|Day's Range||11.80 - 12.58|
The CME Group launched micro e-mini contracts for the S&P 500, Russell 2000, Dow Jones 30 and Nasdaq100 indices at a much lower cost than the existing e-mini futures.
European Central Bank President Mario Draghi turned ultra-dovish in a speech in Portugal on Tuesday. Is this a motivation for Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and his cohorts to cut interest rates as they meet this week? President Trump on Tuesday blasted Draghi because stimulus in Europe means a lower euro versus the dollar, giving an edge to European companies in their exports to the U.S. On the other hand, the U.S. stock market is encouraged by Trump’s tweet of a “very good” phone call with President Xi of China and the news of an extended meeting with him at the G20.
Could there soon be a recession? "Bond king" Jeffrey Gundlach thinks so. He shared his views regarding the Fed, markets, recession, and strategies to hedge against the slowdown during a DoubleLine investor webcast on June 13.
Semiconductor stocks could fall further toward the end of June if the United States decides to impose tariffs on the additional $300 billion of Chinese imports and China retaliates with export restrictions on rare earth minerals. The semi stocks could also be impacted by a weak second-quarter earnings season that reflects the financial impact of the trade war.
As the world's largest economies get set to meet at the G20 summit, all eyes will be on the U.S and China as the two countries look to settle their trade disputes.
Economist Arthur Laffer is the latest to receive the prestigious Presidential Medal of Freedom from U.S. President Donald Trump. Laffer is best known for his ideas on maximizing tax revenue by adjusting tax rates, ad his ideas were influential in shaping U.S. tax policy in the 1980s. After getting his M.B.A in international economics from Stanford in 1972, Laffer joined the Office of Management and Budget as chief economist.
Fresh stimulus proposals for the ECB, which may begin as soon as next month, when the body reconvenes, are sending U.S. market futures up.
On June 26, OPEC and its allies will meet in Vienna to decide about another production cut extension. With just over a week left before the meeting, there's still confusion about the date.
May’s PMI numbers were not very encouraging. The manufacturing PMI released by IHS Markit came in at 50.5, the lowest since September 2009 when the economy was just trying to come out of the shadows of the global recession. While the reading still indicates expansion, the pace of expansion is the lowest in almost a decade.
The European Central Bank could see rate cuts as a toolkit for new stimulus . On Tuesday, the European stock market recovered from early falls as ECB President Mario Draghi promised more monetary stimulus ...
Draghi's decision to take a dovish approach comes a day before the Fed’s policy decision. Fed Chair Jerome Powell is also expected to take a dovish stance, but a rate cut this month looks quite improbable.
On Saturday, Trump warned of an epic market crash if he is not reelected. He tweeted that the crash will be something “which has not been seen before.” Could it be worse than the Great Recession of 2008 and the Great Depression of 1929? Will it come before the 2020 elections?
Commerce Secretary, Wilbur Ross has downplayed the possibility of a major trade deal being struck between President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping at the upcoming G-20 summit in Japan later ...
Over the weekend, India raised tariffs on more than two dozen US goods. The country mooted these tariffs last year after President Donald Trump slapped Section 232 steel and aluminum tariffs on it. However, the move wasn't aimed at India alone—almost all countries were hit with these tariffs.
Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross sought to tone down expectations from the proposed meeting between US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping at the G20 Summit. Ross said that the G20 is not “where you’re going to negotiate a 2,500-page agreement.”
Consumer spending has taken a backseat in the first quarter. The US economy is facing headwinds like slower tax refunds, declining job numbers, and escalating trade tensions. The trade war is a major headwind for apparel retailers.
Editor's note: This story was originally published in January 2019 and has since been updated and republished.Index funds are responsible for saving investors like you and me untold billions of dollars in fees over the past couple of decades. They've also spared us countless headaches. (I don't know about you, but I'm glad I don't have to pick specific stocks to buy to get exposure to utilities or play the growth in India's middle class.) And the best index funds … well, they've made us a lot of money, which is the point of it all.Source: Investment Zen via Flickr (Modified)But index funds are also contributing to an issue that could blow up in our faces.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading TipsThe push into index funds has intensified to the point that some experts believe it's not only driving the market higher, but it's causing a valuation bubble. In short, if you buy into any fund (index or not), the fund must invest that money into more stocks -- and all that buying is distorting valuations. The danger, then, is that when that bubble pops, many supposedly safe index funds will feel the pain worse than other parts of the market.The lesson here is that the best index funds to buy for the foreseeable future aren't all going to look the same. * 7 Top-Rated Biotech Stocks to Invest In Today Some top index fund picks will be so buy-and-hold-oriented that you won't need to worry about the bubble popping in a year or two or three because you plan on holding for 20 years, maybe 30. Some of the best picks for next year will only be worth buying into for tactical trades of a week or two at a time.So the following is a list of the best index funds for everyone -- from long-term retirement-minded investors to click-happy day traders. And this includes a few funds that I either hold currently or have traded in the past.In no particular order … iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (IVV)Type: Large-Cap Equity Expenses: 0.04%, or $4 annually for every $10,000 invested.Every year, I take a look at the best index funds for investors, and the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (NYSEARCA:VOO) is always at the top of my list.The argument is typically the same, and consists of two parts: * The S&P 500 Index is one of the best chances you have at solid investment performance. That's because most equity funds fail to beat the market, most hedge funds fail to beat the market, and, to quote Innovative Advisory Group, "individual investors as a group have no idea what they are doing." So if beating the market is so darned hard, just invest "in the market" and get the market's actual return. The VOO and two other exchange-traded funds allow you to do that. * The VOO is the cheapest way to invest in the S&P 500.But that second point has changed.In trying to position itself for advisers who may want to suggest the lowest-cost offerings, iShares parent BlackRock, Inc. (NYSE:BLK) lowered the fees on 15 of its Core-branded ETFs, including the S&P 500-tracking iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (NYSEARCA:IVV).Previously, the IVV charged 7 basis points. It's better than the SPDR S&P 500 ETF's (NYSEARCA:SPY) 9.45 bps, but still above VOO's 5 bps. Now, though, IVV falls closest to the cellar at just 4 basis points in annual fees. Thus, the recommendation stands. Buy the market for as cheap as you can, and right now, that's the IVV.And that note of caution? If the valuation bubble does pop, the S&P 500 and its components very well could be hit harder than many other blue-chip stocks outside the index. If you only have a few years left in your investment horizon, you should acknowledge this and invest (and monitor) accordingly. If your investment horizon is measured in decades, buy and never look back.Learn more about iShares' IVV here iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap ETF (IJH)Type: Mid-Cap Equity Expenses: 0.07%As I just said, it's difficult to beat the market. But the iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap ETF (NYSEARCA:IJH) is awfully, awfully darn good at it. From a total performance perspective, the IJH has beaten the IVV over a 15-year period.Source: Rachel Kramer via FlickrAnd yet, very few people talk about the IJH as , just as very few people talk about the companies that make it tick, such as veterinary supplier Idexx Laboratories, Inc. (NASDAQ:IDXX) and plant-based food and beverage producer WhiteWave Foods Co (NYSE:WWAV).So … what's the deal?Mid-cap companies are frequently referred to as the market's "sweet spot." That's because, as Hennessy Funds describes in a recent whitepaper (PDF), they typically feature much more robust long-term growth potential than their large-cap brethren, but more financial stability, access to capital and managerial experience than their small-cap counterparts. * 10 Stocks to Buy That Wall Street Expects to Soar for the Rest of 2019 The result:"Using standard deviation as a statistical measure of historical volatility, investors in mid-cap stocks have consistently been rewarded with lower risk relative to small-cap investors over the 1, 3, 5, 10, 15 and 20 years ended December 31, 2015. While mid-caps have historically exhibited higher standard deviation than large-caps, investors were compensated for this higher volatility with higher returns for the 10, 15 and 20 year periods."Ben Johnson, CFA, director of global ETF research for Morningstar, points out that "an investment in a dedicated mid-cap fund reduces the likelihood of overlap with existing large-cap allocations and stands to improve overall portfolio diversification."In other words, IJH is an outstanding fund, but don't consider it an S&P 500 replacement -- consider it an S&P 500 complement.Invest in both.Learn more about IJH here SPDR S&P Bank ETF (KBE)Type: Industry (Banking) Expenses: 0.35%Bank stocks have done very, very well in 2019, with solid year-to-date performances in stocks like Bank of America (NYSE:BAC, +16%) and Citigroup (NYSE:C, +16.7%) leading the broad Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSEARCA:XLF) to a 12.5% gain since the start of 2019. This makes the SPDR S&P Bank ETF (NYSEARCA:KBE) especially attractive.Source: Mike Mozart via FlickrSince Donald Trump's election, the KBE has gained just shy of 20% on the belief Trump will tear down Wall Street regulations, creating an environment that's much more conducive to bank profits.That was confirmed in late 2016, when Trump confirmed Steve Mnuchin as his pick for Treasury Department secretary, and Mnuchin was quick to say that "(stripping) back parts of Dodd-Frank that prevent banks from lending" was top on his list of priorities.Mnuchin said something else telling -- namely, that regional banks were the "engine of growth to small- and medium-sized businesses." I got a call from Chris Johnson of JRG Investment Group after that, and he quipped, "It's like he stared into the camera and winked at every regional bank and said, 'You're going to make money again.'"While XLF does hold banks, it also holds insurers and other types of financials. KBE is a more focused collection of more than 60 banks, including national brands like Bank of America to smaller regionals like Montana-based Glacier Bancorp, Inc. (NASDAQ:GBCI), which is less than $3 billion by market cap. These stocks will not only benefit from any anti-regulation action but also future interest rate hikes.Learn more about SPDR's KBE here PowerShares Aerospace & Defense Portfolio (PPA)Type: Sector (Defense) Expenses: 0.64%Another Trump play worth the while is defense stocks. Yes, most pundits thought defense plays would do well under either Clinton or Trump, but the consensus seems to see the president-elect as the more defense-friendly choice.Source: Shutterstock The PowerShares Aerospace & Defense Portfolio (NYSEARCA:PPA) is one of two ideal ways to play the defense space broadly. The other is the iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (NYSEARCA:ITA), and frankly, I think it's a toss-up between the pair. It just depends on what you're looking for.Both are heavy in many of the same stocks, such as Boeing Co (NYSE:BA) and United Technologies Corporation (NYSE:UTX). The price advantage goes to the iShares fund, which is cheaper by 20 basis points. However, PPA is a better choice if you're looking for more diversification slightly less of its weight is in its top 10 holdings than ITA, and it also features 51 holdings to ITA's 37.The PowerShares ETF also hasn't run as hotly as iShares' fund. The ITA is up 41% since the February bottom versus about 38% for PPA, and the former is up just a hair more since the election. * 7 High-Quality Cheap Stocks to Buy With $10 It's a small difference, but an important one. Defense stocks are clobbering the market this year, including more than doubling the S&P 500 since Trump got elected. This isn't a hidden trade. Frankly, I think new money should consider waiting for the next sizable market dip to knock some of the froth off before buying either of these ETFs.But defense will rule for the foreseeable future. Thus, PPA and ITA will too.Learn more about PowerShares' PPA here. Global X SuperDividend Emerging Markets ETF (SDEM)Type: Emerging-Market Dividend Expenses: 0.65%The next four funds are dedicated yield plays, and we're starting with a pretty young (and aggressive) ETF -- the Global X SuperDividend Emerging Markets ETF (NYSEARCA:SDEM). But there are a few sound theories that could make this one of the best international plays.Source: Shutterstock Trump is widely considered to be a net negative for emerging markets because of his anti-trade, pro-U.S. rhetoric. But as Paul J. Lim and Carolyn Bigda at Fortune point out, the recent reactionary drought in EM stocks has brought their price-to-earnings ratios below their long-term average. Plus, if Trump ends up being mostly talk on this front, that fear will abate, taking pressure off emerging markets.The duo points out a number of other drivers, including … * Stimulated U.S. economic growth would benefit emerging markets who export to the West. * Commodity price pressure has eased, helping the many materials plays in EMs. * Higher oil prices should reduce the number of loan defaults in oil and gas, which will lift some of the worries about emerging markets' financial companies.All of that stands to benefit the SDEM, which boasts materials (23%) and financials (15%) as its two heaviest sectors, and invests heavily in commodity-focused markets including Brazil and Russia.SDEM does pose a bit of risk by intentionally investing in some of the highest yielders across a number of emerging markets -- as we all know, dividends can suggest financial stability, but excessively high dividends can be a symptom of troubled companies.But Global X views the high dividends as another factor of value (the reason yields are high is because the stocks are underappreciated), and it does mitigate this risk by equally weighting its 50 holdings upon every rebalancing. So right now, the largest weight in the fund is Indian miner Vedanata Ltd (ADR) (NYSE:VEDL) at just less than 4% of the fund.SDEM's monthly dividend yields 6.39%. That's still excellent for an emerging-markets fund, and the icing on the cake if the potential for an EM rebound is realized.Learn more about SDEM here PowerShares S&P 500 High Dividend Low Volatility Portfolio (SPHD)Type: U.S. Dividend Expenses: 0.3%If you're looking for dividend stocks without quite so much risk, the PowerShares S&P 500 High Dividend Low Volatility Portfolio (NYSEARCA:SPHD) is literally designed to provide you with just that.Source: Shutterstock The SPHD is another 50-stock portfolio that seeks out dividends, not in risky emerging markets, but in the most stable high-yield blue chips the S&P 500 has to offer. To do this, the index takes the 75 highest-yielding constituents of the index, with a maximum of 10 stocks in any one particular sector, then takes the 50 stocks with the lowest 12-month volatility from the group.The result is a mostly boring group of stocks that are heavy in utilities (17%), industrials (15%) and real estate (13%). What's interesting there is that information technology is a fairly heavyweight at 12% of the fund.The fund also uses a modified market cap-weighting scheme that provides a ton of balance. Even top holdings CME Group (NASDAQ:CME) and General Motors (NYSE:GM) are just barely 3% of the fund apiece. * 7 Stocks to Buy for the Coming Recession The main purpose of a fund like SPHD is to create even returns and strong income -- something more in line of protection against a down market. But it has even managed to clobber SPY (and numerous dividend ETFs) amid a rip-roaring rally.SPHD is young, but it looks like one of the best index funds on the market.Learn more about SPHD here SPDR Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Bond ETF (JNK)Type: Junk Bond Expenses: 0.4%In late 2014, I picked the SPDR Bloomberg Barclays High-Yield Bond ETF (NYSEARCA:JNK) as one of the best index funds to buy for 2015, and JNK responded by dropping 13% that year and recovering to "only" 8% declines this year. On a total return basis, however, JNK has actually returned 5.5%.That reflects the general idea behind buying JNK -- even in difficult times for junk bonds, a heavy yield can do a lot to offset capital losses, and then some.Invesco released a report showing that high-yield bonds like those held in JNK actually perform well in rising-rate environments (PDF). It starts:"Since 1987, there have been 16 quarters where yields on the 5-year Treasury note rose by 70 basis points or more. During 11 of those quarters high yield bonds demonstrated positive returns; during the five quarters where high yield bond returns were not positive, the asset class rebounded the following quarter."There's a number of reasons for this, such as an expanding economy normally being a boon for corporate debt service (lowering default rates), a lower relative duration rate of junk bonds and the boosting of returns via prepayment penalties by companies anxious to reduce or eliminate their debt before rates increase.Meanwhile, near-zero rates have helped keep down the rates on junk bonds, so right now JNK is yielding nearly 6% despite offering some of its lowest nominal payouts since inception in late 2007. Expect that to rise along with interest rates in coming years, which will provide outstanding annual returns from income alone to anyone with a long investment horizon.Learn more about SPDR's JNK here VanEck Vectors Preferred Securities ex Financials ETF (PFXF)Type: Preferred Stock Expenses: 0.41%*Another less-ballyhooed asset geared toward high income is preferred stocks. They're called "preferred" because the dividends on them actually take preference over common stock dividends.Source: Shutterstock Preferreds must be paid before commons are, and in the case of a suspension, many preferred stocks demand that the company pay all missed dividends in arrears before resuming dividends to common shares.And the "stocks" part of the moniker is a little misleading too, because they actually have a lot in common with bonds: * While common stock technically is equity, it typically doesn't include voting rights (like bonds). * Also, rather than a dividend that may fluctuate from payout to payout like a stock, preferreds have one fixed, usually high, payout amount that's assigned when the stock is issued (like bonds). * While common stock technically can register capital gains and losses, they tend to trade close to the par value assigned at issuance, which often is $25. So they might trade at a little discount or a little premium, but they don't fluctuate a lot. In other words: They have low volatility. * 7 Dark Horse Stocks Winning the Race in 2019 While I have long been (and still am) invested in the iShares U.S. Preferred Stock ETF (NYSEARCA:PFF), my recommendation is the VanEck Vectors Preferred Securities ex Financials ETF (NYSEARCA:PFXF).The PFXF was one of a few ex-financials funds that came to life in the wake of the 2007-09 financial crisis and bear market. So it differs mightily from most preferred stock funds which are heavy in banks and other financial stocks. Instead, PFXF is loaded with preferreds from utilities (29%), REITs (28%) and telecoms (15%).But the real draw of PFXF is its low 0.4% expense ratio, tiny beta of 0.2 and 5.9% yield -- the best combination of the three in the space.*Includes an 8-basis-point fee waiverLearn more about VanEck's PFXF here The Best Index Funds to Buy: Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bull 3x Shares (LABU)Type: Leveraged Industry (Biotech) Expenses: 0.95%*But while I'm long both pharmaceuticals via the Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSEARCA:XLV) and biotechs via the SPDR S&P Biotech ETF (NYSEARCA:XBI), I think the best healthcare opportunity will be found by traders who tango with the Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bull 3x Shares (NYSEARCA:LABU).The LABU is a 3x leveraged index fund that aims to provide triple the daily returns of the S&P Biotechnology Select Industry Index -- the same index the XBI is based off. Note the term "daily returns" -- the longer you hold onto leveraged funds, the more your returns can skew from the movement of the index. But, if you're simply looking to make a trade over the course of a few days or even a couple of weeks, LABU can rip off insane returns, such as the 33% it returned in just the first day after Clinton was defeated.I think biotechs could still be in for a bumpy ride, as popular outcry over sky-high drug pricing isn't going away. Moreover, there's still the issue of pharmacy benefits managers (PBMs) increasingly siphoning pharmaceutical and biotechs' profits. But aggressive traders will get the most bang for their buck trying to play dips with tools like LABU, while fiscal hermit crabs like myself are content to sit in XBI and enjoy the uneven crawl higher.*Includes 12-basis-point fee waiver.Learn more about Direxion's LABU here Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bull and Bear 3x Shares (NUGT/DUST)Type: Leveraged Industry (Gold Mining) Expenses: 0.94%/0.95%*The last of the best index funds are actually a pair of funds that you can use to trade gold. (Sort of.)Source: Shutterstock The Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bull 3x Shares (NYSEARCA:NUGT) and Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bear 3x Shares (NYSEARCA:DUST) are actually leveraged plays on the NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index -- an index of gold mining companies that powers the VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSEARCA:GDX).Why gold miners?Gold miners have certain all-in costs of mining gold, and so they move heavily based on the price of the commodity. In fact, they tend to be more volatile than gold itself. Just take the first half of 2016, in which the SPDR Gold Trust (ETF) (NYSEARCA:GLD) returned a robust 25%. GDX doubled in that same time frame. And NUGT? NUGT returned 420% -- so, more than quadruple the GDX. * 7 S&P 500 Dividend Stocks to Buy at Least Yielding 3% But if you timed the play wrong, you were sunk. If you bought NUGT in May and held through the end of the month, you were down 40% to GDX's 14%.I have no doubt that 2019 will [continue to] provide a number of big drivers (in either direction) for gold, from U.S. dollar movements to interest rate hikes to renewed Brexit fears. NUGT and DUST are two lucrative ways to profit off those trends.Just handle with care.*Includes a 9-basis-point fee waiver for NUGT and a 2-basis-point fee waiver for DUST.Learn more about NUGT & DUST hereAs of this writing, Kyle Woodley did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities. Follow him on Twitter at @KyleWoodley. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 7 Companies Apple Should Consider Buying * 7 Beaten-Up Housing Stocks Due for a Bounce Back * Take Buffett's Advice: 5 Vanguard Funds to Buy Compare Brokers The post The 10 Best Index Funds to Buy and Hold appeared first on InvestorPlace.
Choosing the right indicators can be a daunting task for novice traders. It’s a much easier process when they focus their effects into five categories.
From the YFi Interactive touch screen, Yahoo Finance's Jared Blikre joins Alexis Christoforous to break down the latest Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Fund Manager Survey showing a flight into bonds and cash, and the biggest underweight in equities since March, 2009. “FMS investors have not been this bearish since the Global Financial Crisis, with pessimism driven by trade war and recession concerns,” said Michael Hartnett, chief investment strategist.