ROKU - Roku, Inc.

NasdaqGS - NasdaqGS Real Time Price. Currency in USD
+0.55 (+0.53%)
At close: 4:00PM EDT

104.65 +0.26 (0.25%)
After hours: 7:59PM EDT

Stock chart is not supported by your current browser
Previous Close103.84
Bid104.12 x 800
Ask104.40 x 1400
Day's Range101.17 - 104.88
52 Week Range26.30 - 106.12
Avg. Volume12,716,092
Market Cap11.84B
Beta (3Y Monthly)N/A
PE Ratio (TTM)N/A
EPS (TTM)-0.11
Earnings DateAug 6, 2019 - Aug 12, 2019
Forward Dividend & YieldN/A (N/A)
Ex-Dividend DateN/A
1y Target Est81.13
Trade prices are not sourced from all markets
  • Buy & Hold Disney (DIS) Stock at New Highs on Streaming TV Future?
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  • Roku Stock Is Streaming Profits for Investors, But Be Careful
    InvestorPlace5 days ago

    Roku Stock Is Streaming Profits for Investors, But Be Careful

    There are few companies this year that are raising more eyebrows than Roku (NASDAQ:ROKU) stock. Roku is up over 240% this year, which is 16 times better that the performance of the S&P 500.Source: Shutterstock Clearly this is a momentum stock, and these usually pose a problem for most investors. On the way up, they appear perpetually ready to correct, scaring most investors out. Conversely, few are brave enough to catch them on the way down.The ROKU chart is now so one-sided that it's impossible to find any upside targets from here. Anyone buying it here is clearly hoping for this insane rally to continue.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading TipsIn early May, although I was leery of it, I shared the potential of Roku hitting $85 per share. The bulls more than delivered on that potential. Up here I cannot chase it because I don't have visibility to upside levels. Besides, the rise was so fast that it has undoubtedly built up a bunch of weak hands below. Sentiment and Technicals in ROKU StockBefore you label me a hater, this is not the same as saying short the stock. I am merely pointing out that it's okay to wait it out a few ticks. * 10 Stocks to Buy That Wall Street Expects to Soar for the Rest of 2019 The markets in general are near all-time highs and going into tremendous geopolitical risk. Some would say that investors are reckless so equities are vulnerable to a correction. Although I don't expect a major one, we could dip on headlines -- but only as part of normal price action. If stocks in general fall, Roku could fall off a cliff. Momentum stocks run fast in both direction.In addition and even with normal price action, breakouts like this need to retest the necklines. Bulls need to know that they have support below before setting new highs.So it would be reasonable to expect Roku stock to drop towards the $82-$88 zone, which was my upside target. So those who are long Roku should not fear this potential drop; it would just be normal price action.Fundamentally, I have problems with the stock. I don't believe in its model as much as Wall Street does. I think onus is on management to prove that they deserve such high valuation. This may be the case that the expectations are too lofty at this point.I have a special label in my trade book for situations like these: THTH -- Too High to chase and Too Hot to short. For those who are set on shorting Roku, use options where a September debit put spread can limit the damage if you're wrong.This stock is not cheap. After 16 years of operations, it is still losing money and its price is 15 times its sales. Buying it up here means that the investors believe that it will grow into its valuation. I remain a skeptic. Bottom Line for RokuI do like the conviction of its fans, but Wall Street can be a fickle bunch. Consider what happened to Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA). Every expert loved it when it was at $290 per share. Then suddenly they hated it with a passion.I do like the ROKU sector because, thanks to Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX), the world now wants to consume media online. Roku has a front seat to that new streaming world. I consider them an aggregator, so they are content-agnostic for now. But I still can't ignore the potential threat from the mega caps that are already in the streaming rat race.I use a Roku stick, but for free, and I would never pay for any of its services because I don't need to. I merely use it to screen share off my phone. It's not popular to say, but there's a risk that the stock has too much love right now.Logic suggests that it is okay to wait it out this high up, even at the expense of missing out on a few upside ticks. The setup for the last mega breakout was obvious to me, so I saw it the rally coming. I don't have that same visibility here, so I put it in the penalty box for now. I would also protect any short-term profits I have, just in case.Nicolas Chahine is the managing director of As of this writing, he did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities. Join his live chat room free here. More From InvestorPlace * 4 Top American Penny Pot Stocks (Buy Before June 21) * 10 Stocks to Buy That Wall Street Expects to Soar for the Rest of 2019 * 7 Value Stocks That Are Flying Under the Radar * 6 Mouth-Watering Fast Food Stocks for Growth Investors Compare Brokers The post Roku Stock Is Streaming Profits for Investors, But Be Careful appeared first on InvestorPlace.

  • Hedge Funds Have Never Been This Bullish On Roku, Inc. (ROKU)
    Insider Monkey5 days ago

    Hedge Funds Have Never Been This Bullish On Roku, Inc. (ROKU)

    Does Roku, Inc. (NASDAQ:ROKU) represent a good buying opportunity at the moment? Let’s quickly check the hedge fund interest towards the company. Hedge fund firms constantly search out bright intellectuals and highly-experienced employees and throw away millions of dollars on satellite photos and other research activities, so it is no wonder why they tend to […]

  • The Roku Stock Price Is Too High for a Nervous Market
    InvestorPlace7 days ago

    The Roku Stock Price Is Too High for a Nervous Market

    Roku (NASDAQ:ROKU) seemingly can do no wrong in investors' eyes. The ROKU stock price has risen 232% so far this year. Among stocks with a market capitalization above $1 billion, only one -- Enphase Energy (NASDAQ:ENPH) -- has done better.Source: Roku Much of the gains seem to have come from sentiment, rather than performance. Roku's first-quarter earnings were impressive, but the company only raised full-year revenue guidance by a couple of million dollars. The increase in the ROKU stock price from pre-earnings levels has added some $4 billion in market value.From here, it looks like too much -- though, admittedly, I've said that before. Back in September, I argued investors should take profits at $70. From a short-term standpoint, that was brilliant advice: ROKU shares would drop 60% in a little over three months. Of course, the stock now is almost 50% above those levels after the torrid gains of late.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading TipsTo be sure, I don't think Roku is headed back to $35 or anything close. This remains a wonderful business. I've compared the company to (NASDAQ:AMZN) in terms of its potential to expand well beyond its initial model (book-selling for Amazon, player revenues for Roku). I'm more skeptical than most that Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG,NASDAQ:GOOGL) or Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) will dislodge Roku from its leadership in streaming. And I see real growth ahead for Roku.But that's kind of the point: As highly as I think of Roku as a business, I still question ROKU as a stock. And I don't believe, at these prices, it will take much for the market to come around to that viewpoint. ROKU Valuation and Player RevenueRoku isn't yet profitable -- though it is guiding for $10-$20 million in Adjusted EBITDA this year -- so valuation comes down, at the moment, to revenue. And, on that front, even at $100+ ROKU stock doesn't look ridiculously expensive. * 7 Stocks to Buy for the Coming Recession After all, ROKU is valued at just over 11 times its revenue. That's a big number, obviously, but not huge in context. Shares of Shopify (NYSE:SHOP), another consumer-focused platform play, are valued at over 20x sales. (SHOP has some valuation concerns, too, admittedly.) Square (NYSE:SQ) is at about 12x its 2019 guidance for adjusted revenue (which backs out transaction costs). Even Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX), a more mature company, is valued at over 10x sales (including debt).This is not to say that ROKU is, thus, cheap. But 11x revenue, on its face, isn't obviously illogical. Given that revenue rose 51% in first quarter and is expected to grow 40%+ for the full year, a big multiple makes some sense. Whether "big" means 7x or 11x or 15x likely depends on the type of investor making the case.But there's a catch here. About one-third of this year's revenue, per Roku management, is coming from the sale of players. And that revenue is not worth 11x -- or anything close. Roku likely loses money on player sales: gross margin was 9.8% in Q1 and just 2.4% the quarter before. Combined, the company earned $10 million in gross profit in those two quarters -- and spent $106.7 million just on research and development, much of that spend taking place in the hardware business.It's the platform revenue investors want to buy -- and that revenue this year will only be about $700 million by management estimates. That figure suggests that Roku is trading for a "true" revenue multiple of about 16x. That certainly gets closer to obviously illogical. Is Roku's Business Good Enough?In other words, the only remotely comparable stock that is valued more dearly than Roku is probably Shopify. SHOP has gone on a historic run -- it's gained 120% year-to-date -- and benefits from a likely larger market opportunity. Logically, Roku should trade at a discount to SHOP, but the current gap isn't that big.Is Roku as a company that good, where it's dearly valued even in the rarefied air of fast-growing platform and/or software plays? Perhaps. It's benefiting from the disruption of video content consumption -- and driving some of that disruption itself. The Roku Channel has a clear opportunity. Advertisers continue to flock to its platform. Users are growing, as are hours streamed: the latter figure rose nearly 80% year over year in Q1.All that said, there are some question marks here. Roku still gets immaterial revenue from Netflix and YouTube, which remain the favorite apps among Roku users. The Roku Channel is intriguing -- but it doesn't take a long look at stocks like CBS (NYSE:CBS) or AMC Networks (NASDAQ:AMCX) to see what investors think about ad-supported video at the moment.What's intriguing about Roku is the reason I compared it to Amazon: we don't really know where Roku is going to go, or what it will look like a few years from now. With 29 million accounts, Roku has a base for new initiatives in video or even music streaming. It still has room to go international. Roku can find new ways to add value.But there are still questions about what the business is right now. One-third of revenue is unprofitable. A decent chunk of the remainder comes from the Roku Channel, which potentially puts Roku at odds with some of the offerings on its platforms (think so-called vMPVDs like YouTube TV or DIRECTV NOW from AT&T (NYSE:T)). This isn't a perfect story yet. But the ROKU stock price suggests that it is. A ROKU Pullback?And so there appear to be two near-term risks to the ROKU stock price. The first is that investors question whether paying 15x+ revenue for any stock is wise. We may not see a repeat of the December sell-off that led ROKU shares to plunge, but a correction -- particularly in high-growth names -- wouldn't be a surprise. * 7 Dark Horse Stocks Winning the Race in 2019 The second is that investors keep paying up for quality, but decide Roku doesn't quite belong in the upper tier of growth stocks. That's my sense at the moment, and the key reason for caution above $100. Almost everything has to go right for Roku to keep moving higher -- both in terms of its performance and in overall investor sentiment.That seems like too much to ask in this market -- and maybe too much to ask of this business.As of this writing, Vince Martin has no positions in any securities mentioned. More From InvestorPlace * 4 Top American Penny Pot Stocks (Buy Before June 21) * 7 Stocks to Buy for the Coming Recession * 10 Smart Dividend Stocks for the Rest of the Year * 5 Tech Stocks That Are Far Too Risky Right Now Compare Brokers The post The Roku Stock Price Is Too High for a Nervous Market appeared first on InvestorPlace.

  • Why Roku Shares Jumped 42% Last Month
    Motley Fool9 days ago

    Why Roku Shares Jumped 42% Last Month

    The digital media specialist published another helping of stellar quarterly results.

  • 7 Dark Horse Stocks Winning the Race in 2019
    InvestorPlace9 days ago

    7 Dark Horse Stocks Winning the Race in 2019

    When it comes to stocks, it's all about expectations. In theory, the present value of a stock is equal to the company's earnings power, discounted back at an appropriate rate. In practice, this basically means that the more optimistic investors are about the future growth of a company, the higher that stock will go, and vice versa.One feature of the expectations game in stocks is that expectations end up being correlated with potential return. The bigger expectations are for a company, the more those positive expectations get priced into the stock, so when good news happens, everyone was ready for it, and the stock consequently fails to rally in a big way.But, when the expectations are low on a company, good news isn't priced in. Thus, when good news converges on a depressed stock, that's when you get the big 20%-plus, 30%-plus, and bigger rallies.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading TipsIn other words, the expectations game in stocks means that underdog stocks -- or dark horse stocks, as I like to call them -- are often the biggest winners in the market. * 7 Stocks to Buy As They Hit 52-Week Lows Which dark horse stocks are running higher in 2019? Let's take a closer look. Snap (SNAP)YTD Return: 150%Heading into 2019, Wall Street was very pessimistic on shares of Snap (NYSE:SNAP). The social media platform had seen its user base shrink in the back half of 2018, which coincided with a rapid slowdown in revenue growth. At the same time, the company was still reporting wide losses, and competition from bigger digital ad players was only getting more fierce.But, in 2019, the tide has started to turn for this dark horse stock. User growth has come back into the picture. Revenue growth has stabilized. Margins have improved. Competition has become less fierce. Losses have narrowed. In other words, every late 2018 headwind, has turned into an early 2019 tailwind, and SNAP stock has consequently more than doubled this year.Can the rally continue? I'm hesitant to say yes here. Snap stock has come very far, very fast, and the valuation is now very big. User growth, although positive, is still tepid. Revenue growth isn't all that impressive. Margins are still a concern. Competition hasn't gone away entirely. Broadly, although things are improving here, they still aren't great, and that will ultimately keep Snap stock from heading much higher. Roku (ROKU)Source: Shutterstock YTD Return: 230%In late 2018, Wall Street seemed to forget the secular growth story which supported streaming platform Roku (NASDAQ:ROKU). Investors became overly concerned about competition derailing this company's growth trajectory, and a slowdown in the global economy similarly derailing the OTT video trend. ROKU stock was consequently hammered.Those concerns were overstated. The economy hasn't slowed much, and the OTT video trend has only gained momentum in 2019. Further, competition still hasn't caught up to Roku, and the company has continued to dominate the streaming device market this year. As it has, investors have jumped back on the Roku bandwagon, and in a hurry. The stock has more than tripled in 2019. * 7 A-Rated Stocks to Buy Under $10 Can the rally continue? I think so. Sure, Roku stock needs to take a short term breather because, after all, stocks don't go up in straight lines forever -- even dark horse stocks that suddenly pull ahead. But, after that breather, the rally should continue. This company is increasingly turning into the cable box of the OTT video world, and that will translate into billions of dollars in advertising and subscription sharing revenue at scale. Those revenues are high margin, so we are talking potentially hundreds of millions of dollars in profit here. ROKU stock just isn't priced for that, so it will continue to move higher. Stitch Fix (SFIX)Source: Stitch FixYTD Return: 55%Wall Street was quick to fall in love with online personal styling service Stitch Fix (NASDAQ:SFIX). But just as quickly as investors fell in love with the stock, they fell out of love with it. In just over a year after its IPO, SFIX stock went from $15, to $50, back to $15, as investors backed away from the stock in late 2018 as growth dramatically slowed.But the growth slowdown was temporary, due to one-time changes and purposefully lower marketing spend. Those one-offs have been phased out, and marketing spend has re-accelerated. Consequently, growth in 2019 has re-accelerated, too. As it has, SFIX stock has come roaring back. Shares are up more than 50% in 2019.Can the rally continue? I'd say yes. Stitch Fix is changing the game in retail to a curated, on-demand model. We've seen these shifts before. Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) changed the content game by curating content and making it on-demand. Chegg (NASDAQ:CHGG) changed the education game by curating textbooks and making learning an on-demand experience. The retail pivot will play out in a similar manner. Curated, on-demand shopping will gain share and traction. As it does, Stitch Fix's growth trajectory will remain favorable, and SFIX stock will stay in rally mode. Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)Source: Shutterstock YTD Return: 70%The best performing stock in the S&P 500 last year was Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), and the out-performance was all because the relatively small CPU and GPU maker was stealing market share from the far bigger Intel (NASDAQ:INTC) and Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA). Investors were concerned that this market share expansion would not persist in 2019, so AMD stock traded lower into the end of 2018.But, AMD stock has risen another 70% in 2019 because the company's market share expansion narrative remains as vigorous as ever. The company continues to beat competitors to market with next-gen chips. At the same time, competitors are struggling with supply shortages. This combination has led to AMD continuing to win share, which has led to AMD stock running higher. * 4 Antitrust Tech Stocks to Keep an Eye On Can this dark horse stock keep running? Yes, but at a more moderate pace. The current outlook is for AMD to keep stealing share from Intel and Nvidia for the foreseeable future. This will power healthy revenue, margin, and profit growth. But, a lot of that growth is already priced in, as AMD stock is significantly more expensive than both Intel stock and Nvidia stock. As such, while the trends here will remain favorable going forward, the uptrend in AMD stock will likely slow. Wayfair (W)Source: Shutterstock YTD Return: 70%Hyper-growth furniture e-retail giant Wayfair (NYSE:W) has never had a problem with top-line growth. Top-line growth rates have always been very big here. Instead, the problem has consistently been with margins, which have remained stubbornly low for a long time despite increased scale. Those depressed margins got more depressed in late 2018, and as they fell, so did Wayfair stock.But, Wayfair stock has staged a huge turnaround in 2019 as top-line growth rates have remained impressive, and margins have started to show signs of improvement. Year-to-date, Wayfair stock is up 70%.How much higher can Wayfair stock go? In the near term, not much higher. The long-term growth narrative here is promising, however. Furniture e-retail is under-penetrated relative to other e-retail segments, and Wayfair is the leader in this under-penetrated yet rapidly growing market. Margins will scale over time, and the company will one day produce sizable profits. But, the valuation already reflects all this growth, and then some. As such, the stock needs to take a breather here around $150. Cronos (CRON)Source: Shutterstock YTD Return: 50%It might be weird to find any marijuana name on a list of dark horse stocks. Pot stocks were all the craze in mid-2018. But as the economy slowed and the legal Canadian cannabis market got off to a rough start thanks to supply shortages, pot stocks dropped big in late 2018. Canadian cannabis producer Cronos (NASDAQ:CRON) was no exception. CRON stock fell from $14 in mid-2018, to $7 in late 2018.But the stock has staged a huge turnaround in 2019 thanks to three things: the global economy has stabilized, the Canadian cannabis market has found its footing, and Cronos scored a huge near $2 billion investment from tobacco giant Altria (NYSE:MO). In response to all that good news, CRON stock has risen 50% in 2019. * 9 Hot Stocks to Buy Now Will renewed strength in CRON stock persist? Probably not. Cronos is the smallest of the well known Canadian cannabis producers in terms of volume of cannabis sold last quarter. But, the company has one of the largest market caps in the group, because of the Altria investment. In other words, investors expect the Altria investment to supercharge growth and allow Cronos to expand. Now, Cronos needs to deliver on those expectations. If they don't, the stock could crater. If they do, well, it's already priced in. As such, the risk-reward here doesn't look great at the current moment. Axon (AAXN)Source: Shutterstock YTD Return: 55%Last, but not least, on this list of dark horse stocks that have run higher in 2019 is law enforcement technology solutions provider Axon (NASDAQ:AAXN). This company has pivoted from selling tasers to selling a suit of cloud-hosted technology solutions to law enforcement communities around the world. As it has, the company's growth trajectory has improved meaningfully, and AAXN stock has shot higher. But, that growth trajectory hit some turbulence in late 2018 as growth slowed. Investors weren't impressed. AAXN stock dropped from $75 to $40 in late 2018.Growth has picked back up in 2019. AAXN stock has consequently rebounded in a big way, rallying more than 50% over the past five months.How much higher can Axon stock go? The rally may be over. For now. In the big picture, the growth narrative here is really good. The law enforcement world desperately needs a tech makeover. Axon is giving it a tech makeover. There's hardly any competition, because Axon has either acquired or squashed everyone else in this space. Also, the cloud-hosted solutions pivot means higher margins at scale, so not only is this a big revenue growth story, but it's also a big profit growth story, too.Having said all that, the stock is already priced for all that growth, and further upside is hard to justified, even under optimistic long term growth assumptions.As of this writing, Luke Lango was long ROKU, SFIX, NFLX, CHGG, and INTC. More From InvestorPlace * 4 Top American Penny Pot Stocks (Buy Before June 21) * 7 Stocks to Buy As They Hit 52-Week Lows * 4 Antitrust Tech Stocks to Keep an Eye On * 5 Gold and Silver Stocks Touching Intraday Highs Compare Brokers The post 7 Dark Horse Stocks Winning the Race in 2019 appeared first on InvestorPlace.

  • 9 Hot Stocks to Buy Now
    InvestorPlace9 days ago

    9 Hot Stocks to Buy Now

    Editor's note: This story was previously published in May 2019. It has since been updated and republished.It's a different market than it was at the beginning of 2018.It's a choppier, more cautious, environment. That's not a bad thing, however. After a basically uninterrupted post-election rally, several stocks have seen pullbacks that provide more attractive entry points. Others simply haven't received their due credit from the market.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading TipsWhile there might be reasons for caution overall -- higher interest rates, trade war concerns -- more opportunities exist as well. * 7 Stocks to Buy As They Hit 52-Week Lows This more and more looks like a "stockpicker's market." For those stockpickers, here are 10 stocks to buy that look particularly attractive. Exxon Mobil (XOM)Past year performance: -10%I'm as surprised as anyone that Exxon Mobil Corporation (NYSE:XOM) makes this list. I've long been skeptical toward XOM. The internal hedge between upstream and downstream operations makes Exxon stock a surprisingly poor play on higher oil prices, as we've seen in recent weeks. Overall, it leads XOM to stay relatively rangebound, as it has been for basically a decade now. Source: Shutterstock With the dividend well over 4% and a 14.5 times forward price-earnings (P/E) multiple, Exxon Mobil stock looks like a value play. Meanwhile, management is forecasting that earnings can double by 2025, adding a modest growth component to the story.Obviously, there's a risk that Exxon management is being too optimistic. Years of underperformance relative to peers like Chevron (NYSE:CVX) and even BP (NYSE:BP) has eroded the market's confidence. If Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA) can lead a true electric car revolution, that, too, could impact demand and pricing going forward. Nathan's Famous (NATH)Past year performance: -26.5 %In this market, recommending a restaurant owner, let alone a hot dog restaurant owner, might seem silly at best. But there's a strong bull case for Nathan's Famous, Inc. (NASDAQ:NATH).Source: FlickrNATH, too, has seen a steady decline since late 2018. The stock touched a 52-week (and all-time) high just over $100 in July 2018. It's since come down about 50%, yet the story hasn't really changed all that much.Revenues grew by just about 8% in 2018 (the most recent fiscal year). The company's agreement with John Morrell, who manufactures Nathan's product for retail sale and Sam's Club operations, offers huge margins, while its bottom line continues to grow. Foodservice sales similarly are increasing. * 7 S&P 500 Dividend Stocks to Buy at Least Yielding 3% The restaurant business has been choppier, but it remains profitable. The "mostly franchised" model there is similar to those of Domino's Pizza (NYSE:DPZ) and Yum! Brands (NYSE:YUM), among others, all of whom are getting well above-market multiples.All told, Nathan's has an attractive licensing model, which leverages revenue growth across the operating businesses. And yet, at 13x EV/EBITDA, the stock trades at a significant discount to peers. Bank of America (BAC)Past year performance: -8%Bank of America Corp (NYSE:BAC) trades just a few dollars off its highest levels since the financial crisis and has gained over 100% from July 2016 lows. Trading has been a bit choppier of late, and there's a case, perhaps, to wait for a better entry point.Source: Shutterstock But I've liked BAC stock for some time now, and, as I wrote previously, I don't see any reason to back off yet. Earnings growth should be solid for the foreseeable future, given rising interest rates and a strong economy.BofA itself has executed nicely over the past few years. The company's credit profile is solid and its stock has outperformed other big banks like JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE:JPM). And tax reform and easing capital restrictions mean a big dividend hike could be on the way as well.And despite the big run, it's not as if BAC is expensive. The stock still trades at less than ten times 2019 EPS estimates. Unless the economy turns south quickly, that seems too cheap. So it looks like the big run in Bank of America stock isn't over yet. Roku (ROKU)Past year performance: 145%Roku Inc (NASDAQ:ROKU) undoubtedly is the riskiest stock on this list, and there certainly is a case for caution. The company remains unprofitable on even an Adjusted EBITDA basis. A 9x EV/revenue multiple isn't cheap.Source: Shutterstock But with more than 28 million active users, Roku is a fast-growing platform deserving of its high-ish multiple. This year, Roku looks to build a true content ecosystem, and from a subscriber standpoint, already has surpassed Charter Communications (NASDAQ:CHTR) and trails only AT&T (NYSE:T) and Comcast Corporation (NASDAQ:CMCSA).Again, this is a high-risk play but it's also a high-reward opportunity. * 10 Stocks to Buy That Could Be Takeover Targets Margins in the platform segment are very attractive and should allow Roku to turn profitable relatively quickly. International markets remain largely untapped. There's a case for waiting for a better entry point, or selling puts. But I like ROKU at these levels for the growth/high-risk portion of an investor's portfolio. Brunswick (BC)Past year performance: -37%Down 17% over the past year, Brunswick Corporation (NYSE:BC) is due for a breakout. The boat, engine and fitness equipment manufacturer is trading around $43, and despite a boating sector that has roared of late, the industry leader has been mostly left out.Source: Shutterstock Efforts to build out a fitness business have had mixed results and may support some of the market's skepticism toward the stock. But Brunswick now is spinning that business off, returning to be a boating pure-play. * 6 Big Dividend Stocks to Buy as Yields Plunge Cyclical risk is worth noting, and there are questions as to whether millennials will have the same fervor for boating as their parents. But at a nine times forward EPS, with earnings still growing double-digits, BC is easily worth those risks.And if the stock finally can break through resistance, a breakout toward $70-plus seems likely. Pfizer (PFE)Past year performance: 18%Few investors like the pharmaceutical space at this point or even healthcare as a whole. But amidst that negativity, Pfizer Inc. (NYSE:PFE) looks forgotten.Source: Shutterstock This still is the most valuable drug manufacturer in the world. It trades at just 13 times forward EPS, a multiple that suggests profits will stay basically flat in perpetuity. To top it off, PFE offers a 3.36% dividend yield.Obviously, there are risks here. Drug pricing continues to be subject to political scrutiny (though the spotlight seems to have dimmed of late). Revenue growth has flattened out of late.But Pfizer still is growing earnings, with adjusted EPS rising 1.3% last year and guidance suggesting a similar increase this year. Tom Taulli previously cited three reasons to buy Pfizer stock -- and I think he's got it about right. Valmont Industries (VMI)Past year performance: -23%Valmont Industries, Inc. (NYSE:VMI) offers a diversified portfolio business and has been relatively weak across the board of late. The irrigation business has been hit by years of declining farm income. Support structures manufactured for utilities and highways have seen choppy demand due to uneven government spending. Mining weakness has had an impact on Valmont's smaller businesses as well.Source: Shutterstock Valmont is a cyclical business where the cycles simply haven't been much in the company's favor. Yet that should start to change. 5G and increasing wireless usage should help the company's business with cellular phone companies.Irrigation demand almost has to return at some point. And a possible infrastructure plan from the Trump Administration would benefit Valmont as well. * 7 Bank Stocks to Leave in the Vault Concerns about the tariffs on steel likely have hit VMI, and sent it back to support below $150. But many of Valmont's contracts are "pass-through," which limits the direct impact of those higher costs on the company itself. Despite uneven demand, EPS has been growing steadily and should do so in 2019 as well.And yet VMI trades at an attractive 16x multiple -- a multiple that suggests Valmont is closer to the top of the cycle than the bottom. That seems unlikely to be the case, and as earnings grow and the multiple expands, VMI has a clear path to upside. American Eagle Outfitters (AEO)Past year performance: -28%American Eagle Outfitters (NYSE:AEO) is one of the, if not the, best stocks in retail, and that's kind of the problem. Mall retailing, in particular, has been a very tough space over the past few years, and it's not just the impact of, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN) and other online retailers. Traffic continues to decline, which pressures sales and has led to intense competition on price, hurting margins.Source: Mike Mozart via Flickr (Modified)But American Eagle has survived rather well so far, keeping comps positive and earnings stable. And yet this stock, too, trades at around 13.6x EPS, backing out its net cash. And American Eagle has an ace in the hole: its aerie line, which continues to grow at a breakneck pace.The company's bralettes and other products clearly are taking share from L Brands Inc (NYSE:LB) unit Victoria's Secret. And the ecommerce growth in that business, and for American Eagle as a whole, suggests an ability to dodge the intense pressure on mall-based retailers.In short, American Eagle isn't going anywhere. There's enough here to suggest American Eagle can eke out some growth, and a 3.14% dividend provides income in the meantime.The stock already is recovering, being one of the only on this list with a positive chart over the past year, and AEO stock should continue to perform well. Longer-term, there's still room for consistent growth and more upside. United Parcel Service (UPS)Past year performance: -16% United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE:UPS) is going to have to spend to add capacity, and in this space, too, there's the ever-present threat of Amazon.Source: Shutterstock But UPS is an entrenched leader, along with rival FedEx Corporation (NYSE:FDX), and it at worst can co-exist with Amazon. Ecommerce growth overall should continue to increase demand; there's enough room for multiple players in the global market. * 7 Stocks to Buy for Monster Growth Meanwhile, the selloff and benefits from tax reform mean that UPS now is trading at just 13 times analysts' 2019 consensus EPS estimate. And the stock yields a healthy 3.44%. Investors clearly see a risk that growth will decelerate, but UPS stock is priced as if that deceleration is guaranteed.As of this writing, Vince Martin is long shares of Exxon Mobil. He has no positions in any other securities mentioned. More From InvestorPlace * 7 A-Rated Stocks That Are Under $10 * 7 Stocks That Are Soaring This Earnings Season * 5 Biotech Stocks for a Long-Lived Portfolio * 10 Times Apple's Hardware Failed Consumers -- And Hurt Its Business Compare Brokers The post 9 Hot Stocks to Buy Now appeared first on InvestorPlace.

  • Is Roku (ROKU) Stock Outpacing Its Consumer Discretionary Peers This Year?
    Zacks9 days ago

    Is Roku (ROKU) Stock Outpacing Its Consumer Discretionary Peers This Year?

    Is (ROKU) Outperforming Other Consumer Discretionary Stocks This Year?

  • Does Roku Stock At $100 Make Sense? Yes.
    InvestorPlace13 days ago

    Does Roku Stock At $100 Make Sense? Yes.

    Calendar 2019 has been quite the recovery year for shares of over-the-top (OTT) video platform Roku (NASDAQ:ROKU). In late 2018, amid escalating global economic slowdown concerns, investors seemingly forgot about Roku's secular growth narrative. Consequently, ROKU stock exited 2018 around $30. Then, the company reported back-to-back strong earnings reports which jolted the market's memory, and investors flocked back into the stock.Source: Shutterstock Today, ROKU stock trades hands above $100, meaning this stock has more than tripled in less than six months.That's a big rally. Naturally, it's big enough to warrant some caution. After all, the law of financial gravity states that stocks don't go up in straight lines forever. ROKU stock has essentially gone up in a straight line since late 2018 from $30 to $100. The stock naturally needs to take a breather here and now, and let the fundamentals catch up.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading TipsBut don't mistake a breather in the stock for the end of a long term uptrend.In the big picture, there is increasing clarity to the bull thesis that Roku is on track to become the cable box and central access point in the OTT video world. This world will one day be huge, full of hundreds of millions of subscribers, billions of ad dollars, and billions of subscription dollars. Roku will take home a big share of all those subs and dollars, and do so at a high margin. * 10 Stocks to Buy That Could Be Takeover Targets The result? Roku will one day be a very big and very profitable company. Ultimately, that very big and very profitable company will be accompanied by a stock price north of $150.Thus, Roku stock remains on a long-term winning trajectory. It just needs to take a breather here. Once it does, that's an opportunity to buy. Roku Will Be Huge One DayThe big picture bull thesis on Roku stock is pretty simple.The OTT video world is rapidly expanding globally and will one day be huge in terms of subscribers, ad dollars, and subscription dollars. Roku is increasingly turning into the cable box of this world and as such, is at the epicenter of this explosive growth. As the market expands, so will Roku's revenues and profits, and ROKU stock will zoom higher.Let's break that bull thesis down. First, OTT video is the future. Relative to linear TV, OTT video is cheaper and more convenient. As such, global consumption will continue to shift from linear TV to OTT video. Right now, there are 250 million OTT video households in the world, which represents a fraction of the 1 billion-plus linear TV households in the world. Over time, that OTT video household base will expand and close in on the 1 billion-plus linear TV household base.Second, this shift will be accompanied by a shift in subscription and ad dollars. As consumers pivot from linear TV to OTT video, consumer dollars will likewise pivot from linear TV packages to streaming services. Meanwhile, ad dollars always follow consumption. So as consumption shifts from linear TV to OTT video, ad dollars will follow suit. In the United States, traditional TV ad spend is nearly $70 billion, while OTT video ad spend is barely over $2 billion, implying huge growth potential for OTT video ad spend over the next several years as traditional TV dollars flow into the OTT channel.Third, Roku is at the epicenter of all this growth. A rapid rise in the number of OTT video consumers and OTT video services means someone has to connect all this new demand to all this new supply. Roku does just that. And, they do it better than anyone else, offering a content-neutral, easy-to-use platform without complications for OTT video consumers to access any OTT video service they want. As such, Roku is becoming the cable box of OTT video.Broadly, then, the OTT video world is rapidly growing and Roku is at the center of all that growth. A Price Tag Above $100 Is SupportedTo be sure, a lot of the aforementioned bull thesis is already priced into ROKU stock. After all, this stock has more than tripled in less than six months, and now trades at 14-times trailing sales.But there remains healthy upside potential in ROKU stock in the long run.Given the company's current growth trajectory, secular tailwinds underpinning OTT video adoption and the massive addressable market of 1 billion-plus global TV households, it is quite likely that Roku marches towards 100 million active accounts by 2025, versus 29 million today. Further, given the huge growth runway for OTT video ad dollars, it is equally likely that Roku continues to grow its average revenue per user rate at a 15%-plus clip over the next several years, versus 26.5% growth last quarter.That combination ultimately implies that Roku has revenue potential well north of $4 billion by 2025. Assuming Platform gross margins scale towards 70%, Player gross margins remain depressed around 5%, and the opex rate falls with scale towards 40%, then $5.50 in EPS looks entirely doable for Roku by 2025.Based on a big growth average 30-times forward multiple, that implies a fiscal 2024 price target for ROKU stock of $165. Discounted back by 10% per year, that equates to a fiscal 2019 price target of just over $100. * 7 Ways to Make Berkshire Hathaway Stock More Attractive Bottom Line on ROKU StockRoku stock has come very far, very fast, so investors shouldn't be surprised if the stock takes a step back here and now. But the stock still has healthy and promising upside in a long term window. Ultimately, this stock remains on track to shoot above $150 in the long run.As of this writing, Luke Lango was long ROKU. More From InvestorPlace * 4 Top American Penny Pot Stocks (Buy Before June 21) * The 4 FANG Stocks Won't Be Bitten By Regulation Threats * 10 Stocks to Buy That Could Be Takeover Targets * 4 Big Bank Stocks Rebounding Compare Brokers The post Does Roku Stock At $100 Make Sense? Yes. appeared first on InvestorPlace.

  • Roku Shares Are Alerting Big Buy Demand
    Investopedia13 days ago

    Roku Shares Are Alerting Big Buy Demand

    Institutional buy signals and strong fundamentals suggest that Roku shares could represent a long-term investment opportunity.

  • 3 Big Stock Charts for Thursday: Pfizer, Walmart and FleetCor Technologies
    InvestorPlace13 days ago

    3 Big Stock Charts for Thursday: Pfizer, Walmart and FleetCor Technologies

    It remains to be seen if it will last, but with two big days of bullishness under its belt, the S&P 500 at least has a shot at rekindling its bigger-picture rally. Or, perhaps yesterday's 0.82% jump is only a setup for the next wave of selling.Source: Allan Ajifo via Wikimedia (Modified)Whatever it was, Roku (NASDAQ:ROKU) set the tone, gaining almost 9% as a follow-up to Tuesday's rally in response to a key upgrade from Guggenheim. Leading the charge, however, was Campbell Soup Company (NYSE:CPB) with its 10% advance. The food company popped following a quarterly earnings beat driven by strong snack-food sales.There were some losers, however. In fact, despite yesterday's gain, there were almost as many losers as there were winners, and there was more bearish volume than bullish volume. The biggest offender? Cloudera (NYSE:CLDR). The stock fell more than 3% during the regular session, but was off more than 30% in after-hours action after a disappointing Q1 was made worse by news that CEO Tom Reilly would be stepping down.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading Tips * The 10 Best Stocks for 2019 -- So Far Headed into Thursday's trading, however, it's the stock charts of FleetCor Technologies (NYSE:FLT), Walmart (NYSE:WMT) and Pfizer (NYSE:PFE) that are of the most interest. Here's a look at why, and what needs to happen next. Pfizer (PFE)Just a few weeks ago, shares of drug company Pfizer were fighting a losing battle. Although still dishing out plenty of bullish swings, the undertow was bearish, marked with clear, falling support and resistance lines.That downtrend may still be intact. But, PFE is close to punching its way out of it. Not one but two crucial ceilings are now being pressured, and one more good day could get Pfizer over a major hump. Click to Enlarge * The first of those technical ceilings is the line that traces all the key highs since February, plotted in yellow on both stocks charts. * The second line in the sand is the white 200-day moving average line, plotted in white on both stock charts. Clearing both lines could easily prove catalytic. * What's different about this effort from others is that this one has the advantage of starting out with a bullish MACD cross on the weekly chart. FleetCor Technologies (FLT)After a rough finish to last month and an equally poor beginning of this one -- marked with a move under its purple 50-day moving average line -- it looked like FleetCor Technologies shares might snap out of that funk on Tuesday. No such luck though. While the stock was up for a short while on Wednesday, the sizeable reversal back into the red actually underscores how much trouble FleetCor shares are in. * 7 Small-Cap ETFs to Buy Now Click to Enlarge * FLT only had to approach the blue 20-day moving average line yesterday to inspire a renewed wave of profit-taking that dragged shares back under the 50-day line. * Although the daily chart suggests how overbought FleetCor Technologies shares were into the end of May, the weekly chart confirms the stock was technically overbought and ripe for selling. * This may be part of a bigger effort to close the gap that was left behind in February, which is highlighted on the daily chart. Walmart (WMT)Finally, back in mid-May we pointed out Walmart shares were being squeezed into a converging wedge pattern. Although the longer-term and shorter-term trend appeared bullish, the bears still had an opportunity to quell that rally and even knock the stock back into a downtrend.As of Wednesday though, that doesn't look like it's going to happen. With a little help from the broad markets, WMT has broken above the upper boundary of the converging wedged pattern and is positioned to make a healthy move that has been largely on hold for months. Click to Enlarge * The upper boundary is plotted in white on both stock charts, extending back to the early 2018 peak. * At the same time, the upper edge of the converging wedge pattern has been pierced, a near-term horizontal ceiling around $104.07 has also been hurdled. * Although it has been inconsistent at times, the Chaikin line's cross back above zero in April has further diverged, suggesting there's healthy volume behind the advance up until this point.As of this writing, James Brumley did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities. You can learn more about James at his site,, or follow him on Twitter, at @jbrumley. More From InvestorPlace * 4 Top American Penny Pot Stocks (Buy Before June 21) * The 4 FANG Stocks Won't Be Bitten By Regulation Threats * 10 Stocks to Buy That Could Be Takeover Targets * 4 Big Bank Stocks Rebounding Compare Brokers The post 3 Big Stock Charts for Thursday: Pfizer, Walmart and FleetCor Technologies appeared first on InvestorPlace.

  • Why Streaming TV Firm Roku Stock Looks Like a Buy at New Highs
    Zacks14 days ago

    Why Streaming TV Firm Roku Stock Looks Like a Buy at New Highs

    Shares of Roku (ROKU) soared nearly 9% Wednesday after Guggenheim analysts turned more bullish on the streaming TV company. Let's see why investors might want to buy Roku stock at its new highs.

  • Why ROKU Stock Is Climbing Higher Today
    InvestorPlace14 days ago

    Why ROKU Stock Is Climbing Higher Today

    Roku (NASDAQ:ROKU) had a good start to its hump day as a firm upgraded the stock thanks to continued success in the device maker's streaming practices, as well as strength in its advertising for its streaming platforms.Source: Shutterstock Guggenheim analyst Michael Morris raised its recommendation of the stock from neutral to buy on Wednesday, with the expectation that the stock will increase by close to 28% over the next year, thanks in part to strength in advertising on its streaming platforms."We see continued growth in account and streaming metrics, closing of the video advertising pricing gap with traditional television, demand by third parties for audience development opportunities, and incremental content distribution revenue recognition as key catalysts for shares," Guggenheim analyst Michael Morris said in a note to investors.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading TipsGuggenheim adds that it sees Roku's first quarter earning results as being "representative of the core trajectory" for the company's key business lines, per Morris' notes. "Roku is one of the only pure-play streaming video companies and is uniquely well positioned to benefit from the continued audience shift to digital video consumption," Morris added.The business brought in 4 cents in advertising revenue per hour during the three-month period, compared to the 19 cents per hour that traditional TV brings in, per the Guggenheim note. The firm increased its price target on the brand to $119 from $75.ROKU stock is up about 7.8% on Wednesday following the news. More From InvestorPlace * 7 Bank Stocks to Leave in the Vault * 6 Big Dividend Stocks to Buy as Yields Plunge * The 10 Best Stocks for 2019 -- So Far Compare Brokers The post Why ROKU Stock Is Climbing Higher Today appeared first on InvestorPlace.

  • Roku shares have tripled this year but they just gained another bull
    MarketWatch14 days ago

    Roku shares have tripled this year but they just gained another bull

    “We recognize the heightened risk associated with the company’s high relative valuation but believe that at its current $10.6 billion market capitalization, Roku’s asset value is compelling given its strong and growing household penetration,” wrote Morris, who raised his price target on the stock to $119 from $79 in conjunction with the upgrade. Morris argued that the company’s first-quarter results were “representative of the core trajectory for key metrics.” One data point that stuck out to him was Roku’s disclosure that its operating system was found in a third of all U.S. smart TVs sold during the period, up from “over 25%” the previous time Roku reported the statistic.

  • Schaeffer's Investment Research14 days ago

    Call Buyers Blitz Record-Setting Roku Stock

    Guggenheim thinks Roku can rally another 27%

  • Shopify Stock Has a Dip Coming, and You Definitely Should Buy into It
    InvestorPlace14 days ago

    Shopify Stock Has a Dip Coming, and You Definitely Should Buy into It

    If you were to only look at shares of Shopify (NASDAQ:SHOP), you probably wouldn't know anything is wrong. For instance, the escalating trade war with China and now Mexico would not be a worry. Given how well Shopify stock has done over the past month, many observers might also overlook the fact that the S&P 500 has been down for four straight weeks.Source: Shopify via FlickrThere's no other way to put it: Shopify stock has been an unstoppable beast. Shares are still consolidating near the recent highs after more than doubling from its December lows and is up more than 130% in just over five months.At some point though, SHOP has to get off the rocket ship. That's just the way it is. Timing that departure is a lot harder than it seems though, given that it can happen very quickly and in a very painful fashion. Just see Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) for proof.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading TipsThat brings up the question of, should investors buy Shopify stock at $250? * 6 Big Dividend Stocks to Buy as Yields Plunge Trading Shopify Stock Click to EnlargeSHOP stock price is backing off the $290 highs it was pushing last week. The fact that the stock can continue pushing new highs in this environment is incredible.I loved this name on its $155 breakout and subsequent retest where it held the 10-week moving average (purple arrow). But I didn't expect another $100+ to come so quickly.There's a lot of doubt surrounding this name thanks to its high valuation. Many argue, as they do for The Trade Desk (NASDAQ:TTD), Roku (NASDAQ:ROKU), Twilio (NYSE:TWLO) and other high-growth stocks, that Shopify stock is overvalued. They say the stock price can't support the business and that it's destined for collapse.The only problem with that theory? These shares double, triple, quadruple and more, all while these worries persist. Not being able to value it by traditional metrics makes it difficult to price a name like Shopify, but not impossible. Further, these stocks tend to get hammered during market-wide corrections.SHOP stock stood up stronger than its high-growth peers but still came in about 30% from the Q4 highs. A similar correction would bring us to $200 a share should we get similar summer volatility. That would likely be a solid buying opportunity, although many investors would still balk at that price.Unless the market really starts to implode though, it could be a while before we see SHOP stock this cheap. How about $250 then? Shares are down over 3% to start the week, down to $265. Another few days like that and $250 could be right around the corner. That would bring Shopify down to the 10-week moving average. This moving average has been guiding shares higher for all of 2019.This level needs to give way before any further downside is seen. Bottom Line on Shopify StockAggressive bulls will likely gravitate to SHOP stock at $250. This would represent a 12.5% decline from the highs. That said, if the market is turbulent enough, Shopify is sure to get hit harder than that. If it does, the 50-day moving average currently near $238 could come into play, while the May lows of $242 may also buoy the name.Below those marks and maybe we get the slippery-slope decline down to $200-ish.Understand one thing though. When companies cement themselves behind a strong brand with impressive growth, investors will almost always pay a premium. As for growth, SHOP stock has it.Estimates call for last year's revenue of $1.07 billion to grow 41% to $1.51 billion this year. 2020 estimates call for 32.5% growth to $2.01 billion in sales. Essentially, Shopify is forecast to double its revenue from 2018 to 2020. Better than that is its earnings growth, though.Estimates call for earnings of 58 cents per share this year, up 52.5% year-over-year from 38 cents per share. In 2020, forecasts call for earnings of 94 cents per share, up 62%. Even better though, the company has a solid balance sheet and is turning free cash flow (FCF) positive. Cash and short-term investments stand at about $2 billion, with just $100 million in long-term debt.At almost 20 times this year's revenue and near FCF neutral, I'm not making the case that SHOP stock is cheap. But it's a name for growth investors to own should they be able to scoop it up on a steep discount. Conservative growth bulls may bite at $250, but will certainly be interested near $200. Let's see how it does this summer.Bret Kenwell is the manager and author of Future Blue Chips and is on Twitter @BretKenwell. As of this writing, Bret Kenwell is long TTD and ROKU. More From InvestorPlace * 4 Top American Penny Pot Stocks (Buy Before June 21) * 7 Stocks to Sell Impacted by the Mexican Tariffs * 6 Big Dividend Stocks to Buy as Yields Plunge * The 10 Biggest Announcements From Apple WWDC 2019 Compare Brokers The post Shopify Stock Has a Dip Coming, and You Definitely Should Buy into It appeared first on InvestorPlace.

  • 5 Stocks That Could Be the Next Amazon
    InvestorPlace14 days ago

    5 Stocks That Could Be the Next Amazon

    [Editor's note: This story was previously published in April 2019. It has since been updated and republished.]Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) has been one of the more impressive stocks of the past 25 years. In fact, AMZN now has returned well over 100,000% from its initial public offering (IPO) price of $18 ($1.50 adjusted for the company's subsequent stock splits). A large part of the returns has come from two factors.First, Amazon has vastly expanded its reach. What originally was just an online bookseller now has its hands in everything from cloud computing to online media to groceries, and its shadow is even larger.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading Tips * The 10 Best Stocks for 2019 -- So Far Amazon's buyout of Whole Foods rattled the retail market. Similarly, its entry into healthcare by buying PillPack (as well as its healthcare partnership with Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK.B) and JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM)) sent ripples through the healthcare sector.In response, Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) teamed up with Kroger (NYSE:KR) to "build the grocery store of the future," and earlier this year announced a partnership with Walgreens (NASDAQ:WBA) to fend off Amazon.Second, as a stock, AMZN has managed the feat of keeping a growth stock valuation for over two decades. I've long argued that investors can't focus solely on the company's high price-earnings (P/E) ratio to value Amazon stock. But however an investor might view the current multiple, the market has assigned a substantial premium to AMZN stock for over 20 years now, and there's no sign of that ending any time soon.It's an impressive combination, and one that's likely impossible, or close, to duplicate. But these five stocks have the potential to at least replicate parts of the Amazon formula. All five have years, if not decades, of growth ahead. New market opportunities abound. While I'm not predicting that any will rise 100,000% (or even 1,000%) these five stocks do have the potential for impressive long-term gains. Square (SQ)Admittedly, I personally am not the biggest fan of Square (NYSE:SQ) stock. I like Square as a company, but I continue to question just how much growth is priced into SQ already.Source: Chris Harrison via Flickr (Modified)Of course, skeptics like myself have done little to dent the steady rise in AMZN stock. And valuation aside, there's a clear case for Square to follow an Amazon-like expansion of its business. Instinet analyst Dan Dolev has compared Square to Amazon and Alphabet Inc (NASDAQ:GOOGL, NASDAQ:GOOG), citing its ability to expand from its current payment-processing base:"In 10 years, Square is likely to be a very different company helped by accelerating share gains from payment peers and relentless disruption of services like payroll and human resources."Just as Amazon used books to expand into ecommerce, and then ecommerce to expand into other areas, Square can do the same with its payment business. The small business space is ripe for disruption, as our own Josh Enomoto points out. Integrating payments into payroll, HR, and other offerings would dramatically expand Square's addressable market - and lead to a potential decade or more of exceptional growth.Square is trading just a little more than 3% higher than this time last year. But if (again, like AMZN) Square stock can combine a high multiple with consistent, impressive, expansion, it has the path to create substantial value for shareholders over the next five to 10 years. (JD)In China, (NASDAQ:JD) is the company closest to following Amazon's model. While rival Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) gets most of the attention, it's that truly should be called the Amazon of China.Source: Daniel Cukier via FlickrLike Amazon (and unlike Alibaba), holds inventory and is investing in a cutting-edge supply chain. It, too, is expanding into brick-and-mortar grocery, as Amazon did with its acquisition of Whole Foods Market. A partnership with Walmart (NYSE:WMT) should further help its off-line ambitions. is even cautiously entering the finance industry.At the moment, however, JD stock is going in the exact opposite direction of AMZN. The stock has seen a slow recovery after last year's brutal plunge and the arrest of the company's CEO killed all its gains. So have mixed earnings reports and a Chinese bear market that suffers under this year's continued trade war. * 6 Big Dividend Stocks to Buy as Yields Plunge Clearly, there are myriad risks here, although so far this year has corked its way well out of the doldrums of 2018. AMZN saw a few pullbacks over the years as well. And while JD may never rise to the scale of Amazon or even out-compete Alibaba, at its current valuation it doesn't have to.As investor confidence returns, JD has a path to an enormous upside. The long-term strategy still seems intact, and likely the closest in the market to that of Amazon. Shopify (SHOP)Ecommerce provider Shopify (NYSE:SHOP) probably doesn't have quite the same opportunity for expansion as Square. And it, too, has a hefty valuation, along with a continuing bear raid from short-seller Citron Research.Source: Shopify via FlickrBut I've remained bullish on the SHOP story, even though valuation is a question mark. Shopify is dominant in its market of offering turnkey ecommerce services to small businesses. That's exactly where consumer preferences are headed: small and unique over large and bland. And because of offerings like Shopify (and Amazon Web Services), those small to mid-sized businesses can compete with the giants.Meanwhile, Shopify does have the potential to expand its reach. Just 29% of revenue comes from overseas, a proportion that should grow over time. It's moving toward capturing larger customers as well through its "Plus" program, picking up Ford (NYSE:F) as one key client.The development of an ecosystem for suppliers and the addition of new technologies (like virtual reality) give Shopify the ability to offer more value to customers and to take more revenue for itself.Shopify is dearly priced and still climbing this year. SHOP has put on a whopping 100% since the beginning of the year, and considering long runways for Shopify's adjacent markets, it should keep a high multiple for some time to come. As a stock, if not quite as a company, SHOP has a real chance to follow the AMZN formula for long-term upside. Roku (ROKU)Roku (NASDAQ:ROKU) might have the best chance of any company in the U.S. market to follow Amazon's strategic playbook. The ROKU stock price is a concern, but perhaps even more so than Square, Roku now isn't what Roku is going to be in ten years.Source: Shutterstock The hardware business is a loss leader, but one that allows Roku to serve as the gateway to content for millions of customers. As the company pointed out after recent earnings, it's already the third-largest distributor of content in the U.S. The Roku Channel is seeing increasing viewership. It's already up to more than 27 million viewers!The company offers pinpoint targeting of advertisements without the messy data problems afflicting Facebook (NASDAQ:FB). * 7 Bank Stocks to Leave in the Vault Roku is becoming increasingly embedded in TVs, though a deal between Amazon and Best Buy (NYSE:BBY) raised some fears about those software efforts going forward, and Disney's new streaming service could be an issue.It has a plan to roll out home entertainment offerings like speakers and soundbars, creating a long-sought integrated experience. It could even, as it grows, look to develop or acquire content itself, positioning Roku, not as just a conduit to Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) but also as a rival.The bull case for Roku stock is that its players are like Amazon's books not a great business on their own, but a way to garner customers and get a foot in the door of the exceedingly valuable media business.What Roku does now that it has entered will determine the fate of ROKU stock. But the number of options and still a somewhat modest market cap (under $5 billion) mean that betting on its strategy could be a lucrative play. Workday (WDAY)Workday (NASDAQ:WDAY) is starting to look like the enterprise software version of Amazon. Its core HR product has driven huge gains in WDAY stock, which now has a $36 billion market cap. But Workday is just getting started.Source: Workday The company previously announced that it would buy Adaptive Insights to build out its financial planning capabilities. It has already rolled out analytics and PaaS (platform-as-a-service) offerings that add billions to its addressable market.Here, too, valuation looks stretched, to say the least, but the story here still looks attractive. Workday is never going to be as famous as Amazon, or as large. But if its strategy works, it will be as important to, and as embedded with, its corporate customers as Amazon is with its consumers.As of this writing, Vince Martin has no positions in any securities mentioned. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 10 Companies That Could Post Decelerating Profits * 10 A-Rated Stocks the Smart Money Is Piling Into * Mizuho: 7 Long-Term Value Stocks to Buy Now Compare Brokers The post 5 Stocks That Could Be the Next Amazon appeared first on InvestorPlace.

  • The 10 Best Stocks for 2019 — So Far
    InvestorPlace15 days ago

    The 10 Best Stocks for 2019 — So Far

    Despite the market's drubbing since late April, stocks are still up for the year. Some stocks, in fact, are still well up since the end of 2018. The best stocks for 2019 so far have been buoyed by strong backstories, impressive results or just an inordinate amount of rampant speculation.Regardless of the reason, that raw strength is worth a closer look. These big winners may be in the midst of unstoppable rallies, making these names some of the best stocks to buy for what looks like a rather rough summer. Or it's just as possible these big rallies have set up equally big selloffs, and profit-takers are ready plow in. * 6 Big Dividend Stocks to Buy as Yields Plunge While these may be the best stocks of 2019 so far in terms of performance, notice how few of them are mainstream or household names. Maybe being off the radar -- or working on an unbeatable business -- is the key to shrugging off marketwide lethargy.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading Tips Array Biopharma (ARRY)Source: Shutterstock YTD Gain: 97%Array Biopharma (NASDAQ:ARRY) has been the beneficiary of not one but two waves of great news this year, fueling two incredible surges. In January shares rallied on the heels of a successful phase 3 trial of one of its colon cancer therapies. Then, in May, ARRY stock popped again when the same combination therapy showed tremendous promise as a treatment for advanced melanoma.Though Array Biopharma is growing the top line at a strong double-digit rate, it's at a stage where the bigger the company gets, the more money it loses. It's going to need to lot more scale to get into the black, and that may not happen for a long while.Though analysts love ARRY for its story and potential, the current price is already very near the consensus target of $28.80. And the pros haven't seemed interested in upping that target. Sinclair Broadcast Group (SBGI)Source: via Flickr (modified)YTD Gain: 104%To be fair, shares of Sinclair Broadcast Group (NASDAQ:SBGI) started the new year out with something of an advantage for this list. SBGI has spent four straight years spinning its wheels, with SBGI stock making no net progress between the end of 2013 and late 2018. * 7 Stocks to Sell Impacted by the Mexican Tariffs The company may be one of the few traditional television outfits that's positioned to survive the cord-cutting phenomenon though. Sinclair is the company that bought most of the regional sports networks Walt Disney (NYSE:DIS) owned after it acquired Fox. It rallied leading into the news on speculation that it would happen, but continued to rally after the announcement on chatter that it was already thinking about distribution deals through non-traditional venues like (NASDAQ:AMZN). Iovance Biotherapeutics (IOVA)Source: (C) YTD Gain: 104%Despite being one of the best stocks of 2019 when looking at returns, biotech company Iovance Biotherapeutics (NASDAQ:IOVA) is pre-profit. In fact, it's pre-revenue. A handful of investors are enthused about its pipeline though, and particularly Lifileucel as a treatment for melanoma. It's in late-stage trials right now and looking very promising.At the same time, a recent update on its investigator-sponsored trial of LN-145 as a treatment of cervical cancer has also been well received.Of that testing, Emese Zsiros, M.D., Ph.D. and observer of the trial in question commented "The observation in the study of LN-145 that median DOR has not yet been reached at a median of 7.4 months following treatment provides evidence that this therapy could provide a clinically meaningful improvement over currently available options for patients with advanced cervical cancer."For the first time ever, Iovance Biotherapeutics is nearing a developmental endzone… a couple of endzones, actually. Guardant Health (GH)Source: Shutterstock YTD Gain: 108%Guardant Health (NASDAQ:GH) is not just one of this year's biggest winners and best stocks. It's also been one of the hottest IPOs of late. Only going public in early October, shares are already up an incredible 300%, and have gained more than 100% since the end of calendar 2018.Guardant Health is a developer of a handful of highly-focused oncology diagnostics tests. By digging deeper into genomic information, the company identifies which cancer treatment regimen would be most effective for a particular patient. Its technology has even proven useful for pharmaceutical developers looking to pinpoint genomic data that leads to better drug-testing outcomes. * 9 Trade War Stocks to Sell on U.S.-China Deal News The organization isn't profitable yet, but its strong revenue growth pace is leading to smaller and smaller losses that put Guardant Health on a path to profits in the foreseeable future. Mirati Therapeutics (MRTX)Source: Shutterstock YTD Gain: 110%Coming into the year, Mirati Therapeutics (NASDAQ:MRTX) was already on a bullish rampage more than doubling in 2018 thanks to progress with its pipeline.The lead drug is sitravatinib -- an immuno-oncology agent that, when used in conjunction with an anti-PD-1 checkpoint inhibitor drug Opdivo, shows promise as a second-line treatment for non-small-cell lung cancer. That phase 3 trial should be starting soon. The drug appeared to crash and burn given October's updated data, but another round of testing could still salvage that work.In the meantime, MRTX jumped more than 30% on Monday after rival drug company Amgen (NASDAQ:AMGN) offered an update on a drug similar to sitravatinib that validates sitravatinib itself.While encouraging, the total advance since mid-2017 looks and feels overextended. Though its been one of the best stocks of 2019 so far, I don't think the back half of the year holds much promise. Avalara (AVLR)Source: 401(k) 2012 via FlickrYTD Gain: 110%Avalara (NYSE:AVLR) is a software company with a good-sized suite of product, but its claim to fame and flagship is a sales tax-calculation tool that's become enormously important now that more and more states are enforcing the collection of sales tax on interstate e-commerce transactions.Sales growth hasn't been a problem. This year's projected top-line improvement of 28% extends a long-standing streak, and the pros are calling for comparable revenue growth this year. Where Avalara falls short is on the earnings front. Despite strong sales growth for years now, the company remains in the red… but not for much longer. If all goes as planned, this year's estimated loss of 18 cents per share following last year's loss of 67 cents should swing to a profit of eight cents per share. * 7 Stocks to Sell in June With operating earnings in sight, AVLR is up 110% so far this year, making it one of 2019's very best stocks to own. Snap (SNAP)Source: Shutterstock YTD Gain: 112%Shares of Snap (NYSE:SNAP) are up big time this year, but it's a gain with a major asterisk. That is, the triple-digit gain since late last year is a reclamation of the massive amount of ground SNAP stock lost in 2018. Even with that bullish move, SNAP stock is still only trading at about two-thirds of its early 2017 IPO price.Still, credit has to be given where it's due. The rebound rally was inspired by last quarter's smaller-than-expected loss and renewed progress in the number of daily users logging into the app.That said, more user growth could be in the cards now that the company recognizes simply have a communication platform isn't enough. It's starting to innovate in a big way, with the most recent idea being working directly with record labels to improve how music can be used in the app. Sea Limited (SE)Source: Shutterstock YTD Gain: 147%Sea Limited (NYSE:SE) offers several different types of digital entertainment to eastern Asian consumers -- particularly outside of China. But mobile and PC games along with eSports and e-commerce services are its core operations. Sea is best known, however, for its mobile wallet app called AirPay.It's been growing like crazy too. Though still booking losses (and likely to continue doing so for a few more years), sales are estimated to rise by almost 100% this year, and grow another 40% next year. The company has found its place, and stride. * 6 Big Dividend Stocks to Buy as Yields Plunge Nevertheless, this might be a rally to be wary of. While analysts will often up their consensus target as a stock rises, the current price near $28 is above a seemingly stagnant price target of just under $27. Spark Therapeutics (ONCE)Source: Shutterstock YTD Gain: 178%Take the huge 178% gain Spark Therapeutics (NASDAQ:ONCE) has dished out this year with a grain of salt. It all almost happened in one shot. In late February ONCE stock soared on the heels of news that drug company Roche (OTCMKTS:RHHBY) had made a very generous acquisition offer.The deal hasn't been consummated yet, and the FTC still needs to give it the green light. But, Roche says it expects the offer to be finalized and accepted before the end of the month.While it's unlikely the intended pairing will be derailed at this point, on the off chance it does, know that Roche's interest wasn't just Spark's Luxterna -- though it's the FDA's first-ever gene therapy treatment for a retinal disease that often leads to blindness. But ONCE's underlying gene therapy science has value well beyond that one application. Roku (ROKU)Source: Roku YTD Gain: 193%Finally, this year's biggest winner has been Roku (NASDAQ:ROKU), up almost 200% in just a little over five months.Like several other of the oversized gains we've seen since the end of 2018, Roku had the benefit of coming out of an oversized pullback during the last few months of last year. Nevertheless, the stock's earned every bit of its current price near $90.Roku, of course, is the name behind what's become the world's most popular streaming video receiver, dethroning several other (and bigger) consumer-tech companies that arguably should have been able to keep the young company at bay. * 7 Stocks to Sell Impacted by the Mexican Tariffs Whatever the case, this year's big move coincides with the company's discovery of several winning formulas and initiatives. Namely, Roku has figured out it can make even more money by selling ad space through its devices than just selling devices themselves. In that the latter fuels the former though, the pros are calling for an amazing 41% increase in this year's sales to be followed by 33% growth next year.As of this writing, James Brumley did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities. You can learn more about James at his site,, or follow him on Twitter, at @jbrumley. More From InvestorPlace * 4 Top American Penny Pot Stocks (Buy Before June 21) * 7 Stocks to Sell Impacted by the Mexican Tariffs * 6 Big Dividend Stocks to Buy as Yields Plunge * The 10 Biggest Announcements From Apple WWDC 2019 Compare Brokers The post The 10 Best Stocks for 2019 -- So Far appeared first on InvestorPlace.

  • The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights: Rio Tinto, Blackrock and Roku
    Zacks15 days ago

    The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights: Rio Tinto, Blackrock and Roku

    The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights: Rio Tinto, Blackrock and Roku

  • Don’t Buy iQiyi Stock Until It Drops Below $18
    InvestorPlace19 days ago

    Don’t Buy iQiyi Stock Until It Drops Below $18

    Chinese video-streaming service iQiyi (NASDAQ:IQ) is trading just under $19, perilously close to its March 2018 IPO price of $18. While IQ stock is still up 25% year-to-date, it's lost over 30% of its value in the last three months, as the U.S.-China trade war has intensified. Source: Shutterstock InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading TipsThe instinctive reaction if you own IQ stock is to sell it and take profits, if you still have themAnother InvestorPlace columnist, Josh Enomoto recently recommended that investors stay away from IQ stock because IQ's growth has slowed, its losses have accelerated, and the company is not producing high-quality content that's universally appealing. He's not wrong. However, since iQiyi's business model resembles a hybrid of Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) and Roku (NASDAQ:ROKU), IQ stock provides investors with a very appealing risk/reward opportunity. At the right price, IQ stock could be a good deal for aggressive investors who are able to handle lots of volatility. $15 Would Be IdealI'm a big believer in the idea that stocks which have recently had IPOs can often be bought for less than the original price at which the shares were sold to the public. In the case of iQiyi, that's $18. At the moment, it's a dollar away from falling to its IPO price for the third time in 14 months. The first time was on the very first day of trading; the second occurred during the stock market's December correction. Canadian investment manager Stephen Jarislowsky believes that investors can often buy IPO shares for less than their original offering price within 12-24 months of going public. Given the volatility of IQ stock, I'm confident that it could fall below its IPO price for a fourth and even a fifth time over the next ten months.In March, I stated that if IQ stock were to go back into the teens, I'd certainly become bullish on iQiyi stock. If the shares fall to around $15, I'd be very enthusiastic about 'IQ stock. Here's why. Dual Streams of RevenueIQ is an exciting company that's got the potential to generate more than one profitable revenue stream, something that both Netflix and Roku haven't done on a major scale. But as Enomoto suggested, IQ has to get Chinese consumers to open their wallets if it wants to become the Netflix or the Roku of China. In the first quarter,, iQiyi's memberships accounted for 49% of the company's overall revenue; online advertising generated another 30%, and content distribution and other revenue accounted for the final 21% of its $979 million of quarterly revenue.That's good news. The bad news is that it lost $284 million, despite growing its revenue by 43% year over year. Worse still, its operating loss increased by 91% in Q1, more than double the growth of its sales. Not to worry. Roku continues to generate operating losses on much smaller revenues than iQiyi, and Netflix's operating income in 2012 was just $50 million on $3.6 billion of sales. For iQiyi to reach its growth targets, it has to lose money.The biggest concern that I have about IQ stock is that IQ's dual-track revenue stream model appears to have slowed in Q1. While its revenue from membership services grew 64% in Q1, its online advertising revenues were flat year-over-year, reducing the segment's contribution to IQ's overall revenue from 43% to 30%. That last statistic is indicative of just how much the Chinese economy has slowed in recent months. Until the trade war gets settled, IQ's dual-track revenue stream model is going to be facing a significant headwind. The Bottom Line on IQ StockWhile I like iQiyi's business model, only aggressive investors should be buying IQ stock at this point. However, if you are an aggressive investor, I'd wait until iQiyi stock drops into the mid-teens before buying it. Over the long-term, you'll be glad you did. At the time of this writing Will Ashworth did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities. More From InvestorPlace * 4 Top American Penny Pot Stocks (Buy Before June 21) * 7 Stocks to Buy for Monster Growth * Ranking the Top 10 Stock Buybacks of Last Year * 5 Stocks Under $10 With Big Upside Potential Compare Brokers The post Don't Buy iQiyi Stock Until It Drops Below $18 appeared first on InvestorPlace.

  • Implied Volatility Surging for Roku (ROKU) Stock Options
    Zacks20 days ago

    Implied Volatility Surging for Roku (ROKU) Stock Options

    Investors need to pay close attention to Roku (ROKU) stock based on the movements in the options market lately.

  • Bear of the Day: Clear Channel Outdoor (CCO)
    Zacks21 days ago

    Bear of the Day: Clear Channel Outdoor (CCO)

    Bear of the Day: Clear Channel Outdoor (CCO)

  • MarketWatch21 days ago

    Roku stock gains after Needham boosts target to a Street-high $120

    Shares of Roku Inc. are up 1.1% in premarket trading Wednesday after Needham analyst Laura Martin hiked her price target on the stock to $120, the highest target on Wall Street. Her prior target was $85. Martin's increased optimism follows a recent Needham panel featuring several other streaming companies, which emphasized to Martin that the company has "unique advantages...because it's an [over-the-top] aggregation platform rather than a single streaming service." She argued that the company can command higher ad prices because of its narrower targeting and strong data on user viewing habits. Martin has a buy rating on the shares, which are up nearly 200% so far this year, as the S&P 500 has risen 12%.

  • How Much Higher Can Red-Hot Roku Stock Go?
    InvestorPlace21 days ago

    How Much Higher Can Red-Hot Roku Stock Go?

    Shares of Roku (NASDAQ:ROKU) have been on fire in 2019 as the company has not just proven, but also expanded, its dominance in the secular-growth over-the-top (OTT) video market. Year-to-date, on the back on two strong beat-and-raise earnings reports, Roku stock is up more than 200%. In other words, shares have more than tripled in just five months.Source: Shutterstock That's a huge rally. But as we all know, securities don't go up in straight lines forever. Thus, the natural question here is how much higher can the Roku stock price go?In the long run, much higher. I've been bullish on ROKU stock for a long time. This company is turning into the cable box of the OTT world, and the OTT channel is the future of visual-entertainment consumption. Thus, Roku turning into the cable box of the OTT world implies huge streaming-video-on-demand (SVOD) and advertising-video-on-demand (AVOD) revenues at scale.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading TipsMeanwhile, gross margins are high and opex rates will naturally fall with scale. Thus, in the long run, this company has tremendous profit potential. That translates to the Roku stock price ultimately running toward $150 or higher within the next few years. * 7 Utility Stocks to Trust for Retirement But in the short run, shares of ROKU may be close to peaking. The equity has come very far, very fast. It's technically trading in overbought territory and is arguably fundamentally overvalued as well. Plus, broader financial market conditions are deteriorating. If this deterioration persists, you could see some widespread profit-taking.Overall, then, my stance on ROKU stock is pretty simple: long-term bullish, near-term cautious. How does that stance translate into investment action? Do some profit-taking here. But don't sell everything. Keep the core position, and buy back what you sold here on the next big dip. Roku Is A Long-Term WinnerIn the big picture, Roku has a tremendous ability to scale profits over the next several years. That potential will ultimately push the Roku stock price way higher than where it is today.Broadly, every consumer is pivoting from traditional TV to OTT TV because the OTT channel offers multiple convenience and price advantages. Simultaneously, content providers are chasing this consumption pivot, following Netflix's (NASDAQ:NFLX) example and creating their own streaming services. The net result is that you have a surge in both supply and demand in the OTT video marketplace. Someone needs to aggregate and curate all that supply, connect it to all that demand, and do so without bias.In comes Roku. ROKU is a streaming service aggregator that connects the big supply in the OTT video market to the immense and still growing demand. Importantly, Roku is largely content neutral, so there's no bias in the aggregation and curation, implying higher consumer convenience than what is offered at competitors with content biases.Because of this content-neutrality positioning -- and due to its already-huge nearly 30 million active accounts base -- Roku is today and projects to remain the cable box of the OTT video market. This has massive implications.We are talking a market that is quickly marching towards one billion global OTT video subs. Roku could easily grab 10% of that market within the next few years, implying 100 million accounts. Average revenue per each one of those accounts will march higher as subscriptions per account rise, and as advertising dollars continue to flow into the OTT video channel. Gross margins will remain robust near 70%. Opex rates will fall with scale.All told, I think Roku could do $5 or more in earnings per share one day. A big-growth type multiple around 30-times forward earnings on $5 implies a future potential price target of $150 or higher. A Near-Term Headwind Is ApproachingIn the long run, Roku stock will continue to climb towards $150 or higher, due to secular tailwinds. But in the near term, the stock looks like it may be approaching a top.I reasonably think $5 in EPS is doable by fiscal 2025. Thus, a $150 price target is fundamentally supported in 2024. Using a 10% discount rate, that implies a fundamentally supported 2019 price target in the lower $90s. That's roughly where the Roku stock price trades today, and we aren't even halfway through the year. Thus, long-term growth fundamentals imply that ROKU is stretched here.Further, shares have tripled in five months. The law of financial gravity tells us that a pullback is overdue. The Relative Strength Index on the stock is in overbought territory, and near all-time highs. ROKU also trades 60% above its 200-day moving average, matching the most this equity has traded above its moving averages, ever. First-quarter earnings have already been reported, and we are now entering a lull in company-specific financial news flow. Plus, broader market conditions are deteriorating thanks to escalating trade tensions.Ultimately, that combination implies that ROKU stock has hit a peak and requires a correction. Bottom Line on Roku StockIn late 2018, the market forgot that Roku stock was a long-term winner. But fast forward five months: the market has remembered to the tune of a three-fold increase.In the long run, ROKU stock will head higher. Prices above $150 seem doable within the next few years. But in the near term, shares appear overbought and slightly overvalued, meaning that they may struggle to head significantly higher over the next few months.As of this writing, Luke Lango was long ROKU and NFLX. More From InvestorPlace * 4 Top American Penny Pot Stocks (Buy Before June 21) * 6 Marijuana Stocks With Critical Levels to Watch * 7 Utility Stocks to Trust for Retirement * 5 Large-Cap Stocks Getting Crushed in the Trade War Compare Brokers The post How Much Higher Can Red-Hot Roku Stock Go? appeared first on InvestorPlace.

  • Take Advantage of This Recent Weakness in Amazon Stock
    InvestorPlace21 days ago

    Take Advantage of This Recent Weakness in Amazon Stock

    As U.S. and China trade tensions escalated in May, financial markets went lower. Ever since U.S. President Donald Trump fired off a tweet about raising tariffs on China, the S&P 500 has shed nearly 4%. Importantly, the sell-off has not been narrow. Pretty much every stock outside of the defensive sector dropped in May. This includes shares of ecommerce and cloud giant Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN). Since the infamous Trump tweet, Amazon stock has shed 6%.Source: Via AmazonBut, does that really make sense? After all, Amazon has relatively mitigated exposure to China, so should the stock really be an under-performer against the backdrop of rising trade tensions?Quite simply, no. Amazon stock should not have under-performed in May.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading Tips * 7 Utility Stocks to Trust for Retirement But it did, and this underperformance has created a contrarian buying opportunity for long term investors. Amazon will ultimately recover from near term trade-related weakness. In the long run, innovation and growth will ultimately power this stock way higher than where it trades today. Amazon's Fluke UnderperformanceWith respect to recent weakness, Amazon stock should not have underperformed in May because the company's exposure to the trade war is relatively mitigated.Broadly, there are two reasons why Amazon dropped in May. Both of them are trade related. First, rising trade tensions mean falling consumer confidence (normally), which means lower global retail sales and less growth for Amazon's e-commerce platform.Second, if in place for a long time, higher tariffs will lead to higher consumer prices in the U.S. Higher consumer prices in the U.S. will spark inflation throughout the economy, which will get the Fed to come off the sidelines and hike rates. That will provide downward pressure on equities and consumer confidence, and is especially bad news for a consumer-focused, richly valued name like AMZN stock.These two concerns, while legitimate, are overstated.Trade tensions aren't bad enough yet to where they are weighing on consumer confidence. Consumer confidence in the U.S. ticked up in May, topped expectations, and is now back to Fall 2018 levels, which were 18 year high levels. Because consumer confidence hasn't dipped, neither have retail sales, which rose 2.8% in April, versus a 3 month moving average of 2.7% year-over-year growth. Thus, trade war issues aren't bad enough yet to where they are rearing their ugly head in consumer confidence and spend levels.Further, inflation remains muted. Core PCE growth is below 2% and falling, mostly because there are multiple deflationary forces throughout the U.S. economy. In order to offset those forces, you would need tariffs to stay big for a lot longer. That probably won't happen, because both sides want to get a deal done. Thus, inflation projects to remain muted for the foreseeable future. Amazon Stock Will RecoverWhile trade concerns related to Amazon stock are overstated, the favorable fundamentals supporting this stock are understated.Specifically, there have been multiple positive developments with respect to Amazon and its multiple growth verticals over the past several weeks and months. There was a favorable Cowen survey which showed that Amazon Web Services customers are more likely to increase spend on AWS than customers of other cloud platforms.There has also been a huge one-day delivery push on the ecommerce front and an equally big push into automated warehouses to make one-day delivery a reality without cramping margins. Amazon has also jumped into the food delivery game with a big investment in Deliveroo. It has expanded its presence and capabilities in the Indian ecommerce market and scored a big partnership with Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE) on the decentralized direct commerce front.It's also worth noting that Amazon's Fire TV platform now has more users than Roku (NASDAQ:ROKU), making Amazon a front-runner in the secular growth advertising-video-on-demand (AVOD) space. Growth in AVOD would be a nice complement to what is already a burgeoning digital ad business at Amazon.Overall, then, Amazon's innovation pipeline remains as robust as ever. So long as that remains true, Amazon will remain a big revenue growth company. Importantly, a lot of Amazon's new growth is coming from higher margin businesses, so margins are running higher, too. Thus, Amazon today is a big revenue and profit growth company.Ultimately, this huge profit growth trajectory will keep Amazon on a winning track, meaning near term trade related weakness is nothing more than a buying opportunity. Bottom Line on Amazon StockAmazon stock underperformed in May against the backdrop of rising trade tensions. It shouldn't have. This disconnect creates a compelling buying opportunity. Over the next few weeks, Amazon will recover. Then, over the next few years, the stock will continue to head significantly higher.As of this writing, Luke Lango was long AMZN, ADBE, and ROKU. More From InvestorPlace * 4 Top American Penny Pot Stocks (Buy Before June 21) * 6 Marijuana Stocks With Critical Levels to Watch * 7 Utility Stocks to Trust for Retirement * 5 Large-Cap Stocks Getting Crushed in the Trade War Compare Brokers The post Take Advantage of This Recent Weakness in Amazon Stock appeared first on InvestorPlace.