26.97 -0.01 (-0.04%)
After hours: 4:05PM EDT
|Bid||27.03 x 900|
|Ask||27.04 x 1800|
|Day's Range||26.96 - 27.21|
|52 Week Range||22.05 - 29.07|
|PE Ratio (TTM)||N/A|
|Beta (3Y Monthly)||1.11|
|Expense Ratio (net)||0.13%|
Online brokerage stocks fell toward the lowest levels of the year Tuesday, after Raymond James analyst Patrick O'Shaughnessy cut his price targets given the recent sharp drop in Treasury yields. Shares of E-Trade Financial Corp. lost 1.3%, putting them on track for the lowest close since Jan. 2; TD Ameritrade Holding Corp. fell 0.3% toward the lowest close since Dec. 24; and Charles Schwab Corp. edged up 0.1%, but had fallen as much as 2.1% earlier to the lowest intraday price seen since Dec. 26. O'Shaughnessy cut his price target for E-Trade's stock to $57 from $60, for TD Ameritrade to $60 from $62 and for Schwab to $46 from $51. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note fell 3.6 basis points to 1.985%, which would be the first close below the 2.00% mark since Nov. 8, 2016. O'Shaughnessy said a lower interest rate environment weighs on net interest income. In addition, he said the continued decline in the yield curve, with the 10-year Treasury yield now below overnight rates, is likely weighing on securities re-investment yield for online brokers. Meanwhile, the SPDR Financial Select Sector ETF slipped 0.2%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 31 points, or 0.1%.
There are four things that are favoring energy stocks right now. First, the Fed made it clear it will support the economy if necessary. Second, energy stocks have underperformed the broad stock market and even underperformed oil itself.
The results of the Federal Reserve’s Comprehensive Capital Analysis and Review, or CCAR, are expected to be released on June 27 and that could lead to significant improvements in shareholder rewards at some of the nation's largest banks. “The results of the stress tests, which examine the capital adequacy of each company, are mandated by the Dodd-Frank Act. Since the end of the global financial crisis, during which many stocks were egregious dividend offenders, the financial services sector has been a leader in terms of domestic dividend growth.
It's been the prevailing wisdom that bank stocks can't rally, and so I've avoided betting on their upside. But there is an interesting sliver of the sector: fintech. These are the transactor companies and I personally favor Square (NASDAQ:SQ) and American Express (NYSE:AXP). The former, SQ stock, has been my go-to upside bet for months and it's been an easy trade.Source: Via SquareThis year, SQ stock has been out of favor on Wall Street. Suddenly, it lagged all the other major fintech competitors. Visa (NYSE:V), MasterCard (NYSE:MA) and Paypal (NASDAQ:PYPL) are at or near all-time highs while Square stock has been languishing miles away from its own. * 5 Boring Stocks to Buy This Summer Nevertheless, I remain positive on the company because the bull thesis has not changed. The world is still looking to migrate their transactions online, and SQ is part of the elite group of companies that will make that happen.InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading TipsRecently Facebook (NASDAQ:FB) announced its indirect entry into the arena with their introduction of LIBRA. This further legitimizes all electronic financial transactors. So today's point is I should stay long Square stock regardless of the short-term dips for as long as the economic variables remains the same. Why To Go Long SQ StockThe macroeconomic conditions remain strong. This is in spite of the recent rhetoric that it's deteriorating. In the end, I suspect that it's not as bad as most fear.So, I am comfortable in my assumption that this environment is likely to persist for months if not years. And within it, SQ stock is still a buy right here. Luckily I have already written about buying the May dip. I sold bull put spreads and bought calls.The spreads yielded maximum gains already expiring today in my favor. My calls are already up 64% so I am letting them run. I may sell some covered calls against them to further leverage my asset. Because I sold the put spread means that I am understating my profit because my basis cost is null. It's basically a free trade from here.I am not sharing to brag but rather to offer perspective. Today's bullish SQ stock note stands alone. It still has more upside potential than downside risk this year. Currently, Square stock is in a tough zone which has been pivotal so it will offer resistance. Onus is on the bulls to plow through, and it may take a few tries.My first target for SQ is near $84 per share. But that would only bring it back to within 15% of the all-time high. This means I may be understating my target for the stock -- so the reward is pretty darn big even after the 25% bounce from $60 per share.This is not the same as saying SQ stock cheap because it's definitely not. Visa, MasterCard and PYPL are much cheaper from the traditional sense but SQ still needs time to grow into its valuation. So comparing them purely on value is wrong.Rallies rarely unfold in one straight line so there will be rough areas. I expect resistance around $76 per share. Clearly $84 will also be a challenge but if the bulls can break through it then they could finish the primary 2019 objective of $95 per share. Trading SQ StockNow that we've looked at what's above current price we also need to watch for potential pitfalls below.Depending on risk tolerance I would probably set my first stop at $71 per share. If that's lost then it could invite sellers down to $68 then $64 per share. While this is not my forecast, it is a realistic scenario that exist below especially if the geopolitical headlines cause a market wide panic sell in the next few weeks.If for any reason equities collapse I bet that SQ would find footing around $60 per share. This has been a big pivot level for 15 months. These tend to be sticky because both bulls and bears have battle histories at them. * The 7 Best Dow Jones Stocks to Buy for the Rest of 2019 The bottom line is that Square stock had been in the penalty box for whatever reason but seems to have gotten out. It is now free to resume its prior trajectory because its products and service will be in high demand for years to come. I can even ignore the short-term dip because they are part of normal price action. This is a proven management team so they will execute well on plans.Nicolas Chahine is the managing director of SellSpreads.com. As of this writing, he did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities. Join his live chat room free here. More From InvestorPlace * 4 Top American Penny Pot Stocks (Buy Before June 21) * The 7 Best Dow Jones Stocks to Buy for the Rest of 2019 * 5 Boring Stocks to Buy This Summer * 7 S&P 500 Stocks to Buy With Little Debt and Lots of Profits Compare Brokers The post Square Stock Is Breaking Out and Running to $84 appeared first on InvestorPlace.
Editor's Note: This article is part of InvestorPlace.com's Best ETFs for 2019 contest. Dana Blankenhorn's pick is Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSEARCA:XLF).At the start of 2019, when we relaunched our best exchange-traded funds feature, I thought the market was getting frothy and chose to get defensive with the Financial Sector Spider ETF (NYSEARCA:XLF).InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading TipsSo far, that's up 15%. Pretty fly for an old guy. But folks who were more aggressive have done better. The editor of this section, Robert Waldo, has more than doubled me up with his choice, the Pacer Benchmark Data & Infrastructure Real Estate ETF (NYSEARCA:SRVR). SRVR has big holdings in technology landlords like American Tower (NYSE:AMT), which owns most of those big cell towers you love, and Equinix (NASDAQ:EQIX), a data center REIT that connects the clouds.Can the big banks come back? Look for ConsolidationHope for a comeback lies in consolidation. The merger of BB&T (NYSE:BBT) and SunTrust (NYSE:STI) to create something called Truist is making investors money. It's a big win for Charlotte, which will be the new bank's headquarters, and a loss for my hometown of Atlanta, where SunTrust is based.The Prosperity Bancshares (NYSE:PB) acquisition of LegacyTexas Financial Group (NASDAQ:LTXB) in Dallas gave that state its first big locally owned bank in decades. By such standards it's still a minnow. Total assets will be about $30 billion (SunTrust alone is worth seven times more) but if this is the start of a trend, then XLF investors should benefit. That's because takeovers fuel speculation about more takeovers, leading speculators to feed on potential targets and bankers to start whispering sweet nothings of profit in other bankers' ears. * 10 'Buy-and-Hold' Stocks to Own Forever Banks Are Payment ProcessorsIn general, however, banks remain subject to the same computerization trend facing other service-based businesses like insurance and real estate. Don't let your kid think he can grow up to sit behind a desk with pillars at either side and a swinging gate in front of him. That's a game for lawyers.I have only been in banks a few times in the last year … once to visit my safety deposit box and another time to use a notary. (You probably thought I was going to say bathroom.) There was a time when I regularly visited my broker's office to deposit checks into my market account, but there's an app for that now.Willie Sutton, the bank robber who supposedly said banks "are where the money is," would today be a geeky hacker, because that's where the money is in banking today. It's in programming.Why sit in front of a banker when you can just borrow through Square (NYSE:SQ) Capital -- they have all your financial figures anyhow. On the other hand, the biggest banks are also the biggest payment processors. They're not going to let that business go without a fight.Expect more deals. Bottom Line on the XLF ETFThe bottom line is that as money continues to become magnetic ink, banks will remain under pressure to consolidate and run off to the dog track with the depositors' money. The likelihood of more scandals like that of Deutsche Bank (NYSE:DB), once seen as a Donald Trump-era darling, is only going to grow.It all comes down to a new sobering reality. Banks are about to become the new stock market casino. But casinos make good money. And if your kid grew up as a geeky programmer type, JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM) is hiring.Dana Blankenhorn is a financial and technology journalist. He is the author of a new environmental story, Bridget O'Flynn and the Bear , available now at the Amazon Kindle store. Write him at email@example.com or follow him on Twitter at @danablankenhorn. As of this writing he owned shares in JPM. More From InvestorPlace * 4 Top American Penny Pot Stocks (Buy Before June 21) * 7 Value Stocks to Buy for the Second Half * 7 Hot Stocks to Buy for a Seemingly Sleepy Summer * 6 Chip Stocks Staring At Big Headwinds in 2019 Compare Brokers The post Best ETFs for 2019: Financial Sector Spider ETF (XLF) Still Has a Chance appeared first on InvestorPlace.
Shares of Fifth Third Bancorp rallied 2.2% in afternoon trading Tuesday, after Ohio-based bank said it was increasing its dividend by 9% and setting a new 100 million share repurchase program. The new quarterly dividend of 24 cents a share, up from 22 cents, will be payable July 15 to shareholders of record on June 28. Based on current stock prices, the new annual dividend rate implies a dividend yield of 3.48%, well above the yield for the SPDR S&P Financial Select Sector ETF of 1.92% and the implied yield for the S&P 500 of 1.97%, according to FactSet. The banker said the new share buyback program replaces the previous program that had 22 million shares remaining. The current program represents about 13.6% of the shares outstanding. The stock has rallied 17.2% year to date, while the financial ETF has climbed 14.9% and the S&P 500 has advanced 16.5%.
Shares of Bank of America Corp. gained 0.4% in premarket trading Tuesday, after a bullish call from BMO Capital analyst James Fotheringham, who said Street expectations and valuations "look too low." Fotheringham raised his rating to outperform, after being at market perform for at least the past three years, while keeping his price target at $37, which is 33% above Monday's stock closing price of $27.93. Fotheringham said about one-third of the potential upside to his price target is based on expected upward revisions of consensus earnings expectations, on the back of higher fees and share repurchases and lower tax rates. The remaining two-thirds of the potential gain is from an expected "rerating" of price-to-earnings valuations, given that the stock is currently trading at a 15% discount to average valuations that have historically been seen during benign economic conditions. He said even if the Federal Reserve lowers interest rates, an increase in consensus earnings expectations should more than offset any dilution to net interest margin. The FactSet 2019 EPS consensus of $2.85 is down from $2.90 at the end of March, but is up from $2.61 a year ago. The stock has lost 6.3% over the past three months, while the SPDR Financial Select Sector ETF has edged up 0.3% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average has gained 2.0%.
Shares of State Street Corp. slumped 0.4% in afternoon trade Wednesday toward a three-year low, extending losses after the financial services company warned that second-quarter net interest income (NII) would miss expectations given "the recent and significant turn in the interest rate environment." The stock had dropped 3.7% on Tuesday, after Chief Financial Officer Eric Aboaf said Tuesday at the Morgan Stanley U.S. Financials Conference that net interest income is now expected to be down about 8% from the first quarter, while the current FactSet NII consensus of $657 million implies a 2.4% sequential decline. Aboaf said the two main factors that are negatively impacting NII: a rotation into interest-bearing deposits from noninterest-bearing deposits, which has increased costs; and the flattening yield curve, particularly the decline in longer-term yields, has resulted in lower investment yield. The 10-year Treasury note yield has fallen to 2.121% on Wednesday from 2.686% at the end of 2018. UBS cut its stock price target to $68 from $75 while keeping its buy rating, while Raymond James lowered its target to $68 from $84 but maintained its strong buy rating. State Street's stock was on track to close at the lowest price since July 13, 2016. The stock has tumbled 20.5% the past three months and 13.1% year to date, to pace the SPDR Financial Select Sector ETF's decliners over both those time periods. The financial ETF has gained 3.0% the past three months and the S&P 500 has advanced 3.1%.
The results of the Federal Reserve’s Comprehensive Capital Analysis and Review, or CCAR, are soon to be released and that could mean higher dividends and increased share repurchases for a slew of domestic ...
Financial stocks enjoyed a broad rally Monday, after President Trump's declaration that he would not impose tariffs on imports from Mexico helped push up Treasury yields and spark a broader stock market rally. The SPDR Financial Select Sector ETF jumped 1.1%, with 63 of 67 components trading higher. Among the more heavily weighted components, shares of Goldman Sachs Group Inc. gained 2.5% to pace the Dow Jones Industrial Average's gainers, while J.P. Morgan Chase & Co.'s stock was in second with a 1.5% rise. Elsewhere, shares of Citigroup Inc. jumped 2.6% to pace the financial ETF's gainers, Bank of America Corp. hiked up 2.4% and Wells Fargo & Co. advanced 1.4%. The Dow gained 148 points, or 0.6%, and the yield on the 10-year Treasury note rose 4.5 basis points to 2.129%. Higher longer-term yields can help boost bank profits, as the spread between what banks earn on longer-term assets, such as loans, the cost of shorter-term liabilities used to fund those assets widens.
Financial stocks swung to losses in premarket trade Friday, after a big miss in the May jobs report sent Treasury yields lower, which could weigh on bank profits. The SPDR Financial Select Sector ETF fell 0.4% in premarket trade, after being up 0.3% just before the data was released. Among the ETF's most heavily weighted components, shares of J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. fell 0.7% after being up 0.3% just before the data; Bank of America Corp. swung to a loss of 1.0% after being up 0.3%; Citigroup Inc. dropped 1.1% after being up 0.3%; and Wells Fargo & Co. lost 0.7%, after gaining less than 0.1%. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note fell 3.9 basis points toward a 21-month low of 2.084%. Lower longer-term interest rates could hurt bank profits, as it could narrow the spread between what the banks make on longer-term assets, such as loans, and the costs of shorter-term liabilities. Meanwhile, futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average inched up 4 points.
New research from Goldman Sachs suggests active managers could benefit from trading ETFs in the place of individual stocks when liquidity dries up.
As is the case with the other 11 months of the year, there are sector-level opportunities with exchange traded funds in June. Using the original nine sector SPDR ETFs (there are now 11) as the gauges, just two average positive returns in the month of June, according to CXO Advisory. In a month that historically rewards playing defensive, it's not surprising that the best-performing sector SPDR in June usually is the Utilities Select Sector SPDR (NYSE: XLU).
Prominent market technician Ralph Acampora says Wall Street needs new highs for him to be confidently bullish about the outlook for the stock markets, after a whipsawing period for the major indexes. But it’s not entirely clear that investors will see records in the immediate term.
The quarterly earnings cycle rarely leaves us much room to talk about our broad sector recommendations in our Special Opportunities portfolio -- Financial Select Sector (XLF) and US Energy ETF (IYE), notes Todd Shaver, editor of Bull Market Report.
Below is a look at ETFs that currently offer attractive buying opportunities. The ETFs included in this list are rated as buy candidates for two reasons. First, each of these funds is deemed to be in an uptrend based on the fact that its 50-day moving average is above its 200-day moving average, which are popular indicators for gauging long-term and medium-term trends, respectively. Second, each of these ETFs is also trading below its five-day moving average, thereby offering a near-term 'buy on the dip' opportunity, given the longer-term uptrend at hand. Note that this prospects list also features a liquidity screen by excluding ETFs with average trading volumes below the one million shares mark. As always, investors of all experience levels are advised to use stop-loss orders and practice disciplined profit-taking techniques. To get access to all ETFdb.com premium content, sign up for a free 14-day trial to ETFdb.com Pro.
Yahoo Finance's Adam Shapiro and Julie Hyman are joined by Yousef Abassi, director of U.S. Institutional Equities and Global Market Strategist at INTL FCStone, and Girard CIO Timothy Chubb to break down President Trump's shots at the Fed, the ongoing tariff threat, and other opportunities in the market, including in financials.
A new survey from the Business Roundtable finds that optimism among executives has dropped for the fifth quarter in a row. Yahoo Finance's Jessica Smith and Nationwide Chief Economist, David Berson, join Seana Smith to discuss how trade uncertainty is impacting CEO economic outlook.
President Trump defending his decision to threaten Mexico with tariffs, saying that's what got the deal done. Yahoo Finance's Seana Smith and former trade representative under George H. W. Bush, Carla Hills discuss.