|Bid||17.24 x 1300|
|Ask||19.05 x 1200|
|Day's Range||17.20 - 17.39|
|52 Week Range||14.69 - 22.54|
|PE Ratio (TTM)||N/A|
|Beta (3Y Monthly)||0.06|
|Expense Ratio (net)||0.57%|
Is Barrick Worth a Look after Its Merger with Randgold? (Continued from Prior Part) ## Valuation Among senior miners (GDX), Barrick (GOLD) has the second-highest EV-to-EBITDA (enterprise value-to-EBITDA) multiple of 6.6x, which represents a premium of 1% to its historical multiple. Its multiple has rerated since its announcement of its merger with Randgold Resources (GOLD) to form an industry-leading gold company (SGDM) with the greatest concentration of Tier 1 gold (GLD) assets. Since the announcement of the merger, GOLD’s multiple has expanded 18.5%. Among its peers, Newmont Mining (NEM), Goldcorp (GG), and Kinross Gold (KGC) are trading at multiples of 8.2x, 6.2x, and 4.9x, respectively. ## Catalysts As we discussed in Is the Barrick-Randgold Merger Enough of a Reason to Bet on ABX? Barrick’s costs are expected to fall, and its production profile is expected to improve on low-cost, high-quality assets after the merger. Since it owns five of the top ten Tier 1 assets in the world, its unit costs are expected to be significantly lower than its peers’. However, its new position will also add to its geopolitical risk. ## Problems to overcome Most of Randgold’s operations are in Africa. Due to many African countries’ rising resource nationalism and ambition to secure bigger shares in mining activities, many mining companies are facing difficult times operating in these jurisdictions. Political problems in these countries could add to Barrick’s operational risks. In addition, market participants worry that the working styles of John Thornton, the new company’s executive chair, and Mark Bristow, its CEO, will clash, leading to problems for the company down the line. As we discussed earlier in the series, the resolution of the company’s dispute with the Tanzanian government could be another major catalyst for its stock. To achieve further upside, the company will need to show more execution on its projects and resolve its disputes successfully. Browse this series on Market Realist: * Part 1 - Is Barrick Worth a Look after Its Merger with Randgold? * Part 2 - Will the GOLD Merger Expedite the Tanzania Dispute’s Resolution? * Part 3 - Barrick Could Emerge Leaner and Stronger after an Asset Review
The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights: Market Vectors Gold, iShares MSCI, Invesco Global and Sprott Gold
ALPS Advisors, Inc., acquired by SS&C, providing products and services to the financial services industry, today announced that shareholders of record as of December 19, 2018 of the Sprott Gold Miners ETF (NYSE ARCA: SGDM) and Sprott Junior Gold Miners ETF (NYSE ARCA: SGDJ), each a series of ALPS ETF Trust (the Funds), will be asked to approve a reorganization of their respective Funds into newly-created exchange-traded funds (ETFs) of the Sprott ETF Trust. The proposed reorganizations of the Funds will allow shareholders the opportunity to continue investing in corresponding new ETFs with the same names and substantially the same investment objectives, investment strategies, policies and risks as the Funds, except with respect to the underlying index tracked by each Fund.
FCF (free cash flow) generation is important for gold mining companies (SGDM) (GDX), as this excess cash helps miners optimize their financial leverages, invest in projects that can drive long-term value, and provide shareholder returns.
After outperforming its peers in the first half of 2018, Goldcorp’s (GG) stock slumped. Its second-quarter earnings were also a miss on market expectations, as were its first-quarter earnings. Moreover, the overall sentiment on gold and gold stocks turned extremely negative starting April, hurting GG stock as well.
Barrick Gold has agreed to buy Africa-focused rival, Randgold Resources in an all-stock deal. The news has put the spotlight on a couple of gold mining ETFs.
FCF (free cash flow) generation is important for gold mining companies (SGDM) (GDX). This excess cash helps miners optimize their financial leverages, invest in projects that can drive long-term value, and provide shareholder returns.
It seems that every time new, scary headlines emerge, press articles declare that gold no longer serves as a safe haven.2 The Italian political crisis is the latest case in point. The evolving situation in Italy is supportive of gold, as shown by its resilience against a strong move in the U.S. dollar. However, anyone expecting a big move from gold fails to understand the fundamentals of the gold market. Gold responds to genuine global systemic risks. These are risks that can have a negative financial impact on just about everyone personally and/or professionally, i.e. ...
The four precious metals have revived compared to their previous losses over the past five trading days. However, the revival of the US dollar has had a negative impact on precious metals and mining stocks during the past few weeks. The settling of the market’s unrest could have also caused a withdrawal of haven bids.
In April, the market’s unrest had a significant effect on precious metals and miners, leading to increased prices. The US dollar has strengthened recently, which had a negative impact on precious metals and mining stocks. The settling of the market unrest could have also caused a withdrawal of haven bids.
After significantly outperforming peers in 2017, Kinross Gold (KGC) has underperformed this year. Until As of 17, Kinross’s stock had given a negative return of 9.7%—the same as Barrick Gold (ABX). Kinross’s 4Q17 results came in below expectations.
In this part of our series, we’ll be looking at the correlation between gold and four mining stocks: New Gold (NGD), Newmont Mining (NEM), Franco-Nevada (FNV), and Randgold Resources (GOLD). Mining stocks mostly move with gold prices but not always. Mining stocks have high correlations with gold. The Global X Silver Miners ETF (SIL) and the Sprott Gold Miners (SGDM) also tend to have strong correlations with gold.
Recent market unrest has had a significant effect on precious metals and the US dollar, which influences dollar-denominated precious metals and mining stocks. In this part of the series, we’ll look at miners’ RSI (relative strength index) scores and implied volatility. The miners we’ve selected for our analysis are Wheaton Precious Metals (SLW), Randgold Resources (GOLD), AngloGold Ashanti (AU), and IAMGOLD (IAG). In the last 30 days, miners’ performance has been mixed. GOLD and AU have fallen 2.5% and 0.11%, respectively, while SLW and IAG have risen 6.8% and 13.2%.
The recent unrest in the markets has had a significant effect on precious metals and mining companies. The US dollar has a prominent role in influencing dollar-denominated precious metals and mining stocks.
In this part of our series, we’ll look at the correlation between gold and four mining stocks: Royal Gold (RGLD), Goldcorp (GG), Sibanye Gold (SBGL), and Gold Fields (GFI). Mining stocks mostly move with gold prices, but not always. Among these four miners, Gold Fields has shown the highest correlation with gold, while Royal Gold has seen the lowest correlation with gold on a YTD (year-to-date) basis.
In this part of our series, we’ll look at the correlation between gold and four mining stocks: Franco-Nevada (FNV), Coeur Mining (CDE), Cia De Minas Buenaventura (BVN), and Hecla Mining (HL). Mining stocks mostly move with gold prices but not always. Among these four miners under discussion, Cia De Minas has shown the highest correlation with gold, while Hecla has the lowest correlation to gold on a YTD (or year-to-date) basis.