|Bid||269.38 x 1100|
|Ask||269.41 x 1300|
|Day's Range||267.01 - 270.15|
|52 Week Range||252.92 - 293.94|
|PE Ratio (TTM)||N/A|
|Beta (3Y Monthly)||1.00|
|Expense Ratio (net)||0.09%|
Investors can’t seem to catch a break this year amid the S&P 500’s (^GSPC) paltry 2% gain, but some historical market trends are pointing to a strong 2019.
In the BAML (Bank of America Merrill Lynch) November 2018 survey, trade war concerns were again named as the top concern among global fund managers. About 35% of fund managers surveyed cited it as their top tail risk, which is the same as last month and lower than 43% in September. The trade risk is still fresh, and the recent trade escalations between the United States and China (FXI) have kept fund managers concerned about ongoing trade tensions.
The stunning sell-off among tech stocks has rattled many investors, causing them to rethink their attitudes about both this market sector and risk. After anemic efforts to stage a rebound, tech stocks are still well below their highs. On Nov. 14, the Nasdaq 100 Index (NDX), widely used as a proxy for the tech sector, closed 12.1% below its all-time high set in intraday trading on Oct. 1.
November marked the second straight month of investors’ bearishness with 44% of them believing that global economic growth will decelerate in the next 12 months. It believes that investor sentiment could take a sudden turn for the worse. While 16% of investors surveyed in October thought that the stock market has peaked, the number increased to 30% in November.
Another day in the red for U.S. equity markets as Apple led a tech stock slide that bled across the major indexes. The S&P 500 has fallen for 5 straight sessions and is now negative for the month after falling 7 percent in October. Shares of Apple, that recovered a little, are now teetering on the edge of a Bear Market, down nearly 20 percent or more from their recent highs. A third of the stocks in the S&P 500 are also in Bear Market territory, even though the entire index is not.
BAML (Bank of America Merrill Lynch) conducted a survey that polled 225 global investors with $641 billion in total assets under management between November 2 and November 8.
The rally in tech names, especially the FAANG stocks including Facebook (FB) and Netflix (NFLX), has been a pillar of support for markets (SPY). However, some of the technology names that helped drive markets have seen selling pressure after a strong first half of 2018. Apple and Amazon (AMZN) crossed the $1 trillion market capitalization in 2018. While Amazon might give away its gains soon, Apple didn’t hold onto the trophy.
Concerns about the Chinese economy have been among the major risks spooking investors globally. Concerns about China’s growth outlook impact metal and mining companies (SPY) like Freeport-McMoRan (FCX). China (FXI) is also a major market for US giants like Ford (F) and Apple (AAPL). On November 14, China released several economic indicators.
US equity markets saw a sharp sell-off last month and pared some of their 2018 gains. November hasn’t been much better. Broader equity markets are still below their 2018 highs. Among the broader market ETFs, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) has gained 0.5% in November. SPY has risen 3.3% in 2018 based on the closing prices on November 13. However, the Invesco QQQ ETF (QQQ) has lost 1.9% in November.
Higher steel prices have lifted US steel companies’ profitability this year. In this part, we’ll compare steel companies’ third-quarter adjusted EBITDA, which is the preferred profitability metric for steel companies (SPY).
As of November 12, US crude oil prices have fallen 27.1% from the multiyear closing high of $76.41 per barrel on October 3. Oversupply concerns have led the decline in oil prices. Based on a Reuters report, OPEC members and non-OPEC oil producers might develop a plan to reduce their oil output by up to 1.4 MMbpd (million barrels per day) in 2019. In the oil market report on November 14, the International Energy Agency expects global oil demand growth to rise by 1.3 MMbpd and 1.4 MMbpd in 2018 and 2019, respectively. A production cut of that magnitude might limit oil’s fall.
While the October stock market sell-off caused great anxiety among individual investors, many of the world's largest fund managers used it as an opportunity to go bargain hunting, according to the latest release of the monthly Global Fund Manager Survey conducted by Bank of America Merrill Lynch (BofAML).
Previously in this series, we compared steel companies’ third-quarter shipments. In this part, we’ll look at their ASP (average selling price). The ASP is a key driver of steel companies’ performance and impacts their profitability. We saw a sharp rise in steel companies’ ASP this year after President Trump’s Section 232 tariffs lifted US steel prices (SPY) to multiyear highs.
Everything is Down Again US stock futures, Asian (except Japan), and European equities are all down today, together with oil yet again, in what is now a record slide in intensity. The US Dollar is flat. The S&P 500 is now decisively below its 200 day moving average. Italian bond are down again this morning, […] The post Market Morning: Everything Is Down, Brexit Agreement, Trump Cornered, Saudi Sanctions? appeared first on Market Exclusive.