205.00 0.00 (0.00%)
After hours: 5:05PM EDT
|Bid||204.88 x 800|
|Ask||204.94 x 1000|
|Day's Range||202.93 - 206.78|
|52 Week Range||150.37 - 234.26|
|Beta (3Y Monthly)||0.83|
|PE Ratio (TTM)||11.67|
|Earnings Date||Jun 27, 2019 - Jul 1, 2019|
|Forward Dividend & Yield||3.00 (1.69%)|
|1y Target Est||223.09|
Cronos Group (NASDAQ:CRON) has established its own trend. Thanks to the $1.8 billion investment that CRON received from Altria (NYSE:MO) in December, Cronos is one of the few pot stocks whose 52-week high didn't come right before marijuana became legal in Canada in October.After that announcement, CRON stock began a bull move that peaked in March. Unfortunately, CRON stock has fallen since that time. Since there's no apparent upcoming catalyst that can break that downtrend, traders don't have an incentive to take a chance on Cronos Group stock. CRON Stock Can't Become a Market LeaderSince reaching a near-term peak of $24.37 per share on Mar. 6, CRON stock has steadily slid. Now many wonder when the decline will end.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading Tips * 7 Stocks to Buy for Over 20% Upside Potential Many people were bullish on CRON stock after U.S. tobacco giant Altria acquired a stake in the company. Because the cannabis and marijuana industries have certain similarities. I think this alliance will give Cronos some added expertise in the areas of production, distribution, and marketing. It also reminded many of Constellation Brands' (NYSE:STZ) investment in Canopy Growth (NYSE:CGC) that made CGC a market leader.However, for all of the talk about CRON stock, analysts only expect CRON to produce about 130,000 kg of pot this year. That trails smaller firms such as Aphria (NYSE:APHA) and The Green Organic Dutchman (OTCMKTS:TGODF). Valuation, Charts Show Little Reason to Buy Cronos StockMarijuana stocks remain highly speculative. For traders to take a chance on a marijuana stock, they need some reason to believe that they can sell it at a higher price later. Because CRON lags some smaller firms in production, it has little chance of leading the industry. Today Aurora Cannabis (NYSE:ACB) and Canopy Growth have emerged as industry leaders.The multiple of CRON stock also doesn't give investors a reason to buy the shares. Cronos stock currently trades at around 355 times CRON's sales. While that might appear elevated, it compares well to other cannabis equities in today's market.CRON does deserve credit for earning a profit. Cronos Group reported a first-quarter GAAP profit of 48 Canadian cents (36 cents) per share. CRON predicts that its 2019 EPS will come in at 52 Canadian cents (39 cents). That would gives CRON a price-earnings ratio of about 35.6. However, due to an expected decline in CRON's EPS to 7 Canadian cents (5.2 cents) in 2020, its forward PE comes in at 290.That valuation leaves investors with little incentive to buy Cronos stock. I have made successful short-term trades in the past in both Aphria and CannTrust Holdings (NYSE:CTST), due to their relatively low multiples. It is possible to find stocks with attractive valuations in the cannabis space. Unfortunately, that does not apply to CRON stock at this time.Finally, the recent price movements of Cronos Group stock also won't help traders much. From a technical perspective, InvestorPlace columnist Bret Kenwell thinks that Cronos stock has support in the $13-$14 per share range. However, if CRON falls below that level, it could return to the single digits. Over the last year, it has appeared to build a floor in the $6 per share range. Cronos stock would be attractive at that level. Still, it will probably not reach that price anytime soon. Final Thoughts on CRONThere's nothing attractive about Cronos Group stock for investors or speculators. I can see a lot to like about Cronos Group's business. Its alliance with Altria should help it with production, distribution, and marketing. Also, the fact that it earns a GAAP profit will place CRON in a strong position compared to many of its peers.Unfortunately, none of those advantages make Cronos Group stock attractive. Cronos' production levels lag those of market leaders such as Aurora and Canopy. The valuations of those names are also more favorable than that of CRON stock, closing off any chance that CRON could be seen as a relative bargain. Moreover, while Cronos stock could bounce off of key resistance points, the stock's floor is well below its current levels.I have stated on many occasions that marijuana equities like CRON stock will eventually become low-multiple, dividend-paying equities like the Altria of today. Until CRON develops those characteristics, or at least finds a more solid floor, I would look to own other equities in the cannabis space.As of this writing, Will Healy did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned stocks. You can follow Will on Twitter at @HealyWriting. More From InvestorPlace * 4 Top American Penny Pot Stocks (Buy Before June 21) * 7 Stocks to Buy for Over 20% Upside Potential * 5 Large-Cap Stocks Holding Steady Amid Trade War Concerns * 7 ETFs for Healthy Healthcare REITs Compare Brokers The post Cronos Stock Is Less Attractive Than Many Other Marijuana Names appeared first on InvestorPlace.
Canopy Growth Corporation (NYSE: CGC ) announced the appointment of its Executive Vice President of Finance, Mike Lee, to its executive leadership team as acting Chief Financial Officer, effective June ...
At least in the current, early stages of the legal marijuana sector, Canopy Growth (NYSE:CGC) is the clear leader. Canopy Growth stock has by far the highest market capitalization among marijuana stocks, and Canopy has the largest peak production capabilities.As a result, the CGC stock price is somewhat of a weather vane for investor sentiment towards the cannabis sector more broadly.That's good news, and bad news, for CGC stock. On the plus side, CGC is simple. The company's reach is broad and continues to grow. However the industry's growth plays out, Canopy Growth is going to play a significant role in it and generate significant profits. If the marijuana sector exceeds investors' expectations, the CGC stock price likely will do the same.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading TipsThe flip side is that it's unlikely that Canopy Growth stock will be the best marijuana stock over time. Smaller niche plays might have more room for growth and are more likely to become M&A targets. Canopy's wide reach guarantees at least a few wins, but some of its myriad initiatives will fail to bear fruit (or, more accurately in this case, flowers). * 7 Stocks to Buy for Over 20% Upside Potential Overall, the outlook of CGC stock is pretty simple. If an investor believes in cannabis, CGC stock remains the simplest play, as I've argued in the past. But with the CGC stock price still not too far from its highs, it's worth remembering that an awful lot of belief, and potential success, looks priced into Canopy Growth stock. Canopy Growth Expands Its ReachThe $4 billion-plus investment Canopy Growth received from Constellation Brands (NYSE:STZ,NYSE:STZ.B) gave the company an unparalleled war chest. Only Cronos Group (NASDAQ:CRON), which received $1.8 billion from tobacco giant Altria (NYSE:MO), comes close.Canopy is putting that cash to work. It negotiated a complicated deal with Acreage Holdings (OTCMKTS:ACRGF) to enter the U.S. market, including a $300 million upfront payment. (An activist Acreage shareholder could scuttle that purchase, however.) CGC is adding production capability. Canopy brought a German cannabinoid compounder into the fold earlier this month. Its smaller deals include a buyout of a U.S. hemp manufacturer and a stake in a '"cannabis beauty brand."Those acquisitions add to the company's already-strong portfolio. Canopy Growth sells marijuana under six different brands. Its existing production capabilities appear to exceed 500,000 kilograms annually. Canopy produces oil and softgels in addition to dried flower. The Constellation partnership should give the company an edge in cannabis-infused beverages and edibles.Canopy already has a reach that far exceeds that of any other cannabis company. Aurora Cannabis (NYSE:ACB) is probably its closest rival in terms of breadth of geographic and market exposure. But even Aurora doesn't reach Canopy's levels, and ACB doesn't have an extra few billion dollars on its balance sheet that it can use to take advantage of more opportunities along the way. CGC or an ETF?At this point in the market's evolution, one key argument for Canopy Growth stock is that it can function like an ETF. The point of an ETF is to capitalize on a trend without making the effort or taking the risk that investing in single stocks requires. There are, by one count, over 400 marijuana stocks at the moment. As is usually the case with a "hot" trend, many of those stocks will decline or go bust. (Think, for instance, of the dot-com bubble, or more recently, cryptocurrency/blockchain plays.)In fact, I'd rather own CGC stock than the largest marijuana ETF, the ETFMG Alternative Harvest ETF (NYSEARCA:MJ). Two marijuana pharmaceutical plays, GW Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:GWPH) and Corbus Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:CRBP), together make up more than 12% of Canopy's assets. And, again, Canopy's reach means it should have at least some success, no matter how the marijuana industry develops.If oversupply makes production less profitable, CGC's distribution and retail operations should benefit. If consumption moves towards edibles and away from flowers, it should be well-positioned for that shift. That's not the case for many smaller plays, including those that make up the MJ ETF. The Risks Facing CGC StockThere's one obvious catch for Canopy Growth stock, however. Even if Canopy can capture marijuana growth in myriad ways, that growth needs to support the current CGC stock price. And I've become increasingly cautious about that recently.At its December lows, CGC was available for less than the price that Constellation paid. (Constellation handed over roughly $35 per share, depending on how warrants Constellation received as part of the deal are valued). But now that CGC stock price has reached the mid-40s, that's no longer the case. As the Acreage activist noted, CGC trades at a stunning 178 times its estimated 2020 EBITDA.That multiple isn't out of line for the sector, but that's precisely the point. Current valuations in the industry, including that of Canopy Growth stock, suggest that massive industry growth is all but a foregone conclusion. And I'm skeptical about whether it will play out quite that way.For instance, recreational sales in Canada already are starting to flatten out., so the explosive rallies of marijuana stocks are going to end. Marijuana prices have plunged in the few regulated U.S. markets. And legalization, given the size of the existing black market (and the relative ease of using it for most consumers), won't necessarily lead to higher sales.Those trends suggest that the initial optimism toward marijuana, and the enormous valuations assigned to marijuana stocks, may have gone a bit too far. That, in turn ,suggests that the CGC stock price may have done the same. For marijuana bulls, there's no simpler play than CGC stock. But for CGC stock to rise further, those bulls must be right.As of this writing, Vince Martin has no positions in any securities mentioned. More From InvestorPlace * 4 Top American Penny Pot Stocks (Buy Before June 21) * 7 Stocks to Buy for Over 20% Upside Potential * 5 Large-Cap Stocks Holding Steady Amid Trade War Concerns * 7 ETFs for Healthy Healthcare REITs Compare Brokers The post Canopy Growth Stock Has to Overcome an Important Obstacle appeared first on InvestorPlace.
Canadian marijuana manufacturer Canopy Growth appoints former Constellation Brands' senior executive Mike Lee as the company's acting chief financial officer.
Constellation Brands Inc NYSE:STZView full report here! Summary * Perception of the company's creditworthiness is negative * ETFs holding this stock have seen outflows over the last one-month * Bearish sentiment is low and declining Bearish sentimentShort interest | PositiveShort interest is low for STZ with fewer than 5% of shares on loan. Additionally, this was an improvement in sentiment as investors who seek to profit from falling equity prices reduced their short positions on May 14. Money flowETF/Index ownership | NegativeETF activity is negative. Over the last one-month, outflows of investor capital in ETFs holding STZ totaled $9.16 billion. Additionally, the rate of outflows appears to be accelerating. Economic sentimentPMI by IHS Markit | NeutralAccording to the latest IHS Markit Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data, output in the Consumer Goods sector is rising. The rate of growth is weak relative to the trend shown over the past year, however. Credit worthinessCredit default swap | NegativeThe current level displays a negative indicator. STZ credit default swap spreads are near their highest levels for the past 1 year, which indicates the market's more negative perception of the company's credit worthiness.Please send all inquiries related to the report to firstname.lastname@example.org.Charts and report PDFs will only be available for 30 days after publishing.This document has been produced for information purposes only and is not to be relied upon or as construed as investment advice. To the fullest extent permitted by law, IHS Markit disclaims any responsibility or liability, whether in contract, tort (including, without limitation, negligence), equity or otherwise, for any loss or damage arising from any reliance on or the use of this material in any way. Please view the full legal disclaimer and methodology information on pages 2-3 of the full report.
Shares of Tilray (NASDAQ:TLRY) dropped in mid-May after the Canadian cannabis company reported first quarter numbers that didn't quite live up to expectations. Revenues topped estimates, but profits missed estimates. Despite the profit miss, all the growth trends moved in the right direction. Revenues rose big sequentially. So did cannabis sales volumes. Gross margins improved, too. Broadly, the numbers looked good, but Tilray stock still had people disappointed.Source: Shutterstock The big story for the past year is that Tilray has simply been priced for much more than just good. For context, TLRY has always been richly valued relative to peers for no reason outside of market hype. This is the pot stock that went extra parabolic during the mid-2018 cannabis craze. At one point in time, Tilray touched $300. It has since consistently retreated. Now, shares trade hands under $50. * 7 High-Yield REITs to Buy (Even When the Market Tanks) Naturally, the question following earnings is whether or not TLRY stock has finally bottomed. Ostensibly, the answer appears to be yes. The numbers missed expectations, but were pretty good. The stock dropped. But, not by much. The valuation now makes sense relative to peers.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading TipsIn other words, the numbers, the price action, and the valuation all imply that Tilray stock could indeed bottom here just below $50.But, will it? I'm not sure. As such, I think this is a wait-and-see situation. TLRY has been a falling knife for some time. Reversing the course of this falling knife will take some time, too. There's no rush to buy in just yet. Tilray's Numbers Were Pretty GoodDespite the headline profit miss, Tilray's first quarter numbers were actually pretty good, and broadly much better than most observers anticipated.Both revenues and kilograms of cannabis sold rose nearly 50% quarter-over-quarter. Relative to peers Cronos (NASDAQ:CRON) and Aurora (NYSE:ACB) (both of which have reported early 2019 numbers) that near 50% sequential revenue and volume growth rate is very impressive. The growth rates at Cronos were below 20%. Over at Aurora, they were between ~20% and ~40%.To be sure, Tilray is growing from a small base, but the takeaway nonetheless remains clear. Tilray gained share in the cannabis market in early 2019. On top of that market share expansion, gross margins also improved sequentially, so Tilray importantly gained share without sacrificing margins.Overall, then, Tilray's first quarter numbers actually underscore that this company is making material progress in the potentially enormous cannabis space. From that perspective, these numbers could help Tilray bottom here. Tilray Stock Could Bottom Here, but Will It?I've shied away from Tilray stock over the past several months for one reason: valuation. Quite simply, after this stock popped all the way to $300 on hype alone, it needed to do a lot of compressing before it became even somewhat reasonably valued. On top of that, Tilray reported number in late 2018 which implied that it was growing more slowly than peers, only adding to the stock's valuation concerns.But, as stated earlier, Tilray is now growing more quickly than many of its peers. Further, the valuation is now more reasonable, as each kilogram of cannabis produced at Tilray last quarter is being valued at roughly $1.5 million, which is in-line with the valuation for Canopy (NYSE:CGC).As such, there's reason to believe that TLRY stock could bottom here. The numbers are reversing course, and the stock is finally trading at arguably reasonable valuation levels.But, while there's reason to a believe a bottom is in, I'm not convinced. CGC and TLRY now feature similar valuations. But, Canopy has a $4 billion investment on its balance sheet from Constellation Brands (NYSE:STZ). Tilray has no such investment. They have a few partnerships, but no big money investment.Thus, one should ask: does TLRY deserve a CGC-like valuation? I don't think so. But, let's see what the market says. Bottom Line on Tilray StockIt has been a long fall from $300 for TLRY stock. Certain indicators suggest that this fall could be over. But, I'm not convinced. As such, I think this is a wait-and-see situation with Tilray.As of this writing, Luke Lango was long CGC and ACB. More From InvestorPlace * 4 Top American Penny Pot Stocks (Buy Before June 21) * 7 High-Yield REITs to Buy (Even When the Market Tanks) * 5 Great Blue-Chip Stocks to Buy Today * 7 Tech Stocks to Buy That Are Also Perfect for Retirement Compare Brokers The post Even at These Prices, Tilray Stock Still Has Too Much Success Priced In appeared first on InvestorPlace.
Constellation Brands (STZ) closed at $203.05 in the latest trading session, marking a -0.85% move from the prior day.
[Editor's note: This story was previously published in April 2019. It has since been updated and republished.]Marijuana stocks are all the rage these days as legalized cannabis has hit the scene. Analysts now project that the market for both medical and recreational cannabis use will reach a staggering $200 billion in global sales in just five years. As a result, stocks in the sector have surged on the wave of optimism.The problem is, marijuana stocks aren't exactly a slam dunk.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading TipsMany are fraught with some big-time risks, hefty volatility, zero profits, etc. At this point, many marijuana stocks are just speculative bets. They could pay off or they could crash and burn. But one thing many of the top cannabis stocks do have is partners. Specifically, major corporate partners that are as far from speculative plays as you can get.It's here that more conservative investors can cash in on the marijuana stock mania and benefit from everything it has to offer. Sure, these stocks won't rise as much as some of the pure marijuana stocks. But, you know what? They won't fall as much either and they'll still be able to reap potential billions in revenues derived from cannabis. * 7 High-Yield REITs to Buy (Even When the Market Tanks) With that, here are the three top partners of the marijuana stocks and why they are good stocks to buy. Constellation Brands (STZ)Source: Shutterstock Seemingly overnight, Constellation Brands (NYSE:STZ) become one of the biggest marijuana stocks out there. That's thanks to its big partnership with Canopy Growth (NYSE:CGC). For a cool $4 billion, STZ purchased a 38% stake in Canopy last year. The firm now owns warrants that would allow it own a majority stake in 2021.The end game for STZ is pretty simple. Marijuana would be a perfect "fourth leg of a stool" to the company's beer, wine, and spirits operations. Constellation owns over 100 world class beverage brands including Corona beer, Svedka Vodka, and Robert Mondavi wines. These are highly regulated consumer products. The end goal is for STZ to do the same with cannabis. That is, apply its vast branding knowledge and distribution network to get various pot products into the hands of the masses.Constellation has already started working with Canopy on cannabis-infused drinks. At the same time, it's looking to parlay is vast marketing knowledge into other cannabis areas such as edibles and other consumable products. These can and will all be major sources of revenues once the switch is flipped and full legalization happens.In the meantime, STZ is no slouch with regards to what it already generates money on and its recently undergone some moves to shore up its balance sheet and pay for CGC purchase. This allows it to be a safer play than any of the marijuana stocks. Novartis (NVS)Source: Shutterstock One of the main reasons why marijuana stocks have surged so far has been the growing use of medical marijuana and cannabis treatments. Demand in that area has already begun to surge, and it could grow further as doctors look for alternatives to addictive opioids for pain relief.International drug giant Novartis (NYSE:NVS) saw the writing on the wall and decided that it needed to get into the cannabis game. This prompted it to partner with major grower Tilray (NASDAQ:TLRY).That partnership allows for NVS division Sandoz to develop and distribute TLRY's medical marijuana in legal jurisdictions around the world. With the deal, Tilray is able to tap into Novartis' vast distribution network and will allow TLRY to help commercialize its non-smokable/noncombustible medical cannabis products. For NVS, it's able to collect fees and revenues from sales. Moreover, the deal allows it to co-brand some products to help enhance sales further.For both partners, the deal seems like a win-win. NVS gets its hands-on fast-growing medical marijuana, while Tilray can actually sell its products to more consumers. Given how good the deal is, both firms decided to expand more on those partnerships and look into developing new cannabis-related drugs. * 7 High-Yield REITs to Buy (Even When the Market Tanks) The win for investors by choosing NVS over TLRY is that you get the backing of one of the largest drug manufacturers on the planet. Altria (MO)Source: Peyri Herrera via Flickr (Modified)Big Tobacco has been eyeballing legalized cannabis sales for what seems like decades, so it's no surprise that cigarette-king Altria (NYSE:MO) would be looking at the marijuana stocks for a partnership. That came from a $1.8 billion investment in pot grower Cronos Group (NASDAQ:CRON). MO now has a 45% stake in the firm.Traditional cigarette sales continue to fall and MO has been looking for ways to expand its portfolio and reduce potential revenue loss. This helps explain its major purchase of vaping specialist Juul Labs. Its CRON buy helps expand on that vaping tech.Speculation has already begun that Altria could fill Juul Pods with CBD once pot is legal everywhere or add it to its other vaping/e-cigarette brands. Meanwhile, MO's huge production facilities could instantly be flipped towards smokable marijuana products. The deal also allows for CRON to co-develop new products that could be sold on Altria's large network. Together, it gives Altria an instant foothold in a growing business.And that's important for the firm. Potentially, it gives Big Tobacco a way to really reduce its multi-year declines. Last quarter again, Altria managed to miss analysts' consensus sales estimates.Meanwhile, investors buying MO over other marijuana stocks getsplenty of stability, profits and a hefty 5.93% dividend yield.Disclosure: At the time of writing, Aaron Levitt did not hold a position in any of the marijuana stocks mentioned. More From InvestorPlace * 4 Top American Penny Pot Stocks (Buy Before June 21) * 7 High-Yield REITs to Buy (Even When the Market Tanks) * 5 Great Blue-Chip Stocks to Buy Today * 7 Tech Stocks to Buy That Are Also Perfect for Retirement Compare Brokers The post 3 Ways to Buy Into the Marijuana Boom Without the Risk appeared first on InvestorPlace.
Nelson’s Green Brier Distillery has a deep-pocketed new majority owner. Constellation Brands Inc. (NYSE: STZ) took a majority stake in the Nashville-based distillery earlier this month, according to a news release.
Canopy Growth (NYSE:CGC) moved higher after announcing a deal with its investment arm, Canopy Rivers (OTCMKTS:CNPOF). This offers some relief to CGC stock, which had returned to levels not seen since before they announced their buyout intentions on Acreage Holdings (OTCMKTS:ACRGF).Source: Shutterstock Unfortunately, Canopy Growth stock seems to need more. CGC has again sold off after briefly crossing the $50 per share mark in late April. While the deals with Canopy Rivers and Acreage boost the long-term prospects of Canopy Growth Corporation, they also show the difficulty of breaking CGC stock out of its current trading range. Canopy Growth Continues to Improve Market PositioningCanopy Rivers announced that the portfolio company it owns, PharmHouse Inc., will commit more of its production to Canopy Growth. CGC will now buy an additional 20% of PharmHouse's output for the next three years. PharmHouse had previously committed 10% of its flowering space to Canopy Growth.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading TipsStill, despite what the PharmHouse deal means to Canopy Growth, much of the focus has settled on mergers and acquisitions (M&A). The latest M&A deal for Canopy involves a buyout of New York-based Acreage Holdings. However, in reality, one could better describe this "agreement" as an option. The deal will not close until recreational weed becomes legal across the U.S. * 7 Stocks to Buy that Lost 10% Last Week I agree with my InvestorPlace colleague Tom Taulli that the alliance with Constellation Brands (NYSE:STZ) alliance holds Canopy Growth in good stead. I also believe the company has positioned itself for a leadership position in the U.S. in both hemp and cannabidiol (CBD). This benefits the firm without regard to what happens with the Acreage deal. I also see Canopy Growth remaining the market leader in North America when U.S.-based companies can operate with full legal status. Investors Should Separate Canopy Growth, CGC stockStill, what helps Canopy Growth may or may not boost Canopy Growth stock. The current hype regarding marijuana stocks renders the price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of around 135X meaningless. However, it also leaves investors without a valuation-based metric with which to evaluate CGC stock.Hence, this leaves investors with the charts as a guide. For all of the hype, Canopy Growth stock has twice pulled back after spiking above $55 per share in intraday trading. In recent weeks, even the Acreage deal could not keep CGC stock above $50 per share. Moreover, since Jan. 15, it has rarely moved below $40 per share or above $50 per share. CGC Stock Has Become Range-BoundDespite its elevated multiple, I do not think it will break through the lower end of the range unless a recession occurs, or the U.S. suddenly makes cannabis legal.For now, traders have focused on when and how CGC stock will break through on the high end of the range. The elevated P/S ratio will struggle to go even higher without further stimulus. However, seeing the rally fizzle after the stock moved past $50 per share could make one wonder whether stimulus truly helps. Moreover, seeing marijuana stocks (including CGC) tank after weed became officially legal in Canada remains fresh on investor's minds. It also shows the strange and powerful phenomenon of illegality driving cannabis equities.Like most, I believe CGC stock will trade at higher levels years from now. However, until we see the stock stay above $55 per share, I do not think that the higher stock price will come in the near term. Final Thoughts on CGC StockCGC stock trades near the high end of its range, and I expect CGC will stay in the range. The PharmHouse deal serves as yet another confirmation that the growth story remains intact for Canopy Growth. However, it will likely not have a material effect on Canopy Growth stock. * 10 Stocks to Sell Before They Tank Your Portfolio Moreover, before the company announced this deal, CGC had fallen back to levels it saw before they announced the Acreage Holdings deal. Simply put, CGC stock has become range-bound.The prospects of the cannabis industry should keep Canopy Growth stock at an elevated multiple in the near term. However, even a major coup such as the Acreage deal has failed to put CGC stock back on a growth trajectory.The Acreage and the PharmHouse deals show that Canopy Growth has both the strategic vision and the product needed to lead the marijuana industry. Unfortunately, translating this insight into near-term growth for Canopy Growth stock will prove more elusive.As of this writing, Will Healy did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned stocks. You can follow Will on Twitter at @HealyWriting. More From InvestorPlace * 4 Top American Penny Pot Stocks (Buy Before June 21) * 7 Stocks to Buy that Lost 10% Last Week * Top 7 Dow Jones Stocks of 2019 -- So Far * 5 Service Stocks That Can Win the Trade War -- According to Goldman Sachs Compare Brokers The post Why Canopy Growth's Deals May Not Translate Into Gains for CGC Stock appeared first on InvestorPlace.
There may very well be at least three reasons to not sell Canopy Growth (NYSE:CGC) stock. But the price chart is warning investors that they shouldn't buy CGC stock now. Let me explain.I enjoy reading InvestorPlace contributor Luke Lango's take on the markets. His analysis personally turned me on to both Shopify (NYSE:SHOP) and Twilio (NYSE:TWLO) long ago when many other traders and financial pundits were warning of their downside risks well before their subsequent, massive, triple-digit-percentage gains. KAAACCHHINGG! * 6 Chinese Stocks That Could Pop On a Trade Deal But getting back to Canopy Growth stock, this week Luke wrote that investors shouldn't sell Canopy Growth. The first reason he cited was trade-war headwinds being overblown and not really an issue for CGC. I totally agree with that. Still, that doesn't make Canopy Growth stock worth buying.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading TipsLuke also wrote that the slowdown in Canada's cannabis market isn't actually terribly alarming and discussed the tailwind of the still-untapped U.S. market. Those points are good reasons to not sell CGC stock, but they fail to make Canopy Growth stock worth buying at the moment.Now don't get me wrong. My caution on Canopy Growth stock doesn't mean that I'm advocating shorting CGC. I'm nowhere near ready to put Canopy Growth stock in the same boat as Tilray (NASDAQ:TLRY) whose fortunes have gone up in smoke over the past several months. However, considering the volatility of the cannabis market and the CGC stock chart, the shares aren't close to worth buying if history is any indicator. CGC Stock's Daily ChartThe volatile and some might say temperamental behavior of CGC stock has foiled bulls' attempts to exploit its positive trend using breakout strategies. That is illustrated by higher and above-average volume buy signals sent by triangle patterns, a classic short-handle consolidation and a very recent failed breakout as relative highs were cleared.But Canopy Growth stock has also been somewhat of an equal opportunity trap for bears too.The chart of CGC stock depicts a couple of breakdowns of CGC that were reversed. There was last summer's out-of-left-field explosive gain on partnership news with beverage giant Constellation Brands (NYSE:STZ). And earlier this spring a bear flag similarly failed after breaking down courtesy of a rally a short while later.Of course, some bulls might be quick to point out that, during both bearish patterns, CGC did not fall below the support provided by its 200-day simple moving average. That incidentally made CGC stock ripe for buying. That's true, but there's always a technical line on the price chart somewhere that drive buy decisions which work out favorably. The Bottom Line on CGCIn our view, CGC stock's squiggly price line is a tricky one to trade. And given the shares' history of volatile failures in the wake of breakdowns and breakouts, today's pullback pattern isn't a reason to sell Canopy Growth, but it does not make CGC worth buying just yet.Disclosure: Investment accounts under Christopher Tyler's management do not currently own positions in any securities mentioned in this article. The information offered is based upon Christopher Tyler's observations and strictly intended for educational purposes only; the use of which is the responsibility of the individual. For additional options-based strategies and related musings, follow Chris on Twitter @Options_CAT and StockTwits. More From InvestorPlace * 4 Top American Penny Pot Stocks (Buy Before June 21) * 7 Stocks to Buy that Lost 10% Last Week * Top 7 Dow Jones Stocks of 2019 -- So Far * 5 Service Stocks That Can Win the Trade War -- According to Goldman Sachs Compare Brokers The post Why Canopy Growth Stock Isnat Worth Buying Yet appeared first on InvestorPlace.
Freshford Capital Management was launched back in 2008 by Michael G. Doheny. The firm has its headquarters in Rye Brook, New York and primarily focuses in long/short investments in the public equity markets in the United States. Michael Gerard Doheny is the principal owner and President at Freshford Capital Management. He holds a B.S. in […]
Forget the marijuana stocks, as their partners are more of a sure thing, asserts Mark Leibovit, growth stock expert and editor of The VR Cannabis Letter.
After years of hype, pot stocks finally went parabolic in mid-2018 after big money started to enter the space. Some called the parabolic move higher in pot stocks a bubble. Others called it an opportunity. The latter group was right. Turns out, pot stocks aren't Bitcoin 2.0. Instead, pot stocks have great long term growth fundamentals, rooted mostly in the fact that current trends imply that recreational cannabis will one day be as big as (if not bigger than) the $500 billion-plus global alcoholic beverage and tobacco markets.Source: Shutterstock At the head of the group is Canopy Growth (NYSE:CGC). Canopy is the unparalleled leader in the fully legal Canadian cannabis market. They also have one of the largest production footprints in the cannabis industry, a $4 billion investment from Constellation Brands (NYSE:STZ) on the balance sheet, and a deal in place to acquire big U.S. cannabis company Acreage once cannabis becomes fully legal in the U.S.In other words, Canopy Growth is the runaway leader in the global cannabis market, and projects to be the leader of this potential $500 billion-plus industry in the future. That's why CGC stock is up 60% year-to-date, and 90% over the past year.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading Tips * 10 Retirement Stocks That Won't Wilt in a Bear Market But CGC stock has run into some turbulence recently. Over the past three weeks, CGC stock has dropped nearly 20% off its late April all time highs.Investors shouldn't be concerned about this weakness. Instead, they should embrace it. This weakness is nothing more than an opportunity to accumulate a long-term winning stock at a winning price. Why? There's three big reasons why investors shouldn't sell Canopy Growth stock here. Those reasons are as follows. Trade-Related Headwinds Could Reverse CourseThe first big reason not to sell CGC stock here is that the headwinds which have sparked the sell-off aren't all that relevant -- and they could reverse course pretty soon.CGC stock didn't fall in isolation. It dropped alongside a market meltdown which was sparked by escalating trade war tensions and a fresh round of tariffs. But none of this is all that relevant to Canopy Growth, which is a Canada-based cannabis company that gets most of its revenue from Canada and doesn't have much U.S-China trade risk or exposure. Thus, macro headwinds are creating unnecessary weakness in Canopy stock.Further, these headwinds could reverse course soon. U.S. President Donald Trump has married himself to the stock market, and this fresh round of tariffs has a grace period for in-transit goods. That combination ultimately implies that the U.S. wants to get a deal done soon. China does, too, since the entire 2019 rebound in their economy has been predicated on improving trade conditions. As such, it's fairly likely these two nations reach a trade agreement fairly soon, in which case current macro headwinds will soon turn into macro tailwinds, and the current sell-off in CGC stock will turn into a rally. The Canadian Market Will Be Just FineThe second reason not to sell CGC stock is that concerns related to a Canadian cannabis market slowdown are overstated.There have been some concerns that the Canadian cannabis market is slowing. Those concerns stem from Canadian cannabis company Cronos (NASDAQ:CRON) reporting weaker-than-expected first-quarter numbers, as well as new survey from Dalhousie University which implies that enthusiasm for legal edibles isn't all that high. There are also some new licensing rules at play in the Canada market which could exacerbate the ongoing supply shortage problem, which has led to unimpressive cannabis sales ramp in early 2019.But, these are all near-term concerns. In the big picture, young consumers globally like to smoke weed more than they like to drink alcohol, and that will ultimately manifest itself into big demand globally. Sure, demand may be fickle today, but that's probably because the industry is so new, consumers don't know how to buy cannabis legally at scale, and there are supply shortages everywhere. All these things will get fixed over time. As they do, near-term headaches will turn into long-term gains, and that will ultimately power CGC stock way higher. The Big U.S. Market Tailwind Has Yet to ArriveThe third reason not to sell CGC stock is that the stock's biggest catalyst hasn't even arrived yet.In the cannabis world, the Canadian cannabis market is small peanuts. Most analysts peg it as somewhere around a $10 billion potential market. The golden goose here is the U.S. cannabis market, which is pegged at a $100 billion potential market, or roughly tenfold that of the Canadian market. Thus, all these near-term concerns surrounding supply shortages in the nascent Canadian cannabis market are really small in the big picture.In that big picture, it's all about the U.S. market, which Canopy is set to dominate thanks to its deal to acquire Acreage upon legalization of cannabis in the U.S. That huge catalyst hasn't even arrived yet. Selling a stock before its big catalyst has even arrived is short-sighted. * 7 Forever Stocks to Buy for Long-Term Gains Bottom Line on CGC StockCGC stock has been a big winner over the past year and in 2019 for a reason: this is a global cannabis company that is in the first inning of a huge, long-term growth narrative that could one day produce a $100 billion company.Canopy stock has dropped over the past few weeks. But nothing about that long term growth narrative has changed. Consequently, investors should embrace recent weakness as an opportunity add on the dip.As of this writing, Luke Lango was long CGC. More From InvestorPlace * 4 Top American Penny Pot Stocks (Buy Before June 21) * 10 Retirement Stocks That Won't Wilt in a Bear Market * 5 Consumer Stocks Ready to Push Higher * 3 of the Best ETFs to Buy for a Play on Gold Stocks Compare Brokers The post 3 Reasons Not to Sell Canopy Growth Stock appeared first on InvestorPlace.
The Canadian cannabis producer appears to be set to make its mark in the potentially lucrative U.S. hemp market.
Modelo, the beer brewed for those with The Fighting Spirit™, is expanding its cause marketing campaign – The Modelo Fighting Chance Project – with a new partner: Chicago-based nonprofit Leave No Veteran Behind. Modelo’s funding will provide educational scholarships and support Leave No Veteran Behind’s transitional jobs program, offering veterans a fresh financial start so they can continue to serve their communities.
Canadian cannabis giant Aurora (NYSE:ACB) is set to report third-quarter earnings after the bell on Tuesday. Investors shouldn't get too excited about the report. Long story short, pot sales appear to have stagnated in Canada in the early part of 2019, mostly due to demand confusion and supply shortages, and affecting marijuana stocks. Thus, Aurora's numbers likely won't be all that great, and ACB stock could drop in response.Source: Shutterstock But the third-quarter earnings report and subsequent stock price reaction are just noise for Aurora. Zooming out, the long-term growth fundamentals supporting ACB stock are healthy, and the valuation underlying the stock is very attractive relative to its marijuana stock peers. Further, it does seem like only a matter of time before Aurora scores a big-time consumer staples investment. Once it does, this stock's relative valuation discount to peers will cease to exist, and Aurora stock will soar.In other words, when it comes to ACB stock, it's all about the big picture, and a quarterly earnings report just a few months into Canadian cannabis market legalization isn't a big deal in that big picture. All Aurora needs to do this quarter is report triple-digit sales and volume growth -- preferably with both above 300% -- and the company will have affirmed that it is the number two player in this market, only narrowly behind Canopy Growth (NYSE:CGC) in terms of sales and volume.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading TipsBut Canopy is a $15 billion company. Aurora is an $8.5 billion company. Thus, if Aurora does affirm that it is right behind Canopy this quarter, then the long term bull thesis supporting ACB stock will remain in-tact. The Quarter Will Be Mixed for ACB StockAurora's third quarter numbers likely won't be that great. But, they won't be awful either. Instead, they will likely be a mixed bag with big but slowing growth rates. * 6 Trade War Stocks With a Lot of Risk Context is important here. It increasingly appears that the Canadian cannabis market got off to a sluggish start in the new year. Aurora's peer, the high-flying Cronos (NASDAQ:CRON), recently reported weaker than expected first quarter sales and volume numbers. Revenues rose just 15% quarter-over-quarter, while volumes rose just 7% sequentially. These relatively muted quarter-over-quarter growth rates corroborate government numbers, which show an unimpressive cannabis sales ramp in early 2019 wherein cannabis sales in early 2019 are essentially flat with sales in late 2018.Against that backdrop, it looks likely that Aurora will similarly report weaker than expected third quarter sales and volume numbers which comprise muted sequential growth. Investors won't like that. This early in the game, growth should be ramping sequentially. If it's not, investors will be disappointed, and selling will ensue.To be sure, the numbers will still look great on a year-over-year basis. I fully expect revenues and volumes to still rise 300%-plus year-over-year, which is very impressive. As such, growth will remain big. Just not big enough.Net net, Aurora's third-quarter numbers will likely be a mixed bag that comprises big but slowing growth. Investors won't be too impressed with the slowing growth part, and ACB stock could fall in response. Aurora Stock Looks Good for the Long TermIn the big picture, mixed third-quarter 2019 numbers from Aurora aren't all that important. Instead, what is important is that Aurora is the second-biggest player in the Canadian cannabis market, with a stock that's trading at a dirt cheap valuation relative to peers. This valuation discount won't last forever. When it closes, ACB stock will fly higher.First, it is important to understand that the cannabis market will be huge. Young consumers like to smoke weed more than they like to drink, and this will ultimately manifest itself into huge demand for cannabis around the world. Eventually, all this demand will filter through the legal channel once consumer confusion clears up and supply shortages are fixed. Broadly, then, the legal recreational cannabis market could one day be as large as the alcoholic beverage and tobacco markets. Those are $500-billion-plus markets.Right now, the testing grounds for this global $500-billion-plus potential market is in Canada, since that's where cannabis is fully legal today. In that testing ground, Aurora is the second-largest player, with a revenue and volume base that dwarfs Cronos and Tilray (NASDAQ:TLRY), and is only slightly behind Canopy. Yet, despite being the second-largest player in Canada, Aurora has a market cap that is only slightly larger than Cronos and Tilray, and well smaller than Canopy. Indeed, the market is valuing each kilogram of cannabis sold by Aurora last quarter at just $1.2 million, versus $1.5 million at Canopy, $2.3 million at Tilray, and $4.6 million at Cronos.Why the relative valuation discrepancy? The company doesn't have a major investment from a consumer staples giant. Canopy has a roughly $4 billion investment from Constellation Brands (NYSE:STZ). Cronos has a roughly $2 billion investment from Altria (NYSE:MO). But this is only a temporary problem. As the second-largest cannabis company in Canada trading at a huge discount to peers and growing just as quickly, Aurora is in a great position to receive big-money interest soon.Once the company does get a big-money offer, then Aurora stock will fly higher. Bottom Line on ACB StockAurora's third-quarter numbers likely won't be great, and ACB stock could fall in response.But, zooming out, the big-picture fundamentals supporting Aurora remain intact. Namely, the cannabis market still projects to be huge one day, Aurora is currently the number two player in that market, and a big money investment will likely arrive sometime later this year. So long as those three things remain true, then the relative valuation discount in ACB shouldn't exist, and buyers here should be rewarded in the long run.As of this writing, Luke Lango was long ACB and CGC. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 6 Trade War Stocks With a Lot of Risk * 7 Bond ETFs to Buy * 10 Stocks That Could Squeeze Short Sellers, Including CGC Compare Brokers The post If Aurora Stock Falls on Earnings, Buy the Dip appeared first on InvestorPlace.
The top beer stocks have a market cap exceeding $2 billion and are trading on leading American stock exchanges. Here are the top beer stocks of 2018.
Constellation Brands (STZ) closed at $201.17 in the latest trading session, marking a -1.01% move from the prior day.
Cronos (NASDAQ:CRON) stock dropped almost 10% on Thursday after the company's fiscal first-quarter results were released. For those who regularly trade CRON stock, the decline was not surprising. Nor was the bounce of CRON stock on Friday. CRON stock remains locked in a downtrend.Is now the time for long-term bulls to buy Cronos stock? Down over 50% from its highs, one would think the stock could rise above its current levels, while others may think it's the start of an even larger correction. On the plus side, the risk/reward scenario of Cronos Group stock could become favorable soon.Before we look at the charts though, remember that Cronos stock is a speculative investment. Personally, I prefer buying names like Canopy Growth (NYSE:CGC) and Aurora Cannabis (NYSE:ACB) on deep pullbacks. That said, some think that CRON stock has potential, so let's take a look.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading Tips * 7 Dividend Stocks to Buy as the Trade War Reignites Trading CRON StockIt's clear that $24-$25 is resistance on the chart, while CRON stock is locked in a violent downtrend. Even a rally up to $16 might just result in additional selling pressure. The 21-day moving average is around the same area as its downtrend resistance, so I would expect CRON stock to fail to hold that level.That said, the technical outlook of Cronos stock looks promising at its current levels. Throughout the third and fourth quarters of 2018, $13 -$14 was resistance for CRON stock. After breaking through this level in January, many investors will expect it to act as support.It helps that the downtrend support of Cronos Group stock is coming into the picture around current levels and that the 200-day moving average sits at $13.28. If CRON falls below the 200-day, the shares could reach $12 and single-digits after that.But let's not get ahead of our skis here. See if CRON stock can stay above its nearby support. A bounce could send it higher by more than 14% to its current resistance. If it breaks below the support level, investors should wait for a more favorable price. The Bottom Line on Cronos Group Stock(Note: the below figures are in Canadian dollars)In Q1, CRON churned out a GAAP profit of 42 cents on revenue that grew 120% year-over-year (YoY). Here's the thing though: it reported just $6.5 million of revenue. That's right; this company, with a $4.5 billion market cap, registered sales of just $6.5 million in Q1.Its top line more than doubled from the same period a year ago, but at what point is its valuation a bit ridiculous? Analysts do expect its rapid growth to continue for the rest of this year. In Q2, they, on average,are calling for $6.76 million of sales, up 160% YoY. In Q3 and Q4, the consensus estimates ramp dramatically to $13 million and $22.9 million, up 360% and 334% YoY, respectively.But based on those estimates, CRON stock is valued at roughly 90 times its 2019 sales. That's a tough pill to swallow.That said, there's demand for this stock and many others like it. Constellation Brands (NYSE:STZ) has taken a massive stake in CGC, while Aurora Cannabis has talked about a collaboration with Coca-Cola (NYSE:KO). Cronos Group stock received a $1.8 billion investment from Altria (NYSE:MO) in exchange for a 45% stake.The point is that many investors -- from retail to conglomerates in the tobacco and alcohol industry -- view the cannabis industry as a rising, long-term play. Getting in now is costly, but those who are patient are essentially guaranteed a seat at the table. The question is how valuable that seat will be worth and how long it will take to realize its potential. It's clear there is a non-cyclical trend toward cannabis and cannabis-related products and for that reason, a speculative position may make sense for some investors. But don't forget, it is speculative.Bret Kenwell is the manager and author of Future Blue Chips and is on Twitter @BretKenwell. As of this writing, Bret Kenwell did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities. More From InvestorPlace * 2 Toxic Pot Stocks You Should Avoid * 7 Dividend Stocks to Buy as the Trade War Reignites * 10 Stocks That Could Squeeze Short Sellers, Including CGC * 5 Tech Stocks Getting Crushed Compare Brokers The post Charts Indicate That the Risk/Reward Ratio of Cronos Stock Is Reasonable appeared first on InvestorPlace.
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The Dow jumps 200 points. So what happens next? A look at what the traders bought today, with CNBC's Melissa Lee and the Fast Money traders, Pete Najarian, Brian Kelly, Mark Tepper and Tim Seymour.