilities; investment in old grids (including for natural gas) does, and that has kept on going. In other words, a utility with ever-expanding capital expenditures rewards investors regardless of demand for electrons. The same cannot be said for oil and gas spending.Importantly, electricity’s expanding share of energy demand, and especially the rise of renewable power, give this old value sector a more credible growth story. We’re talking more like 4% or 5% per year rather than the double-digits touted by frackers. But the latter narrative has worn thin and the utilities’ targets look more dependable.Since 2000, global electricity consumption has been rising about two-thirds faster than overall energy consumption and it now competes (at the margin) in oil’s chief market, transportation. Investment in power infrastructure is now higher than for oil and gas, having overtaken it in 2016, according to the International Energy Agency. There’s a reason Royal Dutch Shell Plc, among other majors, is dipping a toe or two into the current, including this week’s bid for Australian electricity retailer ERM Power Ltd. As Maarten Wetselaar, who runs Shell’s integrated gas and new energies business, put it earlier this year:We are not interested in the power business because we like what we saw in the last 20 years; we are interested because we think we like what we see in the next 20 years.The upshot is that money has moved into utilities, attracted by the dividends, yes, but also the promise of growth. With their own growth narrative having ebbed, oil and gas producers must pay investors to hold their stocks.To contact the authors of this story: Liam Denning at ldenning1@bloomberg.netNathaniel Bullard at nbullard@bloomberg.netTo contact the editor responsible for this story: Beth Williams at bewilliams@bloomberg.netThis column does not necessarily reflect the opinion of the editorial board or Bloomberg LP and its owners.Liam Denning is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist covering energy, mining and commodities. He previously was editor of the Wall Street Journal's Heard on the Street column and wrote for the Financial Times' Lex column. He was also an investment banker.Nathaniel Bullard is a BloombergNEF energy analyst, covering technology and business model innovation and system-wide resource transitions.For more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.com/opinion©2019 Bloomberg L.P.

  • Check Out These 5 Fast-Growing Stocks to Buy

    Check Out These 5 Fast-Growing Stocks to Buy

    [Editor's note: "Check Out These 5 Fast-Growing Stocks to Buy " was previously published in June 2019. It has since been updated to include the most relevant information available.]The benefit of fast-growing stocks is self-evident, but if inflation becomes something to start worrying about, fast-growing stocks have an importance tied to timing.Source: Shutterstock If inflation returns, growth will be more uneven than it has been in the past. At that point, you'll need to find firms with solid sales earnings growth as well as technical and fundamental strengths to keep the profits rolling.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading Tips * 6 Stocks Ready to Bounce on a Trade Deal These are five fast-growing stocks to buy today that will keep you in good stead for years to come, even if inflation returns. Sherwin-Williams (SHW)Sherwin-Williams Co (NYSE:SHW) has sold paint and coatings now for 152 years. That's a pretty impressive record. But it's a bit unusual to see a paint company in a list of top growth stocks. Usually, it's some cloud-storage firm or a breakout online retailer.Source: Shutterstock However, SHW, by its size and reputation, has not only endured but it has positioned itself on top of the coatings heap. It grew from annual sales of $400,000 in 1866 to annual sales topping $15 billion last year, coming from over 100 countries around the world.Its size, scope and quality is one reason hardware giant Lowe's Companies, Inc. (NYSE:LOW) inked a deal to be the only nationwide home seller to offer SHW products. This is even more exciting given that housing demand is back on track and the interest in homeowners to fixing up their current houses. SHW is rated a "B" in my Portfolio Grader system. Vertex (VRTX)Vertex Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:VRTX) is one of the leading pharmaceutical firms when it comes to treating cystic fibrosis (CF).Source: Shutterstock That may not seem like much of a franchise given all the other more compelling diseases out there, but VRTX has built a $47.7 billion market cap in the sector and most of its competitors are looking for other places to find an opening.That is a big deal for pharma companies that usually are strong until patents run down or generics start eating into margins. * 7 Value Stocks to Buy for the Second Half Not so with VRTX. As new approvals keep rolling in for next-generation CF drugs, it has plenty more in the pipeline to keep this growth going. Vertex is rated a "B" by Portfolio Grader. Royal Dutch Shell (RDS.A)Royal Dutch Shell (NYSE:RDS.A, NYSE:RDS.B) is one of the biggest players in the global energy markets. With a $226 billion market cap, the only Big Oil that's bigger is Exxon Mobil (NYSE:XOM). It's what is called an integrated energy company because it has operations from the fields to the pipelines to the refineries to the distribution.Source: Mike Mozart via FlickrAs with all energy firms, when times are bad, the more exposure you have to the entire production and distribution process, the tougher things get. But at the size the big oils are, they have the money to wait out the bad patches.And that's just what RDS.A has done. Now it's time to cash in. RDS stock is rated a "C" by Portfolio Grader, but it is still delivering a mouth-watering 6.75% dividend. However, that may wane as the stock price starts rising. In the meanwhile, it's easy to see why this is one of our picks for the best fast-growing stocks. Lumentum (LITE)Lumentum Holdings Inc (NASDAQ: LITE) is a specialty company that focuses on laser beams. It's one of the biggest optical and photonics companies in the world that is working on the 3D sensing sector.Source: Shutterstock Essentially, 3D sensing is basically the gesture sensing that we all have become accustomed with in our mobile devices, screens in our cars, etc. It is one of the most ubiquitous aspects of our interactive age and one of the key parts of the Internet of Things (IoT) concept. * 5 Stocks to Buy for $20 or Less LITE stock rates as a "C" in Portfolio Grader, but the broader tailwinds make it worthwhile. That is to say, Lumentum is also a major player in the optical networking space that makes the infrastructure that makes our world "smarter," operating in as close to real time as possible. It's crucial for the next generation of cloud computing and network operations.Its laser division helps build the next generation of equipment that makes all this possible. Knight-Swift (KNX)Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc (NYSE:KNX) had its humble beginnings in 1966, taking steel from the Port of Los Angeles to Arizona and bringing cotton from Arizona to LA. Today, KNX is a $5.9 billion business with 20,000 trucks on the road throughout the U.S. and Mexico. If you see a Swift logo on a truck while driving, it's a KNX truck.Source: David Guo via FlickrCharles Dow, the inspiration for the Dow Jones Industrial Average, also inspired a fundamental theory about the economy and the markets. It's simply called Dow Theory.One of the core tenants is that if you look at the transportation and the industrial sectors, you can predict how well the economy will be doing in the near future. If the transport business is rising, that's a bullish sign that the economy is on an upswing and KNX stock with it.It's worth mentioning, however, that KNX stock sports an "F" rating in my Portfolio Grader system on a quantitative basis, but it has a "C" rating for fundamentals. Its inclusion in this list lies with its astronomical growth -- KNX stock is up 31% from its January low, and its one-year price target of $42 represents 35% growth. On an earnings basis, Knight-Swift is predicted to grow earnings at a long-term (5-year) rate of 10%.Louis Navellier is a renowned growth investor. He is the editor of five investing newsletters: Blue Chip Growth, Emerging Growth, Ultimate Growth, Family Trust and Platinum Growth. His most popular service, Blue Chip Growth, has a track record of beating the market 3:1 over the last 14 years. He uses a combination of quantitative and fundamental analysis to identify market-beating stocks. Mr. Navellier has made his proven formula accessible to investors via his free, online stock rating tool, PortfolioGrader.com. Louis Navellier may hold some of the aforementioned securities in one or more of his newsletters. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 10 Marijuana Stocks That Could See 100% Gains, If Not More * 11 Stocks Under $10 to Buy Now * 6 China Stocks to Buy on the Dip The post Check Out These 5 Fast-Growing Stocks to Buy appeared first on InvestorPlace.

  • Shell Takes Australia Power Plunge With $418 Million ERM Bid

    Shell Takes Australia Power Plunge With $418 Million ERM Bid

    (Bloomberg) -- Royal Dutch Shell Plc has taken the plunge into Australia’s energy market with a $418 million deal to buy ERM Power Ltd., the nation’s second-largest electricity retailer to commercial and industrial customers, as it drives toward a goal to become the world’s top power producer by 2030.Shell had previously expressed interest in deeper involvement in Australia’s electricity sector as it pivots toward gas and power amid the global shift to cleaner energy. ERM owns two gas-fired generators, as well as the retail business, which Shell said will play an important role as Australia makes the switch away from coal-fired power. The deal is expected to close this year.“This acquisition aligns with Shell’s global ambition to expand our integrated power business and builds on Shell Energy Australia’s existing gas marketing and trading capability,” Zoe Yujnovich, the company’s Australia chairman, said in a statement.ERM shares jumped 42% in Thursday’s trade in Sydney to close at A$2.45, just below Shell’s cash offer of A$2.465 ($1.67), which has the unanimous approval of ERM’s board. Company founder and major shareholder, Trevor St. Baker, also intends to vote in favor:“Shell has the resources and networks to further ERM Power’s significant potential,” he said in a statement.Australia’s energy sector is facing headwinds from a highly competitive retail market and regulatory intervention, which is having an impact on margins, Origin Energy Ltd. CEO Frank Calabria said in a statement to accompany the group’s annual earnings on Thursday.“If the transaction proceeds, and Shell seeks to expand market share, we would see this as a competitive negative, at the margin, for incumbents AGL and Origin,” Rob Koh, utilities analyst at Morgan Stanley, said in a note to clients.ERM’s shareholders would vote on the deal around early November, the company said, and directors plan to support the transaction in the absence of a superior proposal. “If there is somebody out there, then this is the opportunity for them to come forward,” CEO Jon Stretch said on a media call.Luminis Partners is ERM’s financial adviser, with Herbert Smith Freehills acting as legal adviser. Shell is being advised by UBS Group AG and Ashurst.(Adds ERM’s closing share price in par 4.)To contact the reporter on this story: James Thornhill in Sydney at jthornhill3@bloomberg.netTo contact the editors responsible for this story: Ramsey Al-Rikabi at ralrikabi@bloomberg.net, Keith Gosman, Peter VercoeFor more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.com©2019 Bloomberg L.P.

  • Financial Times

    Shell enters Australia power market with $418m deal

    Royal Dutch Shell has entered the Australian electricity market with a $418m deal for ERM Power, an energy supplier for businesses. ERM is Australia’s second-largest energy retailer by load and provides electricity to commercial entities and industry. It also generates electricity from two gas-fired power plants in Oakey, Queensland, and Neerabup, Western Australia.

  • Are Energy Stocks XOM, CVX, RDS.A, and BP Attractive?
    Market Realist

    Are Energy Stocks XOM, CVX, RDS.A, and BP Attractive?

    Integrated energy stocks have slumped in August. Royal Dutch Shell has fallen the most compared to ExxonMobil, Chevron, and BP.

  • T Boone Pickens' BP Capital Buys 5 Stocks in 2nd Quarter

    T Boone Pickens' BP Capital Buys 5 Stocks in 2nd Quarter

    Energy-focused firm invests in oil companies and a wind turbine blades manufacturer Continue reading...

  • U.S. Oil Challenges Mideast Sellers With Asian Trading Debut

    U.S. Oil Challenges Mideast Sellers With Asian Trading Debut

    (Bloomberg) -- The rivalry between U.S. and Middle Eastern oil producers has jumped up a notch as American crude makes its way right to the heart of Asia, the world’s most-prized energy market.Royal Dutch Shell Plc has offered a cargo of U.S. West Texas Intermediate Midland crude that’s priced off the Dubai benchmark in its debut during Asian hours on S&P Global Platts’ widely-referenced trading platform, according to two traders and data compiled by Bloomberg.Offering the shipment -- scheduled to be delivered to Singapore, or Linggi or Nipah in Malaysia -- against the Middle East’s oil benchmark brings it into direct competition with Gulf grades produced in Saudi Arabia, Abu Dhabi and Qatar. Once considered a one-off arbitrage, the flow of American oil to Asia has increased in recent years.“It’s another tasty entree on the oil buffet table that may be quite appetizing for some of the Asian buyers,” said John Driscoll, chief strategist at JTD Energy Services Ltd. in Singapore. “Considering that U.S. crude exports have steadily been ramping up, this move could be disruptive for the traditional suppliers in the Middle East.”While U.S. shipments of grades such as WTI Midland and Eagleford are typically priced off the American benchmark WTI, Shell’s offer makes it easier for buyers to compare it against similar-quality oil that refiners across South Korea, Japan and China typically take. The crude can be transferred to other vessels in the Malacca Strait near Singapore, making the logistics less complicated for buyers across Asia.American exports have eroded the dominance of Middle Eastern crude in Asia, at a time when the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies are restricting their output in an effort to prop up prices. South Korean oil imports from the U.S. rose to about 8.5 million barrels in June, compared with 3 million barrels a year earlier. American shipments to Asia are likely to expand further due the start up of two Permian pipelines this year.The offer by Shell was made for a WTI Midland cargo for delivery on Oct. 15-25 at a premium of $4.55 a barrel to Dubai benchmark price, the traders said. The deal was subject to the buyer’s acceptance of a vessel named Phoenix Jamnagar.(Updates with chart.)To contact the reporter on this story: Sharon Cho in Singapore at ccho28@bloomberg.netTo contact the editors responsible for this story: Serene Cheong at scheong20@bloomberg.net, Andrew JanesFor more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.com©2019 Bloomberg L.P.

  • Shell's first Greenlots electric vehicle fast charger lands in Singapore

    Shell's first Greenlots electric vehicle fast charger lands in Singapore

    Royal Dutch Shell, the energy giant known for its fossil fuel production andhundreds of Shell gas stations, is creeping into the electric vehicle-powerbusiness

  • 3 Dividend Stocks Perfect for Retirees
    Motley Fool

    3 Dividend Stocks Perfect for Retirees

    Royal Dutch Shell, Costco, and McDonald's provide excellent opportunities for income-seeking retirees.

  • Shell debuts electric vehicle chargers in Singapore, first in Southeast Asia

    Shell debuts electric vehicle chargers in Singapore, first in Southeast Asia

    Royal Dutch Shell is launching electric vehicle chargers at petrol stations in Singapore, its first such foray in Southeast Asia, the company said on Monday. The electric vehicle charging service, 'Shell Recharge', will be available at 10 Shell petrol stations in Singapore by October, this year or about 20% of its retail network in the city-state, the company said in a statement. It added that the chargers typically provide from 0% to 80% charge in about 30 minutes, and are compatible with most electric vehicles in Singapore.

  • Barrons.com

    Wall Street Has Abandoned Oil and Gas Stocks. You Shouldn’t.

    The beaten-down energy sector is starting to look oversold. That’s misguided. Here are some picks to play a rebound.

  • Touch-Screens in Cars Don’t Make Us Safer – Yet

    Touch-Screens in Cars Don’t Make Us Safer – Yet

    (Bloomberg Opinion) -- Two years ago, 10 sailors died when the U.S. Navy’s guided missile destroyer USS John S. McCain collided with a chemical tanker off Singapore. An investigation has determined that insufficient training and inadequate operating procedures were to blame, and both factors were related to a new touch-screen-based helm control system. The Navy has decided to revert its destroyers back to entirely physical throttles and helm controls.It’s worth exploring the Navy’s rationale for installing touch-screens (“Just because you can doesn’t mean you should,” says Rear Admiral Bill Galinis), as well as its rationale for getting rid of them:Galinis said that bridge design is something that shipbuilders have a lot of say in, as it’s not covered by any particular specification that the Navy requires builders to follow. As a result of innovation and a desire to incorporate new technology, “we got away from the physical throttles, and that was probably the number-one feedback from the fleet – they said, just give us the throttles that we can use.”There are lessons here — including a prescient one from 50 years ago — for other, more mundane transport-control interfaces as well.Large, interactive touch-screens are becoming increasingly prevalent in passenger cars; in the case of Tesla, they’re the only control interface. They’re lovely to look at, but as the Navy’s experience suggests, they might be more confusing than physical controls. That confusion isn’t academic, either: Distracted driving is an increasingly dangerous problem. According to the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, 10% of all fatal crashes from 2012 to 2017 involved distracted drivers. Mobile phones are a major cause of distraction, as we’d expect, but they’re an even bigger problem for younger drivers.Almost 50 years ago, robotics professor Masahiro Mori wrote an extraordinary essay, “The Uncanny Valley,” on people’s reactions to robots as they became more and more humanlike. As Mori said, our affinity for robots rises as they more closely resemble humans. That affinity plunges, becoming negative and finally rising again once a robot reaches the (possibly unattainable) full likeness of a human being.Something similar is at work in our current touch-screen-filled vehicles. To an extent, adding more screen real estate give us more information, and with it more safety — until it begins to provide an overwhelming amount of information and an overly complex set of choices for visual navigation. And moving from one information-rich interface to another is increasingly difficult, as another Navy rear admiral said in reviewing the John S. McCain collision:When you look at a screen, where do you find heading? Is it in the same place, or do you have to hunt every time you go to a different screen? So the more commonality we can drive into these kind of human-machine interfaces, the better it is for the operator to quickly pick up what the situational awareness is, whatever aspect he’s looking at, whether it’s helm control, radar pictures, whatever. So we’re trying to drive that.There are two ways our in-car screens could evolve. The first is that, for safety’s sake, they’ll move back down the curve, so to speak, and be less ambiguous and more full of knobs and dials and physical throttles. That’s the Navy’s new approach. The second, though, is that we won’t go back, at least in passenger applications, to a more tactile interface of specific controls. We’re probably going to get more screens, with more information. Maybe the only way out of this valley is to shift the interface completely to voice or, in the very long run, to obviate the issue by having cars drive themselves. That could be how we navigate this uncanny valley of vehicle interfaces — the removal of any need to control the vehicle at all, and the chance to fill our cars’ screens with pure entertainment. Weekend readingA greener energy industry is testing investors’ ability to adapt. One coal CEO says “make money while you can” in an industry that is in terminal decline. The venture capital arm of Royal Dutch Shell Plc has invested in Corvus Energy, a maritime and offshore battery systems company. America’s obsession with beef is killing leather. A look at how Phoenix comes alive at night, and how other cities might too in a hotter world. An exploration of how extreme climate change has arrived in America. The Anthropocene is a joke. On a geological time scale, human civilization is an event, not an epoch. Three years of misery inside Google, the happiest company in tech. Here’s what happens when Apple Inc. locks you out of its walled garden after fraud suspicions. Machine vision can spot unknown links between classic artworks. When Midwest startups sell, their hometown schools often lose. A programmer in California got a “NULL” vanity license plate in the hopes that the word would not compute in a database of traffic offenders. Instead, he was fined $12,049. Robert Ballard, discoverer of the Titanic, is exploring a startling clue that may help him find Amelia Earhart’s plane.   Bugatti’s one-off La Voiture Noire debuted at the Pebble Beach Concours D’Elegance. It’s already been sold, for $18.68 million. Bloomberg Businessweek’s Peter Coy looks back on the 40 years since the magazine declared “ the death of equities.” Get Sparklines delivered to your inbox. Sign up here. And subscribe to Bloomberg All Access and get much, much more. You’ll receive our unmatched global news coverage and two in-depth daily newsletters, the Bloomberg Open and the Bloomberg Close.To contact the author of this story: Nathaniel Bullard at nbullard@bloomberg.netTo contact the editor responsible for this story: Brooke Sample at bsample1@bloomberg.netThis column does not necessarily reflect the opinion of the editorial board or Bloomberg LP and its owners.Nathaniel Bullard is a BloombergNEF energy analyst, covering technology and business model innovation and system-wide resource transitions.For more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.com/opinion©2019 Bloomberg L.P.

  • In Trump's America, Why Code When You Can Dig?

    In Trump's America, Why Code When You Can Dig?

    (Bloomberg Opinion) -- President Donald Trump delivered remarks on Tuesday afternoon about “American energy and manufacturing.” As you might expect, these also covered much non-contiguous ground, including Federal Reserve Chairman Jay Powell (“another beauty that I chose”), the president’s love of trucks “of all types” and a curiously extended bit about pouring cement at Central Park’s Wollman Rink – a subject “nobody wants to talk about,” apparently.The rink riff was part of an elaborate shout-out to the Teamsters; Trump was at a new petrochemicals complex in Pennsylvania to tout his support for the local workers and fossil-fuel industry. That the message was decidedly mixed may not come as a shock, but it also says something important about the line the president is walking on energy, particularly in Pennsylvania.For me, the most interesting part came about halfway through:The last administration tried to shut down Pennsylvania coal and Pennsylvania fracking. If they got in, your fracking is gone; your coal is gone. You guys, I don’t know what the hell you’re going to do. You don’t want to make widgets, right? [Pointing to audience] You want to learn how to make a computer? [Mimicking making something] A little tiny piece of stuff; you put it with those big beautiful hands of yours, look … Nah, you want to make steel and you want to dig coal and that’s what you want to do.It should be pointed out that while Pennsylvania’s coal production fell during President Barack Obama’s administration, it had been declining since at least 2001. That trend was accelerated by the arrival of cheap shale gas from states such as Pennsylvania – where, as you can see below, the Obama administration presented little obstacle. Incidentally, cheap gas from fracking is the main reason Royal Dutch Shell Plc built the plastics plant at which Trump spoke – making its final investment decision in June 2016, several months before the presidential election.Trump’s framing is the main thing, here, though. Toward the end of his speech, he lauded Americans’ ability to “outperform anyone,” adding “no one can beat us; nothing can stop us.” Yet, mere weeks after the 50th anniversary of the Apollo 11 moon landing, he links that greatness to production of raw commodities while mocking the idea of making “widgets” or – heaven forbid – “computers.”Let’s just get the obvious out of the way and say America is big and fortunate enough to support a range of industries, from fracking to fabrication. Private production of all goods – including agriculture, mining, construction and manufacturing – amounts to less than 18% of GDP, while private services are 70%. Setting sectors up in mutual exclusion to each other is ridiculous.More importantly, putting one’s faith in such raw-calorific concepts as “energy dominance” sells short the human ingenuity that has underpinned breakthrough after breakthrough – including, as it happens, the fracking for which the president professes such admiration. It also glosses over real trade-offs that must be addressed, such as climate change and the fact that promoting gas production is the single-biggest rival to Trump’s beloved coal miners – partly because shale operators have increased productivity under pressure from the energy crash.Trump was playing to a local crowd, of course, so he was bound to focus on their particular concerns and hopes. Pennsylvania is a particularly interesting arena in this regard, in part because it’s so finely balanced.Trump won the state by a margin of less than 1%, partly by focusing on factory workers who felt ignored by his opponent Hillary Clinton, during what was a mini-recession for the sector in the year leading up to November 2016. Yet, as my colleague Justin Fox wrote here, U.S. manufacturing job gains have slowed lately, and industrial production has outright declined in the past two quarters. Trump’s tariffs, while nominally aimed at protecting domestic industry, are piling pressure on a weakening global economy. Tuesday’s surprise decision to delay tariffs on what amounted to a Christmas gift list of products suggests they’re putting pressure on American consumers too. We’re a long way from the Trump-bump to industrial stocks that greeted his election.Besides being purple, Pennsylvania’s energy identity is also mixed. While it’s one of the country’s biggest producers of fossil fuels, it’s not in the same league as states traditionally seen as big energy producers. Less than 2% of Pennsylvania’s GDP relates to production of oil and gas, for example – much lower than in Texas or even Colorado, which went for Clinton in 2016(1). And as I wrote here ahead of last year’s midterms, Pennsylvania also looks “bluer” in terms of average income and gasoline consumption:This makes Pennsylvania a microcosm of the political trade-offs in U.S. energy. Tariffs boost Trump’s standing with steelworkers but pressure energy demand (and raise producers’ costs). Boosting fracking, meanwhile, modestly helps the state’s economy but exacerbates the pressure on coal miners from natural gas without necessarily paying much of a political dividend on the oil side, given Pennsylvania’s relatively low average gasoline burden. On the other hand, those relying on fuel oil for heating may be more sensitive to rising prices, which in turn bears on Trump’s confrontation with Iran and Venezuela. Meanwhile, Pennsylvania is the only one of 15 states with a low- or zero-emissions vehicle program where Trump won the popular vote in 2016, according to ClearView Energy Partners.Such complex networks of influence and impact perhaps explain why Trump has resorted to trying to end-run the energy market in certain respects. For example, trying to force through subsidies for coal-fired power plants offers one route to garnering votes from miners while also supporting fracking – and socializing the costs and inefficiencies more opaquely across the broader electorate. In what has become a hallmark of his administration, Trump’s electoral instincts push him to divide that which is inherently linked.(1) These data are taken from ClearView Energy Partners’ “Energy Policy by the Numbers, 2019 Update”To contact the author of this story: Liam Denning at ldenning1@bloomberg.netTo contact the editor responsible for this story: Mark Gongloff at mgongloff1@bloomberg.netThis column does not necessarily reflect the opinion of the editorial board or Bloomberg LP and its owners.Liam Denning is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist covering energy, mining and commodities. He previously was editor of the Wall Street Journal's Heard on the Street column and wrote for the Financial Times' Lex column. He was also an investment banker.For more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.com/opinion©2019 Bloomberg L.P.

  • Energy giant ExxonMobil shares details of its $100M partnership with Golden's NREL
    American City Business Journals

    Energy giant ExxonMobil shares details of its $100M partnership with Golden's NREL

    ExxonMobil Corp. struck a $100 million research partnership with the Golden-based National Renewable Energy Lab this spring because teaming on research will be the only way to meet the giant task in front of energy industry today. What’s the pathway?” asked Vijay Swarup, vice president of research and development at ExxonMobil Corp.’s research and engineering company. Swarup spoke Tuesday at an NREL’s corporate partnership gathering, explaining with NREL Lab Director Martin Keller what drove ExxonMobil Corp. (NYSE: XOM) to reach a 10-year research agreement with NREL and other U.S. Department of Energy research arms.

  • Trump visits ethane cracker being built in Beaver County
    American City Business Journals

    Trump visits ethane cracker being built in Beaver County

    The $6 billion project is being touted as one of the biggest examples of the renaissance of the energy and manufacturing industries.

  • Trump plans to talk shale, manufacturing at Shell project site
    American City Business Journals

    Trump plans to talk shale, manufacturing at Shell project site

    It's the commonwealth's largest construction project since World War II, employing 6,000 workers at its peak.

  • The Most Amazing Quote From BP's Q2 Earnings Call
    Motley Fool

    The Most Amazing Quote From BP's Q2 Earnings Call

    The oil and gas giant's CEO spent a lot of time on...renewables?

  • Bloomberg

    Saudi Aramco Puts the ‘Brief’ in ‘Briefing’

    (Bloomberg Opinion) -- Great thirty minutes, guys.Monday morning’s much-ballyhooed earnings call from Saudi Arabian Oil Co., or Saudi Aramco, was remarkable chiefly for its brevity. About 25 minutes in, the host was reminding people to get their questions into the queue. Just after 9:30 a.m. in New York, it was time for closing remarks.Aramco, the biggest oil major in the world, is owned by the government of Saudi Arabia, so the fact it was putting anyone on the line to talk about a published set of accounts is noteworthy. And, to be fair, they had blocked out an hour. Yet the call yielded little new information. That partly reflected the caliber of the questions, with the first amounting to “please explain why your company is so awesome.” But it was also a function of the usual reticence of major companies, compounded by the fact that this one is, after all, not merely unlisted but a virtual state within a famously secretive state.It was, therefore, entirely understandable that Aramco didn’t offer up much detail on plans to buy a 20% stake in the refining and chemicals business of India’s Reliance Industries Ltd., only made public a few hours before the call got underway.On the other hand, it was unfortunate that CFO Khalid Al-Dabbagh effectively dodged a decent question on Aramco’s capital expenditure and dividend policy. If, as recent reports suggest, Aramco still intends to go through with its IPO and this was a dry run for that, then questions about cash flow and dividends will be the ones that really matter.In a world where energy stocks have fallen out of favor because of a legacy of excess spending and concern about faltering demand growth, the majors are valued chiefly for their dividends. A public Aramco would be no different in this respect (see this).The first-half numbers just published confirmed Aramco is a cash-flow juggernaut, generating free cash flow after capex of almost $38 billion and paying its sole shareholder a dividend of more than $46 billion. The details beneath such numbers matter, though. After all, it’s immediately obvious that, despite generating more free cash flow in the first half than BP Plc, Chevron Corp., Exxon Mobil Corp., Royal Dutch Shell Plc, and Total SA combined, Aramco borrowed to pay that dividend to the government. While net debt is just 2% of capital employed, there was a $28 billion swing in net indebtedness in the space of 12 months. And Aramco’s capex in the first half looked low – which is why it was questioned – and Al-Dabbagh did allow that “timing” was one reason for that, suggesting it would rise in the second half of 2019.Roughly 40% of the first-half dividend was an outsize special payment predicated on 2018’s “exceptionally strong financial performance,” yet sitting oddly with a year-over-year decline in first-half profit. Coming alongside Aramco’s acquisition of the government’s majority stake in Saudi Basic Industries, or Sabic, this reinforces the sense that the company chiefly represents a financing channel for a government facing chronic deficits at current oil prices. To which one might respond: Duh, like, it’s a national oil company, what exactly did you think it was for?This is the central issue when it comes to Aramco’s valuation, however, because the closeness of that relationship with the government affects the risk premium on the company’s earnings. Taking the 12 months through June as a whole, Aramco’s capex of about $35 billion left it with free cash flow of about $88 billion, more than enough to fund $72 billion of dividend payments. Putting those on an Exxon-like yield of 5% implies a value of $1.45 trillion.Yet, assuming ordinary dividends are running at $52 billion a year – as the accounts suggest – about $20 billion of that payout is akin to the more discretionary buybacks oil majors use to distribute exceptional income. Aramco’s payout was 99% of earnings in the first half of 2019 versus just 52% a year earlier. That cyclical element should be priced at a discount to ordinary dividends, especially in light of Aramco’s role in Saudi Arabia’s public finances. Price the dividend at 6%, and the value drops to $1.21 trillion; at 7%, a shade higher than the yield for BP and Shell, it falls to $1.03 trillion.These are still very big numbers (and in line with the valuation I put together last year). They remain, however, far short of the $2 trillion valuation bragged about by Prince Mohammed bin Salman; and this despite those numbers reflecting, in part, an “exceptionally” strong year for the company.If Aramco’s owner still wants to get even close to a two in front of those twelve zeroes on the trading screen some day, then the company needs either a fundamental shift in the outlook for the oil market or a fundamental reappraisal of its ability to squeeze even more dividends out of that market. It has only some influence over the first option. The second would require at least a bit more time on the phone. Update: A typographical error in an earlier version of this story put Aramco’s implied valuation with a 6% dividend at $1.21 billion instead of $1.21 trillion.To contact the author of this story: Liam Denning at ldenning1@bloomberg.netTo contact the editor responsible for this story: Mark Gongloff at mgongloff1@bloomberg.netThis column does not necessarily reflect the opinion of the editorial board or Bloomberg LP and its owners.Liam Denning is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist covering energy, mining and commodities. He previously was editor of the Wall Street Journal's Heard on the Street column and wrote for the Financial Times' Lex column. He was also an investment banker.For more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.com/opinion©2019 Bloomberg L.P.

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