|Bid||0.00 x 40000|
|Ask||0.00 x 40000|
|Day's Range||25.85 - 25.99|
|52 Week Range||23.09 - 26.04|
|PE Ratio (TTM)||N/A|
|Beta (3Y Monthly)||7.12|
|Expense Ratio (net)||0.76%|
In the previous article, we discussed how Oracle’s (ORCL) revenue growth slowed in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2018 and improved just ~0.5% in the first quarter of fiscal 2019. According to the outlook provided by Oracle, it expects its revenue to grow between 0% and 2% in constant currency terms in the quarter, but the strengthening US dollar could hurt its revenue growth expectations. In August, the Turkish lira went through a bad phase that spread to other emerging markets.
On December 3, global markets rose due to the US-China trade war truce. Although the truce is temporary, it eased concerns about the coming global slowdown. President Trump and President Jinping met on the sidelines of the G20 summit in Argentina. While market participants weren’t hopeful about a deal, the 90-day truce on raising tariffs on Chinese products to 25% from 10% came as a welcome surprise to the markets.
Apple (AAPL) posted better-than-expected earnings and revenue in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2018, which ended on September 29, but it issued disappointing revenue guidance. Apple posted EPS of $2.91 in the quarter, beating the estimate of $2.78. Its revenue of $62.9 billion also exceeded the estimate of $61.57 billion in the quarter.
While gold prices (GLD) jumped 0.8%, copper prices rose 1.3%. Gold prices benefit from a weaker dollar, and the Fed chair’s comments pressured the US dollar (UUP) yesterday. Part 2 - What Made Powell Change His Mind?
U.S. natural gas had a wild ride over the past week as investors were caught off guard by updated weather forecasts as well as reduced stocks. Oil moved in the opposite direction for the better part of the month as glut worries took prices back to October 2017 levels. On the currencies front, the U.S. dollar continues its march against the troubled euro and British pound. Last week has been mostly about the energy sector so leading companies in the field have trended accordingly. Investment grade corporate bonds closed the list as investors reevaluate the risk of placing funds in such assets. Check out our previous Trends edition at Trending: Investors Steer Towards Dividend Yields Amid Market Turmoil.
Investment bank UBS has cut Apple’s (AAPL) 12-month target price to $225 from $240 driven by supply chain concerns, difficult market conditions, and an appreciating US dollar (UUP). UBS analyst Timothy Arcuri has reduced the estimate for new iPhone unit shipments by 6 million–7 million units for the next quarter. Arcuri initially expected new iPhone shipments to be ~63 million units in the first quarter of fiscal 2019.
During the third quarter, gold’s price (GLD) fell ~5%, dipping below the psychologically important level of $1,200 per ounce it touched in August.
Could Gold Be the Best Bet amid Increased Economic Uncertainty? According to the World Gold Council (or WGC), central banks’ gold (SGOL) buying has hit the highest level in almost three years for the quarter ended September 2018. Central banks have been net buyers of gold since the beginning of the financial crisis of 2008.
Could Gold Be the Best Bet amid Increased Economic Uncertainty? Bank of America (or BofA) analysts contend that gold prices (GLD) should surge over the next year. The firm stated that higher real US interest rates, a strong US dollar (UUP), and equity market volatility have kept a lid on gold prices year-to-date.
Could Gold Be the Best Bet amid Increased Economic Uncertainty? The Fed’s interest rate hikes and outlook, trade war concerns, and the better US market (SPY) (QQQ) performance have been the key factors behind the dollar’s strength. The Federal Reserve has already raised the rates three times this year and is expected to raise them for the fourth time in December.
Gold prices (GLD) saw their first monthly gain in the last seven months in October when prices rose by 2.1%. Gold prices are down by 7.4% YTD, and they are down 10.6% from their April peak. While gold prices seemed to have lost their safe-haven status as they kept on falling even amid all the geopolitical, trade, and emerging market tensions, October has reinstated that appeal to some extent.
BAML (Bank of America Merrill Lynch) conducted a survey that polled 225 global investors with $641 billion in total assets under management between November 2 and November 8.
Yesterday, the Federal Reserve released the minutes from its September 25–26 meeting. Read When Will Fed Tightening Start to Hurt the US Economy? for a summary of the Fed’s actions at the meeting and the market’s reaction to them. The meeting minutes were slightly more hawkish than expected, and they signaled that most Fed officials believe that interest rates must continue to rise.
BAML (Bank of America Merrill Lynch) conducted a survey that polled 231 global investors with $646 billion in total assets under management from October 5–11. The sell-off and concerns of peaking growth in the US might have tempted investors to shift into emerging markets (EEM). The emerging market currencies were in a free fall with many countries like Argentina, Turkey, India, Indonesia, and Brazil bearing the brunt.
Gold, Miners Have Surged on the Market Rout—What’s the Upside? The Commodity Futures Trading Commission reports the positions of major players in the futures market in its COT (Commitment of Traders) report. It’s released every Friday and shows the open interest recorded on the previous Tuesday.
Gold prices have failed to draw a bid in 2018 despite many market uncertainties, including trade war tensions, the emerging market (EEM) currency crisis, and other geopolitical concerns. Year-to-date, gold prices have fallen 6.4%, and they’re currently down 9.6% from their April peak. The SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD), a proxy for physical gold’s price, rose 2.6% yesterday, bringing gold’s gains in the last three days to ~3.0%.