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Stocks gave up gains Thursday in the last hour of trading.
Negative interest rates upend familiar financial relationships, yet they have become pervasive across several developed global markets Continue reading...
It was a very quiet day in the stock market today, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average finishing close to flat on Thursday.The SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSEARCA:SPY) fell 1 basis point, the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average (NYSEARCA:DIA) dropped 0.2% and the PowerShares QQQ ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ) rallied almost 0.2%.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading TipsWe've had a lot of news to digest lately, even though the stock market continues to chop around close to its high. The SPY ETF actually made a new all-time high on Thursday, albeit briefly.However, we've now seen significant moves in bonds, gold, high-growth tech stocks and have seen the S&P 500 break out of its August trading range. Further, investors heard from the Federal Reserve on Wednesday that it will cut interest rates. To top it all off, U.S.-China trade war headline risks are still possible.It's been a complex couple of weeks. It also has some investors wondering what asset class will make the next big move. Will it be bitcoin? Breakout or Breakdown for Bitcoin?Bitcoin bounced hard off its $9,600 lows today, but the charts do not look all that great. The cryptocurrency is below most of its major moving averages, with the exception of the 200-day. Worse though, it's making a series of lower highs as resistance squeezes it against support down near $9,360.This pattern is known as a descending triangle, a bearish technical setup where investors are looking for resistance to break the asset price below support. In this case, a break below $9,360 support could send bitcoin down to its 200-day moving average, currently near $8,000. * 8 Dividend Stocks to Buy for a Recession If bitcoin can hurdles its 20-day, 50-day and 100-day moving averages, as well as downtrend resistance -- which would require a move north of $10,500 presently -- then we have a breakout on our hands.The best setup for investors may be to wait and see which one comes first, and then place their respective trades. That's opposed to guessing whether it will breakout or breakdown.Investors can also trade bitcoin via the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (OTCMKTS:GBTC), shown below. Movers in the Stock Market TodayMicrosoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) stock hit new all-time highs after the company announced a $40 billion buyback plan and upped its dividend by 11% to 51 cents per share. While the payout remains stubbornly low -- yielding just under 1.5% -- keep in mind that MSFT stock is up nearly 150% over the past three years. In 2019 alone, it's up about 25%.It continues to lead mega-cap tech in market cap too, now trading with a $1.1 trillion valuation.Tesla's (NASDAQ:TSLA) Model 3 received the top safety rating from the Insurance Institute of Highway Safety. That's the first of Tesla's four vehicles to receive the designation, if we're including the original Roadster.Airbnb says the company will go public in 2020 after earlier announcing that it generated $2 billion in revenue in the second quarter. While there were rumblings of a 2019 IPO at one point, there's little surprise this one isn't coming this year. The lackluster response from the public for Uber (NYSE:UBER), Lyft (NASDAQ:LYFT), Slack (NYSE:WORK) and certainly We didn't help matters.Roku (NASDAQ:ROKU) tumbled more than 13% on Wednesday and was set for another nauseating run on Thursday. In pre-market trading, shares were down more than 5% at one point. However, after the company announced several new streaming products, shares ended the day higher, climbing 3% on Thursday. Let's see if the recent lows can stick. Otherwise, this may just be a dead-cat bounce before more lows are made. Splitting Up?According to reports, AT&T (NYSE:T) is reportedly weighing whether to divest its DirecTV unit. This could come via spinoff or potentially a combination with Dish Network (NASDAQ:DISH). AT&T acquired the asset in 2015 for nearly $50 billion.The asset generates solid cash flow for AT&T, but with its bloated balance sheet and the continual loss of subscribers due to cord-cutting, DirecTV is a business that investors bemoan. AT&T has since said it's not considering the move, but shares still rallied roughly 1% on the day.Bret Kenwell is the manager and author of Future Blue Chips and is on Twitter @BretKenwell. As of this writing, Bret Kenwell is long ROKU and T. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 8 Dividend Stocks to Buy for a Recession * 10 Companies Making Their CEOs Rich * The 7 Best S&P 500 Stocks of 2019 So Far The post Stock Market Today: Breakout or Breakdown for Bitcoin? appeared first on InvestorPlace.
The SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSEARCA:SPY) hit a new 52-week high in Thursday's session, but did not do so with overwhelming confidence. We'll have to see how the action shakes out over the next few days and weeks, after the Fed cut rates on Wednesday. Here are our top stock trades. Top Stock Trades for Tomorrow 1: GogoDid this trade in Gogo (NYSE:GOGO) pay off or what? We highlighted it in early September as a top stock trade and these Twitter traders crushed it too.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading Tips * 7 CBD Stocks to Buy That Are Still Worth Your Investment Dollars Shares are finally taking a breather. I want to see if the $6 level will now act as support. There it will find prior resistance and the 50-week moving average. If it does and GOGO takes out this week's high, a run to $8+ is on the table.Below $6 and Gogo will need some time to reset. Top Stock Trades for Tomorrow 2: AlibabaThis was another one we highlighted earlier this month, as Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) approached $179 to $180 resistance.With uptrend support creating a series of higher lows, this ascending triangle was prepped for a breakout. On Thursday we got that breakout, but BABA stock failed to hold much of its gains on the day.Investors now need to see if $179 to $180 will act as support. If it does, they need to see BABA then take out Thursday's highs. If it fails as support, it very well could be a failed breakout, in which case the 20-day moving average and uptrend support become the must-hold levels. Top Stock Trades for Tomorrow 3: TargetTarget (NYSE:TGT) stock continues to show impressive relative strength since reporting blowout earnings in mid-August, which is why I'm looking for it to be a market leader going forward.Shares are being buoyed by the 20-day moving average and are putting in a series of higher lows. I'm looking for a breakout over $110 now. Over $110.94 -- the prior highs -- and TGT can really gain some momentum. Top Stock Trades for Tomorrow 4: U.S. SteelU.S. Steel (NYSE:X) is keeping up the ugliness, falling more than 10% on the day.The silver lining is that shares are rallying off the lows. But with so many bearish trends, it's hard to get excited about this one. If X breaks its lows from last month, a plunge into no man's land could be next.This name doesn't excite me until it's over $13.50. Top Stock Trades for Tomorrow 5: Monster BeverageWe were looking for this one to "go" earlier this month, but each time Monster Beverage (NASDAQ:MNST) has fizzled out on its breakout attempt.The plus side is that it continues to put in higher lows, as uptrend support squeezes it higher. Let's see if shares can take out last week's highs near $59.56. If it can, the 50-day moving average and $60.50 are the next upside targets. * 8 Dividend Stocks to Buy for a Recession On the downside, see that MNST doesn't fall below $57.Bret Kenwell is the manager and author of Future Blue Chips and is on Twitter @BretKenwell. As of this writing, Bret Kenwell is long GOGO via options. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 8 Dividend Stocks to Buy for a Recession * 10 Companies Making Their CEOs Rich * The 7 Best S&P 500 Stocks of 2019 So Far The post 5 Top Stock Trades for Friday: GOGO, BABA, TGT appeared first on InvestorPlace.
As investors brace for a third straight quarter of corporate earnings declines, a key profit gauge that flashed warning signs before the Great Recession now suggests that a new economic downturn is "imminent," according to Albert Edwards, the co-head of global strategy at Societe Generale. "This divergence is quite normal just before a recession," Edwards writes in recent note to clients.
If you own SPY stock, you'll never trail the S&P; 500\. The expense ratio is low and you're diversified across 500 stocks and 11 sectors. Just know, you'll never beat the market, either.
Housing Starts last month grew 12% to 1.264 million seasonally adjusted, annualized units, well in front of the 4.1% growth expected and 1.260 million units in the consensus estimate.
A narrow trading range combined with an increase in the volatility index as investors appear poised to move money from stocks to bonds.
U.S. markets and stock ETFs regained their footing toward the end of Tuesday after oil prices retreated from a record jump in the prior session and as investors waited on a widely anticipated interest rate cut out of the Federal Reserve Wednesday. On Tuesday, the Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) increased 0.5%, SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA) rose 0.1% and SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) was 0.3% higher. The pullback in crude oil prices weighed on sentiment early Tuesday after Saudi Arabia announced output could return more quickly than initially anticipated, the Wall Street Journal reports.
It was another relatively quiet session in the stock market today. On Tuesday we saw the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSEARCA:SPY) rally 0.3%, the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average (NYSEARCA:DIA) jump 0.2% and the PowerShares QQQ ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ) climb 0.5%.That's as investors try to get positioned ahead of the Federal Reserve's announcement on Wednesday. It doesn't help that there's a quadruple witching day this Friday, one of four throughout the year, as we roll into the fourth quarter.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading Tips Assets Moving Ahead of the FedWhile it's been a relatively calm Monday and Tuesday in the equity markets, the same cannot be said about financial markets over the past month.Earlier this month, we had the SPY, DIA and QQQ break out of their choppy trading ranges. Amid that breakout though, we had a deep correction in high-growth tech stocks like Roku (NASDAQ:ROKU), Alteryx (NYSE:AYX), The Trade Desk (NASDAQ:TTD), Veeva Systems (NYSE:VEEV) and many, many others.We recently caught a nice pullback both in gold and bonds after an absolutely explosive rally in the SPDR Gold Shares (NYSEARCA:GLD) and the iShares 20+ Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT). The latter's decline helped spring a potent rebound in bank stocks, by the way.Finally, how could we forget the move in crude oil. Following a drone strike in Saudi Arabia over the weekend, oil prices were skyrocketing. While they have come down off the highs, and with Saudi production expected to come fully back online in the coming weeks, crude is still up about 7.5% from its closing price last week.To say the Fed has a full plate is putting it lightly. What to Expect From the FedThere is now a greater chance of no rate cut on Wednesday than there is of a rate cut. This has not been the norm over the past few days or weeks, mind you.Currently, the Fed Funds futures are pricing in 52.7% probability the Fed does not raise interest rates tomorrow. The other 47.3% probability calls for a 25-basis point cut. Essentially, a coin flip. * 7 Momentum Stocks to Buy On the Dip Just a day ago, the figures stood at 37.7% probability of no cut and 62.3% chance of a cut. A week ago it was even more drastic. Participants were pricing in a greater than 92% chance the Fed cuts rates, with a less than 10% probability of no cut.Finally, a month ago, the market wasn't even pricing in the chances of no cut. Instead, it was expecting a cut of at least 25-basis points, while there was a 22.3% probability of a 50-basis point cut.Sorry for the deluge of statistics, but they underscore how much can change in a relatively short amount of time. It will be interesting to hear what Fed Chair Jerome Powell has to say about the economy and the recent fluctuations in various assets.With unemployment low and stocks near their highs, it's easy to make the case for "no cut." But if that's the course the Fed chooses, it will surely hear from a chorus of dovish detractors -- as well as President Donald Trump. Movers in the Stock Market TodayShopify (NYSE:SHOP) stock fell 2.7% after the company announced a 1.9 million share secondary offering. The deal is for Class A stock that priced at $317.50, raising just over $600 million for the company. The move comes as little surprise given that Shopify stock is still up roughly 140% in 2019 and after its recent $450 million acquisition.Following Disney's (NYSE:DIS) acquisition of Twenty-First Century Fox, the company is getting to work on its balance sheet. Disney is looking to deleverage a bit after digesting that big $71.3 billion deal, tendering more than $4.2 billion worth of notes. It increased its intended purchases as well.Micron (NASDAQ:MU) caught a price target boost from $55 to $65 at Cascend Securities. The analysts maintain a "buy" rating and believe MU has "good value" after evaluating the DRAM market. Shares ended the day higher by 1.4% at $50.84.Oh, and thank goodness the WeWork IPO is being shelved -- at least for a little while. We had some gripes about that one.Bret Kenwell is the manager and author of Future Blue Chips and is on Twitter @BretKenwell. As of this writing, Bret Kenwell is long ROKU and TTD. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 7 Momentum Stocks to Buy On the Dip * 7 Dow Titans Breaking Higher * 5 Growth Stocks to Sell as Rates Move Higher The post Stock Market Today: What to Expect From the Federal Reserve appeared first on InvestorPlace.
Despite headline hysteria, many companies are reporting positive earnings. Co-CIO Francis Gannon explains how we’re investing during this time of two tales Continue reading...