33.10 +0.38 (1.16%)
Pre-Market: 6:47AM EDT
|Bid||32.84 x 800|
|Ask||0.00 x 4000|
|Day's Range||31.60 - 32.78|
|52 Week Range||31.11 - 65.61|
|Beta (3Y Monthly)||1.87|
|PE Ratio (TTM)||21.96|
|Earnings Date||Oct 17, 2019 - Oct 21, 2019|
|Forward Dividend & Yield||2.00 (5.19%)|
|1y Target Est||49.03|
Schlumberger (SLB) reported earnings 30 days ago. What's next for the stock? We take a look at earnings estimates for some clues.
Oil prices fell to their lowest levels since January last week as trade war fears returned. Energy stocks fell in sympathy and remain one of the weakest sectors heading into the new week. Today we'll analyze the downside reversal and identify three energy stocks to sell.Source: Shutterstock The easiest way to spot the bears' emergence in oil stocks is by using the Energy Sector ETF (NYSEARCA:XLE). We saw downside momentum surge during last week's whack suggesting the downtrend should have staying power. Volume surged alongside the slide revealing mass distribution and an environment where rallies should be suspect. The mid-week recovery was cut short ahead of the weekend. Friday's bearish reversal candle is seeing follow through this morning making now a prime time to deploy short trades in the sector. * 10 Real Estate Investments to Ride Out the Current Storm I've scoured its constituents and discovered three high-quality stocks to sell. Let's take a closer look.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading Tips Conoco Phillips (COP)Source: ThinkorSwim ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP) carries one of the best characteristics for bearish candidates: relative weakness. This year's descent has far outpaced the energy sector making it one of the weakest large-gaps in the space. Last week's plunge pushed COP stock to a 52-week low, and it's now down 14% year-to-date.Thursday's rally was quickly reversed on Friday showing just how fast sellers are to reject any strength. With all major moving averages pointing lower and buyers unable to muster together more than a one-day rally, the path of least resistance remains lower.To bank on further weakness, buy the Nov $55/$50 bear put spread for $2.20. The risk is limited to the initial cost, and the reward is $2.80. Schlumberger (SLB)Source: ThinkorSwim Schlumberger (NYSE:SLB) also slipped to a 52-week low last week and found itself down 5% year-to-date. While the damage isn't as severe as what we've seen in COP stock, SLB remains in a secular decline with countless failed rallies. Thursday's rebound attempt was pathetic and rapidly reversed by Friday's slide.I see zero reasons to be bullish here or fight the trend, which is pointing lower across all time frames.Implied volatility sits at a lofty 40% or the 56th percentile of its one-year range so short premium plays are attractive right now. This should allow us to build a cash flow trade with robust metrics. * 7 Large-Cap Stocks to Sell Right Now If you're willing to bet SLB sits below $35 at September expiration then sell the $35/$37.50 bear call spread for 70 cents. The reward is 70 cents, and the risk is $1.80. Halliburton (HAL)Source: ThinkorSwim Halliburton (NYSE:HAL) rounds out our trio of bearish beauties. From a performance perspective, it's the worst of the three with a year-to-date loss of 27%. It has been poison to portfolios. Last week's oil drop didn't just push HAL stock to a new 52-week low; it knocked to its lowest level since 2009.As you would expect with such atrocious performance, everything on the chart points to lower prices. The trend on all time frames is cruising lower, moving averages are falling, and relative weakness has followed the stock like a hellhound.Implied volatility is sky-high at the 77th percentile of its one-year range. To combat the expensiveness of option premiums, spreads are a must.Buy the Oct $20/$17.50 bear put spread for around $1.05. The risk is limited to $1.05, and the reward is limited to $1.95.As of this writing, Tyler Craig didn't hold positions in any of the aforementioned securities. Check out his recently released Bear Market Survival Guide to learn how to defend your portfolio against market volatility. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 7 Large-Cap Stocks to Sell Right Now * 7 Stocks Under $7 to Invest in Now * 7 Marijuana Stocks With Critical Levels to Watch The post 3 Energy Stocks to Sell Now appeared first on InvestorPlace.
Dividend paying stocks like Staatl. Mineralbrunnen AG (MUN:SLB) tend to be popular with investors, and for good reason...
The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights: Schlumberger, ConocoPhillips, Chevron, Exxon Mobil and Imperial Oil
(Bloomberg Opinion) -- One word to describe this week in energy stocks is “painful.” Another is prologue.Energy stocks were not particularly popular coming into this week anyway. To one degree or another, they were losing the confidence of investors that they will manage their capital responsibly and profitably.Now their deserved reputation for squeezing ever more oil and gas out of shale has also taken a big knock. Concho Resources Inc. plunged 22% on Thursday, to its lowest level since the panic of early 2016, after it cut guidance and revealed weak results from an experimental project of drilling wells much closer together than usual. Other Permian producers, such as Diamondback Energy Inc., also took a hit on fears this reflects a shale-productivity issue, rather than just a Concho issue. It’s sobering to think that Concho, valued at more than $23 billion in the spring of 2018 and having since absorbed the $7.6 billion purchase of RSP Permian Inc., now sports a market cap of less than $16 billion.Meanwhile, the industry also has a problem with a man who is nominally its champion: President Donald Trump. His offhand tweet-threat of more tariffs on Chinese goods on Thursday afternoon took what was already a flaming dumpster fire, hitched it to a truck and took it straight over a precipice (the Federal Reserve’s quarter-point rate cut fading quickly in the rear-view).Trust, trip-ups, Trump. They seem like separate problems for the sector, but they actually add up to the same problem: cost of capital.Equity and bond issuance has faltered across the energy sector. Services giant Schlumberger Ltd., which has talked consistently of a recovery for several years, just changed its CEO, and its stock languishes around levels plumbed during the financial crisis. The pipeline sector, meanwhile, is undergoing a painful transformation away from the once-dominant (and so hot) master limited partnership structure. Missed expectations there are punished swiftly, while good behavior is rewarded with a stable, rather than surging, stock price.Concho’s problems with its “Dominator” project affected only a small minority of the wells it has drilled so far this year. But investor tolerance for wasted capital – as well as sharp revisions to guidance given only a few months ago – has evaporated. When Pioneer Natural Resources Co. surprised in mid-2017 with a snafu of its own, its stock was trading at parity with the market and a one-third premium to the sector in terms of Ebitda multiple. It never recovered that poise. Today, it trades below both.Many companies in an industry predicated on growth are struggling to make the pivot to prioritizing return on capital and shareholder payouts. It has traditionally been a sector that took in capital rather than spat it out. This is a particular problem for smaller and mid-cap companies, which tend to carry higher unit costs and struggle to attract attention and investors (though not, of late, activists). And a new report from Rystad Energy, a research and analytics firm, suggests smaller is worse when it comes to productivity too(1):The basic equation here – rising cost of capital and flat-but-volatile oil prices – demands radical change. There’s really no reason why dozens and dozens of companies should be cheek-by-jowl in the Permian basin, other than a steady flow of external capital that has dried up.If, as seems likely, 2020 hosts a confluence of weaker economic growth – with added Twitter trade-war frisson – and high non-OPEC production growth, this week’s wash-out will have been a mere prologue to what’s coming. The cure is consolidation, which would cut costs and rein in the barrels pushing into an already oversupplied market. However, it appears we still aren’t quite there yet.One obvious potential acquirer, ConocoPhillips, was asked on this week’s earnings call whether falling E&P valuations had piqued its interest. In response, the COO said:We still believe that there is a mismatch between what people expect for their assets and what we compete as a use of capital for our capital, and that may change over time.Translation: Stuff isn’t cheap enough yet.One obstacle to deals is, paradoxically, something that also lies behind the sector’s chronic de-rating: misaligned incentives for management vis-a-vis shareholders. In a new report, Evercore ISI analyst Doug Terreson calculates that, for a sample of nine large E&P companies, the average value of the pool of stock and option awards held by their CEOs at the end of 2016 was $26 million. By the end of 2018, that had risen by $21 million – of which just $1 million reflected higher share prices; the rest was new awards. The total return of the E&P sector in that time was negative 35%.As long as the corner office enjoys a more positive outcome than shareholders do, it suppresses any willingness to negotiate a deal that could change the occupant of that corner office. As this week demonstrates, though, pressure for change is building inexorably. The cost of capital is getting just too damn high.(1) In the accompanying chart, 'Majors' refers to BP, Chevron, Exxon Mobil, Occidental Petroleum and Royal Dutch Shell. The 'Top-10' public companies are Anadarko Petroleum, Apache, Cimarex Energy, Concho Resources, Devon Energy, Diamondback Energy, Encana, EOG Resources, Parsley Energy, and Pioneer Natural Resources. These are the top 10 operators bynumber of horizontal unconventional well-completions in the Permian shale basin, according to Rystad Energy's figures.To contact the author of this story: Liam Denning at email@example.comTo contact the editor responsible for this story: Mark Gongloff at firstname.lastname@example.orgThis column does not necessarily reflect the opinion of the editorial board or Bloomberg LP and its owners.Liam Denning is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist covering energy, mining and commodities. He previously was editor of the Wall Street Journal's Heard on the Street column and wrote for the Financial Times' Lex column. He was also an investment banker.For more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.com/opinion©2019 Bloomberg L.P.
The Energy sector is poised to see two consecutive quarters of earnings deterioration, after strong earnings growth in each of the four quarters of 2018.
Sometimes a great stock with CAN SLIM traits needs to form two bases before breaking out to big gains. Look for a base-on-base pattern. Winnebago built one last year.
The energy sector's second-quarter 2019 earnings and revenues are expected to decline 17.6% and 2.6%, respectively, from the year-ago period.
Generally speaking long term investing is the way to go. But no-one is immune from buying too high. To wit, the...
(Bloomberg Opinion) -- As investors pore over every earnings report for the very latest read on the economy, Caterpillar Inc. provided fresh evidence that the slowdown in manufacturing is no blip. The maker of bulldozers and mining machinery said Wednesday that its 2019 earnings would fall on the low end of its guidance range, snapping a streak of quarterly boosts to its outlook. Caterpillar’s pain points were similar to those that have routinely popped up in industrial companies’ results so far this second quarter: rising manufacturing costs, moderating demand and weakening confidence in the prospects for a second-half rebound. After a bizarre Tuesday turn in trading, when industrial companies including Pentair Plc and Sherwin-Williams Co. got resoundingly rewarded for cuts to their sales guidance, the glum outlook from an economic bellwether like Caterpillar seems to have shaken the market out of its reverie. Shares of Caterpillar slumped about 5% in early trading.Caterpillar continues to expect a modest sales increase in 2019, but that assumes oil and gas markets recover toward the end of the year, and that dealers work through inventory buildups and are able to accept the price increases the company is banking on to offset increased costs. Those assumptions seem tenuous.Dealers’ inventories of machines and engines climbed by $500 million in the second quarter, compared with a $100 million rise in the year-earlier period. But Caterpillar’s backlog slumped by about $1.9 billion relative to the first quarter, implying a softer demand environment. Meanwhile, sales of oil and gas equipment in North America declined in the second quarter, in part because of weaker demand in the Permian Basin. Halliburton Co. earlier this week announced an 8% cut to its North American workforce and said it would park unused fracking equipment rather than chase after market share. The oilfield services provider echoed Schlumberger Ltd.’s expectations for further sluggishness in the region in the second half of the year, even as international markets deliver robust growth. It’s also worth noting that the competitive pricing pressure in Asia that so spooked Caterpillar investors in the first quarter isn’t fading away. Sales of construction products slumped 22% in the region in the second quarter.Caterpillar’s results came as IHS Markit’s euro-area manufacturing gauge signaled the steepest contraction in more than six years and Germany’s factory Purchasing Manager’s Index fell to the lowest level in seven years. A gauge of U.S. factories showed activity is hovering on the borderline between expansion and contraction in the lowest reading since 2009. The slowdown in this sector appears to be deepening and I remain skeptical that a quarter-point cut to interest rates by the Federal Reserve would be enough to motivate the kind of investment surge that could reverse that trend.Elsewhere in industrials, aerospace has remained a haven this earnings season, with strong organic sales growth in the Honeywell International Inc. and United Technologies Corp.’s units that sell engines and aircraft parts. But it’s worth noting that Boeing Co.’s backlog is shrinking. The planemaker also reported results on Wednesday, and said its commercial backlog included more than 5,500 airplanes valued at $390 billion, down from more than 5,600 planes valued at $399 billion at the end of the first quarter. That’s likely at least in part a reflection of the fact that the embattled 737 Max is now in the fifth month of a global grounding following two fatal crashes. But should aerospace start to wobble, then we’re really in trouble. To contact the author of this story: Brooke Sutherland at email@example.comTo contact the editor responsible for this story: Beth Williams at firstname.lastname@example.orgThis column does not necessarily reflect the opinion of the editorial board or Bloomberg LP and its owners.Brooke Sutherland is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist covering deals and industrial companies. She previously wrote an M&A column for Bloomberg News.For more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.com/opinion©2019 Bloomberg L.P.
While the North America business environment remains challenging, both Schlumberger (SLB) and Halliburton (HAL) expect international drilling activity to continue with the broad-based recovery.