121.65 +0.27 (0.22%)
After hours: 7:15PM EDT
|Bid||121.57 x 1000|
|Ask||121.76 x 900|
|Day's Range||121.07 - 121.52|
|52 Week Range||116.09 - 129.57|
|PE Ratio (TTM)||N/A|
|Expense Ratio (net)||0.15%|
In an interview with Reuters on August 20, President Trump mentioned that he was “not thrilled” with the Federal Reserve for raising rates. In a similar move, President Trump criticized the Fed in July in an interview with CNBC. Usually, presidents don’t interfere or comment on the Fed’s decisions.
The current crisis started when Turkish lira plunged and started to pressure other emerging market (EEM) currencies. While the outright sell-off in emerging market currencies has stopped, investors are still worried about the contagion spreading to these countries. The US (SPY)(IVV) interest rates are already moving higher with the Federal Reserve on the path of even more hikes in the quarters ahead.
Gold prices (GLD) haven’t been able to catch a break even as geopolitical concerns become more pronounced. On August 15, gold prices fell to a 19-month low of $1,173 per ounce as the US dollar continued its winning streak. Despite the trade war concerns, the political and economic tensions in the EU (European Union) (HEDJ), and Turkey’s (TUR) latest currency and economic crisis, gold has behaved like any other risk asset and not gained any bids.
While fund managers are bullish on US equities (SPY), there’s still no lack of concern in the market. In the BAML (Bank of America Merrill Lynch) August 2018 survey, for the fourth month in the last six, trade war concerns were cited as the top concern among global fund managers. A total of 57% of the fund managers surveyed cited trade war risk as what they considered to be the top tail risk.
Last week, President Donald Trump approved doubling of metal tariffs that led to the fall of lira by 20% on Aug 10. The United States plans to double import tariffs on Turkish steel to 50% and raise the rate on aluminum to 20%, Trump said on Twitter on Friday.The depreciation started after the Turkish delegation returned from Washington with no progress on the detention of Andrew Brunson, an American pastor detained in Turkey in 2016.The U.S. government debt prices spiked on Aug 10 as traders were in search of a safe haven. In response to U.S. ...
As it is global stocks are feeling the pinch of escalating trade tensions between the United States and China, and now the collapse in Turkish lira has amplified the concerns. This is especially true as Turkish lira is in a free-fall territory, nosediving as much as 11% against the dollar in early trading today after plummeting more than 20% on Friday.Source: Shutterstock
As we’ve discussed previously in this series, the SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD) has fallen ~8.0% year-to-date and ~11.0% from its April peak. Historically, gold prices have declined in the summer months, only to climb in August onward due to the seasonal pattern of demand for gold. Physical gold demand from Asian countries such as India supports its price after that.
The budget balance is the difference between what a country’s government garners from taxes and other sources and what it spends. The US (SPY)(IVT) budget deficit is creeping up. The administration expects annual budget deficits to rise ~$100.0 billion more than what was previously forecast for each of the next three years.
U.S. Treasury bond ETFs were breaking above their long-term trends as investors sought safe havens plays in response to the economic uncertainty in Turkey and the potential fallout that could affect other ...
The US (IVV)(QQQ) employment data for July was released on August 3. The job additions in July reached only 157,000, lower than the expectations of 190,000 job additions. Business and professional services gained 51,000 jobs, and the manufacturing (XLI)(CARZ) sector added a healthy 37,000 jobs.
Gold prices (IAU) have been on an almost one-way downward trajectory since mid-April. Although the Federal Reserve didn’t raise rates during its August meeting as was widely expected, it sounded more bullish on the US economy (SPY)(DIA). The Fed was also upbeat on household spending and business fixed investment in the US.
Trade war fears have once again flared up with China threatening to impose tariff on $60 billion worth of American goods if the United States places more tariffs on Chinese imports. The list includes new 5,207 products including aircraft, soya bean oil, smoked beef, coffee and flour imported from the United States, with charges ranging from 5-25%.Source: ©iStock.com/MarcoCoda
An escalation in trade clash between the United States and China led to risk off trade, leading to higher demand for safe haven avenues or lower risk securities.
This Week in The Economy Tuesday August 7: Foreign exchange reserves in Japan. Not too much attention generally paid to this one, but Japan is the second biggest foreign holder of US treasuries. Let’s see if the recent increase in supply has had the Japanese sell some on net. Wednesday August 8: Chinese inflation, last […] The post Market Morning: Economic Menu, Fed’s Bullard Says Remove All Tariffs, Iran Sanctions Tuesday appeared first on Market Exclusive.
What Will Financial Markets Look for in July's Jobs Report? The numbers give them clues about if the US economy (SPY) (IVV) is strong enough to withstand interest rates hikes. The Fed has already raised interest rates twice this year.
After closing higher last week, the US Dollar Index started this week on a weaker note by declining on Monday. Maintaining the weakness, the US Dollar Index opened Tuesday on a mixed note and was consolidating near opening prices in the early hours.
Futures Steady With Inflation Data on Tap, Fed Decision Tomorrow Stock futures are floating slightly higher this morning as the Personal Consumption Expenditures index data are due at 8:30am Eastern. Market expectations for the Core PCE, excluding food and energy prices, are for a 2% year over year rise. Anything significantly above that and we […] The post Market Morning: PCE Inflation, California Burning, Lab Grown Mouse Meat & Apple Earnings appeared first on Market Exclusive.
Last week, the US Dollar Index regained strength and closed higher. However, the US Dollar Index opened slightly lower this week and was trading with mixed sentiment in the early hours.
Howard Marks said at the 2018 Delivering Alpha Conference on July 23 that the Fed’s hawkish stance is the single biggest risk for the equity market (SPY). After maintaining ultra-low interest rates (TLT)(SHY) for a decade, the Fed has been continuing its gradual rate hike process since December 2015. It already hiked its key interest rate for the seventh time between December 2015 and June 2018, each time by 25 basis points.
The US Dollar Index closed higher on Thursday and broke the two-day gaining streak. Carrying forward the strength, the US Dollar Index opened higher on Friday and rose to one-week high price levels.
The US Dollar Index started this week on a stronger note by moving higher on Monday. However, the US Dollar Index lost strength and declined in the next two trading days. On July 26, the US Dollar Index opened slightly higher and was trading with mixed sentiment in the early hours.
After trading with mixed sentiment last week, the US Dollar Index started this week on a stronger note. On Wednesday, the US Dollar Index opened the day on a mixed note and was trading with weakness in the morning session. On Tuesday, the US Dollar Index lost strength as the pound moved higher.