|Bid||62.59 x 1800|
|Ask||62.60 x 800|
|Day's Range||62.39 - 63.41|
|52 Week Range||61.62 - 79.42|
|PE Ratio (TTM)||N/A|
|Beta (3Y Monthly)||1.07|
|Expense Ratio (net)||0.13%|
On December 14, China reported the November industrial output growth at 5.4% on a year-over-year basis—the lowest growth since early 2016. The industrial output growth was below the expectation. China’s retail sales growth rate was also at a multiyear low. China was the second-largest oil consumer in the world. Any slowdown in China’s economy would be a negative development for crude oil prices. At 7:43 AM EST, US crude oil prices have lost $0.34 from the last closing level.
In the week ending on November 30, the inventories spread was -19.5%. The inventories spread is the difference between natural gas inventories and their five-year average. During this period, the inventories spread expanded by 40 basis points compared to the previous week.
The natural gas rig count was at 198 last week—nine more than the previous week. The natural gas rig count has fallen ~87.7% from its record level of 1,606 in 2008. Since September, natural gas prices have risen nearly 38%, which might be luring natural gas producers to increase their production.
Bank of America Merrill Lynch (BAC) expects Brent crude oil to average ~$70 per barrel in 2019, according to a CNBC report. The OPEC and non-OPEC agreement to cut 1.2 MMbpd (million barrels per day) of oil from the October production level in 2019 would be the key driver for US crude oil prices going forward.
The Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE) , the largest equity-based energy exchange traded fund, entered Monday with a fourth-quarter loss of about 12%, but some market observers believe the energy sector is poised to rebound. Last week, oil exchanged-traded funds (ETFs) gained after lengthy Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) discussions finally came to a conclusion, resulting in a larger-than-expected production cut that sent oil prices higher on Friday. OPEC and associated partners agreed to cut 1.2 million barrels per day with OPEC being responsible for 800,000 barrels.
Recently, Energy Transfer (ET) stock continued to trade weak. So far, the stock has lost almost 20% in 2018. The energy sector (XLE) has fallen ~16% YTD (year-to-date), which mirrors crude oil prices. Broader markets have been marginally down during the same period. Energy Transfer’s chart indicators continue to paint a grim picture. The company is trading at $13.85, which is ~12% and 16% below its 50-day and 200-day moving average levels. The large discount to both of these levels highlights weakness in the stock. The moving average levels close to $15.6 and $16. ...
On December 10, US crude oil January futures fell 3.1% and settled at $51 per barrel. The Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE) fell 1.6% on the same day.
Between November 30 and December 7, the SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (XOP) fell 3.9%—the second-largest fall among major energy ETFs. A rise of 3.3% in US crude oil prices last week wasn’t sufficient to push the upstream energy space into positive territory.
On November 30–December 7, US equity indexes ended in the red. Last week, the S&P Mid-Cap 400 (IVOO), the S&P 500 (SPY), and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA) fell 5.2%, 4.6%, and 4.5%, respectively. Energy stocks form ~5.1%, 5.9%, and 5.2%, respectively, of these equity indexes.
The EIA’s (U.S. Energy Information Administration) latest oil and natural gas inventory data are scheduled to be released on December 12–13, respectively. The data could be an important short-term driver for oil and natural gas prices. OPEC and the IEA’s Monthly Oil Market Report will likely be the key catalyst for oil prices.
Energy stocks and sector-related exchange traded funds were among the lone areas of strength in U.S. markets Friday after the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, along with oil-producing allies ...
On November 29–December 6, major energy ETFs had the following correlations with US crude oil January futures: the SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (XOP): 77.6% the VanEck Vectors Oil Services ETF (OIH): 77.2% the Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE): 64% the Alerian MLP ETF (AMLP): 63.9%
The S&P 500 was little changed, down 0.02%, or less than 1 point, as of market close. The materials and financials sectors led declines, while the utilities sector outperformed. The Dow rose 0.28%, or 70.11 points, while the Nasdaq fell 0.39%, or 27.98 points.